I arrived to this community little bit late, and as there are so small differences between top clubs in Europe, I think that is really tough to find the value. For me, the only valuable bet was Monaco to qualify, but odds dropped from 2,53 to 2,28 on SBO for example. I think that this duel is much closer to 50/50 than odds are showing to us. Plus Monaco is playing 2nd leg at home, which is advantage as well. Big question is if BVB can win the first leg. That might push the odds little bit higher again, but can they? I am really unsure as their defence is poor and Monaco will arrive in the box with 6-7 players, which might be cruel for Germans. But we need to consider also the other fact, which is attackers as Auba, who's pace might cause problems to relatively slow defenders Glik and Jamerson. I believe that Monaco will be positioned little bit deeper as we are used to see them. Specially because of Bakayoko suspension, who is crucial box to box midfielder for this team. They will be stronger on the ball with Moutinho, but Bakayoko were key factor of Monaco tactics against Manchester City.
When it comes to Barcelona.. they are unpredictable as sh... They should be motivated as it's Champions league, but is this "should" enough for them? Individually, this team is still among everyone in my opinion. But it's obvious that things are not as good as they should be, there are problems with manager, with leaderboard, etc. and to bet on Barca against Juventus in Torino.. I don't know. I think that odds are settled perfectly fine.
Everyone is saying, that Atletico Madrid was lucky as they pick Leicester on draw. I am not sure. Just remember the match against PSV. They cause them more problems than Barcelona. Atletico prefers to play when the opponent is having possession of the ball, but Leicester is far from that. We could even say, that Leicester is kind of English Atletico. Of course tactically far from that, we shouldn't underestimate Simeone's Atletico, but in my opinion.. they are not as big favourites as people think. They always have problems when they need to have the ball, ball movement is pretty slow for them, and they might have problems to go through Leicester's defence. I think that everything will depend on first goal. If Atletico will score, then Leicester will take the ball, because otherwise no one will be in possession
and then things might become cruel to Leicester, as Atletico could fill them.. but if Atleti will have problems to score, than this could be a coin flip battle. Both teams strong in aerial duels, both likes to play aggressive,...
And about the last pair.. I think that Bayern is in much better situation right now. Modrić looks out of form, and if Bayern will stop Kroos, they will win midfield duels and they will create more chances. Ronaldo looks totally out of form, having some problems with Hazard situation recently, cannot find his form (years?), Bale came back after long term injury and he looks pretty "out" as well. In my opinion, Real would be more dangerous with Isco, Morata and Vazquez upfront. Sounds stupid, but trio RBB looks pretty quite recently. On the other hand Bayern is flying high, Thiago and Lewa with excellent form, while veterans Robben and Ribery are providing as well. I think that the main question here is if Ramos can save Real again or not.