undertherobe's Profile

If it's a sport then you'll probably find me watching it somewhere. Trying to perfect my betting discipline and making less but more-informed bets.

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Peach Bowl Preview: Auburn vs UCF

Dec 30th, 2017 at 22:07 American Football 1 comments

Peach Bowl Central Florida (12) vs Auburn (7) UCF representing the Group of Five and the only undefeated team left in the country Can Auburn pick themselves up after being just one win away from the playoffs? Will Scott Frost sign off from UCF with a bowl win? Match Preview UCF finished the season ranked 12th in the polls and as the only undefeated team left in the country, they were a shoe-in for …

Orange Bowl Preview: Wisconsin vs Miami

Dec 29th, 2017 at 22:11 American Football 0 comments

Orange Bowl Wisconsin (6) vs Miami (10) Miami back in a New Year’s Six Bowl game for the first time since 2005 Wisconsin fell at the final hurdle again. Can they bounce back? Two turnover prone QBs face off against two turnover hungry defenses Match Preview Just one win was all Wisconsin needed to push themselves into the playoffs, but just like 2014 and 2016, they failed in the Big Ten Championship. Like …

Fiesta Bowl Preview: Washington vs Penn State

Dec 28th, 2017 at 21:41 American Football 0 comments

Fiesta Bowl Washington (11) vs Penn State (9) Penn State looking for a seventh Fiesta Bowl win Chris Petersen returns to the scene of one of his greatest coaching accomplishments Will Saquon Barkley sign off from College Football with a first Bowl win Match Preview Both these teams had playoff aspirations heading into the 2017 season but crucial losses down the stretch put paid to those chances. For Washington, it was road losses at …

Cotton Bowl Classic Preview: USC vs Ohio State

Dec 27th, 2017 at 22:49 American Football 0 comments

Cotton Bowl Classic USC (8) vs Ohio State (5) Will this be Sam Darnold’s last game at USC? Both teams with a point to prove to the College Football Playoff Committee USC looking for their most wins in a season since 2008 Match Preview The first of this year’s New Year’s Six Bowl games pits two Conference Champions who failed to make it into the playoffs thanks to what some may perceive as SEC bias. …

College Football: Bowl Season Preview with Tips

Dec 13th, 2017 at 21:35 American Football 2 comments

After another enthralling College Football season, Bowl season is upon us. 40 Bowl games will be played out between December 16th and January 8th, when one of Clemson, Oklahoma, Georgia or Alabama will be crowned the 2017 National Champion. Generally, a team needs to win at least six games to become Bowl eligible, and the various bowl games have tie-ins with different conferences. For example, the Las Vegas Bowl usually …

Three takeaways from the opening to the College Football season

Sep 17th, 2017 at 23:41 American Football 0 comments

Clemson keep on rolling The Big Ten East continues to be impossible to predict Can the American Athletic Conference roll with the big boys? It's been an electric start to the season in College Football. We've had big games, big finishes and big plays. We've had surprise wins and not so surprise wins whilst we've also had a 3rd & 93! With three weeks in the book, and the bulk of conference play …

College Football: Clemson (3) @ Louisville (14) Betting Preview and Best Bet

Sep 15th, 2017 at 22:55 American Football 2 comments

Clemson (3) @ Louisville (14) An early ACC Atlantic decider? Is Lamar Jackson on course for another Heisman season? Match Preview Going into this season the outlook for these teams was pretty much the same. They'll go close but Florida State will be too strong. Clemson will struggle to replace DeShaun Watson immediately whilst Lamar Jackson won't be able to put up his gaudy 2016 numbers. . Just one game into the season, that …

College Football: Oklahoma (5) @ Ohio State (2) Preview and Best Bets

Sep 7th, 2017 at 22:45 American Football 0 comments

Oklahoma (5) @ Ohio State (2) Is this a potential play-off preview? How will the post Bob Stoops era start for the Sooners? Are J.T Barrett and Baker Mayfield future NFL stars? Match Preview This is an early chance for revenge for the Sooners after last year's 45-24 loss at home to Ohio State. Oklahoma had the much easier task last week, and came through pretty unscathed against UTEP, winning 56-7. Ohio State began …

