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Loukaini Profile
"Register in OLBG http://www.olbg.com/?tx51033 ...You didn't know.. you didn't ask?!"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
14 December 2014
Guimaraes v Rio Ave Guimaraes - Guimaraes (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 3.75 Lose (50)

"Guimaraes are very strong at home and can get a vital win in this one.

Rio Ave where playing a Europa League only 3 days ago and could tire at the later stages of the game.

The thing is I think Guimaraes will win comfortably and the fact that Rio Ave has not concede a first half goal yet in all of their away league games (6), and in fact they have only conceded 2 first half goals at home. I think it about time they concede in the first half in an away game. It might be 1-1 still I think it the best bet, as I expect a comfortable Guimaraes win. "

Guimaraes v Rio Ave Guimaraes 50 Win @ 2.25 Lose (50)

"Guimaraes had their winning streak of 5 wins come to an end last time out with a 0-0 draw away to Sporting Braga, they'll be extremely keen to get back to winning ways today against Rio Ave who where playing a mid-week Europa League game only 3 days ago.

Guimaraes are very strong at home and I expect them to get another home win in this one. "

Guingamp v PSG PSG 50 Win @ 1.5 Lose (50)

"Both had mid-week European duties but PSG had one extra day to rest.

Guinamp had a very demanding game against PAOK in Greece, and although they won that game they might pay for it now against a much more demanding game hosting PSG.

With a win here PSG can find themselves top of the league by the end of the day as leaders Marseille play away to Monaco which is a tough game and could drop points. "

Man Utd v Liverpool Adam Lallana (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 13 Lose (50)

"I think Liverpool can cause big problems to this Man Utd defence and I'm having a bet that they can win today.

Lallana is not a bad choice to open the scoring at some value odds @13.

I think he can have some joy today against Evans, Jones, Young and Valencia. "

Man Utd v Liverpool Liverpool 50 Win @ 4.75 Lose (50)

"I don't like the look of Man Utd's defence and I think they can lose by anyone at this moment in time. Without Di Maria they are missing their best player by far. I'm not sure if van Persie is back on form.

I think Liverpool is nothing special at the moment but they are in need of a good result and I think they can cause problems to this Man Utd defence. "

PAOK Salonika v Kerkyra Kerkyra 50 Win @ 19 Lose (50)

"PAOK will be a bit deflated after their exit from the Europa League following their 1-2 home defeat to Guingamp last Thursday (3 days ago). They are coming into this one with back to back defeats where they conceded 6 goals and scored 3.

Kerkyra is not a push over and they can make it a good game today if PAOK is not on their top form.

Long-shot but Kerkyra might produce a big upset in this one today. "

Swansea v Tottenham Swansea 50 Win @ 2.4 Lose (50)

"Tottenham continue to disappoint, they are without a win from their last 3 games including the Europa League game against Besiktas, and have lost 2 of the last 3. They have failed to score in any of their last 3.

Swansea is not exactly flying either, but they are very strong at home and I expect them to win this one. They haven't lost a home game in their last 6 in all comp. They've beaten Arsenal not long ago. "

Wolfsburg v Paderborn Wolfsburg 50 Win @ 1.4 Lose (50)

"Wolfsburg are doing well this season and their home ground is something of a fortress, they have won their last 6 home games, they have scored 15 and conceded just 5 goals at home games.

Paderborn have not won away from home in 5 games 1D 4L scored just 5 goals and conceded 14 in away games. "

SubTotal (400)
13 December 2014
Arsenal v Newcastle Newcastle 50 Win @ 7.5 Lose (50)

"This is a game where Newcastle can play without too much pressure as Arsenal is a huge favorite, all the pressure will be on Arsenal.

Newcastle can spring another surprise after beating Chelsea last time out.

