NeilTheBeaver OLBG v The Bookies 08/09 Thread

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat Mar 14, 2009 1:15 am

Going to stick with Fulham and there magical ability to draw away from home. Feeling greedy so will take 8.5 for the 0-0

Open balance inc top up 3800

Stake 200 @ 8.5

Close 3600
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat Mar 28, 2009 12:02 pm

2 top ps due open balance 3800

Joyous international week.

England V Slovakia

Would expect the "1st choice" 11 out for the first half to make a mark, before a number of subs. They should have the quality to get Englands nose in front before half time. I wouldnt expect a great Slovakian comeback.

so HT/FT England/England 400 @ 1.8

Close balance 3400
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sun Mar 29, 2009 1:05 am

A result!!

400 returns 720

Plus top up 100

=

4220
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Wed Apr 01, 2009 11:43 am

Need to catchup so playing midweek.

Turkey V Spain.....

Spain have carried on from the Euros in fine form in both friendlies and qualifying. Having won against Turkey at the weekend i expect them to go on and do the same tonight. At 2.1 they do look a good price so 220 @ 2.1

close 4000
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Thu Apr 02, 2009 12:14 am

220 @ 2.1 returns 462

Close balance 4462

2 winners in international week :shock: :shock: :shock:
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Fri Apr 03, 2009 10:25 pm

At last a day to mull over this weeks football and as the various battles for the league/europe and relegation hot up there are some tough fixtures to pick from this week. Plus with the international break possibly disrupting some teams form and in some cases the squads (Zaki at wigan)


No derbies to dismiss this week so... a quick run down

Blackburn V Spurs

You have to go back to late '02 to find an overs game at Ewood between the 2 teams, and 5 of the last 8 have been draws. Spurs look more solid and a good finish to the season could see them in Europe. Blackburn still look frail and too many draws under Fat Sam see them in the midst of a big relegation dogfight. DRAW HT @ 2.1

Arsenal V Man City

City's away form is nothing short of abysmal and with the Gunners hitting some form of late and returning players Arsenal @ 1.5 looks reasonable to play with. City have managed just 1 away win this season and Arsenal having 5 home wins on the bounce this one may be a case of how many.
Arsenal have put 10 past city in the last 4 meetings which makes me think overs @ 1.9

Bolton V Boro

2 of my least favourite teams to watch/bet on. Neither seem to find any real form. Boro are shot shy this season and looking likely to be enjoy the championship next year. However with Boro being as bad as they are Bolton look a fair price @ 2.1 home win.

Everton V Wigan

Everton unbeaten in 7 at home and all seemed to be going well till the hiccup away at Portsmouth. Everton missing Arteta and wigan without Zaki by the looks, price for Everton a little short for a tough game.

Fulham V Liverpool

With the top two playing reverses of last weeks Premiership games, Fulham could once again have a say in the story of premier league. However well Fulham played last week was matched by how bad Utd were. Fulhams defence seems unable to clear the ball when under pressure and a Liverpool who are getting into stride can easily brush them aside. But 1.61 Liverpool win seems very short, in what will still be a tough game. Fulham have done very well against the top sides this season, so id give this a swerve, especially with the Reds ability to falter against lower opposition.

Hull V Pompey

Hull must be glad they got off to a flyer this season as they have benn abysmal of late and pretty much in free fall. Pompey have been poor all season, these are the games that will decide who goes down and who stays up, and for that reason alone im ignoring this one

Man Utd V Aston Villa

Utd to win @ 1.4 isnt all bad. Villas lack of depth in squad is starting to show and after the horrors of Anfield, Old Trafford is probably the last place you want to go. But, and its a big but, Utd are missing some BIG players, no Rooney or Vidic, no scholes and no berbatov no Anderson or Rafael still no Hargreaves no Wes brown either, Neville may make and appearance and Ferdinand has a late test, meaning rookie Evans will probably play and he really looked to be struggling against Fulham. The break may well have done both teams good allowing a bit of rest and recupperation. Villas last win at OT was about 25 years ago so form isnt with them. If utd play like they did against Liverpool, inter and fulham then Villa @ 9 , Villa DNB @ 7, lay Utd @ 2.75 all have appeal. Would like to see some of the Villa fans perspectives on their teams chances as this is a real tempter this week.


