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Loukaini Profile

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
15 September 2014
Hull v West Ham Draw 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 3.3 Win 115 

"I'll call this one a draw. Can't really make a strong case for either team winning it; I think if there will be a winner I think Hull, but with a couple of new players in the starting lineup I don't expect them to be on top performance today as they will need some games first. West Ham can't be trusted to be backed to win this away fixture against a resolute Hull defense, they are missing Andy Carroll and Kevin Nolan that both can create scoring chances, they will start Enner Valencia who has played 20 minutes of Premier League football this season. I think West Ham should be looking to keep a clean sheet tonight as priority and if they win it massive bonus. I think 0-0 or 1-1. "

SubTotal 115 
14 September 2014
Atletico Mineiro v Gremio Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Win 115 

"Four straight wins have helped Gremio leapfrog Atletico MG on the table; they are closely matched in terms of points and I think it will not be far from being a draw tonight. Gremio has not had a draw in their last 10 league games. Both of those two teams have the vast majority of their final scores when not draws being by one goal margin. I see a close fought affair in this one and it looks like a draw to me. 0-0 or 1-1. "

Atletico Mineiro v Gremio Gremio - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 19 Lose (50)

"The stats for this market are very interesting. Gremio when playing away have scored 60% of their goals in the 1st half and conceded 88% of goals against them in the second half. Atletico when playing at home they have scored 83% of their goals in the second half and conceded 40% in the first half. The final result is marginal for me Mineiro should be favorites for the win but Gremio are coming into this one on the back of 4 straight wins. Draw is a good call at good odds but I'll take a punt here 2/x @19 for a big return. "

Evian Thonon Gaillard v Marseille Marseille 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 2.1 Win 55 

"Marseille is the team in form with two straight wins including two clean sheets coming into this one; they have a great opportunity to make a big leap up the table tonight. The recent criticism that manager Marcelo Bielsa aimed to the club’s board for not consulting about the recent acquisition of young defender Brazil Under-20 captain Dori, I think it will have a positive effect to the team, if you read exactly what happened I think the only ones that have something to worry about are the board people. Marseille have been performing far better than Evian and at worst I see a hard fought away win, I reckon it will be an impressive win for Marseille. Evian are on the root of the table having scored 2 goals and conceded 10 in 4 games played so far. Played two at home and scored 0! Kept 0-0 with 10men PSG only came into the game after PSG went down to 10 men. Evian is missing two first team defenders for this game; Marseille is full strength. "

Flamengo v Corinthians Draw 50 Win @ 3 Lose (50)

"home @2.7 Draw @3 Away @3... Can you get much closer odds? I will take the bookies hint and back the draw. Brazil's two best supported sides are locking horns in this one and it will not be too far from draw result. Corinthians have only lost 2 games all season but have 9 wins and 9 draws(draw specialists)! also they have played the 4 teams at the bottom of the table and only got 4 draws (3 away)! Flamenco hasn't had a draw in last 12 games... overdue! "

Internacional v Botafogo Draw 50 Win @ 4 Lose (50)

"Internacional have 1 win in their last 5 and coming into this one at the back of 2 loses; OK Botafongo is not the greatest away team but I think they have enough about them to get another draw in this fixture as it was last time they've met and have finished in 3 of their last 6 meetings; they are also coming into this one at the back of two losses following 2 wins. Both are due a draw result, Internacional no draw in last 10 home and 11 overall; while Botafogo 5 away 7 overall. "

SubTotal 20 
13 September 2014
Arsenal v Man City Draw 50 Win @ 3.5 Win 125 

"You can make a case for all three results in this one and all valid cases so I think the draw has to be taken even the bookies don't find much between them for this fixture. Both travel to Germany for the Champions League in a couple of days and both need a positive result here to build confidence and momentum. I see both teams being satisfied with a draw at end and so I think it will be tight slow game just to preserve some energy for the upcoming CL fixtures. "

