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Loukaini Profile
"Register in OLBG http://www.olbg.com/?tx51033 ...You didn't know.. you didn't ask?!"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
22 November 2014
Arsenal v Man Utd Arsenal 50 Win @ 2.1 Lose (50)

"Man Utd will be playing a makeshift defence and I can't see them stopping the attacking threats of Arsenal.

I'm not sure if Arsenal can keep a clean sheet, but I just think this will be a case where Arsenal will outscore Man Utd. "

Arsenal v Man Utd Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.7 Win 35 

"A very decent bet @1.7 to see more than 2 goals in this game.

With all the attacking talent on show from both teams and their vulnerabilities at the back especially from Man Utd, we have to expect more than 2 goals here. "

Arsenal v Man Utd Draw - Arsenal (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 5.75 Lose (50)

"Arsenal has played 5 home league games and has never lead at half time, only losing once.

Man Utd has also played 5 away league games and was leading at half time once and was losing once.

I think Arsenal will win this match but the win will come in the second half where they have scored 80% of their home goals and Man Utd has conceded 67% of their away goals against them. "

Arsenal v Man Utd Danny Welbeck (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"Arsenal will be lacking in attacking height in this game, as Man Utd have tall defenders but Arsenal relatively short attackers.

I think Arsenal will be looking to create combinations with the ball on the ground and Welbeck profiting.

Welbeck will be a man possessed in this one, wanting to prove to Van Gaal he made a mistake selling him. "

Chelsea v West Brom Chelsea 50 Win @ 1.25 Win 12 

"It will be an absolute massive upset if West Brom can take anything from this game. Chelsea's attack will decide the game and normally should be without too much problems. Very short odds but I think they should be even shorter. The @1.25 I think represents a little bit of value in this match. "

Everton v West Ham West Ham 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 5 Lose (50)

"I think West Ham are overpriced here and its definitely worth a punt @5 to win this match.

Everton is undefeated in 4 games 2W 2D but will need to shuffle the team around with all their injuries they have and players doubtful of their fitness. Major factor will be if Leighton Baines is fit enough to play.

West Ham flying high in 4th spot and undefeated in 5 games 3W 2D. Their confidence and mood has to be close to an all-time high at the moment.

West Ham are a major attacking threat at the moment and I think with all the shuffling that Everton will be forced to make, West Ham can land the win. "

Everton v West Ham Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.75 Win 38 

"These two teams strengths is with their attacking play, and have weaknesses in their defenses. I think West Ham can win this game and I have backed them to do so. "

Everton v West Ham Draw - West Ham (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 11.5 Lose (50)

"I think West Ham can spring a mini surprise in this game. Their mood has to be great flying high in 4th spot on the table and have to be confident without much to prove away to Everton where most expect an Everton win or at max a draw.

Everton concede the majority of goals against them at home in the second half, while West Ham score the majority of their away goals in the second half.

If like me you believe that West Ham can win this game then the X/2 is a great bet @11.5 "

Leicester v Sunderland Sunderland (Asian Hcap) 0.5 (AH) 50 Win @ 1.92 Win 46 

"Leicester are under pressure now that they are in the relegation spots following their 4 consecutive defeats without even scoring a single goal.

Sunderland will be confident following their 4 points from their last 2 games, and win see this as a perfect opportunity to grab some vital away points. "

Newcastle v QPR Draw #2-2 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 18 Lose (50)

"I don't think this game will be as straight forward as many expect a Newcastle win. Just after the international brake we can't be very confident of anything.

QPR has to do a lot better in away games as they have lost all their 5 games played, only scored 2 and conceded 14 goals. Harry Redknapp will have worked with the team during the brake and I trust he should have improved a few things during training.

Newcastle will be confident and will believe they have to win this fixture, that could work against them as they could be over confident against a team that has nothing to lose (they can't do any worse) and will have a real good go. "

SubTotal (169)
21 November 2014
Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.65 Lose (50)

"Athletic Bilbao has played 5 home league games this season and have scored only 5 goals while impressively conceded just 2 goals!

Similarly from Espaniol's 5 away games they have scored only 3 away goals and conceded 5.

These stats point to a low scoring game. "

Brentford v Fulham Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.67 Win 34 

"I find it very tough to predict the outcome of this game, but one thing that is easy to predict with confidence is that they should be goals in this one.

Especially looking in their most recent games these two have been involved in some free scoring games.

Brentford's last 4 games have all been over 2.5, total goals where... 4,3,4,5.

