IPL Betting Discussion 2017

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby ROHAN1 » Tue May 02, 2017 10:31 am

dd v srh today and Ladbrokes have a special offer warner to hit a 6 5/6 from 4/7 imo this is a much safer bet than betting on either team to win.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Wed May 03, 2017 1:28 pm

03/05/17 KKR vs RPSG 15.30

The track at Eden Gardens has shown very good pace and bounce this season so it's an interesting change of dynamic from some of the traditional spin-friendly tracks you have in the rest of the IPL. For that reason I'm looking to support the quick bowlers today, with Narine and Tahir favourite for their respective teams "top bowler" market we can get some big odds on the seamers today and have a reason to oppose the spinners. My pin has fallen on Coulter-Nile for KKR and Unadkat for RPSG.

Uthappa has 5 50's in his last 7 knocks, so it's hard to look elsewhere for top KKR bat. Also given the nature of the track Smith could well be at home here with the true pace and bounce, so he's a worthy fav for RPSG in my eyes.

Stats wise KKR are still dominating the "team of top batsman" market, but at 1.83 the odds are a bit tight. RPSG struggled in the sixes market early on but their bowling has improved so I'm not overly keen to take them on anymore. Good luck if you're having a bet.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Wed May 03, 2017 2:09 pm

No Uthappa is huge, got to back Pune now.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Thu May 04, 2017 1:43 pm

04/05/17 15.30 Delhi Daredevils vs Gujarat Lions

I found this game very difficult to decipher, neither side is very trustworthy. Chris Morris has been off the boil lately but started the season very well, I'll have a very small stakes bet on him to be MOTM. Good luck if you're having a bet.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Fri May 05, 2017 6:53 am

05/05/17 15.30 RCB vs Kings XI Punjab

A strange game, with RCB favourites despite already being knocked out of the tournament. Everyone is still expecting them to come good and produce a good performance but I couldn't be backing them at odds on here.

The track at Bengaluru has completely changed this season from a road to a spinners paradise, so guys like Badree, Chahal, Negi and Axar Patel should have a role to play. KXIP's attack may not suit this pitch, as you want seamers who can bowl cutters etc. Sandy, Aaron and Natajaran are all more traditional bowlers so maybe Mohit Sharma will be their most dangerous seamer. Out of RCB's seamers, Choudhary has a good mix of slower balls and cutters and he impressed last time out so he could be a threat here.

With the bat Kolhi at 11/4 is an eyecatching price. He's not had a great IPL but still has 3 50's from 7 innings. No other RCB player has more than 1. For KXIP Amla should be able to adapt to this track and grind it out better than the likes of Guptill.

Good luck if you're having a bet!

Stats - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412600

Tips - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412534

RCB - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412494

KXIP - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412354

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Sat May 06, 2017 9:16 am

06/05/17 - couple of real tough games today, very competitive.

11.30 Sunrisers host RPSG. Sunrisers home form has been exemplary, whilst RPSG are in great recent form so something has to give. Warner's home record this year is very good (14, 76*, 70*, 4 and 126) so he's a fair shout for top batsman/MOTM markets.

15.30 Delhi host Mumbai, Delhi are extremely unpredictable so who knows which Delhi side will turn up. Mumbai are top of the table but have injury niggles to both spinners (Harbhajan and Krunal Pandya). I'm not much of a fan of the replacement Karn Sharma, so that could be an area for Delhi to expose.

From an ante-post standpoint, I could do with wins for Sunrisers (Bhevi top tournament bowler) and Mumbai (win outright/make the final).

Good luck if you're having a bet.

Stats : https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412600

Ante-post tips : https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412534

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Sun May 07, 2017 8:03 am

7/5/17.another double header today. Rcb host kkr in the early game. I'm expecting a tight, low scoring game due to the pitch at bengaluru being so dry this year. 161 has been the top score. Batting first is a slight advantage. Kkr need the points and have a good spin attack so at 10/11 they look a fair price.

KXIP play gujarat in the afternoon game. Gujarat may have to go with just 3 overseas players now Mccullum Is injured. They are also out of the tournament so it's hard to make a case for them. With such little depth with bat and ball raina/thampi would be my picks for individual honours for Gl.

Good luck if you're having a bet!

