Search found 5937 matches

by davidg3907
Fri May 13, 2022 11:37 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Poisson Season 5
Replies: 40
Views: 2967

Re: Poisson Season 5

https://i.ibb.co/cL5pF1r/2122-wk-37.png Suggestions for week 37 Home wins (>1.10*odds). Aston Villa Everton Leeds Newcastle Southampton West Ham Away wins (>1.10*odds). Leicester Norwich Draws (>1.20*odds). Tottenham West Ham Wolves Draws narrow(+0.24 to +0.79). Aston Villa Wolves Draws wider(+0.08...
by davidg3907
Wed May 11, 2022 10:26 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

Burnley's defeat at home to Villa is not what was required. They now face the same opponents away after their trip to Tottenham on Saturday. They may play their final game at home to Newcastle knowing that only a win would suffice. Therefore, it seems prudent to "balance the books" even fu...
by davidg3907
Tue May 10, 2022 8:37 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

I have placed a 1 pt back request for Everton @ 18 - just a few coppers matched so far.
by davidg3907
Mon May 09, 2022 9:30 pm
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Poisson Season 5
Replies: 40
Views: 2967

Re: Poisson Season 5

https://i.ibb.co/9VHNCwp/2122-wk-var-3.png Suggestions for week Various 3 Home wins (>1.10*odds). Aston Villa Leeds Watford Wolves Tottenham Away wins (>1.10*odds). Norwich Draws (>1.20*odds). Leeds Wolves Draws narrow(+0.24 to +0.79). Leicester Tottenham Draws wider(+0.08 to +1.25). Leicester Tott...
by davidg3907
Mon May 09, 2022 5:36 pm
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

There are some rather weird things going on. Earlier, I placed a back request for 15 pts Leeds @ 2.28 when back/lay were 2.10/2.14. Thar was matched a while ago and as it was only placed for trading purposes, I then tried to place a lay request of 20 pts @ 2.18 . The spread was 2.14/2.58. That was m...
by davidg3907
Sun May 08, 2022 2:29 pm
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

I have backed Leeds for 20 pts @ 2.08 3.5 pts @ 2.10 and 8.5 pts @ 2.20 As a precaution/trade, I have backed Everton for 2 pts @ 14. While I still have funds available, any chance to lay small amounts of Southampton will be taken if I see them and the odds are reasonable. At worst, these can only be...
by davidg3907
Sun May 08, 2022 1:43 pm
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

Assuming Leeds lose at Arsenal (2-0 down and a man sent off), they would need 2 wins and a draw from their final 3 games to stand any realistic chance of avoiding the drop. Home games against Chelsea and Brighton, along with a last day visit to Brentford should not produce 7 points. That makes South...
by davidg3907
Sat May 07, 2022 10:45 pm
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

I have laid Southampton for a further 2 pts @ 65 as this appears to be another over-reaction cut in their odds, As a potential trading opportunity, I have backed Burnley for 10 pts @ 2.58. I have laid 11.25 pts lay @ 2.40 after trying to complete the trade at even shorter odds. I have laid Southampt...
by davidg3907
Thu May 05, 2022 7:49 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

I have laid 1.5 pts Brentford @ 100 and 1.5 pts Southampton @ 100. This is not new money but recycled funds released by Norwich's relegation being confirmed. Current positions (portfolio value, tissues. match predictions). Leeds ( +93 37.82 35) Everton ( +68 38.71 40) Burnley ( +44 37.95 38)
by davidg3907
Wed May 04, 2022 9:58 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Poisson Season 5
Replies: 40
Views: 2967

Re: Poisson Season 5

https://i.ibb.co/tDsPWTN/2122-wk-36.png Suggestions for week 36 Home wins (>1.10*odds). Brentford Burnley Leicester Man City Away wins (>1.10*odds). Leeds Man Utd Watford Tottenham Draws (>1.20*odds). Arsenal Crystal Palace Liverpool Draws narrow(+0.24 to +0.79). Arsenal Brentford Crystal Palace Dr...
by davidg3907
Sun May 01, 2022 8:50 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

Norwich were finally put out of their misery yesterday in a match that saw Aston Villa climb to 40 pts and virtual safety. With Watford on the verge of following them, attention turns to the three teams battling to avoid the final relegation berth. Leeds were mauled by Man City which was totally pre...
by davidg3907
Wed Apr 27, 2022 9:13 am
Forum: Premier League
Topic: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22
Replies: 207
Views: 11986

Re: Premier League Relegation Diary 2021/22

The latest trading has changed Leeds to +63 from +59 My Poisson/tissues estimate these final totals which roughly tie in with current odds. Leeds 37.97 Burnley 36.39 Everton 36.20 My match predictions disagree - but that is based on Everton picking up 3 or 4 pts from away matches at an already releg...