Thought I'd share something I've done on occasion over the past few football seasons and will be having another go this time round: The Permed Accumulator.
I usually do quite a few Ante Post football bets just before the season starts always multiples of some description, and once we get to this time of year I tend to have a bit of a review, see how I'm getting on, and see if there's anything else that takes my fancy. Sometimes this is because my original bets are almost dead in the water, sometimes it's because I want to invest more due to it doing so well.
This time it's a bit of a mixed bag. I will be picking the following selections:
Quick bit of reasoning on each:Premier League relegation:
1: Aston Villa @ 2.0 / 2: Wigan @ 2.38
3: Bolton @ 34.0 / 4: Hull @ 3.0
League 1 promotion:
5: Sheff Utd @ 2.60 / 6: Coventry @ 8.50
League 2 Promotion:
7: Cheltenham @ 3.0 / 8:Fleetwood @ 5.0
All Prices B365
Villa: I can't see how they will turn their form around. Inexperience in nearly all areas, a manager who looks like a dead man walking and an owner that doesn't want to spend. The lack of investment, plus the amount of sales made over the last few seasons stinks of a club gearing up for relegation.
Wigan: Perennial survivors but they don't usually have an injury list like they have this time round.
Bolton: You may think I've gone mad and I quite possibly have, having already backed them pre-season. I just think they have the potential to improve vastly and quickly. Dawson on loan from WBA is a great signing and will hopefully shore up the defence, Matt Mills is still to come back from injury too. Eagles and Lee are already doing the business and the midfield should strengthen with the return of Mark Davies and Stuart Holden. Craig Davies was scoring at Barnsley and with a midfield of that quality supplying him I expect a decent return in the 2nd half of the season.
Hull: In a strong position just outside automatic promotion places and Steve Bruce has the knack of getting teams up.
Sheff Utd: Already holding a fairly strong position in 5th place and 8 points from the top. I reckon a playoff place is there for the taking at least.
Coventry: A horrid start but since Mark Robins has taken over they are going great guns. They have won 5 of their last 8 and continuing that kind of form should see them in the playoffs.
Cheltenham: Level points with the 3rd automatic promotion placed team so already in a strong position. Playoffs or better beckons methinks.
Fleetwood: They don't mess about this lot do they? They have made 7 signings in January already and are obviously making a real push for promotion. Only 2 points off playoffs already and have a game in hand on some teams.
So the bet I will be placing is 2*2*2*2=16 bets. I will use £1 per bet to keep it simple, but really I'm only going to be doing 20p per bet (£3.20 stake)
Just one winner from each line written will guarantee a wee bit of profit.
The good thing about picking promotion/relegation rather that league winners is that all lines are possible winners and that can bump winnings up significantly.
I have numbered each selection to show how the lines are permed:
So for a £16 stake you could win £46.80 if the 1 line with the lowest odds came in, and if all selections came in you would win the all lines combined which is a pretty sweet £14390.93Possible winning £1 lines:
A: 1/3/5/7 £530.40
B: 1/3/5/8 £884.00
C: 1/3/6/7 £1734.00
D: 1/3/6/8 £2890.00
E: 1/4/5/7 £46.80
F: 1/4/5/8 £78.00
G: 1/4/6/7 £153.00
H: 1/4/6/8 £255.00
I: 2/3/5/7 £631.18
J: 2/3/5/8 £1051.96
K: 2/3/6/7 £2063.46
L: 2/3/6/8 £3439.10
M: 2/4/5/7 £55.69
N: 2/4/5/8 £92.82
O: 2/4/6/7 £182.07
P: 2/4/6/8 £303.45
If anybody fancies having a go at their own why not stick your selections in here and we can see how we go on over the rest of the season? Doesn't have to be from the same divisions, or even the same sport! It's just a great way to keep interested in the sports we love over the long term.