Fulham's last 5 games have all been over 2.5, total goals where... 6,3,6,4,4. "

Brentford v Fulham Yes (Both Teams to Score) (BTTS) 50 Win @ 1.6 Win 30 

"Tough match to predict with much confidence but I'm quite confident that both teams will score.

In recent games they have been involved in games where they score plenty but both concede plenty too.

Both are in an upward curve in their form and they should be confident in their game, which should result in both teams getting on the score-sheet again. "

Brentford v Fulham 2nd Half (Half with Most Goals) 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"In this home/away combination both teams score most of their goals in the second half and also concede the majority of their goals in the second half.

This game should have plenty of goals and the stats are firmly on second half having the most goals scored. "

Brentford v Fulham Fulham - No (Clean Sheet) 50 Win @ 1.2 Win 10 

"Brentford has failed to score in 2 of their 8 home games so that's 25% failed to score in home games, but they've scored 8 goals from their last 3 games overall; I can't see them failing to score against Fulham who is doing great going forwards but have big problems when defending.

Fulham has played 8 away league games and has not kept a single clean sheet; they have conceded 8 goals in their last 3 away games. It's highly unlikely that they'll manage their first clean sheet against free-scoring Brentford. "

Cardiff v Reading Cardiff 50 Win @ 2.25 Win 62 

"Cardiff has won their last 4 home matches and Reading has lost their last 3 away and are without a win from their last 5 away from home.

Reading have played 8 games away from home and have scored just 5 goals while conceding 16. Their away record is 1W 2D 5L.

Cardiff from their 8 home games have 6W 0D 2L scored 16 and conceded 10. They heavily depend on their home games to get them points and are fancied to get another home win in this one. "

Cardiff v Reading Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.97 Win 49 

"4 of Cardiff's last 6 games have been over 2.5 goals. Reading had over 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7!

I think Cardiff might score 3 by themselves but I wouldn't exclude an away goal also. I think the Over 2.5 goals has a better chance than the odds suggest and I think it's a nice value bet. "

Cardiff v Reading Cardiff & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 4.33 Win 166 

"Cardiff has only kept 1 clean sheet at home from their 8 games played, and that clean sheet was in their 2nd home game of the season back in August.

I think it will be tough for Reading to win the game but they are in need of away goals just to give them some confidence and I think the manager will be asking that from his players, and the result might come; they can't get better away results if they can't score. "

SubTotal 351 
20 November 2014
Fluminense v Chapecoense Fluminense 50 Win @ 1.44 Lose (50)

"Anything other than a home win in this one will be big surprise.

Fluminense are undefeated in their last 15 home matches in serie A. And need to push for a Copa Libertadores spot.

Chapecoense have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches in Serie A. And have lost their last 3 without scoring a single goal. "

Fluminense v Chapecoense Fluminense - Fluminense (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"I think the home win is very close to be a banker. The question is can they take the lead from the first half? I think they can. They have scored 34 home goals and 16 have been in the first half from their 17 home matches.

While Chapecoense has conceded 28 away goals (only scored 8) 11 of those have been conceded in the first half.

Fluminense will be extremely keen to take the lead by half time and I think they'll create enough chances to score at least one before the end of the first 45'. "

Gremio v Cruzeiro Gremio 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"Gremio 6th on the table they have very strong home record (12W 3D 2L) they have won their last 3 at home only conceding 1 goal and scored 6. Gremio has only conceded 8 home goals from all their 17 home games in Serie A.

Cruzeiro are very near to become champions and they only need a few more points to make sure of of it.

Cruzeiro will have a few absentees for this match most notably top scorer Marcelo Moreno who cannot play against his parent club. I think they'll be happy with a draw.

Gremio is in touching distance of the Copa Libertadores places and as this one is the penultimate home game until the end of the season, they'll be pushing for all three points. Plus they'll be even extra motivated to spoil Cruzeiro's party. "

SubTotal (150)
19 November 2014
Atletico Paranaense v Santos Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Win 115 

"As their league positions show there is not much between them. Atletico PR 10th and Santos 9th.

Santos in extremely bad form and has lost last three games scoring just 1 goal.

Atletico PR also lost their last game, at home against 12th Sport Recife 0-1.

Atletico PR in their first 19 games they had 7 draws, in the following 15 games still without a draw, and I think this is the one.

I think this is a home win or a draw and as I don't think there is much between them I'm going for the draw. "

Botafogo v Figueirense Botafogo 50 Win @ 2.04 Lose (50)

"This is Botafogo's penultimate home fixture, so it's an absolute must win game against Figueirense who are only 4 points from safety, and direct opponent to beat the drop.

Figueirense managed a 1-1 away draw last time out, that result put an end to a losing streak of 6 consecutive away games.

