During the 5 day Royal meeting, there are 7 handicaps run and i have looked at the last 10 year runnings of all 8 of them and looked at the following trends - Age, Weight, Official Rating, Recent Runs, Last Time Out, Year Runs, Year Wins, Distance & Draw (for races on the straight course)

Some of the races are for 3yo's only, so the age trend was ignored and the odd race had a poor showing for 1 of the other trends, so that trend was left out

The 8 races i have looked at the the following -

Tuesday - The Ascot Stakes - 2m 4f - Final Update 17th June

Wednesday - The Royal Hunt Cup - 1m - Final Update 18th June

Thursday - The Brittania Stakes - 1m - Updated 20th June

Thursday - The King George V Stakes - 1m 4f - Updated 20th June

Friday - The Sandringham Stakes - 1m - Updated 20th June

Friday - The Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes - 1m 4f - Updated 20th June

Saturday - The Wokingham Stakes - 6f - Updated 8th June

Now let's have a look at each race in more detail

Tuesday - The Ascot Stakes - 2m 4f (Updated 17th June)

    The Ascot Stakes is the first handicap race of the royal meeting and is run over a trip of 2 miles, 3 furlongs and 210 yards and is open to all horses aged 4 or older, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEAGEWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATING RECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSYEAR WINSDISTANCE
    2017Thomas Hobson79-101007-152 days512m 5f
    2016Jennies Jewel99-03931-223 days623m
    2015Clondaw Warrior89-00893-244 days302m 3f
    2014Domination79-079210-536 days313m
    2013Well Sharp59-10951-332 days102m 4 & 1/2f
    2012Simenon59-10951-324 days522m
    2011Veiled59-03881-416 days532m 5 & 1/2f
    2010Junior79-00851-368 days423m
    2009Judgethemoment49-05911-137 days222m
    2008Missoula59-00854-1418 days302m2f
  • Age

  • 7 of the last 10 winners were aged between 5 & 7

  • Weight

  • 7 of the last 10 winners carried 9-03 or more

  • Official Rating

  • 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 95 or lower

  • Recent Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had a break of at least 22 days before coming here (23+ days since their last run)

  • Year Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had run at least 3 times that year

  • Year Wins

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had won that year

  • Distance

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had previously won over 2m 2f or further

Updated 17th June

We have a final field of 20 for the opening handicap of the royal meeting, -

No horse/s pass any of the trends, so i have used the scoring system, which comes out as follows -

55 x Look My Way

55 x Meri Devie

47 x Sam Missile

47 x Coeur De Lion

39 x Dannyday

39 x Percy Street

39 x Lagostovegas

39 x Cleonte

38 x Whiskey Sour

38 x Garo De Juilley

37 x Cayirli

37 x Dubawi Fifty

32 x Mirsaale

32 x Kloud Gate

32 x White Desert

30 x Daybreak Boy

30 x Hassle

30 x Chelkar

25 x Battalion

24 x Stratum

Look My Way & Marie Devie both top the scores on 55 points and both fail 1 trend

Look My Way fails on the age trend, 7 of the last 10 winners were aged between 5 & 7, yet he is only a 4yo, 2009 saw the last 4yo winner, however, there have been 13 winning 4yos in the last 30 years

Marie Devie fails on the weight trend, 7 of the last 10 carried 9-03 or more, she is set to carry 9-01, Clondaw Warrior carried 9-00 in 2015 and 12 of the last 30 winners carried 9-01 or less

Wednesday - The Royal Hunt Cup - 1m (Updated 18th June)

    The Royal Hunt Cup is run over the straight mile and is open to all horses aged 3 or older, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEAGEWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATING RECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSDRAWDISTANCE
    2017Zhui Feng49-001003-1339 days4261m 2f
    2016Portage49-051001-511 days141m 2f
    2015GM Hopkins49-031032-1032 days2111m 1f
    2014Field Of Dreams79-0110115-5263 days0337f
    2013Belgian Bill58-119715-260 days461m
    2012Prince Of Johanne69-031002-134 days1331m 2f
    2011Julienas48-08933-320 days2241m 2f
    2010Invisible Man48-09954-420 days2111m
    2009Forgotten Voice49-011011-144 days2331m
    2008Mr Aviator49-0510210-212 days5271m 2f
  • Age

