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SmoggyFever Profile

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SmoggyFever's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
16 June 2013
US Open 2013 Graeme McDowell 100 EW @ 23 Lose (200)

"Gmac is a worthy player on this course. It's short, very tight, and the guy is right up there in the putting stats. If this guy plays quality tee to green like he has this season with three wins i see him going well here "

US Open 2013 Phil Mickelson 100 EW @ 23 Win 450 

"Big phil loves an pen and whilehe hasn't managed to win it, he's gone mightily close in recent years, with a plethora of top 4's and has gone 2nd three times alone. He's finished in the top 5 or missed the cut recently, so each way he looks solid "

US Open 2013 Jim Furyk 200 Win @ 41 Lose (200)

"Jim furyk won the open in 2003 and has followed that with some quality years since, and this year he flirted with augusta before dropping back, but i think he'll love the short tight layout, and his iron game will see him to the win here "

US Open 2013 Billy Horschel 100 EW @ 81 Win 1,375 

"Not thebest of prices but the guy finally bagged his maiden win this year and got back to form with a tenth last week. He is a birdie machine, and with low scoring expected before the course dries up over the weekend i expect him to flirt with the early lead at least "

US Open 2013 Ian Poulter 25 EW @ 101 Lose (50)

"I've backed poulter a few times this year and he's failed badly, but i think he's going to battle this course and bring holes 7-13 to their knees with his aggressive play. One of the tour's best putters i'm expecting the soft ground to yield birdies to him so a punt is worth it "

SubTotal 1,375 
09 June 2013
Lyoness Open Pablo Larrazabal 50 Win @ 15 Lose (50)

"Pablo has been excellent and consistent this season, and refuses to land outside the top 20, with a couple of back to back 12's and 14th finishes. Throw in the 4th and 5th before that and his form is undeniable coming in here and he can go close at least "

Lyoness Open Lee Slattery 25 EW @ 51 Lose (50)

"This tourney will spring up some shocks, and the 1m euro prize fund will be eyed by some of the lesser players. I love lee slattery's game, and he went oh so close at wentworth before falling to a 74 on sunday, but the form is there, he's making cuts and can get a top five here "

Lyoness Open Simon Dyson 25 EW @ 51 Lose (50)

"Solid if unspectacular, dyson has made 5 of his last 7 cuts, but has struggled to break into the top 25 in those tourneys, but i feel this offers the perfect chance to climb the rankings with the big names missing, so at this price i fancy he'll score well "

Lyoness Open Simon Wakefield 25 EW @ 101 Lose (50)

"Simon wakefield has played some poor stuff of late, just making two of seven cuts with a 15th and 37th, but he does like this course, and the greens in reg if heated up, will mean low scoring for this player. I think he'll return to form where he just missed out two years back "

Lyoness Open Andreas Harto 25 EW @ 126 Lose (50)

"A true character who i'm hoping can match his confidence with form, he's gone close at times before dropping off and after a spate of missed cuts grabbed a 7th to show he can do it. This course will suit his aggressive play and i expect a good score from him "

St Jude Classic Billy Horschel 25 EW @ 34 Lose (50)

"I'm continuingmy support of Billy Horschel, who once again made the cut last week, albeit slipping way down on sunday to finish in the last ten to make that cut. I do think he'll go well here on one of the easier tracks and hitting the greens will be key "

SubTotal (300)
05 June 2013
7:45 Ripon Tumblewind 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"Key for me here is tumblewinds clear win by over 2 lengths last time round where the horse looked as if it could have ran and ran. I feel that while antonio gramsci is a fair favourite, the challenge from tumble will be to great and this horse has bags of potential to go on a winning run "

8:15 Ripon Yeeoow 50 Win @ 3.25 Lose (50)

"This horse is highly fancied and managed to win just a month ago at ascot. The horse won by just a neck but has the ability to win again over the six furlongs and with the competitors not too strong and four extra pounds to work with, i think this price is fair and the horse has the quality to go close at least "

9:15 Ripon Toptempo 25 EW NAP @ 9 Lose (50)

"Toptempo has come down in ratings as well as price this morning and will be a good sleeper with big time billy likely taing most of the money. However, this horse has ran well at ascot, although no career wins is a bit eyebrow raising, but i do feel the horse can go well here and i'll back it each to place "

CHI Blackhawks @ LA Kings LA Kings (Puck Line) -1.5 50 Win @ 3.5 Win 125 

"The kings have struggled the first two games on offense, but going home they have the ability to score and have won 14 straight, seeing off the san jose team last time round "

CHI Blackhawks @ LA Kings LA Kings (Money Line) 0.0 50 Win @ 1.83 Win 41 

"The blackhawks were a game away from missing out on this when down to detroit, but came back and have now won the first two here, but the road hasn't been so kind and the kings can win this "

CLE Indians @ NY Yankees CLE Indians (Run Line) +1.5 50 Win @ 1.62 Win 31 

"Despite their winning records neither of these teams has had a good run of form, but while scott kazmir went well last time out, david phelps didn't last an innings giving up 5 runs in just a third "

