Search found 1943 matches

by Shrews
Thu Apr 12, 2018 6:16 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

Actually, just done a bit of research on this and the Dosage Index is influenced primarily by 'speed'. So looking at some speedsters from old: Dayjur - 2.85 Lyric Fantasy - 2.67 Black Caviar - 3.0 Limato - 0.5 Pastoral Pursuits - 5.0 Cadeaux Genereux - 1.91 None come close to the sprinting dosage pr...
by Shrews
Thu Apr 12, 2018 5:56 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: 2018 Aintree Grand National
Replies: 67
Views: 6045

Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Road To Riches needs one more to come out to get a run and it's starting to look promising. If he does get the run then I won't be backing anything else, in fact I'm not even going to look at anything else, this guy will win doing handstands from the elbow. (Ok, I know horse's don't have hands :P )...
by Shrews
Wed Apr 11, 2018 6:38 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

Well, I was expecting about half the field to be eliminated at the first elimination stage but when only six got booted it became a labour of love for a few hours. I'm not sure how much credence it'll have, but it's got to be better than just sticking in a pin :D My choice is Road To Riches who made...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 9:55 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

The final shortlist: ALPHA DES OBEAUX (FR) CARLINGFORD LOUGH (IRE) SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT THE LAST SAMURI (IRE) UCELLO CONTI (FR) ROAD TO RICHES (IRE) Adjusting the averages taking out the mins and maxes from each category gives mean. modes and medians of: Brilliant Intermediate Classic Solid Professional...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 9:14 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

Taking the mean average of the mean, mode, median averages (mean+mode+median / 3) = the following: Brilliant 2.48 Intermediate 0.68 Classic 4.48 Solid 3.77 Professional 1.32 DI 0.79 CD -0.04 Total 17.40 S+F 5.42 Horse Brilliant Intermediate Classic Solid Professional DI CD Total S+F MINELLA ROCCO (I...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 8:42 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

So, 20 eliminated and leaves the 25 below: 1 MINELLA ROCCO (IRE) 2 ANIBALE FLY (FR) 3 THE LAST SAMURI (IRE) 4 TOTAL RECALL (IRE) 5 ALPHA DES OBEAUX (FR) 6 GOLD PRESENT (IRE) 7 TENOR NIVERNAIS (FR) 8 CARLINGFORD LOUGH (IRE) 9 CHASE THE SPUD 10 SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT 11 THE DUTCHMAN 12 UCELLO CONTI (FR) 13 ...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:19 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

In the last 20 year's only two horses scored higher than 1.55 for the Dosage Index (Red Marauder 11 and Mon Mome 3). This eliminates: Maggio 2.11 In the last 20 year's only two horses scored higher than 0.39 for the Centre Of Distribution (Red Marauder 1.67 and Mon Mome 0.75).This eliminates : Valse...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:46 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

This year's most likely winners using Dosage First Elimination Criteria - remove any horse outside the min/max of the last 20 winners for any of the dosage figures. This eliminates six: Tiger Roll - scores 9 for 'Solid', whereas the highest in the last 20 years was 8 (Silver Birch) Bless The Wings -...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:19 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Re: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

This year's horses Number Horse Brilliant Intermediate Classic Solid Professional DI CD Total S+F 1 MINELLA ROCCO (IRE) 3 2 8 4 1 1 0.11 19 5 2 BLAKLION 3 0 15 4 0 0.91 0.09 23 4 3 ANIBALE FLY (FR) 1 2 9 3 5 0.6 -0.45 20 8 4 THE LAST SAMURI (IRE) 4 2 7 3 2 1.12 0.17 19 5 5 VALSEUR LIDO (FR) 2 1 3 0 ...
by Shrews
Tue Apr 10, 2018 6:18 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends
Replies: 13
Views: 641

Aintree Grand National Dosage Trends

Year Winner Brilliant Intermediate Classic Solid Professional DI CD Total S+F 2017 One For Arthur 4 0 9 4 1 0.89 0.11 18 5 2016 Rule The World 4 2 3 7 4 0.6 -0.25 20 11 2015 Many Clouds 2 1 15 4 0 0.91 0.05 22 4 2014 Pineau De Re 0 0 1 1 0 0.33 -0.5 2 1 2013 Auroras Encore 5 0 10 5 4 0.71 -0.13 24 9...
by Shrews
Mon Apr 09, 2018 9:45 pm
Forum: Horse Racing
Topic: RIP Silviniaco Conti
Replies: 3
Views: 153

RIP Silviniaco Conti

Has died whilst team chasing according to RTE twitter feed

https://twitter.com/RTEracing

Brilliant horse
by Shrews
Mon Apr 09, 2018 5:10 pm
Forum: Grand Nationals
Topic: 2018 Aintree Grand National
Replies: 67
Views: 6045

Re: 2018 Aintree Grand National

Road To Riches needs one more to come out to get a run and it's starting to look promising. If he does get the run then I won't be backing anything else, in fact I'm not even going to look at anything else, this guy will win doing handstands from the elbow. (Ok, I know horse's don't have hands :P )