2018 Oscars

stereoman
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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby stereoman » Tue May 16, 2017 4:19 pm

It's Jimmy...Kinmel. Again.

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby LustForLeith » Sat May 20, 2017 9:10 pm

It's Jimmy...Kinmel. Again.
Quite a decent shout and a safe bet.

Cannes festival on just now, let's see if it produces any Oscar chat

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby LustForLeith » Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:28 pm

The trailer for The Darkest Hour has been released. And Gary Oldman kooks really good in it!

Long way to go but that's a start!

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby stereoman » Fri Jul 14, 2017 11:54 pm

William Hill go a kind of skinny 6/4 which likely makes Gary Oldman their favourite. The make-up job is remarkable and the critics will likely go crazy for him over say, oooh Brian Cox in the recent "Chruchill" film.

Was looking at various bookies and Coral and Ladbrokes have fairly similar ante-post odds on Best Picture with "Dunkirk" the nominal 5/1 favourite. Nary a bad word said about it so far either. I think Christopher Nolan looks good to finally be nominated and even win Best Director but for the film itself!? I dunno.

The last few years have shown there's been a slight disconnect between the directors branch and the rest of AMPAS as to what should win Best Director and Best Picture as they have not been going to the same film. If there's a political or diverse film floating about than they can easily sway away from the nominations leader yet again for Best Picture.

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby LustForLeith » Sat Jul 15, 2017 7:02 am

William Hill go a kind of skinny 6/4 which likely makes Gary Oldman their favourite. The make-up job is remarkable and the critics will likely go crazy for him over say, oooh Brian Cox in the recent "Chruchill" film.

Was looking at various bookies and Coral> and target='_blank' href='http://olbg.info/1/L3/D/words'>Ladbrokes> have fairly similar ante-post odds on Best Picture with "Dunkirk" the nominal 5/1 favourite. Nary a bad word said about it so far either. I think Christopher Nolan looks good to finally be nominated and even win Best Director but for the film itself!? I dunno.

The last few years have shown there's been a slight disconnect between the directors branch and the rest of AMPAS as to what should win Best Director and Best Picture as they have not been going to the same film. If there's a political or diverse film floating about than they can easily sway away from the nominations leader yet again for Best Picture.

Interesting!

I couldn't see odds for Oscar stuff but will have a look later!

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby stereoman » Sun Jul 16, 2017 12:29 am

Ladbrokes's odds on 'Best Picture':

Dunkirk 5/1
The Current War 6/1
Phantom Thread 8/1
The Papers 10/1
Darkest Hour 12/1
Wonderstruck 12/1
Call Me By Your Name 14/1
Get Out 16/1
Mudbound 16/1
Murder on the Orient Express 16/1
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 16/1
Mother! 16/1
The Florida Project 18/1
The Greatest Showman 18/1
The Shape of Water 18/1
Battle of the Sexes 20/1
Suburbicon 20/1
The Mountain Between Us 20/1
Baby Driver 25/1
Blade Runner 2049 25/1
Detroit 25/1
Roman Israel, Esq. 25/1
Annihilation 33/1
Colossal 33/1
Downsizing 33/1
Marshall 33/1
Molly's Game 33/1
The Beguiled 33/1
Beauty & The Beast 50/1
Okja 50/1
The Lost City of Z 50/1
War for the Planet of the Apes 50/1
Logan 66/1
All Eyez On Me 100/1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 100/1
Spider Man: Homecoming 100/1
The Fate of the Furious 100/1
Wonder Woman 100/1

=============

I think the 5/1 on "Dunkirk" may be trimmed into 7/2 or less by next week with the growing avalanche of critical and industry support it has right now. Whatever film wins the Audience Award at Toronto may not necessarily become the immediate frontrunner and could even be thwarted by the 'right on' choice yet again...which I'm not really sure what it could be right now. "Detroit"!?

Am not convinced Daniel-Day Lewis gets a 'farewell' nomination for 'Phantom Thread" but who really knows!?

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Re: 2018 Oscars

Postby LustForLeith » Mon Jul 17, 2017 9:35 pm

target='_blank' href='http://olbg.info/1/L3/D/words'>Ladbrokes's odds on 'Best Picture':

Dunkirk 5/1
The Current War 6/1
Phantom Thread 8/1
The Papers 10/1
Darkest Hour 12/1
Wonderstruck 12/1
Call Me By Your Name 14/1
Get Out 16/1
Mudbound 16/1
Murder on the Orient Express 16/1
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 16/1
Mother! 16/1
The Florida Project 18/1
The Greatest Showman 18/1
The Shape of Water 18/1
Battle of the Sexes 20/1
Suburbicon 20/1
The Mountain Between Us 20/1
Baby Driver 25/1
Blade Runner 2049 25/1
Detroit 25/1
Roman Israel, Esq. 25/1
Annihilation 33/1
Colossal 33/1
Downsizing 33/1
Marshall 33/1
Molly's Game 33/1
The Beguiled 33/1
Beauty & The Beast 50/1
Okja 50/1
The Lost City of Z 50/1
War for the Planet of the Apes 50/1
Logan 66/1
All Eyez On Me 100/1
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 100/1
Spider Man: Homecoming 100/1
The Fate of the Furious 100/1
Wonder Woman 100/1

=============

I think the 5/1 on "Dunkirk" may be trimmed into 7/2 or less by next week with the growing avalanche of critical and industry support it has right now. Whatever film wins the Audience Award at Toronto may not necessarily become the immediate frontrunner and could even be thwarted by the 'right on' choice yet again...which I'm not really sure what it could be right now. "Detroit"!?

Am not convinced Daniel-Day Lewis gets a 'farewell' nomination for 'Phantom Thread" but who really knows!?
Its quite an interesting race is year.

Dunkirk is out maybe too early but may feature. Its a varied year where there's a lot of break out hits. Watch the likes of Baby Driver, Get Out, The Big Sick and Logan causing an upset.

And Wonder Woman!

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