The HT/FT OF Burnley/Draw looks overpriced at 16/1 with Bet 365
Old England v New England in Hodgson v Dyche.
Will injurys result in a stalemate?
Burnley’s much-vaunted defensive record has taken something of a battering lately. In 5 matches since 23 December, they have conceded 11 goals only one less than they had conceded in the league all season up to that date.In fairness, those goals have all come against Tottenham, Man United, Liverpool and Man City and their record of not conceding more than one goal in a premier league game against any team outside the ‘Big Six’ is still intact.Burnley’s defence is the predominant feature of a team that has confounded many of last summer’s predictions, so much so that they could now almost consider themselves pretty much safe to plan for another season in the Premier League next year.
This is a remarkable situation when you consider that the Clarets have only scored 19 league goals in 22 games.Despite this downturn in form, Burnley have still shown great resilience on the road losing only at the Etihad and King Power stadiums this season. Many of these performances have been built on great defensive organisation along with some good finishing to take advantage of rare openings in attack. This is in stark contrast to last season’s away form, in which their only victory was at Selhurst Park at the end of April.
Palace themselves have recovered well from their chaotic start to the season, losing only one match, against Arsenal, in their last 11 Premier League games. In their last home game, they came within a whisker of becoming the first domestic team this season to inflict a defeat on Man City.Roy Hodgson has managed a squad of players containing some real quality through some serious injuries and that awful start to looking a good bet to be taking their place next August for a sixth consecutive season amongst the elite level.
Last Five Head To Head
10 Sept 17 Burnley 1-0 Palace
29 Apr 17 Palace 0-2 Burnley
5 Nov 16 Burnley 3-2 Palace
17 Jan 15 Burnley 2-3 Palace
13 Sept 14 Palace 0-0 Burnley
Palace showed some real resilience in their last league outing at Southampton, coming back from the disappointment of missing out on a victory over high-flying City last time out and a goal down to a Shane Long strike, Hodgson reshuffled his team and won the game with two late goals from McArthur and Milivojevic.Burnley, despite disappointing results, have actually put in some decent performances of late particularly in the early stages of matches.
Team News And Predicted Line-Ups
Palace have suffered lately with serious injuries to key players in Scott Dann and Jason Puncheon. They join long-term absentee Connor Wickham on the sidelines. Mamadou Sakho is also likely to miss out this weekend, whilst Joel Ward and Reuben Loftus-Cheek could be in with a chance of returning against Burnley.Against Southampton, Palace were losing at half-time with Yohan Cabaye looking tired after tough games against Arsenal and City. Roy Hodgson made a change, bringing on Patrick van Aanholt for the Frenchman and then a further change of Bakary Sako for Jeffery Schlupp, pushed star man Wilfried Zaha out to his more customary left wing position, with van Aanholt moving to left back and reaped the rewards for his tactical nous with two late goals from midfield duo McArthur and Milivojevic to steal the points from Pellegrino’s beleaguered Saints.
Burnley have had injury problems of their own this season losing goalkeeper Tom Heaton to a dislocated shoulder in the reverse fixture against Palace at Turf Moor in September and full backs Matt Lowton and Stephen Ward to less serious injuries more recently. The fact that the defence has mostly carried on in the same parsimonious fashion is testament to replacements Nick Pope, Phil Bardsley and Charlie Taylor but also to the fantastic level of defensive organisation and shape drilled into the team by Sean Dyche and his coaching staff.
It has arguably been further up the pitch where Burnley have been hit harder by injuries to striker Chris Wood and to a season-ending knock to winger Robbie Brady. Brady, in particular, has been missed as he was in his best form in a Burnley shirt at the time of his injury. Wood may have a chance of returning on Saturday but Ashley Barnes has performed well in his absence with fellow strikers Sam Vokes, Nahki Wells and Jon Walters providing support from the bench.
Crystal Palace (4-4-2)
3 van Aanholt
17 Berg Gudmundsson
My Betting Tips and Predictions
Burnley, of late, have had a tendency to start away matches aggressively, try to gain an advantage and defend deeper and deeper as the match progresses into the second half.This, and Palace’s record of claiming points from losing positions, persuades me to predict a tight game finishing 1-1. I expect a low-scoring game, with any advantage only being by a single goal, betting on Burnley with the handicap could be worthwhile. I think a Burnley at half-time/ draw at full-time bet may be of value in this encounter.
Crystal Palace v Burnley Betting Tips
Correct Score Tip: 1-1 at 11/2 with Paddy Power.
Burnley + 0.5 at 15/16 with BetVictor.
HT/FT Burnley/Draw at 16/1 with BetVictor.
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