Arsenal had to travel to Turkey for the CL only 3 days ago and although they did make plenty of changes in the team, in defence 3 of the ones playing today played that game too, amongst a few others. "

Arsenal v Newcastle Papiss Cisse (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 10 Lose (50)

"Cisse has scored 3 goals in his last 2 appearances, I think Newcastle playing without pressure in this game will cause problems to this Arsenal back-line, 3 of the 4 defender played in the CL game in Turkey only a few days ago, also a few other players played that game. "

Burnley v Southampton Burnley 50 Win @ 5.5 Win 225 

"Southampton's confidence have taken a knock having not won any of their last 4 games and lost last 3. OK admittedly the 3 defeats were against the two Manchester clubs and Arsenal, but that run started with a draw away to Aston Villa.

Burnley need points from this game, after this they play away to Spurs, home to Liverpool, away to Man City and away to Newcastle. "

Burnley v Southampton Danny Ings (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 8.5 Lose (50)

"This is a huge game for Burnley and they need to take points from this game. They have a very tough fixture list coming-up.

For Burnley to open the scoring, Danny Ings is the obvious choice @8.5 is good value. "

Chelsea v Hull Hull 50 Win @ 21 Lose (50)

"This is the toughest league in Europe in my opinion, I have said many times that anyone can beat anyone in this league. Hull @21 is an almost unbelievable price and I'm having a punt. It will need plenty of luck but you never know in this league, maybe a red card or two maybe a penalty or two, you just never know. Huge odds to turn down, I'm sure I can lose a sure bet so this might a huge outsider that wins. "

Chelsea v Hull Eden Hazard (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 6 Win 250 

"Hazard was rested in the last Chelsea game and he should be nice and ready for this game. Diego Costa played in the last game and might be feeling it a bit. Also Costa hasn't scored in his last 4 appearances, he might be due one but I prefer the better value and rested Hazard. "

Leicester v Man City Draw - Man City (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 4.75 Lose (50)

"City without Aguero might straggle to open the scoring, I think it worth a punt that they'll win the game but in the second half after they have soften the Leicester defences. "

Leicester v Man City Yaya Toure (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"In the absence of Aguero City will have to look elsewhere for goals and I think Toure is a great choice for some value odds @7, he has scored goals recently and another one here is quite likely and why not to be the first in the game. "

SubTotal 175 
11 December 2014
FC Copenhagen v Torino Torino (Asian Hcap) -0.25 (AH) 50 Win @ 2.19 Win 60 

"PC Copenhagen has already named their starting XI for this meaningless to them fixture and they'll be without plenty of their top players.

Torino has everything to play for as with a win they could be top of Group B. They are a very tight unit in defence, they have played 9 Europa League games this season including 2 qualifiers and have kept 8 clean sheets. "

FC Copenhagen v Torino Torino & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 3.4 Lose (50)

"Torino has played 9 Europa League games this season including the 2 qualifiers and have kept 8 clean sheets.

FC Copenhagen has been eliminated and will field a much changed team with many of their top players not playing tonight.

Torino with a win they can be top of the group at the end. "

FC Copenhagen v Torino Torino #2-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 11.5 Lose (50)

"Torino need to win this game as they not only make sure they qualify but they could top the group also.

Torino is very strong in defence, they have kept 8 clean sheets from their 9 Europa League games they've played this season.

FC Copenhagen has been eliminated and they have already named their starting XI, there will be many of their top names sitting out for this game. "

Fiorentina v Dinamo Minsk Fiorentina 50 Win @ 1.33 Lose (50)

"Fiorentina has already won the group and Dinamo Minsk will finish bottom.

Fiorentina will definitely want to win this game not only for the money but for their fans too.

Dinamo Minsk has only scored 1 goals and conceded 13 from their 5 group games played.

Fiorentina scored 10 and conceded just 2. Even if there are many changes for Fiorentina, the players coming in will want to impress. "

Fiorentina v Dinamo Minsk Fiorentina & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"Dinamo Minsk have scored just 1 goal and conceded 13 from their 5 group games played so far.

