Football journalist working in Liverpool covering both Everton and Liverpool in the Premier League and Champions League/Europa League.
It seems likely there will be goals in this one
The stats suggest Lyon are in for a dull first half
Both teams to score appears to be as safe a bet as possible
Just as they have disappointed in Premier League so far this season, Everton have also disappointed in the Europa League .
The Blues headed into the competition with high hopes at the beginning of the campaign, with Ronald Koeman and his team likely eyeing up the competition as a route into the Champions League next season.
That would require them winning the competition, as Manchester United did last season, and after a strong summer transfer window, there was a belief that was more than achievable.
Instead, they have lost one and drawn the other in their two games so far and now find themselves in a must-win situation in their back to back games against Lyon.
They currently lag behind the top teams in France, with nine points separating them from leaders Paris Saint Germain.
It means Everton should be confident of getting the three points they need at Goodison Park, although given their current poor run of form, that could be a lot tougher.
L D W W L
D D D L D
Everton currently have the joint most injuries in the Premier League, with five of their first team out at present, all of which are long-term injuries.
That formation is the best fit for his current crop of players and with the need for a win so high; he cannot afford to experiment any longer.
Jordan Pickford is the number one in goal while Leighton Baines and Michael Keane are guaranteed starters in defence. Given Ashley Williams' struggles, he should be replaced by Phil Jagielka while Jonjoe Kenny deserves his chance at right back.
One of Morgan Schneiderlin or Idrissa Gana Gueye should partner Tom Davies in central midfield and on this occasion is likely to be Gueye who drops out.
Gylfi Sigurdsson has to start in the number ten role with two wingers either side of him. Ademola Lookman deserves a chance, as does Kevin Nikola Vlasic, who has impressed since arriving in the summer.
Up front, it is a choice between Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Wayne Rooney. On current form, it should be the youngster.
Stekelenburg, Martina, Williams, Gana Gueye, Mirallas, Sandro; Rooney.
Lyon have suffered something of an injury crisis heading into this game, with no fewer than five first-team players out injured. Mariano Diaz and Ferland Mendy both picked up knocks this week while Pape Cheikh Diop, Clement Grenier and Jeremy Morel are all also absent.
Everton have won six of their last eight home games in the Europa League, they've won two of their three under Ronald Koeman this season.
The Blues have scored at least one goal in seven of their last eight Europa League games at Goodison Park and scored in five consecutive home games to boot. They've managed at least two in six of those eight and 50% of those games have seen over 2.5 goals in total.
Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last eight Europa League games at home but have only conceded more than one goal in one of those eight games, the 2-2 draw with Apollon last time around.
100% of Lyon's goals in the Europa League have come between the 45th and 60th minute this season. Everton, meanwhile, have scored their goals at various times, but are yet to get one in the first 15 minutes.
Lyon have won just three of their last eight away games in the Europa League.
The French side have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five consecutive away games in Europe. They've managed just one in their last eight, a 1-0 win over Astra in 2014.
Lyon are almost guaranteed a goal on their travels in the Europa League, having managed to score in their last nine consecutive away games in the competition. They've managed to score more than one goal in just two of those games, though.
Gylfi Sigurdsson . The Iceland midfielder is yet to justify his summer price tag and it is time that turned around. Everton need a creative spark and he is the man to provide it, if he is on his game, they stand a much better chance of getting all three points.
Nabil Fekir is the creative force in the number ten role for Lyon. Everton have been giving free reign to such players so far this season and he could take advantage of that fact.
Everton have been very porous at the back this season and Lyon should be able to take advantage of that. Despite that, though, the Blues are usually strong at Goodison Park and should be able to secure all three points.
Everton to win 2-1 8/1 with BetVictor
Everton: 5/4 (Unibet)
Draw: 5/2 (Bet365)
Lyon: 8/5 (BetFred)
Everton have scored in five consecutive home games in the Europa League while Lyon have scored in nine consecutive away games in the competition. Both teams to score is 8/13 with Bet365.
Indeed, it seems likely that there will be goals in this and Bet365 will give you 4/5 for over 2.5 goals in total.
Lyon are yet to score a first-half goal in the Europa League this season, with their first goal coming in the 49th minute on average. Betway will give you 21/10 for their first goal to come in the second half.
Everton will be desperate to get the win they need to keep their Europa League hopes alive. They're going to need to score goals to do it though.
Everton to win and over 2.5 goals is 11/5 with Betway.
Dec 3rd, 2017, 0 comments
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