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Loukaini Profile
"Follow me on Twitter @Loukaini Register in OLBG http://www.olbg.com/?tx51033"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
04 March 2015
Newcastle v Man Utd Newcastle - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 19 Lose (50)

"The crowd at Saint James' Park will demand a top performance against Man Utd and I think Newcastle can deliver.

Man Utd will start attacking from the off and Newcastle can hurt them on the brake, I wouldn't be surprised if Newcastle start very positive and manage a lead in at halftime.

Man Utd have more than enough going forward even without van Persie who will be missing tonight, and I think they'll get the draw in the second half. "

Newcastle v Man Utd Draw & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4.8 Lose (50)

"I think Newcastle can take a draw here at home against a Man Utd team that has won just 1 from their last 6 away games.

They both are better going forward than defending and I have to expect goals by both teams here. "

QPR v Arsenal QPR 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"It will be a shock result if QPR wins this game but I have some method to this mad selection.

Arsenal has lost 6 EPL games this season and 5 have been away. Also, and this is the tricky bit, this season they have never won two consecutive away league games. They are coming into this one from an away win 1-2 to Crystal Palace.

QPR had plenty of time to rest while Arsenal has played two intense games in a week. "

Tottenham v Swansea Swansea 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"The Spurs team has to be very disappointed (even though some of their players wont care that match) that they've dropped two cups in the space of four days. Even top 5 spot looks tough at the moment.

Swansea has very good recent away form and I think they can cause an upset here. "

West Ham v Chelsea Chelsea 50 Win @ 1.62 Win 31 

"This is Chelsea's chance to open a big gap up the top and I think they wont miss this chance.

Following their League Cup win they could be a bit off their top form tonight but I would expect that Mourinho will have worked against complacency for tonight's game. "

SubTotal (169)
03 March 2015
Aston Villa v West Brom West Brom 50 Win @ 2.9 Lose (50)

"I'm a little bit surprised that West Brom is not the favourite tonight.

Villa has lost all their last 7 EPL matches and they only scored in 2 of those 7, a single goal in both, although they did manage to score 2 against Leicester in the FA Cup, a couple of games back.

West Brom has 3 clean sheets and in we include the 4-0 at West Ham for the FA Cup then they have 4 consecutive clean sheets. "

Aston Villa v West Brom Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.5 Lose (50)

"Villa has scored 2 goals in their last 7 league games. West Brom has 4 consecutive clean sheets including that 4-0 against West Ham in the FA Cup. West Brom also doesn't score too many goals, especially away from home, and so the Under has to be the right call in this one. "

Aston Villa v West Brom West Brom #1-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 7.5 Lose (50)

"Villa has to get at least a point from this game just to stop the rot of 7 consecutive league defeats, so they can't afford to go all out for the win.

West Brom has 4 consecutive clean sheets including the 4-0 against West Ham in the FA Cup, if they keep their defence tight again, against Villa who have scored just 2 goals from their last 7 league games, then they have a good chance to nick a goal and get the 3 points. "

Hull v Sunderland Hull 50 Win @ 2.25 Lose (50)

"The draw is quite likely here but I prefer to have my money on Hull to win.

Sunderland luck a truly attacking threat, I know they have Defoe but they haven't been been able to score in their last 4 games.

Hull has scored in 3 of their last 4 including in that 1-1 at Man City.

This is a 6-pointer and I expect Hull to put in a big home performance and win this game. "

Hull v Sunderland Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.55 Win 28 

"Huge 6-pointer game as they are both not far from the relegation zone.

Sunderland hasn't scored in their last 4 games and I think they will not score again.

Hull has to use the home advantage and I think they'll just edge it 1-0. "

Hull v Sunderland Hull #1-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Huge 6-pointer and I think it will be a low scoring game. Hull need to use their home advantage and I think they'll edge it 1-0.

Sunderland hasn't scored in their last 4 games. "

Southampton v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"To be honest I support Southampton, but I can't ignore the fact that Crystal Palace has been hugely underestimated here offered @6 to win.

Crystal Palace beat Southampton in Saint Mary's 2-3 not that long ago even though it was for the FA Cup, still that result should give them confidence for tonight. Also that game was in a period when Southampton was undefeated in 8 games winning 6 of them.

Southampton unfortunately has failed to score in their last 3 games and have only 1 goal from their last 5 games.

Palace has won their last 3 away games no defeat from their last 5 away games. "

Southampton v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 12 Lose (50)

"Crystal Palace has been underestimated here. They have won their last 3 away games and undefeated from their last 5 away games.

