"Dawn Approach, last of 12 at Epsom despite starting at 5/4 and at little bigger today, he has to be risky. Magician, a shade bigger than 5/2 but with a recent injury scare, so often fatal at this level. Toronado, 4/1 for this one who suffered a breathing problem in the Guineas.
Good luck if you choose to back any of the afflicted market leaders and I am more than happy to take 12/1 about the Ballydoyle colt, MARS.
After a notably impressive juvenile debut last July, he had minor issues and was not seen again until the Guineas at Newmarket. Inexperience would have been a huge hurdle to overcome and he ran a good race, improving 13 lb from his debut.
Arguable whether he would appreciate the extra half mile of the Derby, he did look unlucky not to finish a lot closer given his troubled run and given he improved 10 lb on his Guineas run, there is every chance we have yet to see the best of him.
Aidan O'Brien seems reasonably upbeat and with Ryan Moore on board, I think Mars has a good chance of at least making the frame. "
"It is no secret that this unusally long flat handicap plays to the strengths of a decent hurdler and and a few of the top NH trainers have taken the opportunity to plunder this race in recent years. In fact, 8 of the last 11 runnings have gone to a primarily jumping yard so it might pay to start looking at the trainers before the horses.
Philip Hobbs does not have his name on the list of recent plunderers of this particular race but he has taken a few big flat handicaps in his time and both his runners, Softsong and BIG EASY look to be contenders.
The latter has yet to race on the flat in the UK but he did win 3 of his 5 over in France as a 3-y-o. Interestingly, he is bred for stamina and he beat 16-rivals to win a 3-mile handicap hurdle at Cheltenham when last seen in April. That effort makes him look attractively handicapped on the level and whilst he won't be winning a sprint finish, he could be able to use his stamina if, as expected, they go a good pace with Junior a possible pacesetter. "
"As per my previous tip in this race, I am keen to look at horses trained by NH yards and LIEUTENENT MILLER looks a very feasible option, hailing from the master of Seven Barrows, Nicky Henderson.
This likeable 7-y-o has probably run his best three races across his last three starts and after a winter break, he has posted a close second and a nice win on the flat.
That hsa resulted in his mark rising of course but there is no reason to think he has bottomed-out. Seems perfectly at home on decent ground and considering his stamina, he appears to have plenty of speed and it is difficult not to fancy he will go well under Graham Lee if running to his best.
"SUPPLICANT may be able to run a big race with the strong possibility that he can get to what might be the favoured rail from stall 27.
I confess to treating races like this as a bit of fun almost so I wouldn't be confident but I will whistlestop through the positives.
The draw I mentioned, the colt is well-related, with all 7 of his siblings winners with a total of 26 victories between them. He is with a top juvenile yard, showed bags of pace on his debut and he is 25/1. "
"ANDHESONTHERUN may not have acheived too much in winning a modest Leicester maiden but his second is a Listed race 10-days later at Sandown is nearly up there with the best form on offer amongst these.
Although beaten 3-lengths in a five horse race, he didn't get the cleanest run and he looked the type to improve again. Well entered-up as he is in the Super Sprint and the Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar and I would see a bit of margin in his price at 20/1. "
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