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Loukaini Profile
"Follow me on Twitter @Loukaini Register in OLBG http://www.olbg.com/?tx51033"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
27 January 2015
Accrington Stanley v Bury Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"Accrigton (15th) hasn't played a home game since 20/12/2014, now they have 2 games at home and actually from their next 7 games 5 are at home.

Bury 7th on the table are 5 points out of the play-off places but with Newport 6th losing 2 in a row, and 4th &5th drawing they'll be up for this to close the gap.

Both teams will be trying hard to win the game and I expect BTTS. "

Accrington Stanley v Bury Accrington Stanley & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Accrington return to a home game since 20/12/2014 when they played last time, 1-1 draw against current league leaders Wycombe. That's 4 straight away games. Now the have 2 home games in a row and in fact from their next 7 the 5 are at home.

Bury played 2 home games in a row, winning last time out 2-1 at home to Carlisle Utd who are 3rd from bottom and were 1-1 at HT, the game before they played Wycombe at home 1-1, their last away game they lost 1-0 to Dag & Red who are 2nd from bottom.

Both have very good reasons to go all out for the win in this game and I think it will be a good game with goals but Accrington's return to home I think it will be a happy one.

"

Andy Murray vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios to win 3 - 1 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"Kyrios will have the crowd on his side and he should push Murray, I think he can be very competitive.

I was going to go for Murray to win 3-2 but then I thought, if Kyrios can win 2 sets why not 3. He is in good physical condition and I doubt if Murray will have a easy match. "

Andy Murray vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 50 Win @ 7.5 Lose (50)

"I think Kyrgios will give a tough match to Murray and with the crowd on his side he can get an extra push.

Kyrgios is in a good physical condition and has a big serve I think it could be Murray's toughest opponent here so far. "

Cambridge Utd v Dag & Red Cambridge Utd & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.2 Lose (50)

"Cambridge Utd have earned an FA Cup replay at Old Trafford with their remarkable 0-0 home draw against the mighty Manchester Utd. They have to feel really good at the moment and will want to impress the manager to have a place in the team at Old Trafford. They now have 3 games without conceding, including that Man Utd game, in the league they beat Newport (6th) 4-0 just before Man Utd.

Dag & Red are in the relegation spots and have scored just 1 goal in their last 7 league games. "

Cambridge Utd v Dag & Red Cambridge Utd 50 Win @ 1.95 Lose (50)

"I think Cambridge Utd @1.95 is very good value here.

Dag & Red have scored just 1 goal in their last 7 matches!

Cambridge Utd have kept 3 clean in their last 3 matches, including that incredible 0-0 at home against the mighty Manchester Utd for the FA Cup, which earned them a replay at Old Trafford and the player will be extremely keen to impress here in order to have a spot in the team at Old Trafford. "

SubTotal (300)
26 January 2015
Madison Keys vs Madison Brengle Madison Brengle to win 2 - 0 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"I think Brengle has a good chance in this match and there is great value @6 to win in 2 sets.

This is the 9th year that Brengle is competing in the Australian Open, she made the 1st round the first 2 years but then she never passed qualification, to have reached the last 16 this time she has to feel great mentally and she will see this as a great opportunity to reach the quarter-finals, one that can not be missed, I think she will give 110% here.

Keys is relatively inexperienced 4th time in the Aussie Open never passed 3rd round, I think she could be heavily pressurized if she loses the opening set. "

Madison Keys vs Madison Brengle Madison Brengle 50 Win @ 3.25 Lose (50)

"Brengle is a Hard Court specialist and she has shown it in this tournament. In her last 2 rounds she won in straight sets only dropping 9 games combined in both matches.

Keys has played some good tennis and won impressively in the last round against Kvitova, but she is prone to losing some matches when favorite.

I think there is good value @3.25 backing Brengle in this match. "

Venus Williams vs Agnieszka Radwanska Agnieszka Radwanska (1st Set Winner) 50 Win @ 1.62 Lose (50)

"Williams (#18) looked a bit tired to me in the previous round and I think her energy tanks will be running low.

I think Williams's best chance to win a set will be the opening set but I still think Radwanska will be too strong. Williams lost the opening set in her previous round against Giorgi (#33). I think Radwanska (#6) will do the same. "

Venus Williams vs Agnieszka Radwanska Agnieszka Radwanska 50 Win @ 1.53 Lose (50)

"Williams looked a bit tired to me in her previous round and had to put in a huge effort to turnaround that match, she was losing 1-0 in sets and 5-3 in the 2nd, finally winning it in the tie-brake, remarkably she turn it around and won the match.

