PAULEV'S E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

PAULEV
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PAULEV'S E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Wed Nov 01, 2017 1:15 am

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 1
Date of races: 01/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: £0.00

AGAR'S PLOUGH - 1.00 Nottingham @ 10/1 ............ 5th @ 12/1
SLUNOVRAT - 2.00 Nottingham @ 10/1 ................... Non-runner
GLACIER POINT - 2.30 Nottingham @ 13/2 .............. 5th @ 13/2
BRACKEN BRAE - 6.55 Kempton @ 20/1 ................... 8th @ 33/1


Day Profit/Loss: - £14.00

Closing Profit/Loss: - £14.00


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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Thu Nov 02, 2017 8:45 am

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 2
Date of races: 02/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: - £14.00

DAILY TRADER - 2.55 Lingfield - 7/1 ........................ 5th @ 17/2
AMERICAN HISTORY - 3.30 Lingfield - 11/1 ............ 9th @ 11/2
DYNAMO WALT - 7:25 Chelmsford - 16/1 ............... 7th @ 25/1
MADAM BOUNTY - 7.55 Chelmsford - 15/2 ............. 9th @ 8/1

Day Profit/Loss: - £15.00

Closing Profit/Loss: - £29.00


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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Fri Nov 03, 2017 9:46 am

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 3
Date of races: 03/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£29.00

ZAMPERINI - 1.10 Newmarket @ 6/1 .............. 8th @ 5/1
IZZY BIZU - 1.45 Newmarket @ 10/1 ............... 2nd @ 10/1 (BOG)
TAGUR - 7.45 Newcastle @ 16/1 ...................... 9th @ 14/1
PEARL ACCLAIM - 8.15 Newcastle @ 18/1 ....... 8th @ 22/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£13.50

Closing Profit/Loss: -£42.50

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Sat Nov 04, 2017 11:17 am

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 4
Date of races: 04/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£42.50

BEAUTIFUL ARTIST - 12.35 Newmarket @ 7/1 .............. 7th @ 8/1
DARK INTENTION - 1.45 Newmarket @ 10/1 ................ 4th @ 11/2
MISS NIGHT OWL - 2.05 Wetherby @ 7/1 ...................... 7th @ 9/2
THORNABY NASH - 5.30 Newcastle @ 14/1 .................. 9th @ 12/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£15.00

Closing Profit/Loss: -£57.50

Last edited by PAULEV on Sun Nov 05, 2017 4:43 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: PAULEV'S E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Sun Nov 05, 2017 2:47 pm

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 5
Date of races: 05/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£57.50

TOMNGERRY - 3.05 Carlisle @ 8/1 .................... 2nd @ 8/1 (BOG)
ARKWRISHT - 3.15 Cork @ 12/1 ......................... 4th @ 10/1
NIGHT GENERATION - 3.20 Hunt @ 15/2 ......... WON @ 15/2 (BOG)
CASSIS DE REINE - 4.10 Carlisle @ 17/2 ............. 5th @ 12/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£1.20

Closing Profit/Loss: -£58.70

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Tue Nov 07, 2017 6:40 pm

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 6
Date of races: 07/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£58.70

HACKNEY ROAD - 6.45 Kempton @ 11/1 ......................... 8th @ 9/1
MURDANOVA - 7.15 Kempton @ 8/1 ............................. 13th @ 7/1
THANKYOU VERY MUCH - 7.45 Kempton @ 10/1 ........... 7th @ 10/1
FRENCH MIX - 8.15 Kempton @ 7/1 ................................. 4th @ 4/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£15.00

Closing Profit/Loss: -£73.70

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Wed Nov 08, 2017 5:51 pm

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 7
Date of races: 08/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£73.70

ISAAC BELL - 6.40 Kempton @ 16/1 ............... 2nd @ 16/1 (BOG)
BIRD FOR LIFE - 7.10 Kempton @ 5/1 ............ WON @ 11/2 (BOG)
SEINFELD - 7.40 Kempton @ 6/1 ..................... 6th @ 7/1
HOWS LUCY - 8.10 Kempton @ 10/1 ............... 6th @ 9/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£0.72

Closing Profit/Loss: -£74.42

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Thu Nov 09, 2017 4:11 pm

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 8
Date of races: 09/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£74.42