Newcastle V Chelsea

Lets face it the majority of us have probably spent the last few days (season) laughing a bit a the Toon Army, but would anybody really want to head to SJP this week. The crowd will play a huge part with The Messiah part III, Ian Dowie in the back room brings some much needed experience. The form book may well go out the window a bit, Chelsea havent looked anywhere near the team of the last few years, the swagger seems to have been lost and the defeat by Spurs lto hasnt helped. But they still grind out results 3 1-0s and a 2-1 and a 0-0 before the Spurs game. Newcastle DNB @ 3.75


West Brom V Stoke

Stoke are shocking away from home, West Brom are just shocking! this could be a turgid 0-0 or manic 4-4. Either side could get a thrashing. Nothing of value stands anywhere i can see. AVOID

West Ham V Sunderland

West Ham have a nose in front on form and history, they really should carry on that with a result. They are still in with a shout at Europe next year and Sunderland can still easily be relegated. west Ham should welcome back a few players, but missing Cole. Sunderland missing a few such as Davenport (loan tied) and McCartney. Another tricky one. West Ham should come through and the price of 2.1 West Ham Win is tidy.

Choice of

Villa DNB @ 7 (small stake)
West Ham @ 2.1 (medium stake)
Arsenal @ 1.5 (large stake)

BOTW

962 on Arsenal Win @ 1.5

Close Balance 3500
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat Apr 04, 2009 10:53 pm

:) :) :)

WIN!

962 @ 1.5 = 1443

+ 100 for the next game

close 5043 :win:
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat Apr 11, 2009 12:31 pm

Quick one again this week..

STOKE V Newcastle

Dont think that the new management a the toon will make any real difference to the team. They are still hugely vulnerable at the back. Stokes home form is what will keep them up and with their abilty to get balls into the box, newcastles back line will be in for a torrid time. 2.4 look s like great value so...


Stoke WIN 543 @ 2.4

Close Balance 4500
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

gecko6
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Postby gecko6 » Wed Apr 15, 2009 10:45 am

going very well mate - good stuff

few top up errors.. missed one in wk 27.. then caught up in international wk so that sok.. but you then missed another last wk...
also had 1 extra bet as done 35 in 34wks.. no problem but you have 5 best left in last 6 premier match weeks so skip one and then you'll hit 40 wks

current balance > £4600
top up £100
bank £4700 for next bet

cheers

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat May 02, 2009 12:14 pm

From 1 too many to one behind! Bank 4700

This week is looking like one of the toughest yet. Hard to find value and alot of 50/50 games.

Going to chance my arm with Stoke, as at home they've been a force to be reckoned with. The Hammers are still struggling upfront so a home win @ 2.4 seems generous. Stoke havent lost at home in the last 7 and would expect them to carry that on.

300 @ 2.4

close bank 4400
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat May 09, 2009 11:26 am

hmm no joy last week. And this week looks nasty for trying to find a good result.

Fulham V Villa... Villa back in the winning ways but, 1-0 v Hull isnt anything to shout about. Fulham have had a steady season, and may be able to finish as high as 7th. Villa assured 5th or 6th. With Hangeland and Scwarzer at the back and a decent if not spectacular front line. Fulham should have too much for a weary looking Villa, who started their season 10 months ago. Fulham @ 2.5 looks nice indeed.

400 fulham win @ 2.5

close balance 4100
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

NeilThe Beaver
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Postby NeilThe Beaver » Sat May 09, 2009 9:22 pm

Nice nice nice

That returns 1000

bank now 5100
Even a blind bird gets a worm sometimes

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