But today will face Radwanska which she has lost plenty of times in the near future including on Hard Courts.

I think it has to be a flawless game by Williams if she is going to win this match. I'm backing Radwanska @1.53 which I think is not bad value for this match. "

Venus Williams vs Agnieszka Radwanska Agnieszka Radwanska to win 2 - 0 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 2.37 Lose (50)

"Radwanska hasn't dropped a set in her previous 3 rounds.

I watched a bit of Venus Williams in the last round and she looked a bit tired to me. She dropped the opening set and she was losing 5-3 in the 2nd only to make a remarkable comeback to win it 6-7 in the tie-brake, she went on to win the deciding set 6-1.

I think Radwanska will put pressure to Williams from the start and it has to be a huge effort from Williams to win a set. "

SubTotal (250)
25 January 2015
Aston Villa v Bournemouth Bournemouth 50 Win @ 3.2 Lose (50)

"Villa are 15th in the Premier League only 5 points from safety and without a win in their last 7 games. They have absentees through injuries and a few injury doubts.

Bournemouth are top of the Championship having gone 14 games unbeaten they now have 2 defeats in their last 3 games. They can look to this game for a massive dose of confidence and get back to another long wining streak.

Good value bet @3.2 "

Athletic Bilbao v Malaga Malaga & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 9 Lose (50)

"I think Malaga has been underestimated by the bookies, the prices are too big in almost every market and I think worth a punt Malaga to win and BTTS @9!

Athletic has now lost 4 on the bounce, 3 at home and have 5L 1D in their last 6 home and away.

Malaga will be up for this as is a good opportunity to close the gap to the top 6 teams on the table. Malaga has failed to score just once in their last 13 games. "

Athletic Bilbao v Malaga Athletic Bilbao - Malaga (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 51 Lose (50)

"Malaga did the complete comeback only a couple of away games ago, against Elche losing 1-0 at HT and won the game 1-2.

Athletic lost the game when winning at HT only a couple of home games back against Atletico Madrid, they where 1-0 up at HT lost the game 1-4.

I think Malaga has a good chance of winning this game and I'll have a speculative bet on the 1/2 turnaround @51. "

Athletic Bilbao v Malaga Malaga 50 Win @ 4.09 Lose (50)

"They are far more evenly matched to have Malaga @4.09. They met last Wednesday for the Cup and finished 0-0.

Atletic's last 6 league games are 1D 6L, scored 3 and conceded 11 goals.

Malaga's last 6 games are 3W 1D 2L, scored 6 and conceded 6.

Malaga's strengths are with their attack and even then, they have better defence than Atletic.

Atletic will be without Iker Muniain through suspension.

Value bet @4.09 "

Brighton v Arsenal Arsenal 50 Win @ 1.5 Win 25 

"With Chelsea, Man City and Tottenham out of the competition, Arsenal know their chances of wining the trophy has increased dramatically and I expect a very strong team to face Brighton today.

Even though Brighton is capable of upsetting the odds here and even a draw might not be out of the question I still think that Arsenal will be super motivated now and will be the likely winners in this match. "

Bristol City v West Ham Aden Flint (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 21 Lose (50)

"He is the 3rd top scorer for Bristol City with 5 goals, the top two don't start the game, top scorer Aaron Wilbraham is injured and not available, while 2nd top Kieran Agard was also injured but looks to be available as he is sitting on the bench. "

Bristol City v West Ham Bristol City 50 Win @ 4.2 Lose (50)

"Bristol will have taken courage from seeing what happened yesterday in the FA Cup matches, with Chelsea, Man City, Tottenham and Southampton out.

Both teams are in good form and so maybe if we take the home advantage we could see another mini upset here. "

Congo v Burkina Faso Burkina Faso & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"Burnkina Faso are a good team but in this tournament so far they haven't shown their potential.

I think they worth a bet to win the game but I think Congo will manage a goal again.

Congo have scored in both their matches so far and they have shown they can create chances.

If Equatorial Guinea can score against Congo so can Burkina Faso and I think they can score more. "

Deportivo La Coruna v Granada Deportivo La Coruna 50 Win @ 2.25 Lose (50)

"Deportivo has to take advantage of their home ground and get a vital win.

Granada hasn't won in La Liga since 24 Sep (15 games) last win in all competition was back in 3 Dec (9 game) home Cup game 1-0. They haven't score more than 1 goal in a game since the opening day the of the league 23 Aug. They have conceded more than 1 goal in their last 4 away games.

Deportivo's last 3 home games have been 2W 1L that loss was against Barcelona. "

Equatorial Guinea v Gabon Gabon 50 Win @ 2.29 Lose (50)

"Equatorial Guinea have two draws 1-1 against Congo and a 0-0 against Burkina Faso.