ARDEN PEARL - 5.15 Chelmsford @ 14/1 ................... 6th @ 6/1
FIRST DRIVE - 5.45 Chelmsford @ 20/1 ...................... 9th @ 12/1
GRONKOWSKI - 6.15 Chelmsford @ 5/1 .................... WON @ 5/1 (BOG)
MAKING MIRACLES - 6.45 Chelmsford @ 5/1 ............ 5th @ 7/1

Day Profit/Loss: -£8.50

Closing Profit/Loss: -£82.92

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Sat Nov 11, 2017 10:29 am

**50p E/W**
ENTRY No: 9

Date of races: 11/11/17

Opening Profit/Loss: -£82.92

MASTER DEE - 2.15 Aintree @ 9/1 ............................... 2nd @ 9/1 BOG
DANCE THE DREAM - 3.15 Doncaster @ 11/1 ............ 6th @ 10/1
VIC DE TOUZAINE - 3.35 Wincanton @ 8/1 ................. Pulled Up
MR TOP HAT - 3.50 Doncaster @ 15/2 ........................ Non-Runner

Day Profit/Loss: -£10.75

Closing Profit/Loss: -£93.67
Last edited by PAULEV on Sun Nov 12, 2017 1:31 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: PAULEV'S E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby Shrews » Sat Nov 11, 2017 1:17 pm

Keep going with this PAULEV, it only takes one three or four-timer to go in.

It's hard to handle with these kind of bets that the accumulative LSP always seems to be in the red, that's why you have to keep telling yourself "Yeah, but it only needs the one to put it back in the black."

Conquering the doubts and keeping the focus is crucial. After all, if you can pick four winners on four different days then why can't you pick four winners on the same day, right?

When you do have a winner/place perhaps it's worth looking at what type of race, what kind of odds etc that came in. Likewise, how you were feeling at the time you selected i.e in a rush, tired, bored, angry or the opposites of plenty of time, alert, focused, settled etc. It could be that when you do find these L15 winners it's because of a reason that isn't immediately apparent, for example:

Say you spend two hours choosing your selections, do you know how much study (in time and depth) you spend on the winners versus how much time you spend on the losers? There could be a pattern there.

7pm-7.30pm - selection 1 (places)
7.30-8.30pm - selection 2 (wins)
8.30pm-8.45pm - selection 3 (loses)
8.45pm-9pm - selection 4 (loses)

Maybe you start getting bored after 90 mins and this affects the quality of study (in the example). Maybe when you select your first horse, you 'spot' a horse you know/like and your natural 'bias' takes over. And it's nice to get one selection on the betting slip. The second horse is a little trickier to find but you find it with more in depth study. Horses 3 and 4 are trickier and you're getting bored. They're in with a shout and 'will do'.

Next night,

7pm-7.30pm - selection 1 (places)
7.30-8.30pm - selection 2 (wins)
8.30pm-8.45pm - selection 3 (loses)
8.45pm-9pm - selection 4 (loses)

And there lyeth the pattern (maybe)!

Managing the boredom threshold is a critical factor. If your boredom threshold is 90 mins then maybe it's best to do an hour one night, then an hour next morning (on a Fri/Sat/Sun) or do an hour in the early evening, have a break and come back to it later.

I've no idea how you are selecting these horses, but if I was doing something like this, where the objective is surely to show improvement and that accumulative 'mug bets' can be profitable then I think working out where you are doing well (and why) is the key to improvement.

Not sure if you know, but on your selections so far you are actually +4 LSP with odds between 5/1 and 9/1 (quick add up, may not be quite accurate)

All the best! :win:

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Re: PAULEV'S E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby realitycheck » Sat Nov 11, 2017 5:51 pm

i think your running total is out. for your 1st selection you had a non runner and marked it as a 14 pt loss but with only 3 selections i think thats 3 singles 3 doubles and a treble so only a 7 pt loss

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Re: PAULEV's E/W Lucky 15 (NOVEMBER 2017)

Postby PAULEV » Sun Nov 12, 2017 12:25 am

i think your running total is out. for your 1st selection you had a non runner and marked it as a 14 pt loss but with only 3 selections i think thats 3 singles 3 doubles and a treble so only a 7 pt loss
Hi realitycheck
This is a L ucky 15 bet - so a non-runner would return the single stake only for that runner - £1

see: - https://www.free-bet-calculator.co.uk/o ... tors/2010/

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