Jun 21st, 2015, 16 comments
I am a huge National Hunt Horse Racing fan/owner and a Crystal Palace fan.
We preview every race on day one using video form, stats and OLBG members tip comments to find you the winners.
The race that starts everything off with the roar, as Supreme Novices go this looks a fairly average race, the favourite Getabird was last seen winning in good fashion from Mengli Khan at Punchestown in the Moscow Flyer. Given connections record alone in the race it is easy to see why tipsters such as Micko70 are favouring Willie Mullins runner: “Willie Mullins has won the Supreme Hurdle four times in the last eleven years, this fella was well fancied for the bumper last year but wasn't quite ready," he said in his tip before adding: "He had his first hurdle race in December over two mile four furlongs and won easily enough and followed that with another easy win in a Grade Two at Punchestown.”
Getabird entered for the Moscow Flyer at Punchestown on Saturday.— OLBG Betting Tips (@OLBG) January 9, 2018
Hands up if you think like me he is going right to the top 🙋pic.twitter.com/T1ZLDFtSkv
He was put up in my ante-post blog earlier in the season at a massive 16/1, now around 6/4 he is not the most exciting betting proposition and a case for a few alternatives can be made, Summerville Boy (10/1) is one such candidate. Tom George’s horse got the better of Betfair Hurdle winner Kalashnikov (9/2) in the Tolworth, That looks fairly strong form and has caught tipster 'Gmac84' attention: “Summerville Boy is appealing to me. He beat Kalashnikov in the Tolworth Hurdle, whilst Amy Murphy’s horse went on to win the Betfair, that race hasn’t been the greatest prep for the Supreme in the past.
"He's got course experience at Cheltenham too which is a bonus. He's not 100% for this but I would suspect he will run in this race."
I can’t wait to see what the OLBG members tip on the day of the race my prediction will be Getabird will be popular as a win selection but many will look at each way alternatives such as Kalashniov and Summerville boy.
We will probably get a small field the race is never a boring one, punters were disappointed earlier in the week to lose Sceu Royal from the event, fingers crossed we get him back for Aintree. His owners have the favourite in the race with Footpad (6/4) and he has been well supported from his very first start over fences to be a top class chaser. He was a good horse over hurdles but the larger obstacles have been the making of him. He gave the second favourite for the Arkle Petit Mouchoir (9/4) a fair beating when they met at the Dublin Racing Festival but that has not deterred some OLBG tipsters who are expecting trainer Henry De Bromhead to work his magic. Long time OLBG member and racing tipster ‘Nicoista’ makes this argument as to why he is behind Petit Mouchoir to reverse the form.
“Great performance by Footpad yesterday, jumping spot on in the whole, but I would rather be with Petit Mouchoir. It looked an eye catching performance after a layoff due to injury, he was really buzzy in the paddock and fresh early on and made a couple of early mistakes, one especially bad where he ploughed through the fence where he did well to stay on his feet. I think Davy Russell wasn’t overly hard on him once the race had gone. These two look by far the best two mile novices around and Footpad is a worthwhile favourite,but I can see the places being reversed come Cheltenham. Footpad has had a clear run all season while Petit Mouchoir has had an interrupted campaign and had only the two starts against a more experienced horse. Also he has beaten him over hurdles at Cheltenham, whilst Footpad has improved for the switch to fences but there still plenty more to come from Petit Mouchoir.”
Many are anticipating this to be one of the best clashes of the week and I am very excited to see who the OLBG tipsters will be favouring come the day of the race.
Our first Festival handicap looks like most races at Cheltenham a tricky puzzle to solve, we can offer you a tip that has plenty of support on the OLBG forum. Several tipsters are very keen on Singlefarmpayment (10/1), back in December ‘JoeWBA’ made this comment about Tom George’s horse: “hoping that they put Singlefarmpayment away for this, as he is still on a very workable mark, he was still moving very well when he came down on Saturday. A nice, quiet prep run as they did before the Hennessy should have him spot on for another bold bid."
Fast forward to March and he has been allotted a mark that will see him run off just shy of eleven stone in a race he came second in last year, both ‘Shrews’ and Gman84 have added their support to the 10/1 shot and with such good arguments being made by the tipsters we shall add him to the ante post portfolio.
This race at one stage looked to be the head to head we all wanted, a returning hero in Faugheen (13/2) facing the reigning champion Buveur D'Air (1/2), sadly with the issues with Faugheen has seen interest in backing Willie Mullins ten year old limited from our tipsters. With challengers lacking Nicky Henderson’s horse is already a short price most are resigned to looking in the without market or at each way alternatives. The one horse that could just ignite the race is Yorkhill (12/1), only recently confirmed as heading for this race he would need to have a serious recovery of his form. Gman84 gives the former Festival winner a positive shout: "if the real talent shines through, he's got a live chance but he's a challenge to control, completely hard to trust and had a poor prep for this although lets not forget Buveur D'Air was off chasing the first part of last season."
