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Loukaini Profile
"Follow me on Twitter @Loukaini Register in OLBG http://www.olbg.com/?tx51033"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
24 March 2015
Luton v Wycombe Wycombe 50 Win @ 2.8 Win 90 

"Two teams fighting for promotion but with very contrasting forms.

Luton lost all their last 4 games, and 6 of their last 7. Contrastingly Wycombe is undefeated from their last 6 and won 3 of them, they actually have lost only 2 from their last 20 games in the league.

Also Wycombe is undefeated in their last 11 away games and Luton hasn't won any game against a top four team. "

Luton v Wycombe Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.54 Win 77 

"Luton need to stop the rot and they'll be up for this game. Wycombe is not very reliable to keep a clean sheet but they have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 games.

Both teams are fighting for promotion and need to win this game. A draw is not too good for either.

Great price to take the risk in this game. "

Luton v Wycombe Wycombe & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 7 Win 300 

"Wycombe has scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 games, but have just 1 clean sheet from their last 8 games.

Luton need to stop the rot and they'll be up for this, I think they'll score. But ultimately Wycombe is the team with momentum and a win is vital to them to get to equal on points with 2nd place in the table and 4 points clear from 4th. "

Luton v Wycombe Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 2.1 Win 55 

"Luton needs to stop the rot following 4 defeats from their last 4 games, they'll be up for this home fixture and against Wycombe who have just 1 clean sheet from their last 8 games, Luton should score.

Wycombe is in great form and have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 games. "

SubTotal 522 
22 March 2015
Barcelona v Real Madrid Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"For some reason I don't think this will be a 1-0 or 1-1. The attacking and goal scoring threats that both these teams have, doesn't pose well for either defenses tonight. "

Barcelona v Real Madrid Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.45 Win 22 

"I can believe there will be too many punters expecting a clean sheet by either team in this El Clasico.

To find the last time in a league game that one of them didn't score you have to look back to 2010, that's 8 games back.

Including all competitions I think its something like their last 17 meetings where both teams scored! "

Barcelona v Real Madrid Real Madrid #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"Real Madrid will be a different proposition tonight following Sergio Ramos's return to the team. With him and Pepe as the defensive pairing Real can focus on their usual style of creating chances and scoring goals.

With all the attacking threats that Barca has, it will be fullish to expect a clean sheet for Real Madrid, but I think Real can certainly win here and the prices seem to have underestimated the effect that Ramos's return might have tonight.

Real need to win to have their fate on their own hands and not depend on others to win points against Barca - huge incentive. Barca need to avoid defeat and might play a bit on the safe side. "

Barcelona v Real Madrid Real Madrid 50 Win @ 4.8 Lose (50)

"@4.8 for Real Madrid win? in any game has to be taken! They have been paying the absence of Sergio Ramos. Well Ramos is back! He played 90 minutes in the 2-0 home win to Levante last weekend, where Bale scored both goals. With Ramos-Pepe the cetral defensive pairing Rear Madrid is a different team, and that effects all areas not just the defence.

Barca was playing a tough mid-week Champions League game, while Real had a whole week to prepare for tonight.

Real needs to win so they will not depend on others taking points of Barca -huge incentive. Barca need to avoid defeat and that might force them to play a bit on the safe side. "

Hull v Chelsea Chelsea 50 Win @ 1.5 Win 25 

"If Hull was at full strength you could conceivably make a case for them to get a positive result somehow, but with their injuries and suspensions it will be a huge upset if Chelsea failed to win this match. "

Liverpool v Man Utd Liverpool 50 Win @ 2.2 Lose (50)

"Anything can happen and probably not the best game to have a big bet on, but @2.2 for a team that hasn't lost a league game in their last 13 winning 10 of them, has 7 clean sheets from their last 9, surely worth a small punt. "

Napoli v Atalanta Atalanta (Asian Hcap) 1.25 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.89 Win 45 

"Napoli has hit a bit of a sticky patch, no win from their last three league games. They are coming here from a long trip to Russia following the 0-0 against Dynamo Moskow.

Atalanta is still in the relegation scrap with just 4 points above safety. They have failed to win any of their last 6 league games, but they do bring two back to back 0-0 draws.