College Football: Auburn (13) @ Clemson (3) Preview and Best Bets

Sep 7th, 2017 at 19:50 American Football 2 comments

Auburn (13) @ Clemson (3) Will a win over Auburn propel Clemson to the National title again? How will two inexperience QBs fare against elite defenses? Match Preview Big games come thick and fast in College Football, and after a cupcake to open for each of these teams, they both get a chance to stake an early claim for a playoff spot by claiming a big win. Life after DeShaun began in decent …

College Football: Alabama (1) vs Florida State (3) Preview & Best Bets

Aug 30th, 2017 at 22:48 American Football 0 comments

Florida State (3) vs Alabama (1) Do the winners of this game have one foot in the playoffs? Will Nick Saban finally lose on opening weekend? Does Jimbo Fisher own the SEC? Match Preview So here we are, after months of waiting, the College Football season is finally upon us. Ignore the fact that a handful of games were played last week. This is Week One, and ever since the schedule was released, only …

Three non-Power Five schools to watch in 2017

Aug 27th, 2017 at 22:26 American Football 0 comments

Each season, the highest ranked school from outside the Power Five gets to mix it with the big boys at one of the New Year's Day Bowl games. Last year it was the 13-0 Western Michigan Broncos from the MAC whilst in 2015/16 it was the 12-1 Houston Cougars from the American Conference who were the last non Power Five school to win a New Year's bowl game when they …

2017 Heisman Trophy Preview

Jul 19th, 2017 at 20:58 American Football 0 comments

The Heisman Trophy is awarded at the end of each College Football season to the most outstanding player in College over the previous season. As with any long term betting, the market can be quite volatile with things like injury or a couple of poor performances in a big game causing a player's Heisman stock to plummet. Likewise, a couple of standout performances in big games can suddenly see a player …

5 NFL rookies to watch in 2017

Jun 14th, 2017 at 22:47 American Football 0 comments

For the last 3 years, I've taken a look through the NFL Draft and picked out a player from each round who I thought was capable of having a long career in the NFL. This year, I'm changing the format slightly and instead of pigeon holing myself into picking a player from each round, I'll be looking at rounds 2-7 as a whole to identify the five players who I …

NFL Offseason: Should the Cleveland Browns stick or twist?

Feb 15th, 2017 at 21:47 American Football 0 comments

As a New York Jets fan, disappointment is something I've become accustomed to when watching the NFL. Bad ownership, bad management, bad play, and of course, that pesky Brady/Belichick partnership over in New England that has pretty much made the AFC East a one-way ticket to an early end to the season for the last 15 years. However, as bad it sometimes gets for Gang Green, spare a thought for the …

Super Bowl LII: Early Trend Picks

Feb 13th, 2017 at 22:09 American Football 1 comments

The 2016 NFL season may have ended just a few days ago, but it's never too early to start looking ahead to next season. Now of course we still have free agency and the draft still to come, and there will be plenty of personnel changes ahead of us that will affect the dynamics of the 2017 season. But with the bookmaker's already offering odds on the winner of Super …

Superbowl LI: Prop bet crazy

Feb 3rd, 2017 at 08:43 American Football 0 comments

It's Superbowl weekend once more and as usual, there's an array of prop bets to choose from. We've now become more accustomed in the UK to more than just the point spread and total markets, and each week in the NFL there are over 200 betting markets. However, the Superbowl is next level crazy when it comes to prop bets with plenty of markets for the bookies to lure in the …

Does recent playoff experience and/or success give teams an advantage in the NFL?

Jan 13th, 2017 at 18:45 American Football 1 comments

Looking back over last weekend's wildcard games got me thinking. Teams change coaches and playing personnel all the time, but regardless of those changes, does the very fact that one team has had recent success in the playoffs (even moderate success) give them an advantage if their opponents haven't played a playoff game in some time (or gone years since a playoff win)? 2014 Superbowl winners Seattle disposed of a Detroit …

Can defense propel a team to Superbowl victory?

