Welsh Grand National 2014

Flat Cap and Whippet
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Welsh Grand National 2014

Postby Flat Cap and Whippet » Tue Dec 23, 2014 2:23 pm

Didn't see a thread for this so thought I would start one.

26 declared at the moment:

http://www.racingpost.com/horses2/cards ... ceTabs=sc_

Found a small number of trends:
  • 8 of last 10 winners rated between 131 and 150
    Last 10 winners aged between 6 and 8
    Last 10 winners carried 11st 6 or lower
    7 of last 10 winners had already won at Chepstow
    9 of last 10 winners had 1 or 2 runs that season
Applying all these trends literally, the one horse that passes all of them is Amigo, David Pipe's only runner.

2 horses pass all but the course win trend and they are Benvolio and Emperors Choice but they have never run at Chepstow

Shotgun Paddy passes all of the trends except for the weight carried, which could be a telling factor if the ground is soft/heavy.

I like the look of Benvolio, always seemed a relatively slow horse that needed a trip on soft ground. His beating of Midnight Prayer giving away 3lbs over 3 miles at Newbury looks good form now and he receives 2lbs this time round and is a bigger price.
4 days of wonderful madness is upon us

Micko70
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Postby Micko70 » Tue Dec 23, 2014 5:42 pm

As usual, i have written a blog and a big priced horse who passes every trend i have used comes out on top.

Just click the link in my signature

It looks a pretty good race this year and hopefully it won't be too heavy at Chepstow

The Executioner
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Postby The Executioner » Tue Dec 15, 2015 11:48 am

Upswing is the one that interests me most at this stage , widely available @10/1 but I can see Jonjo's charge shortening before raceday , solid EW claims .... :hope: :hope:

Micko70
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Postby Micko70 » Tue Dec 15, 2015 2:00 pm

Upswing is the one that interests me most at this stage , widely available @10/1 but I can see Jonjo's charge shortening before raceday , solid EW claims .... :hope: :hope:
Ex, this is last years thread for the 2014 running

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