  • 9 of the last 10 winners were aged between 4 & 6

  • Weight

  • 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-11 & 9-05

  • Official Rating

  • 8 of the last 10 winners were rated between 97 & 102

  • Recent Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners finished in the first 3 in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had a break of at least 19 days (20+ days since their last run)

  • Year Runs

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had 2 or more runs that year

  • Distance

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had previously won over a mile or further

  • Draw

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had came from a double figure draw, 20 of the 40 placed horses from the last 10 years were drawn in stall 20 or higher, add another 15 if counting double figure stalls, only 5 of 40 placed horses came from a single figure stall

Updated 8th June

The final field has been declared for the race and we have 29 runners (plus 3 reserves), i have looked at the trends and came up with the following -

Age - we lose 2, leaving 30

Weight - we lose 6, leaving 24

Official Rating - we lose 11, leaving 13

Recent Runs - we lose 6, leaving 7

Last Time Out - we lose 2, leaving 5

Year Runs - we lose 2, leaving just 3

Distance - we lose 0, leaving 3

Draw - we lose 0, leaving 3

Those 3 are Goring, Repercussion & Settle For Bay

Thursday - The Brittania Stakes - 1m (3yo colt & geldings only) - (Updated 20th June)

    Like the Royal Hunt Cup, The Brittania Stakes is run over the straight mile but this race is only for 3yo colts & geldings, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEDRAWWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATINGRECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSYEAR WINSDISTANCE
    2017Bless Him38-09905-326 days411m
    2016Defrocked129-01951-412 days321m
    2015War Envoy119-0610414-718 days406f
    2014Born In Bombay268-04872-147 days311m
    2013Roca Tumu158-12961-426 days211m
    2012Fast Or Free68-10871-112 days211m
    2011Sagramor238-13931-226 days211m
    2010Ransom Note68-10922-119 days211m
    2009Fareer188-10925-126 days317 & 1/2f
    2008Fifteen Love308-109312-1162 days107f
  • Weight

  • 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-09 & 9-01

  • Official Rating

  • 8 of the last 10 winners were rated between 90 & 104

  • Recent Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners finished in the first 3 in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had their last run within the last 26 days

  • Year Runs

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had between 2 & 4 runs that year

  • Year Wins

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had won a race that year

  • Distance

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had previously won over a mile or further

  • Draw

  • 7 of the last 10 winners came from a double figure draw, 28 of the 40 horses placed came from a double figure draw

Updated 20th June

We have a maximum field of 30 for this race, and i have looked at all of them and found the following -
Weight - we lose 9, leaving 21

Official Rating - we lose 0, leaving us again with 21

Recent Runs - we lose 1, leaving 20

Last Time Out - we lose 9, leaving 11

Year Runs - we lose 4, leaving 7

Year Wins - we lose 2, leaving 5

Distance - we lose 0, leaving 5

Draw - we lose 2 and are left with 3

Those 3 are Crack On Crack On, Sam Gold & Maverick Officer

Thursday - The King George V Stakes - 1m 4f - (Updated 20th June)

    The King George V Stakes is restricted to all 3yo's and is run over a trip of 1 mile, 3 furlongs & 211 yards, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATINGRECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSYEAR WINSDISTANCE
    2017Atty Persse8-10932-127 days21P 1m 2f
    2016Primitivo8-10951-128 days22W 1m 3f
    2015Space Age8-10881-520 days21W 1m 2f
    2014Elite Army9-01941-328 days21W 1m 2f
    2013Elidor9-00882-240 days30P 1m 4f
    2012Fennell Bay8-01851-55 days83P 1m 2 & 1/2f
    2011Brown Panther8-13911-126 days32W 1m 4f
    2010Dandino8-13911-126 days33W 1m 2f
    2009Cosmic Sun7-12809-1012 days20P 1m
    2008Colony8-12873-133 days21W 1m 2f
  • Weight