Jan 3rd, 2017 at 21:08 American Football 1 comments

This time last year, I wrote a blog looking at recent defensive trends in the NFL and whether these carried through into the postseason. Although the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS pick didn't work out, the blog also identified the DENVER BRONCOS as potential Superbowl winners based on their strong defensive play and they duly delivered with 7/2 (AFC Champions) and 7/1 (Superbowl) winners. So what about 2016? Are there any strong defenses …

Betting Tips And Preview For Bowl Season Part Five: The New Year's Six

Dec 30th, 2016 at 16:54 American Football 0 comments

This is the fifth and final instalment of my previews for each bowl game this season. This blog focuses on the major bowl games, collectively known as the New Year' Six, and features the two college football playoff semi-finals...... For a brief guide to the bowl season, please check out my earlier blog here . For another look at the first bowl season blog, please click here . For another look at the …

Betting Tips And Preview For Bowl Season Part Four: December 29th To January 2nd

Dec 28th, 2016 at 23:30 American Football 0 comments

I love the period in between Christmas and New Year as bowl season really hits the burners with the games coming thick and fast. This is the fourth instalment of my betting previews for every bowl game this season and covers the final ten bowl games that are outside the New Year's Six (these will be covered in a separate blog). The games start on December 29th and go through …

Betting Tips and Preview for Bowl Season Part Three: December 27th to December 29th

Dec 26th, 2016 at 21:33 American Football 0 comments

After a break for Christmas Day, bowl games come thick and fast with 23 games between Boxing Day and New Year's Day. This is the third part of my look through every bowl game and after going 5-3 in part one, I also went 5-3 in part two. This blog covers another eight bowl games starting with the Heart of Dallas Bowl on December 27th and ending with the Texas …

Bowl Season Part Two: December 23rd to December 26th

Dec 22nd, 2016 at 22:35 American Football 0 comments

It was a good start to the bowl season with the first blog of the season going 5-3. There's still another 32 games to go plus the National Championship so plenty of opportunity to increase the profit. This blog will cover the eight games starting on December 23rd and going through to Boxing Day (December 26th). For a brief guide to the bowl season, please check out my earlier blog here …

Betting Tips and Preview for the opening week of Bowl Season

Dec 16th, 2016 at 22:40 American Football 0 comments

With the regular season and championship games in the book, we've finally reached bowl season. 40 games over the next three-plus weeks which will see plenty of drama and a new national champion crowned (unless Alabama retain their crown). This blog is the first of a host of planned previews for each bowl game, starting with a bumper opening day on Saturday which will see five bowl games. For a brief …

Betting Tips and Betting Guide to Bowl Season

Dec 14th, 2016 at 21:31 American Football 4 comments

For College Football fans, the upcoming holiday season means one thing - Bowl Season. Throughout the entire season, I'll be providing regular blogs and betting tips + my thoughts on the games, + some key points to watch out for and remember, this is the final time we'll get to see some of the top draft picks for 2017 in actual game action. But before we get to the previews, I've …

A look at the top eight in College Football heading into Championship weekend

Dec 2nd, 2016 at 19:26 American Football 0 comments

The penultimate college football rankings left us with plenty of conundrums as we head into Championship weekend and at least two of the top ten will end the weekend with another loss on their résumé. So who are the current top four and who are the teams waiting in the wings should one of them slip up? The top four 1. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0) The tide are the unanimous number one and with …

College Football Week Twelve: A whistle stop tour through the top ten

Nov 18th, 2016 at 15:53 American Football 0 comments

If you were a top ten team then week eleven was brutal as five of the top ten lost including the teams ranked two, three and four. However, despite the carnage it had little effect on the playoff rankings with Michigan and Clemson remaining inside the top four and Washington only dropping down to number six. As per the previous weeks, I released my own set of rankings and you …

Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans Preview

Nov 12th, 2016 at 10:29 American Football 0 comments

After the carnage of week nine, last week passed off with little fuss at the top of the rankings with all five unbeaten teams remaining so and from the top eight, only no.4 Texas A&M lost. You can check out my top six to see where I rank the best teams in college football. This week sees very few stellar matchups and for those at the top, it's all about taking …

College Football: 8-0 teams in focus this week with just one month of season left

Nov 5th, 2016 at 11:49 American Football 0 comments

It was carnage last week as four of the seven unbeaten teams in action lost their zero which leaves us with just five unbeaten teams as we head into week ten. This week saw the first playoff committee rankings of the season and I wrote a blog with my own personal top six. The six teams were the same as the official rankings but aside from number one ALABAMA, the teams …

College Football Playoff: My rankings

Oct 31st, 2016 at 22:08 American Football 0 comments

We're now nine weeks into the 2016 College Football season and November 1st sees the first set of playoff rankings from the committee. Although these rankings mean little with plenty of games still to play, it will give us a great idea as to their thinking and where certain conferences may end up in the crucial end of season rankings. Everyone has an opinion on where certain teams should be ranked …