Arsenal v Man City Man City - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 16 Win 750 

"Arsenal have conceded 4 goals this season and all of them have been in the first half, while Man City have conceded 2 and both have been in the second. I can see this happening again here, I have this one down as a score draw and so I think it's a good bet to back the 2/x in this market. "

Arsenal v Man City David Silva (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 13 Lose (50)

"Other than Aguero he's the other main threat to score for Man City today, he has already 1 first goal to his name and I think he's a fair bet to be taken at these odds. "

Chelsea v Swansea Chelsea 50 Win @ 1.33 Win 17 

"The only two remaining teams with 100% winning record in the league. Is Chelsea going to slip up at home and miss this opportunity to be the top team? I don't think so! The Swans have been doing extremely well but this will probably be the toughest game they'll face all season, they'll give it a good go and probably make it a good game but at the end Chelsea's pressure will prove to much to handle for Swansea's defense. A hard fought home win. "

Crystal Palace v Burnley Crystal Palace 50 Win @ 2.29 Lose (50)

"It's easy to make a case for all three results in this one. I'm going for the home win mainly because this is bound to be a massive game for both teams retrospectively at the end of the season and as the home team they should be looking to win it, Burnley would take a draw. Palace have a new manager Neil Warnock and it will be the first game in front of their fans, the brand new manager syndrome should be another factor for the home win. And Palace have the fresh experience of big Premier League games from last season. "

Liverpool v Aston Villa Aston Villa 50 Win @ 11 Win 500 

"I just don't agree with the odds and I can't miss this opportunity to take the overpriced unbeaten team @11. You have to go back to 2010 to find when last time Villa lost this fixture! Villa will go to Liverpool under not any kind of pressure as no one really expect them to get anything from this fixture, so they have nothing to lose and they'll be free to express themselves this afternoon. It will suit Villa to sit back pack the midfield and look to hit on the counter. Liverpool are missing their main man Sturridge, and if Balotelli is not at the top of his game he will not be able to replace him in this fixture. At these odds I'm taking a punt of a big upset that shouldn't really surprise to many. "

Liverpool v Aston Villa Aston Villa & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"I think this bet is very overpriced, Villa is the unbeaten team and have nothing to lose in this fixture as not too many expect them to get anything from this fixture, even though the last time they lost it was back in 2010! A confident Villa team against a depleted Liverpool (no Sturridge) with the ability to pack the midfield sit back and strike on the counter, I'm taking a punt in this one. "

Liverpool v Aston Villa Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.92 Lose (50)

"Villa have nothing to lose this afternoon and I expect them to make it a really good game. Liverpool will be very dangerous going forward and at home I expect them to at least score once; but Villa will be looking to hit on the counter with every opportunity they get, they are full of confidence as the unbeaten team and I expect an open game with goals from both teams. "

Southampton v Newcastle Southampton 50 Win @ 1.83 Win 41 

"I was tempted to go for the draw in this one, but the thing is that is Newcastle is not a team I can trust to get results at the moment, they must feel heavily under pressure and especially their manager Alan Pardew who reportedly has been giver two games to save his job. The Saints on the other hand they should feel this is an opportunity to get their first home win of the season and with performances and results exceeding preseason expectations I think they will win this one, as they've been doing the last 10 of 14 previous visits of Newcastle. they've only lost 1. "

Stoke v Leicester Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"Tough game to predict and so I'm going for the draw. Both have played well in their opening fixtures and look to be quite evenly matched. Stoke are very tough team to play against at their back yard but Leicester should be upbeat and try to match Stokes' resolute defense, even though they are without a win they have played Everton, Chelsea and Arsenal. I think 1-1 is the final score. "

Sunderland v Tottenham Draw 50 Win @ 3.5 Win 125 

"You would think that Spurs should be odds-on to win this match, but as the odds suggest it will not be so straightforward for the away team in this one. Both teams will be pumped-up to get things back on track after they both lost just before the International brake. I just don't like Spurs, one day they are very good and on other they are horrible, I like Gus Poyet as a manager and I think he will have prepare his team tactically to pose problems to this Spurs team. Spurs are missing an important first team player Kyle Walker (injured) and it will take time to replace him; Sunderland are full strength. "

