A place in the sun in June

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Sun Jun 10, 2018 11:58 am

Nothing doing today. The 'almost' tip is Austin Powers Goodwood 5.30, but the draw is wrong. Non-runners may alter this.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Mon Jun 11, 2018 1:24 pm

Austin Powers was third yesterday meaning a return would have been made. However, it was a non qualifier.
There is another one like that tonight.
Windsor 7.20 Twin Star. It has a place and win negative draw at the moment. A non runner might change this, but it does not qualify as things stand.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Mon Jun 11, 2018 2:43 pm

As promised here are the monthly results for all the systems. I must add that I have eliminated both winners and losers (one winner of the winners was 25-1!) because these results fit the criteria as they now stand, not as they stood at the time the bets were made.

Dec 2017 Runners 2, Winners 1 (9-1) Profit 8pts: Normal Places 2, winning places 2, Profit 3.08pts: Additional Places 2, winning places 2, Profit 1.99.
Jan 2018 Runners 12, Winners 7(11-4, 4-1, 7-2, 10-1, 100-30, 5-1) Profit 25.33pts: NP 12, wp 11, Profit 9.83pts: AP 6, wp 6, Profit 5.54
Feb 2018 Runners 15, Winners 3 (7-2, 3-1, 100-30) Loss -2.17: NP 15, wp 12, Profit 9.01: AP 5, wp 5, Profit 4.36
Mar 2018 Runners 24, Winners 14 (85-40, 5-2, 7-2, 3-1, 9-2, 7-1, 3-1, 11-4, 2-1, 6-4, 13-2, 13-8, 4-1) Profit 34: NP 24, wp 23, Profit 25.25: AP 13, wp 13, Profit 12.59
Apr 2018 Runners 17, Winners 6 (7-2, 13-2, 11-4, 100-30, 7-2, 100-30) Profit 12.91: NP 17, wp 13, Profit 7.41: AP 11, wp 8, Profit 1.78
May 2018 Runners 19, Winners 8 (2-1, 11-10, 3-1, 9-2, 7-4, 3-1, 4-1, 15-8) Profit 10.225: NP 19 wp 18, Profit 17.12: AP 10, wp 10, Profit 7.96

Totals Runners 89, Winners 39, Profit 83.375
Normal Places 89, winning places 79, Profit 71.7
Additional Places 47, winning places 44, Profit 34.22 (42 Additional place bets did not fit the price criteria).
I hope you can see my enthusiasm despite the start to June. I have to admit the systems have not run yet through an entire Flat season.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Tue Jun 12, 2018 12:28 pm

There is a qualifier today on system C (handicaps).
Lingfield 7.50 Rocksette. 1pt in the normal place market if 1st, 2nd, 3rd fav OR in the additional place market if 4th fav. I will go with BSP on this occasion.
I must admit that I was looking at the form of the race and was impressed by Ashazuri who won over CD 2 runs ago in a fast time for the grade. But I follow the systems now, not my impressions. It will be interesting to see how things pan out.
I have also found that Kevin O'Malley in GG tips den has written up Rocksette as well, so this could be a qualifier on system A too.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Tue Jun 12, 2018 8:07 pm

Rocksette snatched 3rd place :3: at the finish and paid 1.8 in the normal place market. My fancy for the race, Ashazuri actually won at 3-1jf, but the BSP for a place was only 1.48 which was below my place criteria of 1.6. So I think I did the right thing for the place.

Running totals
Horses 13, winners 4 (30.8%)
Place bets 13, winning place bets 7 (53.8%)
All systems
-0.86 pts.
Comparison win SP
-0.32pts

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Wed Jun 13, 2018 5:46 pm

There is a qualifier on the A system ( Professional Tipsters). This one comes from Track Bias on GG.co.uk.
Kempton 8.10 Hackney Road in the additional place market only at price minimum of 1.5. In AW handicaps off a mark of 75 or less it is 1212 with 2-3 at Kempton. It is additional market because of other criteria I use.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Wed Jun 13, 2018 7:01 pm

Cancel the above selection. I have found something late on which counts against it. So, no bet today.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Fri Jun 15, 2018 12:58 pm

There was no bet yesterday so there was no point in posting.
Today, there is a bet at York on system 1.
York 4.40 Sandra's Secret. 1pt. place. It is ridden by De Sousa who is 2-2 on the horse. There is a rise in grade, but the favourite is up 2 grades in a slower time LTO. I have asked for 1.72 on the additional market.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Sat Jun 16, 2018 8:55 am

The last two horses I have posted have both won!!!! Hackney Road won at 2-1 :<a href=/school/lesson15.php>NAP</a>: and Sandra's Secret won at 9-2 :<a href=/school/lesson15.php>NAP</a>: .
However I have found from experience that I must follow the systems correctly, so no tip on Hackney Road was advised eventually. The additional place was only advised on Sandra's Secret since a non-runner slightly changed things. Anyway the BSP for a place on Sandra's Secret was just 2.1 and I got 1.72 for the extra insurance of fourth place.

Running totals
Horses 14, winners 5 (35.7%)
Place bets 14, winning place bets 8 (57.1%)
All systems
-0.15 pts.
Comparison win SP
+4.18pts

I will post for today later.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Sat Jun 16, 2018 12:43 pm

Two horses for Saturday
System 1 Chester 3.45 Midsummer Knight 1pt normal place market , 1.6 asked for.
System 3 Fontwell 5.50 Howlongisafoot 1pt normal place market. I have got 1.62.

bhewitt
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Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Sat Jun 16, 2018 10:30 pm

Today produced 2 winning places but neither won.
Howlongisafoot was actually system 4, not 3 as I stated. It was leading over the last but came second at 5-2. :<a href=/school/lesson15.php>NB</a>: Midsummer Knight was third at 5-2. :3:
Good to see I am back in profit. I know the profit is only slight but it is a profit, better than at least 80%+ of punters who lose. Let's hope the second half of the month can show what profits can be made.

Running totals
Horses 16, winners 5 (31.25%)
Place bets 16, winning place bets 10 (57.1%)
All systems
+0.625 pts.
Comparison win SP
+2.18pts

bhewitt
Group 1 Class
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Posts: 463
Joined: Tue Jan 16, 2007 12:00 am

Re: A place in the sun in June

Postby bhewitt » Sun Jun 17, 2018 12:24 pm

No selection for Sunday.

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