College Football Week Nine: Seven unbeaten teams on the road

Oct 29th, 2016 at 10:50 American Football 4 comments

We were always going to lose one unbeaten team last week with Alabama hosting Texas A&M but the Aggies were joined surprisingly by Ohio State in falling to their first loss as the Buckeyes lost 24-21 at Penn State. That leaves just nine unbeaten teams in college football as we head into the final week before the first playoff rankings of the season. After becoming the first two teams to reach …

College Football Week Eight: Top ten watch

Oct 21st, 2016 at 21:00 American Football 0 comments

Oh dear. Another egg was laid last week on the blog and it's now 8 losers and a push over the last three weeks. Last week wasn't as bad as an 0-3 week sounds though as despite Houston getting pushed all the way by Tulsa and coming nowhere near covering the -21 spread, a late field goal pushed Indiana to a 5 point defeat and outside the +3 spread whilst …

College Football week Seven: Can Houston bounce back and rescue their season?

Oct 13th, 2016 at 22:17 American Football 0 comments

Another poor week for the blog last week after going0-2 with one push last week. Tennessee almost pulled off yet another comeback, falling 45-38 in overtime, leaving the +7 as a void bet. Miami missed a PAT with less than two minutes left that would have taken their game with Florida State into overtime whilst Western Michigan won again to move to 6-0 but a 45-30 win wasn't enough to …

College Football Week Six: Riding the Tennessee bandwagon

Oct 7th, 2016 at 21:31 American Football 1 comments

It's been a while since this blog went 0-3 but it wasn't my day last week as all three recommended bets fell short. TCU had an early 21-7 lead but being outscored 42-3 in the middle two quarters effectively ended the bet although it was an Oklahoma field goal inside the last two minutes that gave the Sooners a 52-46 win that helped them cover the -3.5. Louisville led …

College Football Week Five: Can Louisville's dream start continue?

Sep 30th, 2016 at 00:45 American Football 0 comments

A disappointing week last week with the blog going just 1-2 with only UMass keeping things close against Mississippi State preventing a complete whitewash. That puts the season record at 6-6 and it's onwards and upwards this week with some huge games on the slate. We have two all top ten matchups this week and one of those, Louisville at Clemson is covered further down in this week's blog. Underdog of the …

College Football Week Four: Clemson face daunting trip to Atlanta

Sep 21st, 2016 at 21:28 American Football 1 comments

So week four is here already and after three weeks of action, teams are starting to build a body of work that makes it easier for us to establish their likely performance level. After a losing week previously, it was back to winning ways last week as the blog went 2-1 including North Dakota State's upset win in Iowa (I took the +14.5 as the markets went up with barely …

College Football Week Three: Can Ole Miss make it three in a row against Alabama?

Sep 16th, 2016 at 22:10 American Football 0 comments

And so here we are in week three already. Time waits for no-one and every week is crucial in college football with every loss pushing teams further away from their goals. Week two was a bit of a dud for the blog as it went just 1-2, Western Kentucky getting a late touchdown to cover the spread meant it was a good start but it went downhill from there with …

College Football - what we learnt in week two

Sep 11th, 2016 at 23:28 American Football 0 comments

Another week down in college football and whilst we're still a good few weeks away from finding out what the playoff committee are thinking, plenty of teams are already putting forward a good case that they can challenge the top four in 2016 whilst there are some which are proving that 2016 won't be their year.... Clemson may not even be a top two team in their own division The CLEMSON …

College Football Week Two: Football at a racetrack?

Sep 8th, 2016 at 22:26 American Football 0 comments

A solid opening week for the blog, going 2-1 with Kansas State's defense keeping Stanford in check and Alabama destroying USC. Unfortunately, the points fest between Houston and Oklahoma didn't materialise which prevented a perfect week. For three things we learnt from week one, please check out my blog here Underdog of the Week I may well be setting myself up to look like a fool here but a week after backing ALABAMA …

College Football: what we learnt in week one

Sep 5th, 2016 at 19:01 American Football 0 comments

Week one is almost over (just Ole Miss and Florida State to come on Monday night) so it's time to take a look back through the action and see if there is anything we can learn to help us going forward..... Fournette looks anything but a Heisman candidate LEONARD FOURNETTE opened his sophomore season with seven straight 150 yard games, 15 touchdowns and averaging 7.68 yards per carry. Then came the …

