The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

nellberg1
Classic Winner
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 808
Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2015 12:00 am

The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby nellberg1 » Wed Oct 18, 2017 8:19 am

The Ashes starts in a month from now, so I've done a blog previewing the series.

A tour down under is always a great test of character for an English cricketer, let's hope they raise their game and it's a competitive series.

< https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=413096 >

TeddyT
Classic Winner
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 931
Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2006 12:00 am
Location: Sheffield
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby TeddyT » Mon Nov 20, 2017 4:53 pm

Just a reminder to everyone that The Ashes starts on Thursday and we have all these markets available to tip on:

Series Tips:
Team to win series
Series Score
Top Series Batsman
Top Series Bowler
Top Series Team Batsman (England)
Top Series Team Batsman (Austraila)
Top Series Team Bowler (England)
Top Series Team Bowler (Australia)

1st Test tips:
Team to win Match
Team to win Match (Draw No Bet)
Man of the Match


The series betting looks like this:
Australia 4/7
England 10/3
Draw 17/2

1st Test betting:
Australia 5/6
England 3/1
Draw 4/1

Let us know where you think the value lies.
OLBG Tipster Competition Manager

TeddyT
Classic Winner
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 931
Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2006 12:00 am
Location: Sheffield
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby TeddyT » Wed Nov 22, 2017 3:39 pm

Come on guys, there must be somebody out there who has a talking point on The Ashes?

How about this? Will the pressure of leading England in The Ashes have a positive or negative effect on Joe Root's personal form?
OLBG Tipster Competition Manager

Robmull
Triple Crown Winner
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 2235
Joined: Mon Apr 21, 2014 11:00 pm

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby Robmull » Wed Nov 22, 2017 5:19 pm

I am by no means an expert on cricket, but here are my thoughts for what worth.

Joe Root appears to have a strong character and I suspect that his personal performance with the bat will be fine, provided the rest of the England team perform well.

However, I suspect that the top order of the English batting is likely to struggle, placing extreme pressure on the captain, which will lead to him not playing to the best of his ability and perhaps making a few poor decisions as captain.

I have therefore opposed him in the England top series run scorer market as his odds are too short in my opinion and have placed a small wager on Jonny Bairstow, who I believe will relish the challenge and have plenty of opportunities at the crease at No.6.

Would be great to read the opinions of some of the cricketing experts.

danbradley
At Stud
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 2617
Joined: Sat Sep 28, 2013 11:00 pm
Location: Southampton
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby danbradley » Wed Nov 22, 2017 6:33 pm

Interestingly, perhaps against public perception, England captains who are batsmen have tended to do well in Ashes series as far as I can remember. In particular Alistair Cook with his amazing performances in Australia in our win over there in 2010/11.

I'm more convinced to go with Alistair Cook rather than Root if looking for a player to top score for England considering his experiences out in Oz have been strong over the years, and with Root struggling in the last series (although he is a completely different player now).

I agree with Rob, England top order looks extremely suspect, and any of those near the bottom of the order could be a good outside bet, rumours today of Moeen moving up to number 6 ahead of Bairstow so he could be another to have a chance at big odds.

Looks like both teams are really weak with the bat but quite strong with the ball so personally I'd stay away from the draw in most games and if backing a correct score I'd lean more towards one of the scores with 5 outcomes (i.e. 5-0, 4-1, 3-2). If I were to pick a scoreline it would be 3-2 England (16/1), but 5-0 Australia can't be ruled out looking at previous Ashes down under (8/1).

New Blog: Saints vs Arsenal Preview
Follow me on Twitter: @DanBradleyTips

bigmoose
Triple Crown Winner
Tips
Posts: 1506
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2007 12:00 am
Location: Portsmouth

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby bigmoose » Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:23 pm

Come on guys, there must be somebody out there who has a talking point on The Ashes?

How about this? Will the pressure of leading England in The Ashes have a positive or negative effect on Joe Root's personal form?
If we knew that we'd all be rich. Such a crucial factor to how England go in The Ashes, yet there's something about a batsman who's almost metronomic in his scoring of a ridiculous number of 40s - 80s in Test after Test (and averages 60 through 2017) that makes me certain Root's scores will revert to a "normal" cricketer, i.e. lots of low scores and quite a few significant scores. I'm fearing more lower scores as his recent average "regresses to the mean" and back to his career average of 53

For that reason i thought Bairstow a great shout for Top English bat, until it became a huge possibility he bats 7 instead of sensibly moving him up to 6. He's a proper bat and should go better in conditions with less sideways movement and quicker tracks with no unorthodox spinners to face. Especially with this modern obsession of finding a "Gilchrist" to bat 7, i.e. someone who can come in and change the game with a run a ball half century or more. That role is made for Mo because he's both inconsistent, a risk taker, and has that canny knack at times of either completely missing an attempted drive or absolutely creaming it to the boundary and rarely never nicking off behind. If only England's top order, Vince especially, could get that knack!

