tipstonga OLBG v The Bookies 08/09 thread

gecko6
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Postby gecko6 » Sun May 03, 2009 7:30 pm

terrific effort considering your position mid-season

superb... just shows if you stick to your theories and stay in control you can get a return long term...

well done so far TT

:win:

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Postby tipstonga » Fri May 08, 2009 3:01 pm

Thanks gecko.

A week with many doubts. No great differences neither in form or position to be half sure.
I shall pick the West Ham v Liverpool match since Liverpool has to maintain open the door waiting for the Manchester Derby to bring them hope while West Ham has lost any chances for european tournaments. This different motivation will add to their different antecedents and local condition, but does not free me from being afraid of a draw. So I am betting a minimum amount waiting for next week to hit strongly the Bookies with a more interesting fixture. Lets cross fingers and go on.

So bofw for week 38
Event: West Ham v Liverpool - May 9th
Market: 1x2
Bet: away win
Odds: 0.57
Bookie: Coral
Stake: 100 geckoins

new bank = 3893 geckoins

good luck :win:
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mind change

Postby tipstonga » Sat May 09, 2009 4:03 am

After a deeper analysis I think now , 10 hours to the game, that I have been a little conservative with my bet and the stake should have been bigger. Too late to change , no regrets.
But if you are looking for my actual best opinion see my bet blogs http://www.olbg.com/blogs/blog_post.php ... a&id=71524 to 71526 .

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sun May 10, 2009 4:31 am

Liverpool 3-0, not a great surprise. I catch the correct score in the tipster competition. :D

With this result Bookies will have to throw their king. A simple plan makes my positive profit certain without betting under 100 next 2 times.


Balance
bank = 3893
stake = 100
profit = 100 x 0.57 = 57
top up = 100

bank for week 39 = 4150 geckoins

Stats
18W 17L 3D , +1.93 LSP , profit +250 geckoins

I am beating the Bookies also in the 3 stats indicators.

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Thu May 14, 2009 9:41 pm

In what follows the bet of the week will be ignored so if you are looking for a good premiership bet for this weekend click and take a look at

The Round Before - Best Bets Premiership Week 37

you will find my suggestions there.

Bookies, you are beaten ! :P

At this point of this challenge, after 38 weeks and low moments, I am positive in play money and also in LSP and results. I have my "vacation" days unused so I may stop here and now.
I have beaten the Bookies even if I lose 100 geckoins next 2 weekends. At the same time with any reasonable bet (i.e. the 1st or 2nd in the above mentioned blog), even exposing myself to lose the maximum stake, I can not reach the best profits obtained in this game by many talented tipsters.

Mini Betting Plan :? :)

So, as I do not conceive betting without fun (and stress), I shall use this round to make one of those bets that should not be done: support a beloved team in a difficult task.
The next and last round I shall probably take a "HT/FT resurrection" or other high odds bet around.

The Bet :shock:

For truth sake it must be noticed that as Manchester United defence is a flan just a little efficiency inspiration would make Arsenal get this result.

So bet for week 39
Event: MUnited v Arsenal - May 16th
Market: Correct Score
Bet: Arsenal 2-1 :hope:
Odds: 16
Bookie: bet365
Stake: 100 geckoins

new bank = 4050 geckoins

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sat May 16, 2009 5:11 pm

I must admit I would have expected any result but 0-0 , I would have bet no clean sheets for both.

Well , stats
18W18L3D, +0.93 LSP, profit +150 geckoins

with top up bank for week 40 = 4150 geckoins

good luck :win:
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Postby tipstonga » Sat May 23, 2009 4:11 am

We arrive to the last stop of this journey with the win in the pocket.
This week I shall perform the second part of my joyful mini betting plan.
I search for a bet that can give a real difference after so much work.
Unfortunately I did not find a confident one and I think there is not such .
But the one I select I think it is good in its kind. Liverpool 4-0 @25 (probable any Liverpool win) and Everton/Fullham @28(probable draw)
So I preferred my pick since the home win in this case is the most probable. Moreover it is somehow plausible since AV had not rushed to win and Newcastle will have to go for the match to have a little chance of avoiding relegation. Of course some accident should help Newcastle for them to score and resist with this goal till HT.
In the very probable case this bet does not work I shall be giving the Bookies the LSP and results advantage so they will not be scared by my skills and will continue accepting my money in real life :lol: .

So bet for week 40
Event: Aston Villa v Newcastle - May 24th
Market: HT/FT
Bet: Newcastle/Aston Villa :hope:
Odds: 28
Bookie: bet365
Stake: 100 geckoins

new bank = 4050 geckoins

good luck :win:
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Postby gecko6 » Sun May 24, 2009 6:52 pm

profit !!!

well done mate

terrific effort

:win:

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Postby tipstonga » Sun May 24, 2009 8:40 pm

thank you gecko


no problem the direct Villa win:

End of the season: Bookies beaten (by divided decision)

4050 geckoins

I return OLBG the 4000 lent to me and I am going to gecko's bank to change the 50 profit geckoins for something that may get me a drink :lol: .

Glad :) and expecting next season

good luck :win:
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