Southampton has scored just 1 goal from their last 5 games. No goal in their last 3 home games. I think they wont go 4 without scoring at home but I think they'll face a Palace team full of confidence and I can see Palace winning this game. "

Southampton v Crystal Palace Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 2.2 Lose (50)

"Southampton will be desperate for goals, having hit a very sticky patch they need to find their scoring boots sooner rather than later.

Palace will be full of confidence, they have won their last 3 away games and they are undefeated from their last 5 away games.

They met end of January for the FA Cup at Saint Mary's and it finished 2-3 to Palace. "

Southampton v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 22 Lose (50)

"Southampton are desperate to win this game having dropped out of the top 5 for the first time this season.

But they come against a Palace team who are undefeated from their last 5 away games and won their last 3 away from home.

The Saints need to attack and Palace can hurt them on the counter or even set pieces as they have done very often this season. "

SubTotal (422)
02 March 2015
Celta Vigo v Elche Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.86 Win 43 

"Celta Vigo has 9 of their last 10 games in La Liga Under 2.5 goals.

Elche 5 of their last 6 have been Under 2.5 goals.

Celta Vio is coming from back to back clean sheets 3 of their last 4 have been clean sheets. "

Celta Vigo v Elche Celta Vigo #1-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"Celta Vigo is full of confidence following back to back wins by clean sheets and in fact 3 wins from last 4 with 3 clean sheets.

Elche will not be too disheartened by the 0-2 against Ream Madrid they'll be keen to put that one behind them and pick up from where they left before Madrid came to town they had back to back wins also by clean sheets.

Ultimately I think Celta will win this home fixture and I think given how tight both defenses have recently been, I'll take the 1-0. "

Roma v Juventus Juventus 50 Win @ 2.65 Lose (50)

"Juve with 9 points advantage they can control the game because they can play for the draw as well as the win.

I expect a tight game but if Juve score first as I'm predicting then Roma has no alternative but to attack and I think this will suite Juve who can hit on the counter attack. "

Roma v Juventus Juventus #2-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 14 Lose (50)

"I think both teams will have tight defenses to start with. Juve can afford to play for the draw and I think they can get the clean sheet.

I expect Juve's firepower to score and that will force Roma to attack and that is when Juve can grab a second. "

Roma v Juventus Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.57 Win 29 

"Tight defenses has to be the name of the game here at least to start with. Juve will be very happy if they can get a draw here while Roma can't afford to lose and will probably have to have a real good go and try to win the game, that's why I'm predicting a Juve win but I think 0-1 or 0-2. If it does go to 1-1 both will tighten up again. "

Roma v Juventus Draw - Juventus (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"I expect a tight first half in such a huge game, Italian teams know how to defend and I think it will be a cagy first half with no too many clear goal scoring opportunities.

Roma though has to try and win this game, while Juve can afford the draw, that's why I'm predicting a second half goal or two by Juve when Roma will be pushing for the win juve can exploit any open spaces. "

SubTotal (128)
01 March 2015
Arsenal v Everton Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.9 Lose (50)

"Everton will have some confidence following their qualification to the last 16 of the Europa League and they have scored plenty of goals in their last 3 games, but have also conceded plenty.

I can't expect Arsenal to draw a blank at home to Everton. "

Arsenal v Everton Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"The reverse fixture finished 2-2 and I think this one will also be Over.

Everton scored plenty of goals against Young Boys in both legs but failed to keep a clean sheet in either match, in between the two fixture they had a 2-2 against Leicester.

Arsenal will be up for a big performance as reaction to a very disappointing 1-3 defeat to Monaco. "

Arsenal v Everton Arsenal 50 Win @ 1.61 Win 31 

"Everton has won just 1 game from their last 10 EPL games, but they've only lost 1 from their last 6.

Arsenal have to show big reaction following that very disappointing 1-3 defeat by Monaco on Wednesday. Everton convincingly disposed Young Boys on Thursday but had one less day to prepare/rest.

Arsenal has won their last 6 EPL home games, while Everton has lost 6 of their last 7 away EPL games (only win was 0-1 away to Crystal Palace), they also haven't won any game against current 8 teams on the table home or away, and they have lost all away games against current top 5 teams. "

Chelsea v Tottenham Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"The previous two games between them this season had plenty of goals and I think the trend will continue here.