College Football Week One: Roll Tide

Sep 1st, 2016 at 21:24 American Football 0 comments

After the curtain raiser in Sydney last week, we have a full slate of games in college football this week across the entire weekend, starting Thursday through to Monday. It's the third season of the College Football Playoff and we now have a better idea of what the committee are looking for. But before we get to the playoff rankings which are still a couple of months away, we have week …

NFL - Offensive Rookie of the year 2016

Aug 29th, 2016 at 09:13 American Football 1 comments

Todd Gurley won the offensive rookie of the year award last season and in doing so, gave me a 14/1 winner and also became the 12th first round pick over the last 13 seasons to win the award. Only Eddie Lacy in 2013 has bucked that trend and the first round is where I'll be focusing my attentions again in 2016. Unfortunately for offensive linemen and tight ends, this award seems …

2016 College Football Preview

Aug 19th, 2016 at 22:55 American Football 0 comments

In my first preview blog for the 2016 College Football season, I looked at the trends from previous seasons to pick out three potential winners of the National Championship. This blog focuses on the five teams at the top of the betting market and looks at their chances of winning it all in 2016 as well as giving a projected win total for each of the five teams..... Alabama Crimson Tide …

College Football National Championship Trends

Aug 2nd, 2016 at 21:52 American Football 0 comments

The College Football season is just around the corner and with it, the perfect Saturday prequel to Sunday's NFL action. There are 127 teams in Division One of College Football but there can only be one National Championship winner. Defending Champions ALABAMA lead the betting at 7/1 whilst a truly speculative punt can get you 10,000/1 on the likes of CHARLOTTE or TROY. I'll be doing a more in depth preview …

Why the New York Jets need to re-sign Ryan Fitzpatrick

Jul 26th, 2016 at 20:56 American Football 0 comments

Such is the way of the NFL in 2016 that when a player signs a lucrative contract (whether justified or not), fellow players in the same position start questioning why they're not being paid the same. But when the Redskins handed QB Kirk Cousins a $20 million deal back in March, few in the land of Gang Green country could have imagined the impact it woukd have on the New York …

NFL Draft 2016 - One player to watch from each round

Jul 15th, 2016 at 22:03 American Football 0 comments

We're just over a week away from the opening of the NFL training camps whilst in less than two months, the first action of the 2016 NFL season will take place. As I've done for the past two years, I've trawled the NFL draft to come up with a list of one player from each round who I believe will have a decent NFL career. In 2014, Teddy Bridgewater and …

Does it pay to trade up to the top pick of the NFL Draft?

Apr 18th, 2016 at 22:22 American Football 2 comments

The NFL Draft is just around the corner and this past week saw a huge trade as the Los Angeles Rams moved up to the top pick in the draft in a trade with the Tennessee Titans. The Rams have done so to grab a franchise quarterback as they move from St. Louis into a bigger market over in Los Angeles but right now, the move overwhelmingly favours the Titans for …

NFL Draft - A look at the top QB prospects

Mar 3rd, 2016 at 22:49 American Football 0 comments

Last weekend saw the annual NFL scouting combine in Indianapolis. A cattle market of potential NFL superstars having to perform a range of tasks in front of NFL executives as the 32 scouting departments continue to piece together their draft boards ahead of the 2016 NFL Draft. Last year it was all about two quarterbacks, Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota, as these two went first and second overall with the next …

Superbowl facts and trends

Jan 31st, 2016 at 21:31 American Football 1 comments

After four weeks of preseason, seventeen weeks of the regular season and three weeks of playoffs, the 50th Superbowl is almost upon us. The CAROLINA PANTHERS of the NFC will take on the AFC's DENVER BRONCOS on Sunday February 7th for the right to be called the NFL's best team. Over the next week, there'll be a whole host of previews to read and OLBG members will also be giving their …

NFL Playoffs: is homefield advantage a myth?

Jan 23rd, 2016 at 21:31 American Football 0 comments

When the playoff race gets going during the regular season, one of the most common things that the media pick up on is home field advantage in the postseason. Going on the road is never easy in a league that strives on being one of the most competitive so the theory that teams would get an advantage from being at home should ring true. But does it? With the Conference Championship games …