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by nors
Fri Oct 22, 2021 3:06 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

Blackpool did the xG thread a huge favour in battling back to beat Reading. Peterborough also did the business although they scored first. This weekend we have some interesting games in the Championship, and right off the bat I will be laying Blackpool this time against Preston, they are poor at hom...
by nors
Wed Oct 20, 2021 3:35 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

Well, Bournemouth just enhanced that stellar record mentioned above by winning at Stoke, only 1 goal conceded away from home in 7 games, the only other team to concede 1 goal in their away games this season from the top 2 divisions is Chelsea. Tonight we have a couple of games in Hull v Peterborough...
by nors
Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:11 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

Last night Arsenal had an xG of 2.15 and Crystal Palace of 0.59 these figures remember are based on the amount of goals on average that would be expected to be scored score given the quality of the chances in the game. If we then look at another reported figure - attempts on goal Arsenal 17 Crystal ...
by nors
Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:35 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

The Blackburn v Coventry match went according to plan and I was out of the game early with Blackburn scoring first in the 39th minute. However, as predicted they are vulnerable in defence and accordingly the game ended 2-2. BTW there was a 6-minute gap between Blackburn's two goals and a 6-minute ga...
by nors
Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:01 am
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

As an aside to xG we can see that 42% of Championship games this season have ended in home wins. Last season after all the games were played the percentage was 41%, results in the last 5 seasons have never fallen below 40% home wins. So in a 12 game weekend, the average should come out around 5 home...
by nors
Sun Oct 10, 2021 5:00 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

This weekend we have a home team in Blackburn who create a lot of chances taking on Coventry who are towards the top of away teams who create a lot. Overall both home and away they create a lot. Where Blackburn fall down is allowing a lot of chances, but Coventry despite lots of chances have only sc...
by nors
Sun Oct 03, 2021 7:55 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

Things did go pear-shaped with Leeds winning and dominating the game, however, Watford were robbed of a legitimate goal (IMO) but still the game didn't work out as I predicted. Watford created little and Leeds had few troubles in defence. I normally concentrate on the Championship and noted that des...
by nors
Sat Oct 02, 2021 11:49 am
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

I couldn't find much today although based on xG Leeds are a ridiculously short price against Watford, a lay of Leeds could be the way to go because I can see Watford scoring. Leeds has brought in some new players and it doesn't seem to have gelled yet, this game is going to be played 100 mph and mis...
by nors
Thu Sep 30, 2021 9:03 am
Forum: OLBG News & Help
Topic: what can virtual crowns buy?
Replies: 9
Views: 683

Re: what can virtual crowns buy?

We have started adding some of your survey voting intentions and comments in the news and blog sections on OLBG, obviously, we cannot use all of the vote/comments but all of them are read and appreciated. :win: If you haven't yet taken part in a survey please do, they are available on your membershi...
by nors
Thu Sep 30, 2021 8:31 am
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: PFA Player Of the Year Betting Odds
Replies: 0
Views: 64

PFA Player Of the Year Betting Odds

Who would you have as PFA Player Of the Year if the award was given today. Here is the current PFA betting: https://www.olbg.com/blogs/pfa-player-year-betting-odds Thought we could add some players who have impressed you as the season progresses, they may not win the award but we could probably buil...
by nors
Wed Sep 29, 2021 4:32 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

Well, last night's thoughts couldn't have gone any better with 1-1 at HT and Full Time. I would always caution anyone as we all know results are very hit and miss, and anyone following any system/ideas needs to follow over a period of time, that has always been the olbg way, the best tipsters in the...
by nors
Tue Sep 28, 2021 3:27 pm
Forum: Football Betting
Topic: Expected Goals - XG
Replies: 118
Views: 5822

Re: Expected Goals - XG

The weekend bets were poor especially the Cardiff capitulation. Based solely on xG the draw as the outsider at odds of 3.0 in the Preston v Stoke game could be the way to go. Preston at home and Stoke away based on xG are midtable teams, I will look at these odds and split my stakes in the 1st half....