Fiorentina have scored 10 and conceded just 2 from their 5 games.

Fiorentina has already won the group and Dinamo will finish bottom of the group regardless what happens in this game.

A positive performance by Fiorentina is very important to take with them to the next stage and I can see them winning without conceding. "

Napoli v Slovan Bratislava Napoli & No (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.53 Win 26 

"Napoli need to win this game against the weaker side of the group. Napoli is currently level on 10 points with Sparta Prague who play a not so easy fixture away to Young Boys.

Slovan Bratislava have lost all 5 group games scored 1 goal and conceded 17. "

Napoli v Slovan Bratislava Napoli 50 Win @ 1.14 Win

"Napoli need to win this home fixture against the weaker side of the group, Napoli is level on 10 points with Sparta Prague who have to travel to Switzerland to play against Young Boys who are very strong at home.

Slovan Bratislava has lost all of their 5 group games, scored just 1 goal and conceded 17 in the process. "

Napoli v Slovan Bratislava Napoli - Napoli (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 1.5 Win 25 

"I can't see Slovan Bratislava getting anything from this game and also I can't see them going in at half time not losing.

Napoli in front of their passionate home supporters they will not want to give them any worries and I think they'll be comfortable winners from halftime. "

Young Boys v Sparta Prague Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.85 Lose (50)

"These are 2 strong teams in the group and will be fighting this game for qualification.

Both will be confident they can win this game and I expect a very entertaining game with with hopefully more than 2 goals.

The reverse fixture finished 3-1. "

SubTotal (132)
10 December 2014
Ajax v Apoel Nicosia Ajax (Asian Hcap) -0.75 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.81 Win 41 

"Ajax has had a disappointing CL campaign and will be extremely keen to give their fans something to cheer about with a Europa qualification.

APOEL has to go all out to win this game at some point and I think they'll be caught out by a confident Ajax, who won 5-0 last time out at a home league game against Willem II.

APOEL has scored just 1 goal from their 5 CL games, and even more interestingly they have only scored 2 goals from their last 4 league games in Cyprus. "

Barcelona v PSG PSG (Asian Hcap) 1.25 (AH) 50 Win @ 2 Lose (50)

"For Barcelona only the win is a good result in this game, while for PSG even a draw will see them as winner of Group F.

PSG have done extremely well so far and they'll want to finish the groups stage with an impressive result.

Barcelona can't go all out in attack because PSG is extremely dangerous team, so I think it will be a measured approach from both teams and I don't think there will be much between them at the end, I think PSG can get a draw in this one, even though the win will not surprise me, even if PSG loses by 1 we still make a small profit. "

FC Porto v Shakhtar Donetsk FC Porto (Asian Hcap) -0.50 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.85 Lose (50)

"Their final group positions have been decided, Porto has won Group H and Shaktar has finished 2nd no matter what happens in this game.

Shaktar will be missing three key players through suspension, most notable Luiz Adriano who is the top scorer of the competition with 9 goals. So they'll be forced to make change in key position that normally have great stability.

Porto is also expected to make a few changes but I think the fact that they play at home will be easier for the players coming in. "

NK Maribor v Schalke NK Maribor (Asian Hcap) 0.75 (AH) 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose+Push (25)

"Maribor will have to feel superb in this fixture, not many gave them too much of a chance in progressing even to the Europa league from this very tough Group G. Now they have a chance to progress to the Europa if they win this last game which is at home!

Maribor drew 1-1 at home against Sporting Lisbon and Chelsea as well as a 1-1 in the reverse of this fixture in Germany.

Both teams will have a real go and try to win this game and I think the home advantage could prove crucial. "

Roma v Man City Roma (Asian Hcap) -0.25 (AH) 50 Win @ 2.15 Lose (50)

"Man City has to play this game without Sergio Aguero. It is an absolute massive loss for Man City and equally massive blow to their chances to win this huge game. They'll also be missing Yaya Toure through suspension, another massive loss. Kompany, Silva and Jovetic all are fitness doubts for this game.

