English Super League Wakefield v Castleford.

RogueWeka
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English Super League Wakefield v Castleford.

Postby RogueWeka » Thu Jul 06, 2017 11:23 am

I think there is a good opportunity to get a decent return in this match by picking the winning margin at Castleford to win by 11-15 points @ 8-50 .
Their are only two true options in this spread which are 12 and 14 points. But both sides have form and with this game at home for Wakefield they should be very competitive and the likely hood of a Field Goal from either side is very real, which would bring 11, 13 & 15 points into play. Castleford have had a blinder of a season to date with just the 3 loses from 20 games, and with Wakefield in 5th place in the League, 1 point behind Hull FC, Cas' will be switched on for this game and will be very focused to ensure an ambush does not occur.

It's one of those match-ups where expectations are that it will be close, but with the Tigers enormously talented attack I think that if things get close at the death they have the ability to break through a tired defence and make a 6.

I will get Wakefield some credit though, they have themselves had a good season and are very capable of an upset here, but I think this Castleford side has a lot better quality to it.

The Handicapper has Cas' 10 point favourites and the line is unchanged since opening on Tuesday. I think they are within scope here and I will also playing 2 additional markets for cover here, Cas win 1-10 @ 3-60, and Either side to win by 6 points or less including a draw @ 3-25.

1) Castleford to win by 11-15, 2 units @ 8-50 returns 17-00
2) Castleford to win by 1-10, 2 units @ 3-60 returns 7-20
3) Either Team win by 6 points or less incl Draw, 2 units @ 3-25 returns 6-50.

So If Cas win by 10 points or less the return is (7-20 + 6-50) less total wager 6 units = 7-70
If Cas win between 11-15 points the return is 17-00 less total wager 6 units = 11-00
and the wager covering Each Way bet of, if either side win under 7 points or game ends in a draw 6-50 less total wager 6 units = 0.50

Good Luck

RogueWeka
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Re: English Super League Wakefield v Castleford.

Postby RogueWeka » Thu Jul 06, 2017 9:40 pm

Result 'Cas won 25-24, so we had collects on options 2 and 3, 'Cas winning 1-10 points, and Either side to win by no more than 6 points including a draw.
Nice little profit of 7-70 units.

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