Atalanta has a strong defence as they have conceded just 17 goals away from home, consider that Napoli has conceded 19 at home.

I think Atalanta can spring an upset here and even though the +1.5 would be much better, I'll have a punt at the +1.25 which is the only one offered here. "

QPR v Everton QPR 50 Win @ 3.5 Lose (50)

"QPR have a great chance here against a team that they can drag in the relegation scrap to their advantage.

Everton traveled to Ukraine in a mid-week Europa game and they were comprehensively thumped 5-2.

QPR depend on their home games to stay in the league and they have beaten teams around them in their home games. Everton has only won three away games. QPR with Charlie Austin they always have a big scoring threat, while Everton will be without Mirallas and Gareth Barry for this one. "

SubTotal (88)
21 March 2015
Aston Villa v Swansea Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"I think if there is a winner here it will most probably be Villa, but Swansea will be a stern test today.

Villa might have rediscovered their scoring boots in the last couple of games but defensively remain suspect and Swansea can get a draw here, which will not be a disaster even for Villa. "

Aston Villa v Swansea Aston Villa - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"Villa will come here high on confidence following their last two results and they could be good enough to have a lead at halftime, but Swansea will not go down without a fight and they can certainly hurt this Villa defence.

I think this game will be a draw, and @17 I'll have a small punt in the 1/X. "

Italy v Wales Wales by 13+ (Winning Margin 5-Way) 50 Win @ 1.22 Win 11 

"I think because Wales has to recover from a very tough game last time out against Ireland it might be tough ask to cover the -23.5 in the handicap but I certainly expect them to be able to win by more than 12 points in this game as they need a big margin win to have a chance to win the championship. "

Man City v West Brom Man City 50 Win @ 1.33 Win 17 

"Even with such sort odds I think the correct choice is home win in this one.

Man City will be ecstatic to see the back of Barcelona and today back to the bread and butter business of the Premier League with their only chance of silverware. I think West Brom might be in for a backlash thumping by Man City. "

Newcastle v Arsenal Arsenal 50 Win @ 1.6 Win 30 

"Arsenal might have played an intensive away game for the CL 3 days ago but after today they get a full week to rest, so I don't think they'll be lacking in effort here.

If Newcastle was not missing a couple of key players I might have been tempted at a big price to back them, but today they'll be with out Cissé and Coloccini amongst others.

Arsenal have to take advantage of Man City's defeat last time out and press for the top of the league, being out of the CL will be even higher motivation to keep pushing in the league. "

Southampton v Burnley Burnley 50 Win @ 8.5 Lose (50)

"I hope I'm wrong here and I hope Southampton wins (because I support them) but simply because of the price @8.5 I think the clever money must be on Burnley to win this one.

Burnley is coming from an absolute unimaginable result, beating Man City last time out, and if their confidence is not at its highest, I don't know when it will be.

Both teams need to win this but Burnley's motivation to beat the drop must be that tad stronger than a probably unlikely top 4 finish for Southampton.

Simply because of the price I'll have a small punt on away win here, and I hope I'm wrong! "

Southampton v Burnley Burnley & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 15 Lose (50)

"Burnley is fighting for survival and they beat Man City last time out! their confidence must be at an all-time high at the moment.

Southampton should score but simply because of the price @15 I think even though unlikely it definitely worth a small punt to back Burnley to win this one, simply because they've been putting in the effort and with their win against Man City last time out I think the price is too big to ignore. I'm sure I'll back other hot favourites and lose, so I think this is a good match to back the big underdog, and with some luck we might get out money back, and some more, from backing Man City to beat them last time out. "

Stoke v Crystal Palace Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"Two teams in decent form and both are looking likely to finish mid-table.

If there is a winner probably it will be Stoke, but I think Palace will get a point here today. Palace has only one defeat away from home from their last six played, and that defeat was a late goal at Southampton last time out. I don't think Palace will lose two in a row away from home for the first time this season here today. "

Stoke v Crystal Palace Stoke - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 18 Lose (50)

"I think this game will be a draw and @18 I'll have a punt for the 1/X.

