Trainer doubles

OlbgDeleted383544
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Trainer doubles

Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Wed Aug 12, 2015 6:23 pm

I mentioned a method in the main forum last week that i read about and the gosden winner today at 33/1 made me think again about it.

The idea is watch the first race on the card then back the winning trainer for the rest of the card....then do the same in race two etc..

My first thought was that there would be too many bets...but surprisingly there are not. Obviously you will have two or three horses to back in one race at the end of the card...but a lot of trainers who win mid meeting or towards the end would of already had most of their runners gone.

No doubt there will be the odd nightmare meeting with stacks of runners but i will try have to deal with it as i go along.

This is purely a trial to see how it pans out.

I quickly checked back until the 1st of july to get an idea of how many winners and what sort of prices i could expect.

From that date until today there have been an average of just over two winners a day at an average price of 5.5/1...on only two days in that time have there been no winners..the most in one day was seven.some big prices too.

It won't be easy doing this and i will only be able to post after each meeting but it will be worth a try...

If anyone has any ideas on staking or stop at a winner etc or even dont waste your time feel free to post.

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Thu Aug 13, 2015 7:41 pm

What a freaky start with two trainers having a treble..

There were more bets than i thought and i will have to think about what to do when there is more than one runner in a race.

There were 16 bets today

Winners at 20/1 10/1 3/1 5/2 and 11/4...

Stop at a winner wins at 20/1 3/1 and 11/4..with 12 bets.

Sp+27.25. Bf +37.27

S at winner sp +16.75 bf +24.6

irnwho
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Postby irnwho » Thu Aug 13, 2015 8:58 pm

I like trainer led methods. I have mine where by a certain set of trainers i know improve a horse. If its the horses first time out under that new trainer I back it.

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Thu Aug 13, 2015 9:29 pm

Sounds good irn..

I've seen quite a few over the years..

Back m. Johnston runners on right hand tracks etc but it's having the time to check them all out.

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Fri Aug 14, 2015 7:33 pm

Mr Hannon is killing me

3 races today with 3 of his runners in the same race...two won but just to cover the bets...starting monday more than 2 runners is a no bet.

Amazingly no bets at newcastle..

19 bets today winners at 11/4..7/2..10/1

Stop at winner the same but 18 bets

Overall

Sp +27.50 bf +41.81

Saw sp +18.0 bf +30.14

That's me done for the week...

I hope you all have a profitable weekend.

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Postby man o bong » Fri Aug 14, 2015 9:14 pm

Cant be asking for a better start than that - Brilliant, Subscribed to the thread and will be watching further progress with interest

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Sun Aug 16, 2015 11:17 am

Let's hope there are not too many bad days..

With a number of bets each day there is always the risk of getting wiped out.

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Mon Aug 17, 2015 8:04 pm

A blank day but only four bets..

Overall totals

Sp +23.50 bf +37.81

Saw sp +14.00 bf 26.14

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Tue Aug 18, 2015 8:51 pm

5 bets today

Wins at 2/1 and 25/1

Overall

Sp +47.50 bf +74.80

Saw sp +38.00. Bf +63.13

My basic maths failed then...

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Wed Aug 19, 2015 7:02 pm

16 bets today

3 winners at 3/1 9/2 and 9/2

Sp +46.50. Bf +77.70

I'm not going to bother with stop at a winner anymore as i can't see it being of any advantage...

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Wed Aug 19, 2015 7:19 pm

After a week the strike rate and wins is above average..

How often these big winners will come in is anyone's guess..

60 bets

13 wins

Strike rate 21.66%

Average winning price sp 7.19

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Postby OlbgDeleted383544 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 8:44 pm

14 bets today

1 winner at 11/4

Totals

Sp +36.25 bf +68.15

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