Spent a couple of hours going through the field and whilst I have already made up my mind about a couple I like and will be backing there is one that wasn't really on my radar that has come through to draw my interest and I'm likely going to be backing it now.
The horse is Measureofmydreams
Firstly I was rewatching the Ultima from this years festival. The horse finished 13th of 23. Hardly awe-inspring. Having watched a couple of times the horse is kept out the back and runs a steady race, over the last mile he makes some progress. Now I'm not for one minute suggesting it would have won or even got in the places, it was too far back for that but he was badly hampered at the 2nd last when 9th and moving through the field. I appreciate being hampered happens but without it he likely keeps gaining ground and possibly finishes another couple of places better off. The fact he was making ground over the last mile is certainly encouraging.
We go further back and he was of course a disappointing favourite in the Scottish National, a mistake at the first and it was over by the 3rd so I'll put a line through that. He didn't run a terrible race in the bet365
Gold Cup at Sandown and was following the move of eventual 2nd Just A Par when a mistake a couple from home cost him his momentum and he dropped back pretty quickly but before that he was travelling nicely.
The best piece of form and the one that really caught my eye is the 2015 NH Chase at the Cheltenham Festival where Measureofmydreams was 3rd. A race won by Minella Rocca
(2nd in this years Gold Cup and one time favourite for this race until pulled out) with Native River
in second (3rd in Gold Cup, Hennessey and Welsh National winner), Vicente
in 5th (won Scottish National) and Vieux Lion Rogue
in 6th (current favourite for this race, Becher Chase and Haydock Grand National Trial winner). Southfield Royale
was 4th and has admittedly done nothing since that race.
Of course horses progress in different ways. One horses best ever race might only be a stepping stone to greater things for another horse but for me, there is enough in it's performances since to at least believe it is possible it can outrun a current price of 50/1 with which you can get with BetVictor
who are paying 6 places or with SkyBet
who pay 5 places and are NRNB.