This year along with my fifty three year olds for 2017 , I thought I would try a smaller list of juveniles to follow with interest over the course of the season.
Frankel's second crop feature prominently with five of his offspring making their way on to the list, and it would be nice to think that he can carry on from the good start that he made to his stallion career in 2016, his son First Eleven - a half brother to Kingman out of the Juddmonte Farms broodmare Zenda may well turn out to be an exciting prospect for some of the pattern races for youngsters. The Godolphin owned Dubhe is another whose debut that I eagerly await.
Hopefully there will be a few for the early months of the season, but realistically it is the second half of the campaign that I expect to see more of them on a racecourse. The turf season is just a few weeks away and before we know it the two year olds will be showing what they are made of. Enjoy the read and hopefully there is a star or two of the future amongst the list.
1. Alpine Peak ( C ) ( Mizzen Mast x Affectionately ) Trainer Hugo Palmer Sire was a Group 3 winner over nine and a half furlongs for Criquette Head in France and a two time Graded winner for Bobby Frankel in the States between 2000 and 2002, while the dam Affectionately was a nicely bred but unraced daughter of Galileo. Her first foal Asaas looked pretty ordinary in three starts for Roger Varian last year but it's a little too soon to write her off as a broodmare. Alpine Peak is certainly in good hands to have any talent developed and I would expect trips of around seven furlongs to suit him as a juvenile, while he has every chance of staying a mile.
2. Austrian School ( C ) ( Teofilo x Swiss Roll ) Trainer Mark Johnston This will be Swiss Roll's sixth offspring to race, three of the five so far have been winners �" best of which has been Ahzeemah who took the Group 2 Lonsdale Cup at York in 2013, they also include the useful hurdler / chaser Tiger Roll by Authorised who tasted success in the Triumph Hurdle the following year. Sire Teofilo was unbeaten in five starts at two including a brace of Group 1 successes ( National Stakes & Dewhurst Stakes ), unraced at three due to injury he has gone on to produce the likes of Trading Leather and Pleascach. I wouldn't expect to see Austrian School on the racecourse until the 2yo's race over seven furlongs and he should comfortably stay a mile this year, should be found suitable opportunities.
3. Dalileo ( C ) ( Galileo x Snow Queen ) Mark Johnston Snow Queen, a nicely bred daughter of Danehill Dancer had ability �" she was twice a winner as a juvenile �" but also appeared to develop a moody streak ( particularly at three ) and certainly did not reach her full potential, so it may carry an added risk in nominating Dalileo. Dalileo is Snow Queen's first foal and it was interesting that she visited the all conquering Galileo, on paper it looks a nice match and I'm confident there will be races found for him. Seven furlongs will pose no problems and a mile should within his compass as he gains experience.
4. Dragon Mountain ( C ) ( Sir Percy x Rouge Dancer ) Hugo Palmer Hugo Palmer is a trainer on the up and I will be interested to see how his inmate Dragon Mountain performs this season. Dragon Mountain is the fifth foal of his dam Rouge Dancer, with three of her four to race to date have found their way to the winners enclosure. Listed winner ( 6f ) Spiritual Lady ( by Pastoral Pursuits ) is the best of them, but she has also produced the middle distance winner Durand ( by Motivator ) who took a ten furlongs Maiden at Roscommon from just two starts in 2013. Given Sir Percy's influence for a trip , one would expect Dragon Mountain to appreciate up to a mile as a juvenile and may well stay further next year. Unlikely to prove a world beater but should be found suitable chances to get on the scoreboard himself.
5. Dubhe ( C ) ( Dubawi x Great Heavens ) Charlie Appleby The Godolphin owned Dubhe makes the list and there's plenty to like about his pedigree on paper, by leading sire Dubawi out of the Galileo mare Great Heavens who herself took the Group 1 Irish Oaks back in 2012, which offers connections enough hope that Dubhe will prove an above average ( if not better ) performer when he reaches the racetrack. Middle distances should suit him in time but trips of around seven furlongs to a mile should prove adequate as a juvenile. I eagerly await his debut and hope he lives up to his illustrious bloodlines.
6. Dutch Desire ( F ) ( Dutch Art x Danehill Destiny ) William Haggas A Cheveley Park homebred filly that is bred to be a sprinter. By the 2006 Group 1 Middle Park Stakes winner out of a Listed Class winning mare by Danehill Dancer. Dutch Desire's dam has produced three winners from her first four foals, the best being the 90's rated pair of Danehill Revival and Dutch Desire's full Sister Dutch Destiny. I'd expect Dutch Desire to be campaigned at six furlongs and while it may be a bit much to suggest she may prove a black type filly, she should however be found winning opportunities by her trainer.
7. Elarqam ( C ) ( Frankel x Attraction ) Mark Johnston By a Guineas winner and out of a Guineas winner, it's asking a lot for Elarqam to hit the same heights. There is however plenty going for the match up on pedigree and I'd be both surprised and disappointed if he didn't find his way to the winners enclosure. Frankel made a good start to his stud career and hopefully that will prosper in 2017. Attraction has produced five winners from her six offspring to race to date, with Group 3 winner Fountain of Youth being the best of them. Trip wise Elarqam may well have the speed for six furlongs and should comfortably stay seven as the season progresses.
