Football Discussion & Selections - Tues 7th Feb 2017

garlicsauce
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Football Discussion & Selections - Tues 7th Feb 2017

Postby garlicsauce » Sun Feb 05, 2017 9:20 pm

Discussion & Selections on all Tuesdays games (including)...........................................................


Championship - Wigan v Norwich - ko 19.45

Italy Serie A - Roma v Fiorentina - ko 19.45

France Ligue 1 - PSG V lille - ko 20.00

League One - MK Dons v Oldham - ko 19.45



Plenty more games on today. What will you be watching and betting on?
Please try and give a short explanation so that your bets and opinions can help others.

bigmoose
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Re: Football Discussion & Selections - Tues 7th Feb 2017

Postby bigmoose » Tue Feb 07, 2017 6:11 pm

Leyton Orient vs Morecambe (League 2)

I'm betting on lower midtable Morecambe getting something out of this game. I'm keeping it small as i'm personally not on a great run of picking winners and any outcome relying on a lower League2 side winning away is never entirely great. But Leyton Orient are a complete car crash. After Andy Edwards resigning last week the O's are on their 4th manager this season. Then taking into account their plummet down the table and a home WDL record of 3-1-11 this season and losing all their last 5 league games (2 home, 3 away) then I can't see Orient winning. Orient had a little revival in December winning 2 and drawing one of 3 home matches, although they continued losing away. But other than that period they've actually lost every single home game bar one (3-0 home to Stevenage back in Aug16). So how Orient are 2.40 the win i've no idea.

Morecambe are a slightly better away than home team, winning 5 on the road this season. Also of note 4 of these wins have been against bottom half teams, Morecombe are 4-0-2 away to bottom half teams. More importantly they've just drawn their last 2 away at league leaders Doncaster and 2nd placed Plymouth. Morecombe away win @ 3.00 (B365) looks great, or to minimise risk the DNB (AH+0) is 2.20. Also of note Morecambe's 5 away wins all have been by a 1 goal margin, and somehow Orient for a team that have lost 11 at home have lost 8 of these by just a 1 goal margin. Morecombe win by 1 goal margin is 4.50 (various)
Steve

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