Stoke travel to Chelsea after this up and they'll be looking to win here, a fast and strong start might be on the cards today, but Palace is in decent form and I think they can get the draw here, they haven't lost back to back away games all season. "

Tottenham v Leicester Leicester 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"I just don't trust Tottenham. Last time out they were quite poor at Old Trafford even though Man Utd had a very strong start.

Leicester are fighting for their Premier League life from now till the end of the season, and even though I can't say that they'll stay up, I don't think they'll go down because of lack of effort on the pitch.

Spurs can be very pedantic at times with so much passing side to side or turning backwards, and I think Leicester can deal with it. Leicester won at White Hart Lane 1-2 for the FA Cup which was the last time they faced Spurs.

Harry Kane having booked his place for the English national team for the first time he might start worrying for injuries. "

Tottenham v Leicester Tottenham #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 9 Lose (50)

"The 2-1 is Spurs favourite scoreline, they have won four times at home by this score and five times away from home, also the reverse fixture was 1-2 win to Spurs. Leicester has conceded exactly 2 goals ten times from their 15 away games. "

West Ham v Sunderland West Ham 50 Win @ 1.9 Win 45 

"West Ham might not have won in their last 7 games but from those 7 games the 6 where teams which currently occupy the top 7 places in the table, big disappointment for them was losing 1-3 to Crystal Palace. They where unlucky to concede last minute goals against Tottenhama and Man Utd to deny them winning both those games and they where competitive against Chelsea only losing 0-1.

Sunderland not only they don't score enough goals but they don't have defensive cohesiveness. They looked confused against Villa under a good manager Poyet, now with new orders from new manager without Premier League experience they might be even more confused. "

SubTotal (297)
20 March 2015
Mark Davis v Stuart Bingham Mark Davis 50 Win @ 2.29 Lose (50)

"Davis beat Marco Fu 4-1 and Neil Robertson 4-3, both absolute top class players and the fact that he beat Robertson on the deciding frame gives me confidence in case this match goes all the way.

Bingham beat Anthony McGill 4-3 and Matthew Selt 4-2.

I think Davis is more than capable of winning this match and @2.29 I'm more than happy to back him. "

Mark Davis v Stuart Bingham Mark Davis to win 4-2 (Frame Betting) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Mark Davis is a top player and on a good day he can beat anyone, he proved that by beating Robertson in the previous round. In that match he came from a 3-1 down to win all last three frames, against Robertson that's not a small thing.

I can see Davis streaking a couple of frames together here and winning this match.

Bingham will no go down without a fight and I feel I have to give him at least a couple of frames. "

Martin Gould v Peter Ebdon Martin Gould 50 Win @ 1.72 Win 36 

"Martin Gould beat Alan McManus in the 1st round 4-1 but even more impressively he beat in the 2nd round Mark Selby 4-2. He must be full of confidence and I can see him putting a confident performance against Ebdon and he should win.

Ebdon beat Shaun Murphy and Stephen Maguire 4-3 and 4-1 respectively and even though those were both very impressive results I think maybe this will be a match too far for the veteran. "

Wolverhampton v Derby Wolverhampton 50 Win @ 2.8 Win 90 

"Wolves have to be the favourites for this game and so the @2.8 is a good value for me. They have only lost one from their last seven league games, 2-1 away to 3rd placed Bournemouth, winning four of those seven. While Derby have not won any of their last five games losing three of them.

Derby is missing their main striker with 16 league goals this season Chris Martin.

Wolves can get just 2 points behind Derby with a win here. They'll be high on motivation and high in confidence following their 3-0 home win last time out against Sheffield Wed.

"

Wolverhampton v Derby Wolverhampton #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 11 Lose (50)

"Wolves score plenty of goals recently and Derby has just one clean sheet from their last ten games.

I can't really trust Wolves to keep a clean sheet even though they are capable, its probably a coin flip but I prefer to have my money on them conceding one rather than keeping a clean sheet.

Derby without their main man in attack Chris Martin (16 league goals)I can't see them scoring more than one tonight. "

Wolverhampton v Derby Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.25 Lose (50)

"Wolves score plenty of goals last couple of months and Derby has just one clean sheet from their last ten games.