8. Exhort ( F ) ( Dutch Art x Entreat ) Richard Fahey The second offspring by Dutch Art to make the list and another to be bred by Cheveley Park. Exhort is out the Pivotal mare Entreat, and while the dam only managed a maiden win over nine and a half furlongs for Sir Michael Stoute I find it interesting that her owners persist with this mating, Exhort has a full brother and two full sisters who only managed two wins between them in ordinary company from a total of fourteen races. I would be surprised if she proves anything special in time , but she should be up to winning in maiden company in the north before hopefully moving on to something better. Likely to start off over six furlongs, Exhort should stay at least another couple as she gains experience.
9. First Eleven ( C ) ( Frankel x Zenda ) John Gosden Sure to be one of the most eagerly awaited juveniles to race in 2017 , not only being by the great Frankel but his dam Zenda ( by Zamindar ) herself was a winner of the French Guineas back in 2002. This match up makes First Eleven a half brother to the four times Group 1 winner Kingman, who must rate as one of the best milers of recent seasons, and also to Remote who tasted Group 3 success when lading the Tercentenary Stakes four years ago. John Gosden knows the family well and will be keen to get the best from this colt, he has plenty going for him on pedigree and will hopefully follow in his half brothers footsteps. Seven furlongs to a mile should suit as a youngster.
10. Gainsay ( F ) ( Sayif x Pesse ) Jonathan Portman Nothing at all like her namesake �" a staying handicap chaser trained by Jenny Pitman back in the 1980's �" successful in the Ritz Club Chase thirty years ago, this Gainsay looks to be bred for speed. Sire Sayif was a quality youngster himself being placed at the highest level , and was a Group 3 winner in his second season. Dam Pesse was unraced but her 2014 foal Sayesse ( a full brother to Gainsay ) was a four times winning sprinter. Trainer Jonathan Portman worked wonders last season with Mrs Danvers who was unbeaten in five contests at the minimum trip including the big money Weatherbys Super Sprint , a Listed contest and also the Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes at Newmarket in October. It's far too early to even suggest that Gainsay would prove anywhere near as good but hopefully she will prove a winner for his more than capable stable, maybe just maybe she will take in one of those big money sprints herself. One to keep an eye on.
11. Gonzaga ( C ) ( Oasis Dream x Symposia ) John Gosden Sire Oasis Dream is now a seventeen year old and shows no sign of slowing down in the production of quality offspring. His stud fee stands at £50k and that at times can still prove to be value when you consider his yearlings sold at public auctions went for up to £600k during 2016. Oasis Dream was responsible last year for the Meydan Group 1 winner Muarrab and the improving Ertijaal who was runner up in the Group 1 Al Quoz Sprint , but it would be safe to say that the Champion Sprinter of 2015 �" Muhaarar �" is his best performer of recent times. Oasis Dream certainly can pass on plenty of pace to his sons and daughters but has also sired middle distance performers. Gonzaga strikes me as the type that should stay further than sprinting trips in time, his dam Symposia is a daughter of Galileo and was limited to just one start ( showed nothing ) for Sir Henry Cecil in 2012 but there are winners scattered about the pedigree further back. There's nothing anyone can tell John Gosden about training racehorses so if Gonzaga has inherited any ability then his trainer will surely nurture it out.
12. Guild ( C ) ( Frankel x Arrive ) Roger Charlton Guild is one of five Frankel's to make the list and I fully expect Frankel to have another good season as a sire. At the time of writing Guild has not been allocated a trainer but given that Roger Charlton trained the dam Arrive then I would expect he may well be in the frame to train Guild. Guild has a smashing pedigree , he is a half brother to Visit and Promising Lead who between them won over £600k in prizemoney, and Arrive herself is a full sister to star brood Hasili. Guild should have no trouble staying seven furlongs at least as a two year old and will hopefully prove another winner for the Juddmonte Farms operation.
**Now confirmed that Roger Charlton will train
13. Jawwaal ( C ) ( Bahamian Bounty x Avenbury ) John Gosden Sire Bahamian Bounty is essentially an influence for speed and is capable of siring a precocious youngster, he is also the sire of the Group 1 winning brothers Pastoral Pursuit and Goodricke. Dam Avenbury is an unraced daughter of Mount Nelson and Jawwaal is her first foal. Jawwaal was sold for 45,000G at Tatttersalls as a foal in November 2015 and nine months later fetched £140,000 at Goffs having been purchased by the Shadwell Estate. He is eligible for the big money auction stakes at York's Ebor meeting, and whilst that possibility is a long way off it is hoped that he can pick up a race or two along the way.