  • 8 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-10 & 9-01

  • Official Rating

  • All of the last 10 winners were rated 95 or lower

  • Recent Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd in their last start

  • Last Time Out

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had run within the last 28 days

  • Year Runs

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 runs that year

  • Year Wins

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had won at least 50% of their runs that year

  • Distance

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had previoualy ran over 1m 2f or further

Updated 20th June

We have a final field of 19 for this and i have looked at all of the runners and found the following -

Weight - we lose 4, leaving 15

Official Rating - we lose 0, leaving 15

Recent Runs - we lose 6, leaving 9

Last Time Out - we lose 4, leaving us with 5

Year Runs - we lose 2, leaving just 3

Year Wins - we lose 2, leaving just 1

Distance - we keep the remaining runner

The sole qualifier for this race is Baileys Excelerate

Friday - The Sandringham Stakes - 1m - Updated 20th June

    The Sandringham Handicap used to be a listed race but due to new rules, it was downgraded to just a handicap, it's run over a mile and is restricted to 3yo fillies only, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEDRAWWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATINGRECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSYEAR WINSDISTANCE
    2017Con Te Partiro119-051024-232 days104th 1m
    2016Persuasive178-09951-114 days22W 1m
    2015Osaila149-071077-145 days21P 1m
    2014Muteela228-13951-118 days22W 1m
    2013Annecdote38-07911-632 days216th 1m
    2012Duntle189-021044-138 days21W 1m
    2011Rhythm Of Light18-12942-118 days315th 1m
    2010Timepiece19-051058-212 days30W 1m
    2009Moneycantbuymelove188-11961-328 days31W 1m 2f
    2008Festivale49-01943-333 days203rd 1m
  • Weight

  • 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-05 or lower

  • Official Rating

  • 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 94 or higher

  • Recent Runs

  • 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had run within the last 38 days

  • Year Runs

  • 9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 runs that year

  • Year Wins

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had won that year

  • Distance

  • All of the last 10 winners had previously ran over a mile

  • Draw

  • 6 of the last 10 winners came from a double figure stall, looking at the last 39 placed horses from the last 10 years (less than 16 runners in 2011), 14 had a single figure draw and 25 had a double figure draw.

    - Updated 20th June

    we don't quite have a maximum field of 30, we do however still have a big field of 24, i have looked at them all and found the following -

    Weight - we lose 4, leaving 20

    Official Rating - we lose 12, leaving 8

    Recent Runs - we lose 3, leaving 5

    Last Time Out - we lose 2, leaving 3

    Year Runs - we lose 0, leaving with the same 3

    Year Wins - we lose 0, leaving 3 again

    Distance - we lose 0, leaving 3

    The 3 we are left with are - Broadway, Di Fede & Terzetto, but if we use the Draw trend (which onlh has a 6 our of 10), we lose another 2, leaving just 1

    The sole horse left is Terzetto

Friday - The Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes - 1m 4f - Updated 20th June

    The Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes is run over 1 mile, 3 furlongs & 211 yards and is open to all horses aged 3 or older, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEAGEWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATINGRECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSDISTANCE
    2017Rare Rhythm59-02978-1371 days01m 4f
    2016Kinema59-04991-1327 days21m 6f
    2015Arab Dawn49-02963-247 days11m 2f
    2014Arab Spring49-101041-136 days31m 4f
    2013Opinion49-00953-1548 days11m 2 & 1/2f
    2012Camborne49-04971-614 days41m 4f
    2011Fox Hunt49-08991-414 days61m 4f
    2010Cill Rialaig58-11912-414 days21m 2f
    2009Drill Sergeant49-071012-314 days91m 2f
    2008 Sugar Ray 4 9-00 953-136 days21m 3 & 1/2f
  • Age