West Brom v Everton Everton 50 Win @ 2.29 Win 65 

"Both teams have 2 draws and a loss but Everton is better team than West Brom, they've spend big in the transfer window and I expect them to get the much needed first win in this one. Everton must see this as a have to win game and I expect them to go all out for the three points. "

SubTotal 1,373 
12 September 2014
Lyon v Monaco Draw 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 3.2 Lose (50)

"These two were supposed to be fighting for Champion League spots and after four games they are just above the relegation positions. Lyon has four players that reportedly have benefited by the international brake and seem to have recovered from injuries; they are coming into this one on the back of three straight league defeats. Monaco after starting with two defeats they now have a win and a draw. I think this will be a tough match for both teams and they should not be unhappy with a draw at the end. "

Lyon v Monaco Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"These two play attacking systems and with the need for points I see goals in this one. I think it will be a score draw. "

SubTotal
08 September 2014
Switzerland v England England - Switzerland (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 46 Lose (50)

"England will go into the game full off energy and enthusiasm and I can see them nicking a first half goal, but we have seen so often the second half is not their best half, I can see the Swiss turning it around in the second half and getting the win. "

Switzerland v England Switzerland 50 Win @ 2.7 Lose (50)

"I just can't trust this English team beating anyone at the moment let alone an ambitious Swiss team in their back yard. England have the ability to win this game but I'm much more comfortable backing the home team in this one. "

Switzerland v England Switzerland & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"I just can't trust England beating anyone at the moment but I think they have enough about them to at least expect they will score a goal, but I think the Swiss can't miss this opportunity to start the campaign with a home win against their groups' main rival. "

Switzerland v England Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.45 Lose (50)

"I think the Swiss will have plenty of joy in front of England's goal, England are under pressure to perform and get a result and I think mistakes will happen and Switzerland will get their chances. I also think worth expecting an England goal when they'll be 2 down they'll have nothing to lose and they will go all out to get at least a goal themselves. Good value for the Over. "

Switzerland v England Gary Cahill (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 34 Lose (50)

"I don't have a clear favorite to score the opening goal, Rooney is out of form but he still might be the safest bet for England, I'm still going to take a punt on Cahill to score a header from a corner or a free kick. "

SubTotal (250)
07 September 2014
Denmark v Armenia Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 2.29 Win 65 

"I expect a small war in this one, it's a group with Portugal, Serbia and Albania and if we think that Portugal probably have booked the top spot there are only four teams to fight for two spots. In the last World Cup qualification campaign this fixture finished 0-4! Denmark will be out for revenge and Armenia will fancy their chances. "

Denmark v Armenia Armenia 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 10 Lose (50)

"This Group(I) contains Portugal, Serbia and Albania so Denmark has to go all out for the win here today, similarly Armenia will feel they badly need a positive result. Denmark have to be fancied to get all three points against Armenia. But I'm going to take a punt at these odds @10 for an away win. As I said Denmark has to go all out to win and Armenia might catch them out on the counter. Worth mentioning that in the last World Cup qualification campaign this fixture finished 0-4! "

Georgia v Rep of Ireland Rep of Ireland & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.4 Lose (50)

"The odds say that this is the most likely outcome in this market and I will agree. The tricky thing is for Ireland to score the first goal (if there is to be a goal) then I really like the odds, as Georgia is very tight in defense and the count on it because they just don't score goals themselves very often. "

Georgia v Rep of Ireland Rep of Ireland 50 Win @ 2.4 Win 70 

"Ireland have 5 wins in as many games against Georgia. I think both teams have to see this game as a must win game if they want to qualify. The only games that Georgia won in almost 2 years are against Saudi Arabia and Liechtenstein while Ireland is more capable team and they look that they will give it a good go to get back into a major tournament, their away form has cost them in recent campaigns and I expect them to go to Georgia determined to get them off to a winning start. "