I know that Wolves are quite capable of keeping a clean sheet but I don't trust them to keep one here. I much prefer to have my money on them conceding rather than keeping a clean sheet lets put it that way.

I think 2-1 or 3-1 is on the cards here. "

SubTotal (74)
19 March 2015
Ajax v Dnipro Ajax 50 Win @ 1.92 Win 46 

"Dnipro are much better at home than they are in away games, they have the 1-0 from the first leg and that leaves Ajax having to produce a top performance in this one and convincingly win this second leg.

Ajax is clearly the classier side with better quality players and they can't miss this opportunity to qualify to the last 8 of the Europa League, by winning convincingly this home leg against Dnipro. "

Dinamo Moscow v Napoli Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.73 Lose (50)

"Dinamo needs to play a very attacking game following the 3-1 defeat from the first leg.

Napoli is not too reliable at the back but they have very strong attacking threats. "

Dynamo Kiev v Everton Draw 50 Win @ 3.6 Lose (50)

"I think Everton have much more experience in high pressure games against very high class opposition playing week in week out in the Premier League, while Dynamo's own league is not of the same caliber and they might get outsmarted by Everton here.

Having said that, I think home advantage will be enough to get a good performance out of Dynamo once again but I don't think it will be enough for them to win the game.

The pitch is not in good condition and I don't expect many goals.

I can see both teams getting a goal each and Everton advancing to the next round. "

Dynamo Kiev v Everton Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.83 Win 42 

"Dynamo is very strong at home and I don't think there are any reasons to expect anything else than a strong home performance, they have attacking threats and they should be good for at least a goal.

Everton know a goal for them here can be crucially important and with their attacking talent they also should be good for at least a goal.

I see this game as a 1-1 final score. "

Dynamo Kiev v Everton Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"Both teams like to play a passing game and the bad pitch in Ukraine will not help either team.

There will be plenty of missed controls, more touches by each player in order to bring the ball under control and at the same time the tie is quite balanced and neither team needs to go gung-ho to score loads of goals. "

Dynamo Kiev v Everton Draw #1-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 7.5 Lose (50)

"With Everton winning 2-1 the first leg, this tie is still quite balanced and so both teams need to play a balanced game here, meaning they don't need to go all out to score plenty of goals.

Also the bad pitch in Ukraine will not help either team to produce a nice passing game and so plenty of clear goal-scoring chances.

Dynamo need to win this game and I expect them to be setup to attack and I think they'll manage a single goal. Everton with all their Premier League experience they shouldn't be overwhelmed in anyway, and with their attacking talent I think they'll also manage to score one goal. "

Sevilla v Villarreal Sevilla 50 Win @ 2.25 Win 62 

"Villarreal has left far too much to do in this second leg following their 3-1 defeat in the first leg. They have to attack from early on as they need to score at least 3 goals without a reply.

Sevilla simply don't lose at home this season, in La Liga Sevilla at home has 10W 4D 0L goals 28GF 7GA. In the Europa League Sevilla won all 4 home games with goals 7GF 1GA. "

SubTotal (50)
18 March 2015
Barcelona v Man City Barcelona 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"I can't see Man City winning tonight let alone progressing. With Vincent Kompany not in top form they are very vulnerable at the back and having to deal with Iniesta, Neymar, Suarez and Messi, there is one one outcome in my eyes, although its football and you can't be really sure. "

Barcelona v Man City Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.44 Lose (50)

"With all the attacking talent on show and with both teams displaying adequate defensive vulnerabilities lately, and with Man City having to score at least two goals to have any chance of progressing, there have to be enough goals for an Over 2.5 game here tonight. "

Barcelona v Man City Draw - Barcelona (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 4.75 Lose (50)

"Man City will try to stay in the game for as long as they can by keeping a tight defence and maybe they can nick a goal and make it very interesting.

Barcelona just have to pin Man City back even if they don't need to score plenty of goal, I don't think they'll be streaming players in attack here tonight, at least not in the first half.

But I expect the shackles to come off in the second half when the most goals might be scored and Barcelona grabbing the win. "

Barcelona v Man City Barcelona & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 2.54 Lose (50)

"There have to be goals by both teams here, both are far stronger in attack than in defence.