Gabon beat Burkina Faso 2-0 and they know they can also beat Equatorial Guinea and take a giant leap towards qualification, they should be confident and try to put a lot of pressure to Equatorial Guinea and I think they will create plenty of chances to score goals to win this game. "

Fiorentina v Roma Roma 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"Fiorentina is 6th on the table and has not defeated any team higher than them 1D 4L.

Roma is undefeated in their last 9 games in Serie A. Roma has won their last 6 H2H.

Fiorentina will be missing through suspension one of their best players central defender Stefan Savic. "

Juventus v Chievo Juventus #2-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 5.5 Win 225 

"Juve's defence normally is immense, especially against teams near the bottom of the table, it's hard to predict a goal for Chievo.

At the same time Chievo doesn't let in that many goals either, their biggest defeat was 3-0 away to Roma back in 18 Oct. Roma scored 3 goals from 5th minute to 32' by penalty.

Chievo will probably look to defend with all they've got, and could make it very tough for Juve to score, although 3-0 is also likely, I'm going to predict just the 2 for Juve.

When Juve take the lead I can't see Chievo changing their defensive shape, Juve will not take too many risks after than and just the 2 sound good to me. "

Moreirense v Nacional Nacional & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 8 Win 350 

"This bet is against the grain big time but @8 I think worth a punt.

Moreirense has only conceded 2 goal at home in 8 games played! they have kept 6 clean sheets, but it's fair to say the opposition has been modest. They've only scored 7 home goals. Last time they scored more than 1 goal home or away was 7 Dec. Moreirense has played 8 home games and still have no game Over 2.5 goals, sooner or later there will be one.

What makes me have this bet is the fact that Nacional is coming into this game on the back of 2 wins. They beat Boavista 2-1 at home and followed that with a 2-3 away win last time out against Paços Ferreira. So they've scored 5 goals in their last 2 game but also conceded 3.

"

Rennes v Caen Caen 50 Win @ 4.2 Win 160 

"Caen finally got a win after 9 games without one, beating Reims 4-1 at home.

Rennes played against Reims at home on Thursday for the Cup and only managed a 1-1.

I think Caen will be fresher and rejuvenated after that win, they are bottom of the table but that win gave them renewed hope as now they are just 2 points from safety.

I think Caen can produce another big game and here, Rennes has no win in their last 5 league games 2D 3L.

Nice value bet @4.2 "

Rennes v Caen Rennes - Caen (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 51 Lose (50)

"Rennes played a Cup game on Thursday (1-1 at home to Reims) and could feel it a bit later in the game. In the league they are without a win in their last 5 games 2D 3L.

Caen will be fresher and rejuvenated finally getting a win - after 9 games without one - in their efforts to beat the drop, impressively beating Reims at home 4-1.

I think it worth a punt that the rejuvenated Caen can score goals in the second half and land us a huge profit @51. "

SubTotal 210 
24 January 2015
Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Atletico Madrid & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.1 Win 105 

"Atletico have many attacking options and I think it will be very tough for Rayo to get a positive result, but I also think that Rayo can grab a consolation goal.

Tonight Atletico will be missing through suspension their central defensive pillar Diego Godín. "

Benjamin Becker vs Milos Raonic Milos Raonic to win 3 - 0 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 1.67 Win 34 

"I think Raonic (#8) should make light work of Becker (#44), the 33 years old Becker has played 7 times in the Aussie Open before and this will be his first time in round 3 - by the skin of his teeth.

Raonic who's 24 played 4 times before, twice made round 3 and twice the round of 16. Raonic has been improving his game while Becker is probably in the closing stages of his career.

The odds for the Raonic win are way to short to put a bet on so I'll take the smallish risk in my opinion that Raonic will win in straight sets @1.67, he has faced just 1 brake point combined both his previous 2 rounds. "

Birmingham v West Brom Birmingham (Asian Hcap) 0.50 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.82 Lose (50)

"I think Birmingham can win this match but I'll take the +0.50 handicap to have the draw on our side.

Both bring decent form in the game, but West Brom still have problems in front of goal and I think Birmingham can restrict them today. "

Dominika Cibulkova vs Alize Cornet Dominika Cibulkova 50 Win @ 1.57 Win 29 

"Cibulkova is not only playing for a place in the next round, she is defending her 10th spot in the WTA rankings and an exit in this match will not help.

Cibulkova made the Final here last year and she should be confident in this match against Cornet that she has beaten all previous 3 times they've met.