CLE Indians @ NY Yankees CLE Indians (Money Line) 0.0 50 Win @ 2.31 Lose (50)

"With david phelps struggling, and scott kazmir just allowing one run last time out, I fancy the indians to spring a surprise and get back to winning ways here "

PIT Pirates @ ATL Braves PIT Pirates (Run Line) +1.5 50 Win @ 1.64 Win 32 

"The pirates are there with the st louis cards and the reds as the top teams in the national league and with the pirates sending locke to the mound I'll take a chance at these good odds tonight "

PIT Pirates @ ATL Braves PIT Pirates (Money Line) 0.0 50 Win @ 2.5 Lose (50)

"Locke is fourth in era this year and with the pirates over .600 I think they are good for the win while the cards have won 38 game, good for best in the nl, however the pirates are such good value tonight I'll take them "

TB Rays @ DET Tigers TB Rays (Run Line) +1.5 50 Win @ 1.58 Lose (50)

"The rays have exploded for runs in their last eight games with 53 runs and against anibal sanchez who has already lost five games I think this game could be close "

TB Rays @ DET Tigers Under (Game Totals) 8.0 50 Win @ 1.86 Lose (50)

"Despite snachez losing five games his era is still very good and with matt moore keeping teams to around two runs a start I expect a very low scoring games "

TB Rays @ DET Tigers TB Rays (Money Line) 0.0 50 Win @ 2.28 Lose (50)

"Matt moore is yet to lose a start this year and has eight wins to his name, while sanchez has begged for some offense while losing five games already. Detroit also struggle for runs so a road win looks good value "

SubTotal (171)
02 June 2013
Memorial Tournament* Tiger Woods 50 Win @ 3.25 Lose (50)

"Tiger's dominance of this tourney means he cannot be overlooked, and he's back down to 2008 prices. He's won this tourney 5 times and with 3 wins already this year i think he's got a great shout to win again and wrap up the fedex early "

Memorial Tournament* Lee Westwood 25 EW @ 26 Lose (50)

"Westwood will be hard to discount here, although his fall from atop the bmw last week was shocking, dropping a total of 5 shots once in the ascendancy - but i think he bounces back here as he makes up 1 of 8 of the world's top 10 here this week "

Memorial Tournament* Billy Horschel 25 EW @ 61 Lose (50)

"Billy horshel is back in and after his excellent run of form it was only right for him to miss the cut, but his birdie making ability will be tested here given the greens, but he hits his irons superbly well and i expect a fast start "

Memorial Tournament* Marc Leishman 25 EW @ 81 Lose (50)

"Mark leishman as seen three top 10's in his last seven tourneys and he is definitely a sleeper this week with all eyes on the top 10 in the world who all go head to head. But strong birdie ability will give this guy a chance "

Memorial Tournament* Justin Rose 25 EW @ 26 Lose (50)

"I don't believe justin rose can have two bad tourneys in a row, and his overall command of the golf ball will set up plenty of chances and seeing as fairways will be easily hit, he'll have plenty of chances to climb that leaderboard "

Nordea Masters* Alexander Noren 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"The tough and long nature of this course means that quality usually shines through, and with alex noren already having won here in tough conditions i think he'll respond to a quiet season with the win here "

Nordea Masters* Bernd Wiesberger 25 EW @ 26 Win 131 

"Bernd Wiesberger has proven with his win at the ballantines that he can play this style of course, and if the wind gets up, his ball striking quality will come into play. So i think he'll go well here "

Nordea Masters* Peter Uihlein 25 EW @ 36 Lose (50)

"He may have fallen back after a run of 5 straight birdies on sunday, but the young american has to be confident that after his maiden tour win, and a 12th to follow up, he'll have the skills to go well here "

Nordea Masters* Pablo Larrazabal 25 EW @ 31 Lose (50)

"I wonder if the pressure of not winning but coming so close is getting to the spaniard, but he has consistently made the top 5, and when he's not missing the cut he's had 4 top 6's in his last 6 tourneys "

Nordea Masters* Simon Dyson 25 EW @ 91 Lose (50)

"Simon dyson is exactly the kind of longshot we need, who has made the top 25 in 4 of his last 7 tourneys but also matched that with 3 missed cuts, so the potential for boom or bust is there, something we need at 90-1 "

SubTotal (319)
01 June 2013
1:35 Epsom Downs High Troja 25 EW @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"I think we should expect the odds on High Troja to drop throughout the morning given the excellent claims this horse has here. Ryan Moore takes the reigns and the horse has won two of its last 3 and hasn't failed to place in recent form, so looks a great shout to place at the least "

2:05 Epsom Downs Thunder Strike 50 Win @ 3.25 Win 112 

"I think ryan moore on haikbidiacwill be confident of running a solid race, but thunder strike, who is still fresh with just two runs, has won both of those at short odds, and while this field has plenty of quality, i think richard hughes will steer the horse to a third straight victory here and these odds will drop "

