Estonian Football Corner

risto123
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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Sat Oct 06, 2018 3:43 pm

Tomorrow in Meistriliiga:

Pärnu - Narva

12:00 CET

Under 4 goals @2.05
it's always wonderful to pick under 4 in match which has 1 goal in it

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:23 pm

On friday in Nations League:

Estonia - Finland

Estonia +0.5 AH @1.75

Estonia over 1.0 goals @2.75



So far Finland have won both of their games 1:0 thanks to T. Pukki who scored twice in first 15 minutes last month. At the same time Estonia lost both of their games 0:1 while conceding inside 15 minutes in both matches ...
Honestly i don't mind our team to relegated to league D anymore but could this happen then hopefully it's not going to be with 0 points and most importantly with 0 goals.
Obviously scoring goals is still problem for our team but what can you do when first target is always to keep a clean sheet which usually backfires.. However i believe that in the last 2 qualifying campaigns Finland kept just 2 clean sheets on the road so hopefully their defense struggles once more if the weather conditions are really bad once again(even the previous h2h game in september was blessed by heavy rain ...) And now it's way colder outside + in october our pitch tends to be frozen like it was 2 years ago when Greece both CBs couldn't handle it for more than 10 minutes ...

I'm probably way too optimistic this time around about our chances and that's why i'm not going with Finland -1 AH @3.50 - I am probably going to regret not betting against Estonia this time but hopefully not.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Fri Oct 12, 2018 11:59 am

One more bet for today's Estonia vs Finland game.

Over 2 goals @2.30

Yes we are playing defensively and probably use 5-4-1 or similar formation this time aswell ... But still we are missing our 2-3 first choice CB's so Finland's T. Pukki who have scored twice in NL and 5 in Championship this season clearly fancies his chances to score more. And we now have striker in dutch second league who has scored 5 in 8 games or so so hopefully our goalscoring drough will end tonight. Usually you don't see that kind of odds for over 2 line so i guess it's definitely worth a try.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Fri Oct 12, 2018 9:40 pm

Estonia vs Finland
0/3 :no:
Well it's just one of these days where everything goes wrong. Obviously you defend well for 90 minutes and then fall asleep in the first added minute and that's it as T. Pukki leads Finland to their third consecutive 1:0 win ... Oh well then. Atleast Hungary game on monday gives chance to bounce back ...

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Sat Oct 13, 2018 5:22 pm

On monday in Nations League:

Estonia vs Hungary

Under 2 goals @1.90

I'm pretty sure that both teams'd have hoped to start this competion with much better results than they actually managed ...
Hungary did beat Greece at home but they lost both awaygames 0:1
Estonia have gone even further in terms of losing 0:1 as they've lost all 3 NL games with that score ...
Hungary may have scored 5 in most recent h2h game but just like their only trip to Tallinn showed then here it's never easy for anyone.
I'm sure that both teams will try to get back on winning ways but they probably do that by shutting the defense down and somehow scoring 1 or 2 goals ..
So i expect another typical monday night football here - lowscoring one.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Mon Oct 15, 2018 9:40 pm

On monday in Nations League:

Estonia vs Hungary

Under 2 goals @1.90
Bet may have lost but atleast i can proudly to announce that Hungary is shit. They scored 3 against us but still didn't win.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Thu Oct 18, 2018 2:19 pm

Today in Esiliiga:

Levadia II - Kalju II

18:00 CET

Under 4 goals @2


Levadia hosts Kalju in the Esiliiga on thursday. Levadia youngsters who are currently third in the league have lost just 1 of the last 5 matches as they've won 2 in a row. Levadia youngsters have scored 2+ goals in each of the last 4 games but they conceded in those matches aswell ... At the same time Kalju youngsters who are still rockbottom in the league have won just 1 of the last 5 games as they've lost 2 games in a row to nil. Although are winless in 3 matches then their defense was quite decent during that time because in these 3 games they didn't conceded more than one goal per game. With under 4 you have to hope that for once teams don't score that much like they have done usually and/or in previous games so let's see. So far this season teams have met 3 times with both sides winning once. Also these h2h games saw 2, 2 and 3 goals in it. So i hope that both teams will make sure that we'll have another lowscoring match in wet conditions.