Cibulkova beat Pironkova in the previous round in some fashion 6-2 6-0, while Cornet dropped a set against a qualifier ranked (#107). "

Feliciano Lopez vs Jerzy Janowicz Jerzy Janowicz to win 3 - 0 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 3.5 Lose (50)

"Lopez (#14) got troubled in the first round against Kudla (#123) just managing to win 3-2, in the 2nd round he got very lucky as his opponent Mannarino (#36) had to retire due to injury/medical issue, Lopez at one stage of the game was trailing 4-6 4-6 0-4.

Janowicz (#44) had a confidence boosting win in the 2nd round against Monfils (#19) and I think he will definitely feel he can win this match too, and I think he can do it in straight sets for some great value odds @3.5 "

Feliciano Lopez vs Jerzy Janowicz Jerzy Janowicz 50 Win @ 1.61 Lose (50)

"Lopez is lucky to be in the 3rd round as he was 2 sets down and 0-4 in the 3rd set in the previous round only for his opponent to retire due to injury/medical issue. He was also troubled by a Wild Card player (#123) in the 2st round, just winning it in the 5th set 10-8.

Janowicz has nothing to worry about if Lopez doesn't massively improve (which I think is unlikely), and I think this could be his match to lose. "

Feliciano Lopez vs Jerzy Janowicz Jerzy Janowicz (1st Set Winner) 50 Win @ 1.65 Lose (50)

"Janowicz has won the 1st set in his previews 2 rounds while Lopez has lost the opening set in his previous 2 rounds.

I have tipped Janowicz to win the match and to win in straight sets. This bet here - even if a bit risky in case this match doesn't go the way I'm predicting - I think it worth backing the trend continuing for both players in terms of 1st set winner/loser. "

Ivory Coast v Mali Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 2.04 Win 52 

"Ivory Coast should be strong enough going forwards even without Gervinho which is a big blow. In the first match against Guinea they were pretty poor but they can only get better, you have to fancy they'll manage at least goal.

Mali beat Algeria 2-0 and with the troubles that Ivory Coast have at the back I think they'll score today. "

Ivory Coast v Mali Ivory Coast & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4.5 Lose (50)

"These odds @4.5 are too enticing to past them by. Ivory Coast even without Gervinho still have plenty going forward and in a game they have to look for the win I think they can do it.

But the thing is that Ivory Coast are pretty poor in their defence, and they don't get much help also, for example Yaya Toure looks like he's not that bothered to run and defend.

If Ivory Coast manage to be leading by 2 or more goals I don't see many of their players helping in defence and Mali can score, they are hard working team and that alone can get them a goal anyway. "

Liverpool v Bolton Bolton (Asian Hcap) 1.75 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.95 Win 47 

"Bolton might not be an easy opponent for Liverpool in this one.

Bolton has only lost 1 in their last 12 competitive games. They're coming into this one on the back of an away win and they should be feeling good about themselves at the moment.

Liverpool are in good form and should be very dangerous, I'm not sure they'll play with very strong starting XI and if the players underestimate Bolton I think they might have to play a replay. "

Man City v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough (Asian Hcap) 1.5 (AH) 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"Middlesbrough have only conceded 1 goal in their last 5 league games, 6 if you add the FA Cup. They have the best defence in the Championship by an absolute country mile, they have conceded just 18 goals in 27 games played.

I wouldn't put it past Middlesbrough scoring goal/goals here, Man City kept a clean sheet in Abu Dhabi on Wednesday but that was friendly. In competitive games they have failed to do so in their last 6, Burnley & Sunderland scored 2 even Sheffield Wednesday managed to score a goal at he Etihad.

Man City could be in for a tough afternoon, they might win but if its by 1 goal we still win the bet.
"

Norwich v Brentford Norwich & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.2 Lose (50)

"This should be an intriguing game, 7th Norwich play against 5th Brentford. Norwich have scored in their last 10 games and Brentford in their last 13!

Norwich have a +17 GD in 26 league games played, in their last 6 games they have scored 19 goals and conceded 8. 8 of their last 10 games have been BTTS.

Brentford have +7 goal deference. 10 of their last 13 league games have been BTTS.

Home win and BTTS is a good bet here. "

Norwich v Brentford Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.7 Win 35 

"These two usually score, Norwich have scored in their last 10 games and Brentford in their last 13!

Both will try to win the game for similar reasons as they are both high up the table, and only 3 points between them.

I think this should be a very good game and I think is highly likely that both teams will score. "

Port Vale v Crewe Port Vale & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.6 Lose (50)

"Port Vale have won their last 3 home games by 2-1 final score. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last 9 games and 4 at home.

