Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

simoncoolhand
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Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:00 pm

As the heading says, anyone got any season long bets that are looking good to make the big money at the midway stage?

I got into a habit during the summer of putting on small accumulators when I was having a good day on the horses, my bet of choice was the top scorer markets, putting 5, 6 or 7 into an accumulator, picking in each of the Premier, Championship, League 1, League 2, Conference, Scotland, sometimes Germany, sometimes Champions League and sometimes Australia.

In total, I've got about 40 of these bets and a lot of them are already down, or at least need a miracle to come in.

But I've got a few that are looking pretty good at the moment, but I can't wait for January to be over, transfer season can see those bets smashed to bits.

Back in late August, you could get 20-1 on Tammy Abraham, 14-1 on Glenn Murray both for the Championship, 16-1 on Billy Sharpe and 25-1 on James Vaughan, both for League 1. At the same time, John Akinde was 10-1, maybe bigger for League 2 and best of all, Ricky Miller was 20-1 for the Conference. The Premier League prices were never really that big, Costa was 10-1, I don't know if he went higher, Ibrahimovic was 7-1, but if you've got the right combination of players at the right prices, the second half of the season can be very interesting.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Thu Jan 19, 2017 7:16 pm

Two bets that could be good at the moment, but could be ruined by transfer or injury are...

Diego Costa 11/2, Tammy Abraham 5/1, James Vaughan 12/1, John Akinde 6/1, Ricky Miller 4/1 and Scott Sinclair 13/2. I've done the E/W 6 fold at 133,086.5/1 for the win part and 279.54/1 for each to place and E/W 5 folds with this one. Costa's recent behavior, Vaughan's been linked to Birmingham and Chelsea could recall Abraham at any time, but they are all in there pitching at the moment. Also did those six, with Bruno Fornaroli in the Australian League at 9/2 in a 7 fold, win odds 760,133.37/1 and place odds of 627.76/1

Zlatan Ibrahaimovic 7/2, Tammy Abraham 7/1, Billy Sharpe 10/1, John Akinde 8/1, Ricky Miller 12/1 and Leigh Griffiths 11/4. E/W 6 fold only on these, but again, the win portion is priced at 173,744/1 and the place part is 364.44/1

Also did Harry Kane 12/1, Tammy Abraham 14/1, James Vaughan 12/1, John Akinde 9/1, Richard Brodie (Why didn't I put Miller here :? ) 12/1, Leigh Griffiths 9/4 and Pierre Emerick Aubameyang 7/2. That bet would be looking very nice with Ricky Miller in there, but I've got the 7 fold and the 6 folds covered, the 6 fold without Brodie is priced at 370,742.75/1 and 620.56/1 to place.

Like I said, I've got over 40 of these bets, so watching the transfers at the moment with interest.
Last edited by simoncoolhand on Fri Jan 20, 2017 12:48 am, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Thu Jan 19, 2017 9:18 pm

I had a really good week on the horses the week before Christmas, 50-1 in running on Back To The Thatch at Bangor was the highlight. But had a couple of small bets out of the winnings on...

Zlatan Ibrahimovic @ 6/1, James Vaughan @ 16/1, Charlie Wyke @ 16/1, Leigh Griffiths @ 4/1 and Bruno Fornaroli @ 9/2.....

Did it more for the placed portion than thinking Vaughan or Wyke, who were both about 7 goals behind at the time, would come through to win and by this time, the placed markets were down to 3 places. But still, the 5 fold was 55,631.5/1 and the place portion was 264.62/1. Also did the 4 folds Each Way. Plugged Glenn Murray @ 5/1 in although the Championship was now win only and had a small stake on the 6 fold Each Way which was priced at 333,794/1 and 1,592/1 although it needs Murray to finish at top scorer to pay the placed portion.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Fri Jan 20, 2017 1:26 am

At the moment, the top goal scorers in each of those divisions is.....

