2:30 Southwell Tips

Steps up in distance and steps down in grade. He is progressing nicely in chases and has switched stables, making his debut for trainer Nick Schofield. He has to overcome a 278-day break but also has a positive jockey booking in James Bowen.

He is drastically well-handicapped on his peak historical efforts and possesses a clear tactical advantage in what projects to be a steadily run, marathon contest. His natural inclination to race keenly and track the pace means he will be perfectly positioned to exploit a tactical crawl. Returning to the scene of a dominant, wide-margin victory, he represents a yard that excels at producing stayers ready to strike following a lengthy layoff.

In my view, at least 35% of this field are a poor chance of winning. This creates nice value elsewhere with the likes of Milan Milos. Price too high here at 8.50.

Another Mystery won well last time at Fakenham. Back under rules off a four-pound lower mark, she is capable of going close in this stronger race at Southwell.

This 11-year-old has found some form late, making the frame in all three starts in May. He put in a great round of jumping last time out at Fontwell and should have won that day, but didn't quite see it out. Running off the same career-low mark today, he has a good chance. While his peak years may be behind him, he's good value in this field and I wouldn't be surprised to see him involved in the closing stages. Each-way chance.