2:40 Epsom Downs Joshua Tree 25 EW @ 15 Lose (50)

"Bit of a risk here give the fact nicholas abbey is expected to win, but dunaden can be challenged, and although the field is very small, i think if this horse can get over the fact ithas onlyever done well at a steady pace i think we could see a challenger that isn't dunaden. Dunaden has shown he can't really handle abbey so maybe can be beaten into 3rd by joshue tree "

2:40 Epsom Downs St Nicholas Abbey 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"Nicholas abbey just looks to have too much quality here and with chamonix setting the pace as the horses stable mate i expect a pace that will pull well clear of this small field. Whilst dunaden has ability, it is nicholas abbey's quality on the world stage that stands out here and should see the win here "

3:15 Epsom Downs Smoothtalkinrascal 25 EW @ 8 Win 18 

"This guy has a lot of potential here with tudhope on board and i reckon the current form and burst of pace late will be huge here. Two wins in its last four races, with no disgraces suggests form is good, the horse loves the ground but a penalty for bursting so well in his last race means each way is my bet "

3:15 Epsom Downs Long Awaited 50 Win @ 9.5 Lose (50)

"This horse is almost expected to go better when off a break, and without a run snce september, this horse can be considered having won the last two times it has come off a break. Knows the course well and we should expect a solid race here for sure as hughes takes the reigns "

4:00 Epsom Downs Dawn Approach 400 Win NAP @ 2.38 Lose (400)

"Expected to go very well here having won all seven starts so far in its short career, and most tellingly, three of them have been grade one's whereas the rest of the field have winning potential but very little at this level. The odds suggest a win for bolger and manning today as long as stamina isn't an issue "

4:00 Epsom Downs Chopin 50 EW @ 13 Lose (100)

"Chopin is highly rated here and much is being made of the german aspect of his running in this race but for me it's the fact he's been sold on to qatar racing which surely bodes well for the future and with two wins already I'm expecting a good race for it "

4:50 Epsom Downs Sirvino 100 Win NB @ 5.5 Lose (100)

"I expect ryan moore to get winners today and sirvino looks a great shout as the horse will benefit from the longer run today. Last time this horse faced competition from this race, sheihkzayedroad got the better of things but i think that will be reversed today "

5:25 Epsom Downs Compton 25 EW @ 11 Lose (50)

"Compton has been getting ready for this race having been moved over from another yard and it's interesting that both his pricing and his recent performances suggest those were to get him set for the 6 furlong challenge that awaits. A very tough race with plenty of claims but a win at ascot in good company suggests compton can take this "

SubTotal (650)
31 May 2013
5:20 Epsom Downs Intrigo 50 Win NAP @ 8 Lose (50)

"Intrigo has come down in price and just yesterday was over 10-1. His few runs so far have been very successful and a lot is expected at the very least from an each way point of view. There is strong opposition and the fave goes off at 7-2 but for me the value is with intrigo looking for four wins in just five starts today "

SubTotal (50)
29 May 2013
1:30 Nottingham Iftaar 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"Very hard to look past Iftaar here as the horse has not only dropped down in class, but showed a lot of promise when close, going sixth on debut. The horse was only 3 lengths behind and considering it was priced 8-1 i think we'll see a strong outing with just two other potential contenders here "

2:00 Nottingham Jofranka 50 Win @ 1.91 Win 45 

"Hard to look past this horse considering it is the only horse to have proved so much at handicap level. Newcastle was good for the horse but a run of wins and placings suggest that the company here will struggle to keep up, when only la sylphe has really tasted success at the handicap level before "

2:10 Fontwell Jojabean 50 Win @ 2.75 Win 87 

"Neither jojabean or shuh shuh gah could impress too much on their last outing where they locked horns and went 4th and 3rd respectively. This time round hoever i think the fave will win this one in lesser company than their prior race and with hutchinson on board i'm confident "

2:30 Nottingham Whisky Bravo 50 Win NAP @ 13 Lose (50)

"It seems that dana's present struggles at the shorter distances and will not have the sprint in him, but whisky bravo had won two straight, and a hat trick overall on the all-weather before slipping at hamilton to mid pack. However, a return to form can be expected here in strong company "

2:40 Fontwell Suerte Al Salto 50 Win @ 6.5 Win 275 

"At 1-3 it may look crazy going against prospect wells, but with suetre al salto leaving the nicholls yard it could be a bit of a 'told you so' moment. However, those placings and just the one win need to be improved on but hurdling can bring surprise into racing for sure "

3:00 Nottingham Divertimenti 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Question marks abound here over divermenti because of the raise in weights coupled with potentially flattering results against weaker horses. Failed to impress last time round but despite the weights increase, a repeat of recent strong form will lead to the win here given the fair quality of thisrace "

SubTotal 257 
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


19/06/13 07:48:17 © 2002-2013 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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