14. Loulin ( C ) ( Exceed and Excel x Wimple ) David O'Meara David O'Meara is well established now as a quality trainer who seems to keep churning winners out season after season. There's no reason to think that this will stop in 2017 and Loulin is selected in the hope that he can find his way to the winners enclosure. His sire Exceed and Excel is more than capable of not only producing a smart and precocious two year old , but also performers that can improve with experience. His best son to date is probably Excelebration who was a top class miler and six times Group winner, he is also responsible for Helmet who was high class in Australia from six furlongs to a mile and won the Caulfield Guineas, and also the filly Overreach who won the Group 1 Golden Slipper at Rosehill for two year olds. Loulin's dam Wimple was a winner at both five and six furlongs and was also runner up in Listed company, of her six foals to race five of them have won at least once. Loulin is sure to be well campaigned by his trainer and should be found suitable opportunities as a juvenile.
15. Nova Scotia ( C ) ( Oasis Dream x Vita Nova ) Hugo Palmer Nova Scotia is a colt that I'm looking forward to seeing on the racetrack this season. His pedigree is a mixture of speed and middle distance bloodlines, with his sire being a champion sprinter while his dam was a smart middle distance daughter of Galileo. Vita Nova was a Listed winner at the age of five for the late Sir Henry Cecil in 2012 , and the previous year was runner up in both the Yorkshire Oaks ( Group 1 ) and the Lancashire Oaks ( Group 2 ) Nova Scotia himself should find a trip of seven furlongs right up his street as a two year old , and it would be nice to think that he will prove an above average performer over the course of time.
16. Pilaster ( F ) ( Nathaniel x Portal ) Roger Varian Strikes me as the type maybe, as one for the second half of the season when asked to tackle trips in the region of a mile. Looking at her pedigree there is much influence for middle distances. Pilaster's dam Portal ( by Hernando ) has produced five foals to date, all winners and all middle distance sorts, the best of which has been the 2014 St Leger fourth and Group 3 runner up Windshear. Sire Nathaniel never raced at distances short of a mile and at three won the King George at Ascot, with a second Group 1 success coming a year later when taking the Eclipse Stakes at Sandown. It would be too much to expect Pilaster to win at the highest level, but it would be nice if she managed to achieve some black type on the racecourse �" if so it would ensure her a place in the paddocks at her owner's Cheveley Park Stud.
17. Red Mist ( C ) ( Frankel x Red Dune ) Simon Crisford Simon Crisford has made a fair start since taking out a trainers license himself, and at the time of writing has recorded 55 winners from 299 runners ( 18.4% ) with a further 72 being placed. His two year olds only have a winning strike rate a fraction over 25% ( 17 from 67 ) Red Mist is a son of Frankel that he will train for the Godolphin operation during 2017, his dam Red Dune ( by Red Ransom ) was a Listed placed mare over seven furlongs and also won her maiden over a mile, trips that Red Mist should be suited to himself �" he may even be worth a try at six furlongs early in his career. Feedyah, Red Mist's half sister was runner up in a Group 3 at Meydan as a three year old and also won twice from four starts at two ( 7 furlongs and a mile ) which will hopefully bode well for the chances of Red Mist over the months ahead.
18. Troop ( C ) ( Lethal Force x Bendis ) Ann Duffield Ann Duffield has trained 114 juveniles over the last five seasons on turf winning a total of 41 races , the overall strike rate of wins to races contested is fairly modest however at 10.33% ( 41 from 397 ) but given the right material to work with I do believe she is capable of developing a youngster's talent, this was shown when Dark Reckoning won three from six in 2014 culminating in a Group 3 success at the Ayr Western meeting. Troop is a half brother to a mid 80's rated sprinter by Acclamation and a mid 90's rated sprinter by Footstepsinthesand, so being sired by a sprinter as well tells us that he too should be suited by sprinting distances. Sire Lethal Force was fourth in the Coventry at two, took the Group 2 Hungerford Stakes over seven furlongs at three and bagged a brace of Group 1's over six furlongs at four, 2017 will see his first crop hit the track. I'd hope Troop will be up to winning in maiden company in the north before possibly moving on to something better.
19. Veracious ( F ) ( Frankel x Infallible ) Sir Michael Stoute Infallible has proved a useful broodmare for here owners Cheveley Park with her three offspring to date all proven winners on the track. Given her pedigree it wasn't surprising that Cheveley Park sought the best stallions as her partners, she was first sent to Oasis Dream which produced the four times winner Intrinsic, her second mating produced the Group 2 winner Mutakayyef ( also third to Postptoned in the Juddmonte International ) to See The Stars . while the 2012 mating to Dubawi produced the Listed Class winner Intimation. The match up with Frankel looks a nice one on paper and looking years down the line Veracious herself could well have the hallmarks of a successful broodmare. Before then it's business on the track, trips of around seven furlongs should be well up her street this year and hopefully Veracious can keep up the winning family tradition.
20. Voluminous ( F ) ( Nathaniel x Capacious ) James Fanshawe Voluminous is the second daughter of Nathaniel to make the list following the inclusion of Pilaster, and like her may also be one to bear in mind for the second half of the campaign. She is out of a lightly raced maiden daughter of Nayef which was also trained by Fanshawe and this will be her first foal to race. Seven furlongs would be an absolute minimum of requirements I would expect and Voluminous will comfortably stay a mile. While her trainer is known not to rush his juveniles, I would however hope that suitable opportunities may be found in maiden company �" possibly from August onwards.