Also if anyone'd be intrested to watch how this bet works out(or fails miserably) then you can do it here(with estonian commentary):
https://m.soccernet.ee/artikkel/tana-ot ... d-lahingus

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Fri Oct 19, 2018 1:55 pm

I guess it seems that under 4 we have similar situation where in one week this works nicely and in the following week miserably and then repeats that way probably until the last week of the season :Wonder:



On sunday in Meistriliiga:

Kalju - Tammeka

14:00 CET

Kalju -2 AH @1.81

Kalju is still unbeaten in the league but they've drawn last 2 games so it's about time for them to start winning unless they want to make title challenge way more intresting. They've also won 13 of the 15 home leaguegames so far this season and in 9 of them they won by 2+ goals. Tammeka meanwhile have won just 6 of the 17 awaygames with losing 9 incl most recent 4. Although they've lost nearly half awaygames then in just 4 they lost by 2 or more goals so they can defend obviously. I'd say that this season Kalju have struggled against Tammeka even more than against direct titlerivals because all 3 h2h games basically stayed under 2 goals and in each of these games Kalju scored their only goal between 75-90+ min so they probably find it difficult to break down Tammeka' organized defense once more.

Considering under 3.5 goals is below 1.70 i might easily regret not taking unders if for the 4th time this season these teams go to half time with goalless draw ... So let's see about that but i still believe in Kalju for once getting that (very) early goal which might help them to get comfortable win(by 2+ goals) for the first(and last) time this season against Tammeka.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Sun Oct 21, 2018 3:16 pm



On sunday in Meistriliiga:

Kalju - Tammeka

14:00 CET

Kalju -2 AH @1.81
2:2 :lose:
But whatever let's move on the next game.

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Tue Oct 30, 2018 12:59 pm

LIVEBET

Estonia U17 - Georgia U17

Georgia DnB @2.18

Our team may have gone to the half-time with a 1:0 lead but i use that kind of bet to test how "good" our national teams really are. So hopefully Estonia sucks :Smile:

Also second half starts in like few minutes or so ...

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Tue Oct 30, 2018 2:52 pm

LIVEBET

Estonia U17 - Georgia U17

Georgia DnB @2.18

Our team may have gone to the half-time with a 1:0 lead but i use that kind of bet to test how "good" our national teams really are. So hopefully Estonia sucks :Smile:
Goalless second half makes sure that Georgia youngsters suck but i'm still sure that betting against Estonia etc in any sport will be profitbale in long term. If not earlier then about 2 weeks time i have another chance or 2 to make exactly just that :)

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Re: Estonian Football Corner

Postby risto123 » Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:14 pm

On thursday in Nations League:

Hungary - Estonia

Hungary -1 AH @1.70
Estonia under 0.5 goals @1.75


Both teams have been quite bad so far in this calendar year as they both have won just 1 of the last 8 matches in 2018 with Hungary losing other 5 and Estonia 6 games ... Since we last met in Hungary back in 2014 wc qualifiers Hungary have played 13 official homegames from which they won 8 and lost 3. During that time they kept just 6 clean sheets while scoring in 10 matches while we have played 12 awaygames and (no surprise there!) in 10 of them failed to score as we won 1 and lost 8 of these 12 awaygames. Still during these 12 awaygames we managed to keep 3 clean sheets which came against these strong teams such as San Marino, Greece and Cyprus as all these matches ended goalless.

As player to score odds came out today then i watched which hungarians have value to score again against us ... From that list first 3 players scored in their previous game vs Estonia while last player scored winning goal in Hungary's previous homegame so perhaps atleast someone from thag list can find the net this time aswell (or even all of them)

Szalai @2.10
Dzsudzsak @2.75
D. Nagy @4
Kleinheisler @5


So let's see whether Estonia continues to suck or is it Hungary who is still **** if they can't beat us yet again.

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