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by The Market Man
Sat Apr 14, 2018 11:45 am
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: 2018 Aintree Grand National
Replies: 67
Views: 6487

Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

This is my summary list : Anibale Fly Has an inconsistent profile overall but tends to run well when granted a stiff track and testing conditions. Aintree isn’t a stiff track but he’ll love the ground...the fences might be another matter. Can sometimes get in too close and will be on his a*** here s...
by The Market Man
Sat Mar 24, 2018 12:01 pm
Forum: Horse Racing
Topic: The Lincoln Handicap 2017
Replies: 46
Views: 5469

Re: The Lincoln Handicap 2017

I’ve also backed Dolphin Vista for the potential place value. Watson isn’t a star in waiting (as yet) but he’s ridden a few winners recently and DV is an experienced horse and an uncomplicated ride. 5th last year, ran a fair race over hurdles recently (which he isn’t bred for ) so his well being is ...
by The Market Man
Wed Mar 14, 2018 10:15 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Cheltenham Trainer and Jockey stats 2018
Replies: 11
Views: 454

Re: Cheltenham Trainer and Jockey stats 2018

Elliott, Henderson and Mullins with ten of the fourteen winners so far.
by The Market Man
Tue Mar 13, 2018 2:32 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)
Replies: 24
Views: 1788

Re: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)

Brilliant for Footpad. Ruby learned from the first race.

Shockers from Coleman and Russell. It was always going to be an issue for Saint Calvados backers.
by The Market Man
Sat Mar 10, 2018 7:18 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Ballymore Novices Hurdle - Wednesday 14th March 2018 (Day 2)
Replies: 26
Views: 1709

Re: Ballymore Novices Hurdle - Wednesday 14th March 2018 (Day 2)

I’ve run over a Cheltenham cat. On The Blind Side joins If The Cap Fits and Willoughby Court on the non runners list.
by The Market Man
Sat Mar 10, 2018 8:02 am
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)
Replies: 24
Views: 1788

Re: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)

A jockeys ability / record is factored into the price, along with that of his trainer.

It’s why “ if he were trained by Nicky Henderson he’d be much shorter odds “ is misleading, particularly at the festival
by The Market Man
Fri Mar 09, 2018 8:39 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Novices Handicap Chase - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)
Replies: 8
Views: 721

Re: Novices Handicap Chase - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)

Yes, Gman. Ive been expecting to hear something during the previews but not yet. We might have to wait until the final decs Watch this http://www.thejockeyclub.co.uk/video/20171117/2729711/16365640 Basically a three runner affair and he’s leading up the hill but cocks his head to one side (not for t...
by The Market Man
Fri Mar 09, 2018 8:27 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Cheltenham 2018 trends and who fits the trends.
Replies: 19
Views: 789

Re: Cheltenham 2018 trends and who fits the trends.

I think there’s an overlap with some of the trends, leading to the odd one being basically redundant. The trick is to use the strong trends to create a profile of the right horse. Ones that tick every box might be overbet ( trends and stats are used by layers and punters ) and something that fails o...
by The Market Man
Fri Mar 09, 2018 8:21 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Novices Handicap Chase - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)
Replies: 8
Views: 721

Re: Novices Handicap Chase - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)

The Skelton horse might outrun its odds. Nice win when fresh earlier in the season, two quick runs in the Haydock glue to get a mark and then rested. Decent run at the festival last season. I like Barney Dawn, can’t have Movewiththetimes unless they put blinkers on him. Seems a little ungenuine, lik...
by The Market Man
Thu Mar 08, 2018 1:02 pm
Forum: Cheltenham Festival Betting
Topic: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)
Replies: 24
Views: 1788

Re: Arkle Trophy - Tuesday 13th March 2018 (Day 1)

I disagree. He has an 18% strike rate at Ascot, 9% at Cheltenham Picking a jockey who can cope with every part of the day is an important aspect of backing winners. Some jockeys ride some courses better than others, get the tactics right more often than other jockeys. Despite riding for Nicky Hender...