For Roma playing this massive game at home is a big advantage, they'll have their passionate fans to give them an extra boost.

They have their own Aguero (although not same class) available to play this game, the in-form Serbian forward Adem Ljajic, alongside Totti and Gervinho. "

SubTotal (134)
09 December 2014
Benfica v Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 50 Win @ 2.2 Lose (50)

"Bayern needs to win this game to make sure they win the group, they'll be looking to attack from the first whistle.

Benfica has nothing to play for other than pride and the money for the win(which both are no small things) but I just think they will probably not field their strongest XI as they can rest their key players this week in a game that has no real reward for them. "

Juventus v Atletico Madrid Draw 50 Win @ 3.1 Win 105 

"The draw will do for both teams and I can't see them being very adventurous in this game.

Juve will want to win this home fixture but at the same-time they know that Atletico is very dangerous team and will not be going all out for the win.

Atletico will want to finish the Group Stage with a positive result and a draw in Italy is a very positive result. "

Liverpool v Basel Basel 50 Win @ 4.8 Lose (50)

"Liverpool is lucking a cutting edge in front of goal and they have to win this game to progress to the knock-out stage.

For Basel a draw will be enough to progress and they'll look to by ultra tight in defence and hit on the counter attack, where they have shown they are very efficient playing this style.

I think all results are possible in this game and so I think there is great value backing Basel.

The fact that Basel only lost 0-1 to Real Madrid is a very positive result. "

Liverpool v Basel Draw or Basel (Double Chance) 50 Win @ 2.04 Win 52 

"I think Basel can win this game and I have backed them to do so in the 1X2 market. I'm backing them in the double chance market as a saver bet in case its a draw.

For Basel a draw is enough to see them progressing to the knock-out stage and I think they'll look to frustrate the Reds and hit on the counter attack.

If Liverpool doesn't get an early lead they can get too anxious and Basel will grow in confidence. "

Monaco v Zenit St Petersburg Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"This is a tough one to call, it's a very tight group and mathematically a lot of permutations are still possible.

The fact that is very significant is that the draw will do for Manaco, while Zenit has to go for the win.

I think it will be a tight game with a lot of the statistics being quite level so I think the final score will be quite lever too and I think the draw is a good bet here. "

SubTotal
08 December 2014
Southampton v Man Utd Southampton 50 Win @ 3 Lose (50)

"I expect this to be a tough game for both teams, I think the home advantage will be the deciding factor.

The Saints are desperate to return to wining ways after three games without a win and although I expect a tough game I think they can hurt this Man Utd back-line. "

Southampton v Man Utd Draw - Southampton (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"The Saints can hurt this Man Utd back line, they are in need of a win, as they have not won any of their last 3 games.

I just don't trust this Man Utd team and I think if they are not on top of their game they can lose this match.

Most of the goal action between these teams happen in the second half. "

Southampton v Man Utd 2nd Half (Half with Most Goals) 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"These teams like to score their goals in the second half, and incidentally they also concede most of their goals in the second half.

I expect a tight first half maybe 0-0 and a narrow Southampton win in the second half. "

Southampton v Man Utd Under (1st Half Goal Line) 1 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"These two teams have most of their goal action in the second half either score or concede, and I don't see any reason to suggest there will be different in this game tonight. "

SubTotal (200)
07 December 2014
Aston Villa v Leicester Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"Villa might be in a 4-game unbeaten run but they've only won 1 of them.

Villa are at the bottom of the Premier League Home table with only 5 points collected from their 6 home games 1W 2D 3L scored 4 goals and conceded 9.

Leicester is without a win from their last 9 games 0W 2D 7L, they will have to steady the ship and a draw here will be a very positive result.