Premier League - Costa 15, Sanchez 15, Ibrahimovic 14, Kane 13, Defoe 12, Lukaku 12, Aguero 11, Ali 11, Hazard 9, Mane 9.
Championship - Gayle 20, Wood 17, Abraham 16, Murray 15, Hogan 14, Winnall 11, Graham 11, Knockaert 10, Ince 10, six players on 9.
League 1 - Sharpe 18, Morris 18, Vaughan 17,Taylor 16, Ball 11, Gregory 11, Oztumer 10, six player on 9.
League 2 - Akinde 19, Bogle 19, Marquis 16, Wyke 14, Collins 13, Hylton 11, Godden 11, 5 players on 10.
Conference - Miller 27, Harrison 18, Hawkins 17, Doidge 15, Cook 12, Alabi 12, 6 players on 11, 7 players on 10.
Scotland - Sinclair 13, Boyce 13, Dembele 9, Moult 9, Walker 9, Griffiths 8, Coulibally 8, Armstrong 8, Paterson 8, McGinn 8, 2 players on 7.
Germany - Aubameyange 16, Modeste 14, Lewandoski 14, Werner 11, Wagner 10.
Australia - Berisha 13, Fornaroli 12, Rojas 10, Brosque 9, Krishna 9, three players on 8.
Last edited by simoncoolhand on Wed Feb 01, 2017 12:56 am, edited 6 times in total.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Fri Jan 20, 2017 1:49 am

Another one I did was Sergio Aguero (11/8), Dwight Gayle (11/4), Josh Morris (11/4), John Akinde (6/1), Ricky Miller (7/2), Moussa Dembele (11/4), P.E. Aubameyange (5/2), Bruno Fornaroli (9/2), this acca came to 75,943.91/1 and the place section came to a mere 116.92/1 .

Ched Evans is letting me down on what would otherwise be a very nice bet.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic (7/1), Glenn Murray (14/1), Ched Evans (14/1), John Akinde (10/1), Ricky Miller (20/1) and Leigh Griffiths (11/4). That 6 fold was priced at 1,559,249/1 and the place part was priced at 1,972.42/1, a big pity I didn't cover the 5 folds on this one at the prices. I've got quite a few like that with one guy letting me down.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby nors » Fri Jan 20, 2017 8:50 am

With these acca bets, if you can get into a winning position then you can Lay individual players in those markets and be guaranteed a profit, such are the huge returns, then you are guaranteed not to lose, do you conside that or let them run.

I had a recent horse e/w acca where the last leg had it won would have paid me around 1 K, i was guaranteed around 600, so i just laid the last horse (it was fav) so that i made a bit more than the 600, but cut down the 1K. The horse lost.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby gary1888 » Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:14 am

start of the season i put this 4 fold -

Chelsea outright 10/1
newcastle outright 10/11
scunthorpe outright 5/2
plymouth outright 4/1

Mod edit: As per forum rules no discussion of money thanks. Please consider using points staked / accumulative odds instead.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Fri Jan 20, 2017 2:01 pm

With these acca bets, if you can get into a winning position then you can Lay individual players in those markets and be guaranteed a profit, such are the huge returns, then you are guaranteed not to lose, do you conside that or let them run.

I had a recent horse e/w acca where the last leg had it won would have paid me around 1 K, i was guaranteed around 600, so i just laid the last horse (it was fav) so that i made a bit more than the 600, but cut down the 1K. The horse lost.
That is a decent thought Nors, I hadn't considered laying them, I've been a layer in the past, but don't get involved in it much at the moment. Problem I'd see with it would be I'd need to put up a fair few hundred pounds to Lay a few of these enough to make a reasonable amount of money back. With the top goal scorer markets, even someone like Ricky Miller who's well clear at the top of the Conference charts at the moment is only one bad tackle away from being finished for the season. So I could Lay a few of these, they could all win and the others could let me down for my return on these bets.

I'm no expert on laying, used to Lay favourites in races when I thought there was value in doing so, but the point I was trying to make above was I could Lay Miller, Akinde, Sharpe and maybe even Costa and Akinde.....even Aubamayange, but if Abraham and Vaughan get injured or their form drops off and I'm guaranteed nothing back on any of the bets. Miller, Akinde, Sharpe, Aubamayange and even Costa could all win and I'd lose the money I'd laid.

In total, my 40+ bets have probably ran me to just under £100, so I'm not into this very deep at the moment and my initial reason to do it was that I thought I stood more chance of winning on one of these bets than I did on the EuroMillions or Lotto, lol. So the £8 a week I'd be paying on the lottery is better off spent on some exotic accumulator.