On an overall level I can't see England winning the series. Two poor batting line-ups but only one pacy destructive attack with home advantage. At least we should have enough runs from numbers 6-9 to avoid any chance of a 5-0, because rather bizarrely this is where we got hammered last time in Oz. If i remember correctly the difference in scores for the first 5 wickets were negligible, but our last 5 wickets got blown away for next to nothing by Johnson whilst the Aussie last 5 scored for fun, Haddin went nuts scoring close to 500 runs often joined by Johnson and one or more other tail-ender.
Steve

fairfranco
Stallion
Tips
Posts: 8926
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2005 12:00 am

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby fairfranco » Wed Nov 22, 2017 10:53 pm

I know it's a while since I've been on here but i popped on for a quick look and was disappointed to see how little interest there is here in the cricket at the moment, especially for the Ashes!

Unfortunately I've not had the time these days to spend on write ups and stats but I still follow as much i can when in an extremely busy job!

First test
It's hard to back England at the Gabba, a ground that Australia are pretty much unbeatable at and last lost in 1988 to the great West Indies side of the time. When England won the Ashes last in Australia a Cook double century helped salvage a draw a result England would be delighted with now.

I've generally found that England typically struggle first test if most series especially with the bat. Tge Gabba generally sees pretty high scores first up so if they are to get something they must score well first up.

The key battle for the whole series will be how Englands batsman cope with the Australian seamers. There may not be the same fear as when they faced Johnson in his pomp last time they visited but there is enough pace and quality in Hazelwood, cummins and starc to trouble the England line up. In stoneman, vince and malan Australia will have 3 fresh faces to target and they will need to settle in fast especially without Stokes in the side. Ali and Bairstow are the best 6 and 7 your likely to see but I do feel they could be left stranded a few times.

Australias batting is good but by no means unbeatable and niggles to both warner and marsh are cause for concern especially warner who really leads the innings from the front. Maxwell is on stand by but isn't the t20 specialist wouldn't be as reliable as the other 2 even after his century in India.

Im not convinced by Englands bowling and feel they lack a real paceman. Fans were screaming out for plunkett but everyone and his dog seemed to be ahead of him. Whether they can produce enough on Australian pitches to go through the Aussie line up will be the worry.

Im not too sure on what to expect score wise.

Stoneman over 300 series runs(Ladbrokes) @ 1.85

Though he didn't have the best summer for England his warm up matches have seen him in excellent form. This looks well worth backing to me

Over 400 runs first innings (first test) @ 2.2

Better value if it's Australia but on this high scoring ground i fancy it either way.

Good luck all!

danbradley
At Stud
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 2617
Joined: Sat Sep 28, 2013 11:00 pm
Location: Southampton
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby danbradley » Wed Nov 22, 2017 11:21 pm

I know it's a while since I've been on here but i popped on for a quick look and was disappointed to see how little interest there is here in the cricket at the moment, especially for the Ashes!
Good to see you back mate :win:

New Blog: Saints vs Arsenal Preview
Follow me on Twitter: @DanBradleyTips

PompeyJim
Classic Winner
User avatar
Betting Blog Tips
Posts: 767
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 12:00 am

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby PompeyJim » Thu Nov 23, 2017 12:39 pm

Decent first day for England ?

Vince and Stoneman seemed very comfortable at the crease particularly with the added pressure of losing Cook so early on.

What will be a decent first innings score guys and how do you see it panning out on day two ?
OLBG Tipster Competition Assistant

fairfranco
Stallion
Tips
Posts: 8926
Joined: Thu Nov 17, 2005 12:00 am

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby fairfranco » Thu Nov 23, 2017 7:53 pm

I'd say a decent day for England but they have a lot to do still and a new ball to face. I think around 400 would be decent and they're still a long way off. After these 2 and bairstow they're into a slightly weaker than usual tail with only woakes really worthy of note.

The pitch has been surprisingly slow and has provided decent turn for Nathan Lyon who bowled well. England will have been pleased with the pitch and it was good to see the inexperienced players doing so well. Vince batted brilliantly, stoneman dug in well after the early wicket of cook and Malan is looking decent too.

Tough to call as tomorrow is a whole new day and a couple of quick wickets could change the complexion but I'm still confident of my 400 back and that would set England up well for at least a draw

jaydubs
Stallion
Tips
Posts: 5634
Joined: Sun Mar 09, 2008 12:00 am
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby jaydubs » Thu Nov 23, 2017 8:54 pm

First hour is critical on the 2nd day...add some runs and don't lose wickets 350 + could be on the board... pitch looks slow but with the spin Lyon has got you would expect 150-200 in the 4th innings on a pitch that is more than likely to offer quite a bit of turn will be difficult...thst said the game may not develop quick enough for that to happen ...

gecko6
Legend
Tips
Posts: 12267
Joined: Thu Oct 19, 2006 11:00 pm
Location: Adelaide
Contact:

Re: The Ashes - Australia vs England - 2017/18

Postby gecko6 » Sat Nov 25, 2017 12:07 pm

spot on jaydubs - that start on day 2 was good for 'us' aussies :D

kept england to a reasonable total, and then after stuttering, we got going with marsh hanging around long enough to accompany the wonderful smith, and then cummins contributing really well

smith carrying this batting line-up yet again is the worry though

both teams look ok without being great, plenty of potential but not enough consistent ability to really control a game - reckon this will be a really topsy turvy series (not much between either 3-2 or 4-1..fine margins and all that)

confidence will help either and the aussies look perkier right now, hazelwood started the 2nd bowl well and with some zip, and starc smacking one into root's helmet will have fired them up a bit more

we still need to keep the pressure on as some late runs from england's 2nd dig could yet set up a tricky chase on day 5

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users