Crewe have scored in their last 8 games and they failed to score in just 2 of their last 14. Although they've only scored once more than 1 goal in away games.

Port Vale have scored 2 or more goals in 7 of their 13 home fixtures (54%), but against teams currently 15th or below when playing at home they've scored 2 or more in 6 of 7 played (86%).

Port Vale won the reverse fixture 1-2. "

Real Sociedad v Eibar Eibar & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 11 Lose (50)

"Eibar have only lost 1 in their last 7 games, Real Sociedad have only won 1 from their last 6, but that win was at home against Barcelona 1-0.

The things is that Real Sociedad have not score more than 1 goal in the league since 7 Dec 2014, while Eibar have not conceded more than 1 goal in the league since 8 Dec 2014. Eibar have score more than 1 goal in 3 of their last 6 games.

I'll have a speculative bet here. "

Real Sociedad v Eibar Eibar 50 Win @ 5.2 Lose (50)

"I think Eibar have a better chance than the @5.2 that is on offer here.

Real Sociedad recently don't score enough goals and if they don't again here they will be unable to take this out of Eibar's reach. Even if Real score 1 goal Eibar have every chance of scoring 2 and so I think the price is too big not to have a speculative bet. "

Southampton v Crystal Palace Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 2.15 Win 57 

"Both will be keen to finish with this fixture, they will not like the draw/replay, I think we will see an open game with chances at both ends of the field.

Both come in to this game with plenty of feel good factor because of excellent recent results. "

Tranmere v Hartlepool Tranmere (Asian Hcap) -0.50 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.77 Lose (50)

"Tranmere will definitely fancy their chances in this crucial game.

Tranmere are just out of the relegation places while Hartlepool are rooted to the bottom 9 points behind safety.

Hartlepool have just 1 win in their last 14 league games.

Tranmere have lost 1 in their last 7 games.

Big opportunity for Tranmere and I think they have to take it. "

Villarreal v Levante Villarreal & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.8 Win 40 

"Villareal has 5 clean sheets in their last 7 games, Levante has failed to score in 5 of their 10 away games, and have only score 2 goals in their last 5 games. "

Villarreal v Levante Villarreal #3-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 8 Lose (50)

"Villarreal won 2-0 the reverse fixture and so I think now at home they could add a goal to that scoreline. In their last 3 home games they've won 2-0 Athletic Bilbao, 3-0 Deportivo and 4-0 Real Sociedad. "

Watford v Blackpool Watford 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"Watford are 6th on the table, they have one of the best attacks in the league and their defence isn't shabby either.

Blackpool are one of two teams in all 92 English league clubs (QPR the other) yet without an away win. They have scored just 19 goals and conceded 43 from their 26 league games played. "

Wigan v Huddersfield Huddersfield - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 18 Lose (50)

"The more likely outcome is the X/1 but @18 I'll have a punt for huge profit and take a chance that Huddersfield can take the lead in at halftime.

This bet would have won last time out for Wigan, they where at home against Blackburn FT 1-1 and HT/FT 2/X.

Wigan have been leading at halftime in only 4 of their 13 home games, in 5 of the 13 they've been losing.

Huddersfield last 4 away games at halftime they had 3 0-0 and 1 they where leading 0-1, so they haven't conceded a first half goal in last 4 away games.

Huddersfield have conceded 30 goals in away games and 21 of them have been in the second half. "

Wolverhampton v Charlton Wolverhampton & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.75 Lose (50)

"Wolves are in a 6-game undefeated run including 4 clean sheets, with 5W 1D, they have won their last 4 and have 2 clean sheets in their last 2 games.

Charlton where thumbed 5-0 last time out against Watford, they are in a 9-game win-less run and they have lost their last 3 without scoring.

Charlton will have their new manager on the touchline this time around as he didn't get his work permit on time last week.

Form says Wolves win by a clean sheet, but I think Charlton will put in a big shift and make it a good game. I think Wolves win but Charlton will score. Wolves have conceded in 4 of their last 5 home games. "

SubTotal (181)
23 January 2015
Ghana v Algeria Algeria 50 Win @ 2.37 Lose (50)

"Ghana lost against Senegal in the 1st game and now are 3 points back to two teams Algeria and Senegal and their last game is against South Africa which they'll see as a game they can win.

Algeria put 3 goals past a spirited South Africa in the 1st game and with another win here they guaranty to progress in the last 16.

Ghana will have to have a go and look for the win, while Algeria can play the style they like here and soak pressure waiting to hit on the counter. I think Ghana will get desperate and Algeria will get the win.

"

SubTotal (50)
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


28/01/15 18:12:03 © 2002-2015 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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