I take my gambling seriously and look to make money on it, but I don't count this under the same umbrella as the rest of my gambling (I know that's not a good way of working), these are throw away bets for a bit of fun. If I don't fancy a bet on the football on a Saturday, I can still watch Soccer Saturday and have an interest in who's scoring the goals. Watching the transfers that are going on at the moment and hoping that Hogan leaves Brentford, less likely, but I wouldn't mind Wood leaving Leeds for the Premier League and if Leeds then wanted to buy Omar Bogle, all would be good :P

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby Brownie3 » Fri Jan 20, 2017 2:19 pm

I've got an E/W Treble, Newcastle @ 5/2, Sheff Utd @ 7/1 and Portsmouth @ 5/1!

Bloody Portsmouth!

Thing is, Ive backed Doncaster E/W at 9's and for Promotion only at 9/4 & 13/8...............never thought to include them in the treble!

Always next season

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Fri Jan 20, 2017 2:27 pm

start of the season i put this 4 fold -

Chelsea outright 10/1
newcastle outright 10/11
scunthorpe outright 5/2
plymouth outright 4/1

Mod edit: As per forum rules no discussion of money thanks. Please consider using points staked / accumulative odds instead.
Straight win, or Each Way. Going to be interesting as I don't see any of these dropping off the pace. Best of luck with it.

I did a couple of BIG accumulators on league winners, only to small stakes. They aren't looking too good at the moment. All these are Each Way.

Man City (10/11), Newcastle (11/10), Bradford (3/1), Plymouth (7/2), Forest Green (11/8), AFC Fylde (5/4), Maidenhead Utd (15/8), Hibs (1/2), Livingstone (6/4), Forfar (10/11), Napoli (Without Juventus) (10/11), Zenit St Petersburg (11/10) is priced at 31,819.43/1 and 41.45/1 to place.

Man City (10/11), Newcastle (11/10), Bradford (3/1), Plymouth (7/2), Forest Green (11/8), AFC Fylde (5/4), Maidenhead Utd (15/8), Hibs (1/2), Livingstone (6/4), Forfar (10/11), Napoli (Without Juventus) (10/11), Zenit St Petersburg (11/10), Feyenoord (13/8), Sturm Graz (11/4), the last two of those are win only markets, but did the Each Way Acca and the win part is 313,231.45/1 and it's 416.9/1 to place, but as I said, Feyenoord and Sturm Graz are win only markets.

A fair bit before I put those two on, I did Man City (7/5), Newcastle (13/8), Bolton (11/2), Luton (9/2), Tranmere (9/4), AFC Fylde (9/4) and Maidenhead Utd (3/1), the acca paying 9,514.75/1 and it's 37.81/1 to place.

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Fri Jan 20, 2017 10:29 pm

I don't know whether to be happy or not with James Vaughan's recent scoring exploits. 6 Goals in his last two games has moved him to within 1 goal of Sharpe and Morris at the top of League 1's scoring charts. But it's also going to be alerting Championship clubs to his scoring ability and although he only left Birmingham in the summer, someone like them could easily come in with a £500,000 transfer offer and could Bury resist that?

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Re: Does anyone have any season long accumulators at big prices that are looking good at this point?

Postby simoncoolhand » Sat Jan 28, 2017 10:20 pm

Not a bad day for some of my bets.

Diego Costa and Tammy Abraham aren't in league action this week and Scott Sinclair will hopefully be in the team for Celtic tomorrow, but James Vaughan, John Akinde and Ricky Miller all added to their totals today on my first mentioned bet.

Again, on the bet I placed Christmas week, Ibrahimovic wasn't in league action, but Vaughan is in that bet too, Charlie Wyke bagged the opener against Barnet and Bruno Fornaroli got Melbourne City's only goal in a a defeat Friday.

Three days left on the transfer market and I'm still hoping that Scott Hogan makes the jump to the Premier League and Omar Bogle makes the leap to the Championship. If someone wants to make a big offer for Chris Wood of Leeds as well, I wouldn't be disappointed if he left.

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