Greece v Romania Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.7 Lose (50)

"When these two met for the last World Cup qualification this fixture was the first leg and finished 3-1 in Romania four days later it finished 1-1. These two are the main contenders in the group and a win for Greece today or a positive result for Romania will go a very long way at the end when the final spots will be decided. I see goals in this one, for great value. "

Greece v Romania Greece 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"Two neighbors meet again. This fixture has been eventful game in past years, mostly in friendlies, but in 2013 there was for WC qualification when Greece won in Greece 3-1 and four days later drew in Romania 1-1. Greece have appointed Claudio Ranieri for new manager and even tough it's very early days to judge it sounds like a great appointment to me. Romania has to be one of the biggest threats to Greece in the group if not the biggest and a home win is vital today. "

Italian Grand Prix Sergio Perez (Points Finish) 50 Win @ 1.56 Win 28 

"Perez starts 10th and has his ups and downs but I think here he has a great opportunity to equal the races that finished higher than his team-mate to 5 each. Hulkenberg (13th) had balance problems in the qualifying and he has 3 grid places to pass in order to pass Perez in the race. "

Italian Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton (Fastest Lap) 50 Win @ 2.5 Win 75 

"Apparently if we believe Eddie Jordan this track suits Lewis most then any other track, he was proved right in the qualifying, and I'm going to believe him again for the race and back the fastest lap by Lewis in his most suited track of all. "

Italian Grand Prix Fernando Alonso (Podium Finish) 50 Win @ 4.5 Lose (50)

"Alonso qualified 7th and looked to have driven out of his skin again! the thing is that he's only 0.565 seconds behind 3rd place Massa and with the two McLarens in between; I'm going to back the superior skill and talent of the Spaniard to breach that gap and finish on the podium with a bit of luck and maybe a couple of retirements up front. "

Italian Grand Prix Valtteri Bottas (Win Race) 25 EW @ 12 Lose (50)

"Bottas has shown that he is fast time after time, he has out-qualified his teammate Massa 8 times. He has finished twice 2nd and twice 3rd in recent races and with a bit of luck he is perfectly placed today to capitalize in case there are unfortunate incidents for the two Mercedes. "

Italian Grand Prix Without Mercedes GP Valtteri Bottas 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"I have backed Bottas EW for the win and I think if he has no retirement issues he should be very difficult to catch from 3rd on the grid and even though there is no real value in the price I can't see him getting beaten by any other driver that's not in a Mercedes car. "

Portugal v Albania Portugal #1-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Albania more often then not when playing away their tactic is to sit back soak pressure and look to frustrate their opponents. Portugal will be without Ronaldo due to a knee complain, so I don't expect a thrushing, most likely 1 goals will be enough for them to get the vital 3 points in this opening fixture. "

Portugal v Albania Portugal & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"Portugal will probably win 1 or 2-0 Albania will look to sit back soak pressure and look to frustrate. Portugal will be missing Ronaldo with a knee complain and so I expect them to be cautious because without their main threat in front of goal they will not expect to thrush Albania, 1 or 2 goals should be enough, if they can keep their defense tight. "

Portugal v Albania Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"Cristiano Ronaldo is probably missing for this fixture with a knee complain. If Ronaldo was playing I would expect shorter odds for the Over. Portugal without him can have problems in scoring plenty of goals. Albania is a team - especially away from home - that most of the time sit back defending soaking pressure and look to frustrate. I believe if Portugal win it will not be by more than 2 goals and hopefully Albania doesn't score. "

Serbia v France France 50 Win @ 2.15 Lose (50)

"This game for France is more than just a friendly, they don't have to play in the qualifying groups as the host they have already qualified. So this is another preparation game for them. France just beat Spain 1-0 last Thursday and I expect them to kick on building even more confidence with a nice away win. I don't expect Serbia to be a push over but I like France's odds against and I'll have a punt. "

