Football Discussion & Selections - Mon 13th Feb 2017

[garlicsauce]

Discussion & Selections on Mondays games (non Premier) including.........................................................

Please see Premier League thread here - viewtopic.php?f=59&t=62187


Italy Serie A - Lazio v Milan -ko 19.45

Spain Primera - Eibar v Granada - ko 19.45

Australia A League - Newcastle Jets v Melbourne Victory - ko 08.50



Plenty more games on today. What will you be watching and betting on?
Please try and give a short explanation so that your bets and opinions can help others.

[meldettori]

AC Milan was/is looking like a side that's not sure of itself and midfield is where they could end up. The win at Bologna was fortunate. They have a disciplinary problem, 2 players yellow-red carded in that match, and in total some 4 players (includes the cup a few matches back) have been sent off. I'd be looking at Parolo, midfielder, though as a first goalscorer wouldn't rule him out: he played for Parma and scored 1 goal against Milan, and played for Lazio one-two seasons ago and scored against Milan. The unders and overs in this match: depends how will Milan fare without a defender and a midfielder again, yet usually Milan score less or involved in less goals matches than Lazio. Lazio do have the 3rd best defense, only 10 goals conceded at home, so the unders, which seem to be at better value odds might be something to consider. Now, Deulofeu: he's a brilliant young talent for Milan, I picked him as goalscorer last week against Bologna, but he provided the assist to the winning goal.

[mazeymay]

Has anyone else had a look at the Turkish Super Lig game tonight, if so I
would be interested in what your thoughts are
Gazientepspor 13/10 v Adanaspor 9/4
Gazientepspor are on a terrible run of nine straight league losses, four at
home and five on the road. They have played against some of the top sides
during this run but have also lost to sides in the bottom half of the table
as well. They are firmly routed to the bottom and already nine points from
safety. They managed to gain eleven points from their first nine games but
have totally collapsed since then.
Adanaspor have found some fine form, they have gained eleven points from
their last five games, three wins and two draws. A complete turnaround as
they only gained one win and three draws from their first fourteen matches
They have taken a point off both Basaksehir and Fenerbahce who are 2nd
and 4th and beaten sides who are currently in 8th, 11th and 17th. Maybe
a member who follows this league closely will know a bit more than just
the recent results and could shed some light on the game

[mathsbet]

I agree that the price looks tempting, perhaps it is inflated by the fact that Adanaspor are missing a couple of players: midfielder Foguinho is suspended after picking up a yellow in the last game, and key defender Renan Diniz is injured (although he also missed the last game, which they won without him). With their young goalkeeper Goran Karacic out injured, the 34 year old Cameroonian keeper Charles Itandje will play in goal. He kept a clean sheet in the last two games, and was man of the match in the 2-2 draw with Fenerbache. Interestingly, he moved to Adanaspor from Gaziantepspor just a couple of weeks ago, which may provide some extra motivation to keep a clean sheet against his former club.

I think there is good value on the away win here regardless of the absences, although I might be more inclined towards the draw no bet or double chance markets.