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Man Booker Prize 2016

Posted: Thu Jul 28, 2016 11:17 pm
by stereoman
The longlist of thirteen is out. A difference of opinion between Ladbrokes, Paddy Power and William Hill.


I will be disappointed and a little bit surprised if JM Coetzee and/or AL Kennedy gets in the shortlist of six.

These are your judges this year:


Amanda Foreman is this year's chairman and these are her initial thoughts... ... passionate

Without even thinking, my gut reaction as to the winner is that I have no handle on which female author will win it this year but I confidently predict a woman will win it.

The shortlist of six will be announced on Tuesday 13th September. The winner will be announced on Tuesday 25th October 2016.

I hate having the Americans on board as it kind of messes up the prize. It was always a Great Britain and Commonwealth award...the Americans have plenty of 'international worthy' book prizes but we don't.

Do watch out for what the very last minute word is and what the head of Waterstones might be tipping up on 'Front Row' as if he didn't already know who the winner was.

Oh...and a "Hello, Mr Smith! Good luck, this year!" from me.

Posted: Tue Aug 30, 2016 4:01 pm
by jamesscottboyd
I hope you continue to update these fascinating lists. Thanks.

Posted: Mon Sep 12, 2016 2:27 am
by stereoman
Not much action in the run=up to the longlist being trimmed into a shortlist of six on Tuesday.

Ladbrokes go:

Deborah Levy - Hot Milk 5/1
Ian McGuire - The North Water 6/1
Paul Beatty - The Sellout 6/1
Elizabeth Strout - My Name Is Lucy Barton 6/1
J.M. Coetzee - The Schooldays of Jesus 6/1
Graeme Macrae Burnet - His Bloody Project 8/1
David Szalay - All That Man Is 10/1
A.L. Kennedy - Serious Sweet 10/1
Madeleine Thien - Do Not Say We Have Nothing 12/1
Wyl Menmuir - The Many 12/1
Ottessa Moshfegh - Eileen 12/1
David Means - Hystopia 16/1
Virginia Reeves - Work Like Any Other 16/1

William Hill go:

Deborah Levy (Hot Milk) 5/1
Ian McGuire (The North Water) 5/1
Elizabeth Strout (My Name Is Lucy Barton) 11/2
J.M. Coetzee (The Schooldays of Jesus) 6/1
A.L. Kennedy (Serious Sweet) 7/1
David Szalay (All That Man Is) 8/1
Graeme Macrae Burnet (His Bloody Project) 10/1
Virginia Reeves (Work Like Any Other) 10/1
David Means (Hystopia) 12/1
Madeleine Thien (Do Not Say We Have Nothing) 12/1
Wyl Menmuir (The Many) 14/1
Ottessa Moshfegh (Eileen) 16/1

Curiously no odds on Paul Beatty's 'The Sellout'.

Betfair go a bit messy as it seems like the work experience kid typed it up:

Deborah Levy-Hot Milk 7/2
Paul Beatty-The Sellout 7/1
E.Strout-My NameIs Lucy Barton 6/1
AL Kennedy-Serious Sweet 7/1
JM Coetzee-Schooldays of Jesus 6/1
Ian McGuire-The North Water 12/1 (fairly huge even if it doesn't win!)
G.M. Burnet-His Bloody Project 8/1
Ottessa Moshfeg-Eileen 16/1
Wyl Menmuir-The Many 14/1
V. Reeves-Work Like Any Other 12/1
David Means-Hystopia 18/1
David Szalay-All That Man Is 16/1
M.Thien-DoNot Say We Have Not' 12/1

I think those are the only three still offering odds right now. Boringly I think the final six will be these...

* 'His Bloody Project' - Greame Macrae Burnet
* 'Hot Milk' - Deborah Levy
* 'My Name Is Lucy Barton' - Elizabeth Strout
* 'The North Water' - Ian McGuire
* 'The Sellout' - Paul Beatty
* 'The Schooldays of Jesus' - J.M. Coetzee

I think Deborah Levy and Elizabeth Strout are very uneasy frontrunners though. A.L. Kennedy could easily be in there but I think Ladbrokes have got it right.

Posted: Tue Sep 13, 2016 12:19 pm
by stereoman
The actual six are...

Paul Beatty - The Sellout
Deborah Levy - Hot Milk
Graeme Macrae Burnet - His Bloody Project
Ottessa Moshfegh - Eileen
David Szalay - All That Man Is
Madeleine Thien - Do Not Say We Have Nothing

Betfair go: Levy 9/4, Beatty 3/1, Szalay 7/2, Burnet 5/1, Thien 11/2 and Moshfeg 8/1.

Minorly surprising that they didn't go for either Coetzee or Kennedy so I should be pleased. Levy is an uneasy favourite.

Posted: Fri Sep 16, 2016 11:45 am
by stereoman
The early positive mover is Graeme Macrae Burnet's 'His Bloody Project' and it's generally 5/2 the field which makes it a superficially competitive contest.

Off the top of my head, and without cheating, I can't remember there being a Scottish author winning in the last ten years so there may be a 'due factor' about this.

On an absolutely selfish level, I don't want to see David Szalay or Madeleine Thien winning...Marlon James kind of broke my heart last year. Any particular reason? Ones that I'm keeping to myself but not betting related, thank you very much for asking.

Posted: Sun Sep 18, 2016 2:33 pm
by jamesscottboyd
I'm thinking it's between Levy and Thien, and I'm rooting for Thien. I'm curious as to why you don't want her to win. Also, who would you have chosen last year?

Posted: Mon Oct 03, 2016 1:31 pm
by stereoman
Huh. Martin Kelner on TalkSport is going for Madeliene Thien...purely as it was tipped up by a mate of his.

Also...Martin, it's under 'Current Affairs' not 'Novelty' over at Paddy Power.

Posted: Fri Oct 07, 2016 10:23 pm
by stereoman
In related news of a sort, David Szalay won the Gordon Burn award. ... b-gdnbooks

Never heard of the award before. The Man Booker Prize usually loves being a kingmaker in being the first to reward something rather than just following suit.

Re: Man Booker Prize 2016

Posted: Wed Oct 26, 2016 3:02 pm
by stereoman
Got it horrendously wrong. Paul Beatty won. The Man Booker Prize seems to follow the Mercury Prize. PJ Harvey becomes the first double winner then Hilary Mantel does. Mercury Prize goes for two black male winners in a row, Man Booker tries and up them one by going for a Jamaican and an American ~ who subsequently was also the first ever US winner as well.*

Suspect the result was known well in advance even though Paul Beatty was 6/1 fourth favourite when Ladbrokes shut up shop at 12pm yesterday. Madeleine Thien was 2/1, Gordon Macrae Burnet was 3/1, Deborah Levy was 4/1, David Szalay 8/1 and Ottessa Moshfegh 10/1.

No idea what the head of Waterstones was tipping on BBC Radio Four's 'Front Row' this year.

* Antony Hegarty before he became Anohni was argued to be American...or the rest of the band were or something like that.