Figueirense has only scored 11 away goals and conceded 26 from their 17 away fixtures.

Botafogo has scored 24 home goals and conceded 18 from their 17 home games.

Do or die game for Botafogo. "

Botafogo v Figueirense Botafogo #1-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"Do or die game for Botafogo. After this one they only have 1 more home game so this is even more must win.

Figueirense has only scored 11 away goals this season and in such a massive game for Botafogo who are no strangers to a clean sheet themselves I think Figueirense will fail to score.

The 1-0 result is quite popular from this home/away combination. Meaning Botafogo has won plenty of home games by 1-0 and Figueirense has lost plenty of away games by 1-0. "

Criciuma v Bahia Draw 50 Win @ 3.5 Lose (50)

"To me this game screams draw. Bottom of the table Cruciuma against 2nd from bottom Bahia. With only 4 games to the end of the season both are in dire need for points.

Cruciuma are 7 points from safety but with an impossible goal deference they need at least 8 points. So this game tonight is win or die.

Bahia are just 1 point better than Cruciuma so similarly win or die.

I think if someone gets a lead, then they'll play the biggest park the bus you've ever seen, and I can't trust any of the defences to hold. "

Criciuma v Bahia Draw #0-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 10 Lose (50)

"Both have to win this game, both will be scared not to make mistakes, both will at times be desperate to shoot from anywhere, both will not have clean heads.

They don't score anyway, they have the 2 worst scoring records in the league.

I have this one down as a draw and it could finish 2-2 if there is an early goal but if the 0-0 holds for a while I'll be more confident. "

Criciuma v Bahia Under (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.75 Win 38 

"These are the two teams in Serie A with the lowest goals scoring records. It's such a crucial game that I think nerves will be high, as well as with fear of making any mistakes. It will be a patchy, stop start game, without rhythm and hopefully ruched attacks that wont produce any goals. "

Goias v Corinthians Corinthians 50 Win @ 1.86 Win 43 

"The game I don't think it will be far from a draw result, but just because of the fact that Goias has almost nothing to play for (just making sure they a get a couple of points to be safe mathematical) and Corinthians are in a red hot battle for the Copa Libertadores places I'm leaning towards the away win in this one.

Corinthians have been undefeated in their last 6 games (4W 2D) and has won their last 2. "

Goias v Corinthians Corinthians #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 10 Lose (50)

"I guess we could say that this game is more important for Corinthians than it is for Goias. Goias just need a couple more points from their remaining 5 games to be totally safe mathematically, because they are practically safe and look for a mid-table finish.

Corinthians need to push for a Copa Libertadores place.

Goias on home soil they are tough to beat and score enough home goals to get the results.

I think away win and BTTS is a good bet, and I don't think it will be far from the 1-2 final score. "

Vitoria v Coritiba Draw 50 Win Bet of the Day @ 3.25 Win 112 

"If they could agree to finish in a draw they would have taken it.

15th plays 16th just out of the relegation places only 1 point clear of Chapecoense who are in 17th and in the drop zone.

Chapecoense's next game is a very tough away fixture against 7th Fluminense who is undefeated in their last 15 home games.

So in this game Vitoria and Coritiba will definitely be happy with a point and move on to the next. "

SubTotal 58 
18 November 2014
Scotland v England Scotland 50 Win @ 4 Lose (50)

"Scotland have won five and drawn one of their last six home friendlies; keeping four clean sheets in these matches. England will make changes to their starting XI and I think they'll face a stern test by this in-from Scottish team. At these odds I'm backing Scotland to win. "

Scotland v England Scotland - Scotland (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 7 Lose (50)

"Even though it's a friendly this is a big fixture. The fact that it's in Scotland it gives a big advantage to Scotland.

They are in good form full of confidence and in fact they have a great home record in international friendlies.

Scotland have won five and drawn one of their last six home friendlies; keeping four clean sheets in these matches. "

SubTotal (100)
17 November 2014
Wycombe v Burton Albion Burton Albion - Draw (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 17 Lose (50)

"Wycombe has scored 10 home goals and only 1 was in the first half!

Burton Albion have scored 11 away goals and 7 of them were in the first 45'.

Also Wycombe has concede 6 home goals and they are evenly distributed, 3 in each half.

Burton though has conceded 13 away goals, 8 of those in the second half. "

SubTotal (50)
16 November 2014
Bahia v Corinthians Corinthians 50 Win @ 2.54 Win 77 

"Corinthians are pushing for a Copa Libertadores spot, they are currently 7th but equal on points with 4th spot so there is a big battle going on for those spots.