Matic missing from Chelsea's midfield is a huge loss and Spurs will find much more space than if Matic was there roaming. I have to expect Spurs to score probably through Hurry Kane, but I think Chelsea will put a big performance today and I think they'll score at least 2 and win the trophy. "

Chelsea v Tottenham Chelsea 50 Win @ 1.7 Win 35 

"I think the Mourinho factor will be a significant advantage to Chelsea. As will Hury Kane be for Spurs, but I think Chelsea will be all primed and ready to win this very important trophy for Mourinho. Chelsea will have to be looking to put things in their right place following that 5-3 shock defeat last time they've met. "

Ireland v England England by 13+ (Winning Margin 5-Way) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"Most of the pressure will be on Ireland as the home team. England went to Wales on the opening game and got a very impressive win there.

England has impressed in both of their matches, while Ireland has done well, they could be undone by a very confident English team.

Ireland beat France by 7 points at home and we saw yesterday how easily Wales beat a strong France in Paris by 7 points the win should be bigger without a few mistakes by Wales at the very end, so that Irish win looks less impressive today.

Even though in truth I expect a close game I think England has the capacity to runaway in games @7 I'll have a speculative bet. "

Ireland v England Tie 50 Win @ 21 Lose (50)

"I think it will be a low scoring game and so if that is the case the tie will have a better probability. Even the handicap set at +/- 1.5 points have it a close game.

Also I find it tough to predict the winner and so the tie @21 is my speculative bet. "

Liverpool v Man City Man City & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4 Lose (50)

"The favourite bet in this market is my favourite bet also and I think @4 it has to be backed.

Liverpool were awful in the second half against Besiktas and if Besiktas can make Liverpool look less than average team - even though away from home - I think Man City who are desperate for the 3 points can certainly make Liverpool look poor again even at home. "

Liverpool v Man City Man City 50 Win @ 2.4 Lose (50)

"Liverpool were awful in the second half against Besiktas and on that display I can't back any positive result for Liverpool today.

Man City will be more confident even in defeat against Barcelona they are still just about in the tie thanks to Joe Hurt's penalty save in the last kick of the game by Messi of all people. They can't afford to drop any points until they catch Chelsea. "

Sassuolo v Lazio Lazio - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 18 Lose (50)

"Sassuolo concede plenty of first half goals at home while Lazio concede plenty of goals in the second half in away games.

Lazio is rightly the favourite in this match but given that Sassuolo has drawn 6 of their 11 home league games I think it might worth backing another draw in this market for a big profit @18. "

Sassuolo v Lazio Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"Sassuolo let me down last time out failing to score having gone 12 previous league games where they scored in all. They have conceded in all of their last 12 league games. Today they are missing key defenders and should be focused to outscore Lazio.

Lazio has won back to back games and they have to be looking to kick on and reinforce their 4th spot on the table.

The reverse fixture finished 3-2. "

SubTotal (384)
28 February 2015
Birmingham v Brentford Brentford 50 Win @ 2.6 Lose (50)

"Bimingham are without a win from their last 8 league games, 9 if we include the FA Cup.

Brentford are locked in a battle for play-off places and even though their manager will be leaving at the end of the season he and the players will have to give their all to secure promotion no matter what happens at the end of the season.

It's a good price for the away win @2.6 and even though the handicap offers some insurance the thing is that Brentford doesn't do draws, no draw in their last 20 league games. "

Birmingham v Brentford Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"Brentford is coming from 4 consecutive Overs and 2 of them where Over 3.5.

Birmingham last time out they had 4-2 away to Ipswich and before that they had 4-3 away to Brighton & Hove.

More goals here please. "

Birmingham v Brentford Brentford & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4.5 Lose (50)

"Brentford need to push for the playoffs spots.
They scored 7 goals and conceded 1 intheir last 2 games - Both home games.

Birmingham scored 5 goals and conceded 8 in their last two games - Both away from home, today at home I think the correct call is to back them scoring again. "

Bristol City v Rochdale Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"I'm surprised to see the Over @1.8. Both these teams are Over teams. Bristol have 4 of their last 5 games Over 2.5 goals, as for Rochdale they probably are one of the the ultimate Over teams, 15 of their last 18 league games have been Over 2.5 goals. "

Bristol City v Rochdale Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.83 Lose (50)

"Bristol and Rochdale both have failed to score in just 1 of their last 11 games. What inflated the price to @1.83 is the ability of Bristol City to keep clean sheets. The reverse fixture finished 1-1 and I think at least a goal from both sides is on the cards again. "

Burnley v Swansea Burnley - Swansea (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 41 Lose (50)

"Burnley have taken the lead in their last 2 home games and actually they have taken the lead in 7 of their 13 home games, leading at halftime in 4 of them. Burnley need the win this game because of a frightening run of fixtures coming up. It could be a case where they do manage to get a halftime lead but tightening up in the second when the nerves might take over.