Man City has to score at least 2 goals to have a chance of progressing and they have to be setup to attack at some point.

Barcelona will love the space and I can't expect them do draw a blank tonight. They'll most probably win but not by a clean sheet. "

Matthew Selt v Stuart Bingham Stuart Bingham 50 Win @ 1.53 Win 26 

"Matthew Selt is having an OK season and could cause problems in such a short format, but I expect Bingham to find a way and win this match.

They met in the German Masters and Bingham won 5-3, they've also played in the Premier League three times this season and Bingham won 3-2, 3-1 & 3-1. He has actually won their last 7 H2H.

Last time that Selt won was in Australian Open 2012 by streaking the last two frames clinching a 5-4 win. "

Neil Robertson v Mark Davis Mark Davis 50 Win @ 3.5 Win 125 

"Its a short format and Mark Davis can produce an upset here. As the odds suggest Robertson @1.3 is the favourite but not an absolute certainty.

Mark Davis doesn't have a bad record against Robertson and he wont be lacking in confidence. He beat in from Marco Fu 4-1 in the first round.

"

Neil Robertson v Mark Davis Mark Davis to win 4-2 (Frame Betting) 50 Win @ 9.5 Lose (50)

"Davis is a great player and the odds are very generous. OK I know Roberston is rightly the overwhelming favourite but this is a short format and if Davis can have a strong start or at least streak a coupe of frames together, I can see him winning this.

Of course Robertson will not go down without a strong resistance and I have to give him at least a couple of frames. "

Ricky Walden v Mark Williams Ricky Walden 50 Win @ 1.9 Lose (50)

"It is a tight match no doubt about that and in such a short format it really is anyone's game.I'm fast becoming an admirer of Walden's game. He can be very dominant when on his day and he did beat Ding in the first round 4-1. While Mark Williams had to win all the last three frames to win his first round 4-3 against Ryan Day. "

SubTotal (79)
17 March 2015
Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen Atletico Madrid & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4.33 Lose (50)

"This will be a very tactical match and I think Atletico can win it even if that doesn't get them through to the quarterfinals. Bayer has plenty of clean sheets recently but they were against teams at the bottom of the Bundesliga, this game is a totally different proposition. "

Atletico Madrid v Bayer Leverkusen Atletico Madrid #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 9.5 Lose (50)

"Atletico can cause problems to the Bayer defence, especially at home but that doesn't necessarily means they'll go through. Atletico is missing a couple of important players from this one following suspensions from the first leg, and I think Bayer will score here. The clean sheets that Bayer has recently have been against teams at the bottom of the Bundesliga and today they'll find a very determined Atletico Madrid. "

Monaco v Arsenal Monaco 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"Monaco can control this game with no too much pressure following their 1-3 away win in the first leg they can have the total control of the game.

Arsenal need a fast start and Monaco will not be surprised from an all out attack by Arsenal especially in the very early stage.

Because Arsenal will get desperate at some point, Monaco can profit and get a CL home in. "

Monaco v Arsenal Draw - Monaco (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 8 Lose (50)

"Monaco can simplify things here in terms of their task, it's simple, they need to defend and not to concede more than 2 goals. And if we go with their record so far in both French league and Champions League, they can defend very well.

Arsenal have a far more complicated and difficult task, they need to score 3 and at the same time keep a clean sheet, or at best just concede the 1 to take it to extra time. If Monaco score 2 then Arsenal has to score 4 tonight.

Tight fist half 0-0 or 1-1 and maybe in the second half when Arsenal will be forced to let loose Monaco can grab a winner. "

Monaco v Arsenal Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"The game is bound to become quite an open game in the second most probably. Because Arsenal need to score minimum 3 goals to have any chance of progressing.

Monaco has a very good defensive record so far in their French league and the Champions League, but it will be very tough to keep an attacking Arsenal to nil, so I predict Arsenal will score at least a goal but I can see Monaco grabbing a couple against a very attacking minded Arsenal.

"

SubTotal (250)
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


27/03/15 05:11:31 © 2002-2015 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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