Shanewire's OLBG v The Bookies 08/09 thread

shanewire
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Postby shanewire » Thu Sep 18, 2008 7:58 pm

Liverpool v Stoke
Stoke always play with an attacking frame of mind and I see no change here. They are likely to be beaten easily if they sit back because they are simply not good enough to defend against quality sides. Liverpool should win this for sure but there is no value in that. I fancy plenty of goals.

Bet - 400 on Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.8 (Paddy Power)

Wk 6 Opening Balance - 1850

New Balance - 1450

Balance if selection wins - 2170

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Postby shanewire » Sat Sep 27, 2008 4:43 am

WK 7 OPENING BALANCE - 1550

MATCH - EVERTON V LIVERPOOL

SELECTION - EVERTON +0.5 ON ALTERNATIVE Asian Handicap
(bet365) @ 1.8
With the big derby day crowd behind them I fancy the Toffees to finally put together a decent performance this season. Liverpool have lived a charmed life so far this season and that draw with Stoke should be a wake up call for them.
I never really fancy Liverpool away from home and have no reason to change that notion here.
If Everton go 4-5-1 they could be tough to break down.

STAKE - 450 (TO WIN 360)

NEW BALANCE - 1100

BALANCE IF WINS - 1910

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Postby shanewire » Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:12 am

missed last weeks unfortunately so new balance is 1300

SELECTION - Poland off scratch Asian Handicap @ 2.04 Home vs Czech Republic

Poland are a strong home team and are usually a formidable team during qualification so I think they are excellent value for this one. I don't like to back them outright here because the draw is a distinct possibility but i'd rather side with Poland with that security.

STAKE - 500

New balance - 800

Balance if match finishes drawn - 1300
Balance if Poland win - 1820
Balance if Czech win - 800

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Postby shanewire » Sat Oct 11, 2008 11:46 pm

Nice winner there, very pleased!

WK9 CLOSING BALANCE - 1820

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Postby shanewire » Fri Oct 17, 2008 12:14 am

WK 10 OPENING BALANCE - 1920

WK 10 SELECTION - Middlesborough v Chelsea - CHELSEA @ 1.62
(Coral, Paddy Power, bet365)
A brilliant squad will always find a way to win matches and whilst I do not expect this to be easy for Big Phil's boys, they do have the class and quality to overcome Boro. Odds-on backing can be very risky but not necessarily so with the big boys!

WK 10 STAKE - 500
POTENTIAL WINNINGS - 310[/b]

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Postby shanewire » Sat Oct 18, 2008 11:24 pm

New Balance - 2230

Easy win for Chelsea. Not the largest price but a win is a win.

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Postby shanewire » Sat Oct 25, 2008 11:55 pm

WK 11 OPENING BALANCE - 2330

WK 11 SELECTION - Spurs @ 2.1 - Now Ramos has finally been relieved of his duties and the news of Dodgy Arry's arrival has been announced I reckon Spurs will beat Bolton. They have the stronger playing squad as we all know but they are in a mess and this change could be just the boost that they need. This is a bit of a stab in the dark really.

WK 11 STAKE - 300

BALANCE IF WINS - 2030
BALANCE IF LOSES - 2660

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Postby shanewire » Sat Nov 01, 2008 2:13 am

Another winner! 2660 plus this weeks 100 put me at a starting balance of 2760. Time to hit the big time!

WK 12 OPENING BALANCE - 2760

SELECTION - Portsmouth @ Evens (Paddy Power)
Wigan are in disarray all of a sudden after a promising start and are really shipping goals. This plays right into the hands of Defoe and Crouch who will be hungry for goals with the fratton roar behind them!

BET AMOUNT - 760

BALANCE IF LOSES - 2000
BALANCE IF WINS - 3520

Good luck all.

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