Swansea have conceded first in 7 of their last 8 Premier League games!

For Burnley the draw is almost like a defeat in this game as I said they have very tough fixtures coming up, if Swansea draw level in the second half they could win when Burnley go hunting for the winner. "

Burnley v Swansea Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.85 Lose (50)

"This game is a must win for Burnely because they have very tough list of fixtures coming up. Swansea will enjoy Burnley attacking as they will find open spaces to attack.

I think it will be an open game and given that these two are not clean sheets team anyway and they do manage a goal much more often than not, I think both will score here. "

Coventry v Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"Coventry have just sacked their manager following the 2-2 away to Sheffield Utd having taken a 2 goals lead. I think being manager-less in this game against the 2nd team on the table will be very tough for the Coventry players.

MK Dons are coming from back to back wins without conceding a goal, and its an away game where they'll see as a must win, if they want to close the gap to 1st place and also keep their distance from teams under them. "

Crewe v Swindon Crewe 50 Win @ 4.75 Lose (50)

"Swindon might be 3nd on the table but away from home they have been defeated 5 times and 3 of them where their last 3 away games, so they are coming here from 3 back to back away defeats.

I think Crewe will cause problems to Swindon today and I think they can take a positive result if not the win. @4.75 for the win I think they might worth a small punt. "

France v Wales Wales by 13+ (Winning Margin 5-Way) 50 Win @ 8 Lose (50)

"If France goes down by a few points I can see the French spectators in the ground starting to express their disappointment and that will have a negative effect on the French team performance.

France scored just 15 points against Scotland in Paris and just 11 points against Ireland in Dublin.

If Wales take a good lead France will have to go for tries not the 3 points kicks. Wales can keep the scoreboard ticking and I think if Wales can keep France to a low score say 13 points, I think Wales can score 27 points.

@8 I'll have a small punt for Wales 13+. "

France v Wales Wales 50 Win @ 2.38 Win 69 

"I think France will be desperate and that can have very negative effect to their performance. Especially if Wales take a decent lead, say 6 points, then I think France might blow it and go for everything rather than take it steady to come back.

Wales have very good record against France, especially very recently, and I think they are value to win again. "

Luton v Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 50 Win @ 4.33 Lose (50)

"Accrington beat League Two leaders Burton last time out and that makes it 3W 1D from their last 4 games, they've also won 1-2 away from home against 5th placed team Southend Utd only a couple of game back.

Luton is undefeated in their last 13 home games hence the price of the away draw @4.33, but they are coming here from back to back defeats (both away). Luton is again without key defender Steve McNulty through suspension, Luton has only 1 win from their last 5 games (1W 2D 2L). "

Newcastle v Aston Villa Newcastle (Asian Hcap) -0.50 (AH) 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"Newcastle will need to show big reaction following the 5-0 drubbing by Man City last week, perfect game for them against Villa who have lost their last 6 games and without a win in last 11! "

Newcastle v Aston Villa Aston Villa - Newcastle (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 34 Lose (50)

"Villa score the vast majority of their goals in the first half while Newcastle score their vast majority of their goals in the second half.

Both are desperate for wins and I think it should be a competitive match with both teams scoring, but ultimately Newcastle should win this home fixture. "

Newcastle v Aston Villa Newcastle #3-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 20 Lose (50)

"Villa have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 5 games. Newcastle need to show a big reaction following that 5-0 against Man City last week.

Villa under new manager they might be good to score a goal, but ultimately I expect a Newcastle win in this one. 2-1 is far more realistic, but at double the odds I think definitely worth a small punt 3-1 @20. "

Scotland v Italy Scotland by 1-12 (Winning Margin 5-Way) 50 Win @ 2.6 Lose (50)

"This is not just a game for the 2 points but it will probably decide the wooden spoon winner/loser.

I expect a huge performance by both teams, and so I expect a hard fought battle, but Scotland should get the narrow win in this home fixture. "

Scotland v Italy Italy (Handicap) +12.5 50 Win @ 1.83 Win 41 

"Both will be very determined in this game and I expect a hard fought battle, especially in defence.

Both will be keen to win this match and try to avoid finishing last in the championship.

Scotland should win if we go by their performances in the first two games but I think the Italians can be close in the final score. "

Stoke v Hull Stoke - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 19 Lose (50)

"I think this game has a very good chance to be a draw. Stoke will feel they have to win this home fixture and they could start strong. Hull will make a big push in the second half and I can see them grabbing a draw. "

SubTotal (590)
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


05/03/15 16:03:58 © 2002-2015 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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