tipstonga vs The Bookies 2011/12 - for fun only

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tipstonga vs The Bookies 2011/12 - for fun only

Postby tipstonga » Thu Aug 11, 2011 3:46 pm

I am not sure I shall have the time and be consistent with this traditional challenge but at least I am making the first move.

There are some pretty confident bets in this season start: City and Wigan to win, probably Arsenal if I am being objective, a draw for Chelsea and/or ManUnited, Rodallega anytime scorer

I shall take Wigan win @ 1.14 (profit) stake 100

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sat Aug 13, 2011 9:20 pm

bad start
LSP -1 profit -100 win rate 0 % ==>> bank 0

better luck next week
good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sat Aug 20, 2011 3:39 am

Round 2

I think Chelsea is a very likely winner but @0.3 it is not the type of bet I like for this challenge.
I have not seen ManUnited firm lately although they wan so I expect something from Spurs on Monday.

My pick then is the following AH bet
Tottenham+0.75 @ 1.04 stake 100

good luck :win:
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Postby gecko6 » Sat Aug 20, 2011 4:15 am

I hope spurs do well TT but we have a problem with man utd it seems - always struggle against them although we have had some bad luck too

good luck with this one and for the season

:win:

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Postby tipstonga » Mon Aug 22, 2011 9:30 pm

thank you gecko

I could not be more wrong ! -200 till now :(

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Fri Aug 26, 2011 6:33 pm

I shall try again with Wigan this 3rd round
I shall bet the top up of 100 (my only capital) for Wigan to beat QPR at home, @ 1.37 .

Alternatives might have been Villa v Wolves draw, and -with Wigan expected to win- Rodallega anytime goalscorer, but I think the pick being shorter in profit -but still above evens- will be safe.

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sat Aug 27, 2011 1:57 pm

Win ! third is the win one (la tercera es la vencida) is a Spanish proverb

So
1st round 100 stake -100 profit
2nd round 100 stake -100 profit
3rd round 100 stake +137 profit

total: W/L 1/2 ; LSP -0.63 ; profit -63 ; ROI -21%

bank+top up = new bank for week 4 = 337

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Fri Sep 09, 2011 9:50 pm

I am taking a more risky bet this time but not so risky as odds pretend.
I blogged about this bet http://www.olbg.com/blogs/blog_post.php ... &id=137412 on Wednesday (@2.29) . I considered Blackurn and Sunderland win or draw but stay with this one. It was good that I waited to analyse others first before making my pick. The market has raised odds since then.

4th round bet :
Everton v Aston Villa draw , stake 100 , @2.4 at bet365

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sun Sep 11, 2011 3:19 pm

good choice ! win !

So
1st round 100 stake -100 profit
2nd round 100 stake -100 profit
3rd round 100 stake +137 profit
4th round 100 stake +240 profit

total: W/L 2/2 ; LSP 1.77 ; profit 177 ; ROI +44%

bank+top up = new bank for week 5 = 677

good luck :win:
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Postby gecko6 » Sun Sep 11, 2011 11:57 pm

excellent pick this wk TT

going well

:win:

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Postby tipstonga » Thu Sep 15, 2011 8:13 pm

thank you gecko

I shall pick City to win by more than 1 due to its excellent campaing, the +12 goal difference, the weak opponent (18th) and the nice price . I like this so much as to double the stake. So

week 5
Fullham vs Manchester City : City AH-1 win @1.07 (bet365) stake 200 .

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Thu Sep 29, 2011 7:49 pm

Sorry skipped one round for health problems , so I shall make 2 this week end :

Everton vs Liverpool : Liverpool FT win 100 @ 1.5
and
Sunderland vs WBA : FT draw 100 @ 2.4

good luck :win:
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