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Mon May 08, 2017 7:42 am

Quick re-cap of my ante-post selections:

Mishra to be top Delhi bowler - Morris leads the way with 12, Cummins has 11 then Mishra on 9. DD have 3 games left. Morris is currently out with a niggle but Mishra isn't bowling well so we'd need a quick up-turn in his form in the last few matches.

Kulkarni to be top Gujrat bowler - 2 wickets in the 5 games he's played means this one is dead in the water.

Kings XI Punjab to finish bottom - we had some fleeting hope when they lost 4 on the bounce but RCB have this spot locked up with just 5 points from 13 games.

KKR outright/to make the final - Currently 2nd on NetRR with 2 games of the league phase to go. A top-2 finish would give them 2 bites at the cherry in the play-off's so this bet has a fair shout of some kind of return at the minute.

Mumbai outright/to make the final - currently top by 2 points with a game in hand on their rivals, they look strongly placed to get a top 2 spot and therefore have 2 chances of making the final. Looking promising so far.


RPSG to finish bottom - Another one that looked decent at the half way stage, as they struggled for continuity. They've really picked up since though, and now sit 3rd in the table so this bet is a loser.

RCB highest innings score - Despite a shocking season with the bat, this bet was actually leading until Delhi smashed 214 in 16 overs against Gujarat. They have 1 game left but this looks like being a loser.

B Kumar top tournament wicket taker (ew) - currently leads the way with 21 wickets, 3 clear of Tahir. He's slowed up considerably recently, since his 5-for against the Kings XI he has just 6 wickets in 7 games (1 was a wash-out) so the pack is closing. Hopefully Sunrisers make the top 4 so he gets 3 games minimum to add to his tally, another 3 or 4 would make him hard to beat.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Mon May 08, 2017 7:49 am

08/05/17 15.30 Sunrisers vs Mumbai

Sunrisers at home have a strong record, and Warner in particular loves playing at this ground. Sunrisers are desperate for a win to help secure a top 4 position, they visit Gujarat in their final game but a win here would be a big boost. Mumbai will be looking for another win to firm up a top 2 finish.

Nehra pulled up injured last game for SRH so Siraj is likely to return. They have worries about their middle order batting so Hooda might come in for Bipul, but then that will weaken their 5th bowler option. For Mumbai Simmons came in and immediately made a 50, so they're happy with the balance of their side.

Sunrisers prefer to set a target (batted 1st 8/11 this season) and Mumbai prefer to chase (batted 2nd 8/11 this season) so if it pans out that way Sunrisers will be looking for 170+ first up and then try to restrict Mumbai. If Mumbai chase Rohit could come to the fore. He's struggled this season a little but all of his best knocks in the last few years have come when Mumbai are chasing, he clearly excels in that role.

Good luck if you're having a bet.

mid-season stats - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412600

SRH pre-season thoughts - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412518

MI pre-season thoughts - https://www.olbg.com/blogs/post.php?id=412398

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby Fredgarv » Mon May 08, 2017 1:30 pm

Sunrisers for me today with Mumbai happily qualified they may make a few changes give some of the fringe players a go and Warner MOM for me also when the big games come big players usually step up and Warner is definitely one of them

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby nellberg1 » Mon May 08, 2017 7:18 pm

09/05/17 15.30

Kings XI host KKR. Kings want a win to stay alive in the tournament, and KKR need a win to guarantee their spot in the top 4/push for a top 2 place. Plenty at stake!

Kings XI have struggled to defend a total this season, for them to be competitive here they'd most likely have to chase.

KKR have Lynn back, which adds an extra dimension to their side. They have strong depth, but could do with Uthappa getting back to full fitness.

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Re: IPL Betting Discussion 2017

Postby Fredgarv » Tue May 09, 2017 12:35 pm

You can't really go against KKR here they will want to make sure of that first or second spot and the kings xi looked decidedly edgy when blowing a good chance in the last game after a brilliant Amla innings their attack is a bit on the weak side and struggle to contain teams , whoever choice it was to put Narine up top wants a pat on the back ( more than likely Gambhir and Narine combined) ) the West Indian has been revelation opening the batting not just his scoring but taking some shine off the ball allowing other players to score freely and against this poor attack he could reign havoc KKR have won the last 8 games between these two teams and 75% altogether they are a bit short in price but you can see why especially if the magnificent hitting of Lynn enters the fray today. So to my picks
Winner KKR
Kings xi top bat. MAXWELL
kkr top bat Narine
mom. Narine

Good luck guys.

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