  • All of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5

  • Weight

  • 9 of the last 10 winners carried 9-00 or more

  • Official Rating

  • 9 of the last 10 winners were rated 101 or lower

  • Recent Runs

  • 9 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 7 of the last 10 winners ran within the last 36 days

  • Year Runs

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had between 0 & 3 runs that year

  • Distance

  • All of the last 10 winners had previously won over 1m 2f or further

- Updated 20th June

We have a field of 19 (plus 3 reserves) for the final race on day 4 of the meeting, i have looked at all of the runners and found the following -

Age - we lose 8, leaving us with 11

Weight - we lose 0, leaving 11

Official Rating - we lose 5, leaving 6

Recent Runs - we lose 0, leaving 6

Last Time Out - we lose 1 (plus 2 reserves), leaving 5

Year Runs - we lose 0, leaving 5

Distance - we lose 0, leaving 5 plus 1 reserve

The 6 remaining horses are - Thundering Blue, Saunter, Dash Of Spice, Plutonian, Manjaam & Guns Of Leros(Reserve)

Saturday - The Wokingham Stakes - 6f (Updated 8th June)

    The Wokingham Stakes is the shortest handicap at the meeting, it's run over 6 furlongs on the straight course and is open to all horses aged 3 or older, the list of the last 10 winners is below

    YEARHORSEAGEWEIGHTOFFICIAL RATING RECENT RUNSLAST TIME OUTYEAR RUNSDRAW
    2017Out Do58-13994-1714 days31
    2016Outback Traveller59-0110013-742 days228
    2015Interception59-031022-328 days121
    2014Baccarat59-021052-238 days227
    2013York Glory59-021002-428 days722
    2012Dandy Boy69-081062-928 days415
    2011Deacon Blues48-13982-1142 days111
    2010Laddies Poker Two58-11956-1610 days031
    2009High Standing48-12961-121 days24
    2008Big Timer49-021002-1321 days71
  • Age

  • 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 4 or 5

  • Weight

  • 9 of the last 10 winners carried between 8-11 & 9-03

  • Official Rating

  • All of the last 10 winners were rated 105 or less

  • Recent Runs

  • 8 of the last 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd in 1 of their last 2 starts

  • Last Time Out

  • 8 of the last 10 winners had a break of 20 days or more (21+ days since their last run)

  • Year Runs

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had between 0 & 3 runs that year

  • Draw

  • 7 of the last 10 winners had a double figure draw, only 11 of the last 40 placed horses had a single figure draw, 17 of the 40 placed horses came from stall 20 upwards

Now looking at all of the 8 races together we can see a few interesting things, bearing mind i have looked at 10 years so everything mentioned below is based on a maximum of 80, 8 races x 10 years of stats

Updated 8th June)

The early declarations are out for this race, the maximum field size will be 28 and there are currently 86 horses entered, i have looked at all of the trends except the draw trend and found the following -

Age - we lose 40, leaving 46

Weight - we lose 29, leaving 17

Official Rating - we lose 0, leaving 17

Recent Runs - we lose 11, leaving just 6

Last Time Out - we lose 2, leaving just 4

Year Runs - we lose 2, leaving just 2

The 2 remaining horses are Gilgamesh & Al Kahwa

Gilgamesh is currently number 30 and needs 2 horses to drop out should connections decide to run and is currently available at 16/1

Al Kahwa is currently number 40 and needs 12 horses to drop out should connections decide to run and is currently available at 25/1

Looking at 3 trends further

  • Recent Runs

  • 63 of 80 finished in the first 2 in 1 of their last 2 starts (78.75%)

  • Last Time Out

  • 58 of 80 had their last run 20 or more days ago (72.5%)

  • Year Runs

  • 60 of 80 had run 2 or 3 times that year (75%)

Nor's has written a very informative blog on Royal Ascot Trainer Trends & Tips, which is worth a read

app review 2