There is one horse that for place purposes alone deserves a mention, My Tent Or Yours (10/1) has been a true stable star for Nicky Henderson and has placed in the race on multiple occasions, 'jonah01' gives him another big shout as an each way bet for the race: "with form figures at Cheltenham of five second place finishes and a win in six runs this surely has to be the each way bet of the Festival. He has been a legend for Nicky Henderson and his win over the New One in the December meeting where he battled hard up the hill to beat him in the finish was admirable to say the least.
"He will be running fresh after a three month lay off and yes Buveur D'Air looks a machine and unbeatable but on his day if My Tent Or Yours having a good one and Buveur D'Air not, this could be his one last chance of Champion Hurdle glory, let's hope so he deserves it!"
You can hear what Nicky Henderson said about his Champion Hurdle runners in our extensive interview right here:
We come to our race which last season was arguably the highlight of the entire Festival as we had three top class mares battling it out up the Hill. The fortunes for the first two home has differed somewhat since that race. Apples Jade (4/6) is this years favourite considered a banker bet by many and has beaten all before her, Vroum Vroum Mag (8/1) has not been seen since Punchestown and there was talk of retirement for her at one stage this season, reports recently have been more positive about her from trainer Willie Mullins. He could have several others in the race with owner Rich Ricci offering positive words about the lightly raced Benie Des Dieux (11/2), that horse could just be something special back over hurdles having only been seen chasing for her current trainer. It is not just between those connections this year however, La Bague Au Roi that may yet run in the Stayers Hurdle or this race over two miles four furlongs. Warren Greatrex has had a fantastic season with his mare that we have seen plenty of in our sponsored races. Many within the OLBG community feel she could be the each way angle should she run in the race. Given 10/1 is on offer with the Non runner no bet concession at time of writing tipsters such as ‘Arc Jimmy’ are advising you to have a second look at a horse that had like the favourite has won three times this season from her three starts. If you still aren't sure to back why not check out our short video below talking about the race and have a read of this great trends blog from Micko70 right here
Our race next week at the Festival is going to be a cracker.— OLBG Betting Tips (@OLBG) March 6, 2018
Check out some of the contenders for glory right here. pic.twitter.com/aEb8Eexaqb
A race that has been won by some proper stayers over the years, Cause Of Causes probably goes down as my favourite winner of recent times and he has gone on to become a multiple Festival winner. This year the market is a bit mixed with several at the top of the betting likely to be running in other races. Elegant Escape (8/1) would be a very interesting runner, he has some great form this season and would look the type to relish this kind of trip, Colin Tizzard did warn against confirming where he goes until he knows who he has lined up to ride his novice chaser should he go for the longer novice chase event.
One quirk of the race is that you have only amateur riders permitted to take part in the event. Top Irish amateurs become very sought after and have a decent record of riding the winner. Keeper Hill (16/1) for Warren Greatrex is a runner that may attract OLBG tipsters on the day, he has more or less been kept to small field races and did suffer a fall last time out, that said the seven year old by Westerner has impressed his trainer he said this regarding his chances: “He has got a few options but I would say the four-miler is the favourite for him. I think he is a dour stayer. I think the RSA is the harder race. He has got a bit of class and I finished second in the race last year with Missed Approach and this horse would be better than him.”
It is challenging for tipsters to try and get a strong view of the race with so many yet to be confirmed, it will pay to visit the app on the day of the race to see what is being supported.
We reach the closing race on day one and it gets no easier to find the winner, this handicap is going to have a very compressed feel to it, ‘Shrews’ in the ante post forum thread points out the good record Nicky Henderson has in the race he runs Rather Be (10/1) & Divine Spear (14/1): “Nicky Henderson won this in 2013 and had three seconds since 2011. This has been Rather Be's only Cheltenham entry for some time and his best hurdles form came at this distance. He's campaigned over shorter in his three chases so far but he should excel upped in trip.”
Local trainer Fergal O’Brein has had a great season and his yard love to have a winner at Cheltenham, Festival form of any sort is well worth a second look. His horse in this Barney Dwan (16/1) finished second here last year in the Pertemps and the trainer himself told us he felt it was one of their best chances of the week.
Great to talk to @FOBRacing about featuring on the panel for our Cheltenham Festival preview night @CheltenhamRaces on Sunday the 11th of March— OLBG Betting Tips (@OLBG) February 22, 2018
Don't forget we will be streaming it live! pic.twitter.com/S3SgkL8AS2
I am a huge National Hunt Horse Racing fan/owner and a Crystal Palace fan.