SubTotal (212)
06 September 2014
Accrington Stanley v Tranmere Tranmere 50 Win @ 2.7 Lose (50)

"Bottom of the league Accrington Stanley play 11th Tranmere, I'm a bit pleasantly surprised to see the odds for an away win here. Accrington must have forgotten how it feels to win a game, they are on a 10 games winless run. Tranmere have been OK nothing spectacular, but they have played 5 games and 4 where against the current top 5 teams. I feel this game has to be targeted for 3 points and anything less will not be accepted. Tranmere will not want a slip up in their pursuit of at least a play-off spot to return where they where last season in league one. "

Bradford v Yeovil Bradford 50 Win @ 2.2 Lose (50)

"Great value here for the home win. Bradford are coming into this one with back to back wins after beating Leeds 2-1 for the League Cup they followed it by beating Coventry 3-2. Yeovil have back to back home draws and only have won 1 games this season 1-2 agai9nst lowly Walsall. It's a long trip up north for Yeovil to go to Bradford and I think they'll have to make it back with nothing in the bag. "

Bristol City v Scunthorpe Bristol City 50 Win @ 1.73 Win 37 

"Bristol City will be looking to extend their unbeaten run to 5 games, and with another home fixture coming after this one they'll feel is a good opportunity to collect 6 points in two games, and this is the easier of the two. While the home side have all their team available, Scunthorpe have an extensive injury list. "

Bristol City v Scunthorpe Bristol City - Bristol City (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 2.6 Lose (50)

"Scunthorpe have plenty in the injured list while Bristol have all their players fit. Bristol have 5 games unbeaten run and they'll be looking to extent it to 7! with two home fixtures on the bounce; this is the easier of the two and should be capable of overwhelming the Scunthorpe defense. "

Bristol City v Scunthorpe Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.9 Lose (50)

"I've go this one down as a comprehensive home win from first half to the end and so I hope Bristol can score the 3 or more goals themselves, but Scunthorpe have managed to score in both their away fixtures and Bristol have only kept one clean sheet, also the game before last they allowed Colchester(23rd) a goal against them at home. "

Carlisle v AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 50 Win @ 3 Lose (50)

"Carlisle are 3rh from bottom and they have managed to score 2!! goals in 5 games played in the league while they have the second worst defense with 10 goals against. Wimbledon are mid-table but are coming into this one with 2 consecutive loses; but they have big problems at home and they do much better in the away fixtures having 2 wins from 2 played. "

Carlisle v AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 5 Lose (50)

"Carlisle have scored just 2 goals from 5 games played in the league so far, Wimbledon are an away team... they are very good in soaking up pressure and hitting on the counter, they've played 2 and won 2 including 2 clean sheets. Good value bet. "

Exeter v Mansfield Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.67 Lose (50)

"Exeter has scored 2 goals in 5 league games played so far and Mansfield 4; their defenses have not been that disastrous, both teams in their last three games have only conceded 1 goal; and in those three games Exeter scored only once (at home) while Mansfield managed to score in two games (at home) one goal each time. "

Flamengo v Gremio Draw 50 Win @ 3.1 Lose (50)

"These two are over due a draw result; Flamenco 10 games without a draw and Gremio 8. Today's game have the making for those streaks to end. Only 3 points separate both teams so they are evenly matched. "

Hartlepool v Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 50 Win @ 2.1 Lose (50)

"Shrewsbury's price is coming down for good reason, and I think it might go odds against by kick off time. Hartlepool have only scored in 1 of their 5 games played so far in the league. While Shrewsbury have scored in all their games including 2 clean sheets. Hartlepool have recorder 13 shots on target fewer then everyone else. Shrewsbury have scored two or more goals in four of their last five trips to Hartlepool. "

SubTotal (413)
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


16/09/14 08:25:39 © 2002-2014 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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