Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Gazman982
Group 2 Class
Tips
Posts: 153
Joined: Mon Feb 06, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Postby Gazman982 » Wed Mar 29, 2017 9:33 am

Hello . Does anyone have information on horses that have previously ran in the grand national (not winning it) who have then gone on to win the grand national in the following years ?

Gazman982

Gazman982
Group 2 Class
Tips
Posts: 153
Joined: Mon Feb 06, 2012 12:00 am

Re: Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Postby Gazman982 » Wed Mar 29, 2017 8:45 pm

Found what i was looking for . Could help

Only twice in the past 10 years has a horse who had previously run in the Grand National won it (Mon Mome and The Silver Birch) and none have achieved this feat since ’09. The last 7 winners all had their first run in the Grand National the day they obliged.

UnderdogsLover
Stallion
Tips
Posts: 6412
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 12:00 am
Location: Somewhere nice and warm.

Re: Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Postby UnderdogsLover » Wed Mar 29, 2017 11:56 pm

Bit be for then Hedgehunter did it fell at last, and won the following year..

At last National getting bit closer..

UnderdogsLover
Stallion
Tips
Posts: 6412
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 12:00 am
Location: Somewhere nice and warm.

Re: Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Postby UnderdogsLover » Wed Mar 29, 2017 11:57 pm

Bit be for then Hedgehunter did it fell at last, and won the following year..

At last National getting bit closer..

lurhstaap
Triple Crown Winner
Tips
Posts: 1133
Joined: Mon May 16, 2011 11:00 pm

Re: Grand National Trends for 2017 Race?

Postby lurhstaap » Fri Mar 31, 2017 11:04 am

One useful trend that's been touched upon but not expanded fully is that of having previously placed in a "National".

I've looked back at first 5 home in the Aintree race since 2007 who have previously been placed in either the Grand National or the Irish, Welsh or Scottish equivalent.

The results are shown below and seem to agree with the point made earlier in the thread that the recent changes to the course have had an impact. My opinion is that they have reduced the gap between the big race and the other editions. In other words the Grand National is more like any other long distance handicap these days.

Anyway, the following horses finished in the first 5 having qualified as above:

2007 None
2008 Slim Pickings 4th 10/1
2009 Mon Mome 1st 100/1; Comply Or Die 2nd 14/1
2010 State Of Play 3rd 16/1; Hello Bud 5th
2011 Oscar Time 2nd 14/1; Don't Push It 3rd 9/1; State Of Play 4th 28/1; Niche Market 5th 16/1
2012 Sunnyhillboy 2nd 16/1; Cappa Bleu 4th 16/1
2013 Auroras Encore 1st 66/1; Cappa Bleu 2nd 12/1; Teaforthree 3rd 10/1; Oscar Time 4th 66/1; Rare Bob 5th 16/1
2014 None
2015 Monbeg Dude 3rd 40/1; Alvarado 4th 20/1; Shutthefrontdoor 5th 8/1
2016 Rule The World 1st 33/1; Goonyella 5th 12/1

Qualifiers for this year who are guaranteed a run are Houblon des Obeaux, Vicente & Rogue Angel. Also near the cut off is Thunder & Roses. It would be interesting if Rogue Angel was pulled out in favour of T&R as they have the same connections.

Hopefully some of you will have found this useful or interesting.

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users