Villa doesn't score enough goals to give them some comfort in their games, they've only won 4 games home or away, only 1 at home and every win was by a single goal. "

Coritiba v Bahia Coritiba 50 Win @ 3.25 Win 112 

"Coritiba is coming into this last game of the season in good form having only lost 1 games from their last 8 and have won the last 2.

Bahia is in desperation mode and only the win will do, the worring fact is that they've only won 3 away games all season, 2 against the bottom 2 teams and their first away win was the second game of the season.

I think because Bahia will be playing desperation football they'll lose. "

Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense Draw or Atletico Paranaense (Double Chance) 50 Win @ 2.8 Win 90 

"For Parmeiras this game is for league survival and will probably have to win to stay in the league, although if the other 2 games that matter go their way they could stay up even if they lose.

The big problem for Palmairas is their league form, they have lost their last 5 games scored 1 goal and conceded 11 in that period.

Atletico PR has good form and I think they will not surrender the game. "

Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 7 Lose (50)

"Palmeiras is fighting for survival but I think they will not make it. The have lost their last 5 games scored 1 goal and conceded 11 in that period. From their last 4 home games they have 1 draw and 3 defeats, scored 2 goals and conceded 8.

Atletico PR has good form and I think they will not surrender the game as the bookies think it will be the case given the odds for this match.

Great value bet @7. "

Vitoria v Santos Vitoria 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"Vitoria has to win and hope that Palmeiras don't.

Vitoria has a good record and Santos is not in a good run even though they stopped the rot last time out, they had registered 7 games without a win 2D 5L. "

West Ham v Swansea Draw 50 Win @ 3.4 Lose (50)

"I think this will be a tight game and the draw appeal to me @3.4.

Both bring confidence with them in this game and both will feel they can win.

I don't think there will be more than a goal between them and I think the draw is a very likely result at a good price. "

SubTotal
06 December 2014
Campeonato Brasileiro 2014* Atletico Mineiro 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 21 Lose (50)

"There are worst bets in the world. I know their is a massive favorite Cruzeiro @1.17; but there are still 9 game to play and Atletico Mineiro is the team on fire at the moment; last 8 games form is 6W,1D,1L; if they can keep it up and finish the season like that, they'll definitely give Cruzeiro a run for their money. "

SubTotal (50)
04 December 2014
Judd Trump v Rod Lawler Rod Lawler 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"Judd Trump had some very unlikely loses this season and I can't back him with such short odds.

Rod Lawler already had a very impressive win in the last round beating Mark Allen.

It is a bit of a long shot but look what happened to Ding Junhui losing to Cahill who was priced at around @7 if I remember correctly. "

Judd Trump v Rod Lawler Rod Lawler to win 6-3 (Frame Betting) 50 Win @ 23 Lose (50)

"As I've backed Lawler to produce an upset, I think he has a better chance to win if he gets a good lead, if the game is still close in the later frames I think Trump might be too strong then, but if Lawler can pressurize Trump early on he can win this. "

OFI Crete v Ergotelis Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.38 Lose (50)

"This is a battle at the bottom end of the table and both will be motivated to go for the win, the draw is not a great result for any of them.

Ergotelis doesn't have a clean sheet all season but have only failed to score once in their last 7 games, and that was away to PAOK who is top of the table.

OFI at home will have to go all out for the win but it will be very tough to keep a clean shit I feel. OFI had 5 of their last 6 games finish Over 2.5 goals and only 1 clean sheet in that period. "

OFI Crete v Ergotelis OFI Crete & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"OFI hasn't played a home game since a Greek Cup game back in the 30th October, that's just under a month. They will feel be very happy to be playing a home game against Ergotelis who is second from bottom.

I think OFI will win but it will not be by a clean sheet. Ergotelis has failed to score in only 1 game from their last 7. "

SubTotal (200)
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


19/12/14 12:13:19 © 2002-2014 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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