Manchester City v Brighton Tips - Wednesday 9th May, kick off 20:00

  • Championes, Championes, Ole, Ole, Ole

  • Can record breaking City carry on breaking records?

  • This is a meeting between the highest goal scoring team at home and the lowest goal scoring team away from home.

Match Preview

First off welcome to "A Blue Point of View", my betting blog on Manchester City. I'm a season ticket holder at Manchester City and the purpose of the blog is to highlight where I believe the best bets are on our Premier League campaign and matches.

Some will be good, some will inevitably be bad but I'll try my best to be objective and be accurate with the information that I include in the blog.

Our 37th and final home game of the season see's us host Brighton and Hove Albion who at the time of writing look to be safe for another season in the English top flight. It's a huge achievement for Chris Houghton and his players and I'm sure all connected with Brighton will be very proud of what they've achieved this season. I'm also sure that all connected with the club will be breathing sigh's of relief seeing as they've not won a game since March (6 matches) and their last 3 Premier League games are against Man Utd, us and Liverpool. Had Brighton have only picked up say 34 points instead of the 37 they have then I'm sure they'd have been a few squeaky bums in Sussex over the next couple of weeks.

Brighton have based their season on being very well organised and hard to beat. At home it's paid dividends as they've only lost 4 games in the Premier League which is the same as Chelsea. However, away from home they've only managed 2 victories all season which were against West Ham and Swansea. Only Stoke City have won fewer games away from home than Brighton have and Brighton have also failed to score on 11 occasions away from the Amex which makes them the leagues lowest goal scorers away from home with a measly 9 goals.

Those stats on their away form makes tipping them to get anything virtually impossible in my opinion and City could rack up a few goals here maybe??

Premier League Head To Head


12/08/17
Brighton 0 - 2 Manchester City

5 Match Form (all competitions)

Manchester City

D W W W L

Brighton

W D D L D

Team and Injury News

Manchester City logo Sergio Aguero will definitely be out as he's had keyhole surgery on a knee injury. Vincent Kompany has missed our last 2 Premier League matches and it's unclear whether he'll be available for the game with Brighton.

Brighton&Hove_Albion.svg.png Steve Sidwell is the only known absentee for the Seagulls at this time.

Predicted Line Up and Formation

John Stones and Nicolas Otamendi started the game with Huddersfield and they could remain the centre back partnership for the visit of Brighton. Benjamin Mendy came on as a substitute during that game so he might also get a start here. Also this will be the last opportunity for club legend Yaya Toure to start at the Etihad so there's a possibility that we'll see the big Ivorian get a start here.

Man City: 4-3-3

  1. Ederson

  2. Walker

  3. Stones

  4. Otamendi

  5. Mendy

  6. Fernandinho

  7. Toure

  8. De Bruyne

  9. Sane

  10. Sterling

  11. Jesus

Substitutes:

Bravo, Danilo, Laporte, Delph, Gundogan, Bernardo Silva, David Silva

Key Match Statistics

6 of the last 7 Premier League games for Brighton have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals is 21/10 with 888Sport

Brighton have failed to score in 11 of their away games in the Premier League this season. They're the leagues lowest scorers away from home with just 9 goals.
City clean sheet is 6/10 with Ladbrokes

City win to nil is 8/11 with BetVictor

11 of Brighton's 18 away game in the Premier League this season have seen 2-3 goals scored in the game.
2-3 goals scored in the game is 7/5 with BetVictor

11 of City's 18 home games in the Premier League have seen over 3.5 goals scored in the match.
Over 3.5 goals scored is 5/4 with Betfair

City win/over 3.5 goals is 11/10 with Coral

Gabriel Jesus failed to score against Huddersfield but he had scored in his 4 matches before that game.
Gabriel Jesus anytime goal scorer is 3/4 with Coral

Gabriel Jesus 1st goal is 3/1 with PaddyPower

Key Player

Gabriel Jesus will be key. We faced a very stubborn and committed side in Huddersfield on Sunday and we drew what was a rare blank as the game finished 0-0. I'm expecting Brighton to be just as well organised and committed so when a chance presents itself, it has to be converted and the recent form of Gabriel Jesus means that he could play a big part in us not only winning the game but also breaking the Premier League goal scoring record and wins record that have both been held by Chelsea.

Fan Prediction

It does seem like this will be another routine home victory for the Blues and the long odds of 33/1 for the Brighton win suggests that the bookies also feel that the home win is very likely.

You also cannot ignore Brighton's away record this season. Just 2 away victories and 9 goals away from the Amex is very poor indeed and travelling all over the country as a Brighton supporter this season must have tested even the most hardcore of supporters patience at times. A fairly high scoring win to nil does seem the most likely outcome here in my opinion.

City to win 3-0 is 11/2 with PaddyPower, City to win 4-0 is 17/2 with Betfair and City to win 5-0 is 14/1 with PaddyPower

Best Match Odds

Manchester City 1/7 with Betway, Draw 10/1 with Betfair, Brighton 25/1 with Unibet

My Tips for the Match

I'm happy to go with what I had for the Huddersfield game despite none of the bets coming home in that game. Brighton will be similar with regard commitment and discipline but their away form can't be ignored so it does seem unlikely that they'll cause us too many problems.

City win to nil @ 8/11 with BetVictor

City to win both halves @ 5/6 with BetStars

Gabriel Jesus anytime goal scorer @ 3/4 with Betway

Gabriel Jesus 1st goal @ 3/1 with PaddyPower

City to win 3-0 @ 6/1 with BetStars

City win 4-0 @ 8/1 with BetStars

My Best Bet for the Match

Using dutching system backing both correct scores.

Current Blog Profit/Loss

Here I'll keep track on my profit/loss for the season to a 1 point stake.

The Huddersfield game was a complete disaster for my betting as an unexpected 0-0 draw ensued which resulted in all 5 of my bets losing.

My Current Blog LSP: -17.38

My Current Best Bet LSP: -6.88

Thank You for reading the blog. I hope you find it useful when making selections on Manchester City matches.

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