Corinthians can't afford to drop any points against Bahia who are 2nd from bottom and hasn't won in last 8 games (2D 6L) and lost last 3.

Bahia will defend for all their worth but I can't see them getting anything from this game. They have failed to score a goal in any of their last 3 games. "

Bahia v Corinthians Draw or Corinthians (Double Chance) 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"Bahia Bahia has lost 6 of their last 7 matches in Serie A (1D 6L) and not won any game home or away against a team which is currently in the top 9 places on the table (5D 10L). Corinthians are pushing for a Copa Libertadores spot and have to be fancied to at least get a draw in this one. "

Belgium v Wales Gareth Bale (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 11 Lose (50)

"Gareth Bale @11? He arguably is the best player on the pitch! Definite value... I think Wales are capable of producing a surprise win in this one, but even if they don't win, Bale to score the first goal @11? Value all the way. "

Belgium v Wales Wales 50 Win @ 11 Lose (50)

"Wales @11? Group leaders Wales will go to Belgium with nothing to lose really.

All pressure will be on the Belgium side, as they are expected to get a sure win.

Gareth Bale and co. will have other ideas though and will be looking to capitalize if Belgium is not on top form tonight.

I definitely think Wales should be much shorter price. "

Santos v Cruzeiro Cruzeiro (Asian Hcap) (AH) 50 Win @ 2.12 Win 56 

"Top of the table Cruzeiro has to keep collecting points, with only 5 games left to the end of the season, they currently have just 4 points gap from 2nd place Sao Paulo who only drew last time out.

For Cruzeiro this game against Santos is the game in hand they have from Sao Paolo and they just have to avoid defeat to preserve their points advantage to 5 with a draw or 7 with a win.

Santos(8th) against the current top 7 teams on the table home or away 2D 10L.

Cruzeiro won the reverse fixture earlier in the year 3-0. "

Santos v Cruzeiro Draw or Cruzeiro (Double Chance) 50 Win @ 1.62 Win 31 

"Santos has not won any game home or away against a team which is currently in the top 7 places on the table (2D 10L). It's highly unlikely that Santos will make the Copa Libertadores places and also where knocked out from the Cup (by Cruzeiro), they don't have much to play for until the end of the season. For Cruzeiro this is a game in hand they have over their closest title rival Sao Paolo, they just have to avoid defeat in order to preserve their points gap to at least 5 with a draw or 7 if they win; with only 5 games left to the end of the season after this one. "

SubTotal 84 
15 November 2014
Altrincham v Grimsby Grimsby 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"Grimsby is undefeated in their last 7 matches including 5 clean sheets and have won their last 5 with 4 clean sheets. Altrincham in their last 5 home games have scored just 2 goals and conceded 8. Grimsby 2nd on the table is 6 points back from 1st place Barnet and have to win this fixture to keep pushing for the automatic promotion spot. Barnet who is 1st play against Telford Utd who are the bottom team on the table, so they are expected to win. Grimsby has to win also and avoid the gap to the top growing to 9 points. "

Luton v Tranmere Luton 50 Win @ 1.95 Win 47 

"2nd on the table Luton had their 7-match winning run ended last time out when they drew 1-1 away to Exeter City. In fact Luton are undefeated in 10 games 8W 2D.

Tranmere is without a win from 11 games, they've drew last 3 games which followed 5 defeats in a row.

Tranmere in their 8 away games scored 7 goals and conceded 12.

Luton from their 8 home games played so far in the league have scored 14 goals and conceded just the 4! "

Preston v Bradford Preston 50 Win @ 1.7 Lose (50)

"2nd on the table Preston host 14th Bradfrord. Bradford is only 4 points away from the relegation zone and should give Preston a tough match; but ultimately the home team has to win this game. Preston had their amazing run of 7 consecutive wins coming to a glorious crash following 2 defeats in a row. These latest 2 defeats where away games and now returning at home they have to get back to wining ways. Bradfords last 5 games read 1D 4L and have 2 defeats from their last 2 games. Preston have to be extra motivated following their last 2 defeats and will have to keep pushing the leaders Bristol City who have 5 points advantage. "

Shrewsbury v Mansfield Shrewsbury 50 Win @ 1.6 Win 30 

"Shrewsbury 3rd on the table in League Two have won all their last 5 games in the league scored 13 goals in that period and conceded just 3. Mansfield have not won any of their last 7 (4D 3L) scored 3 goals in that period and conceded 8. Mansfield will be missing defender Ritchie Sutton (15 appearances) as are striker Matt Rhead (10 appearances 2 goals) and midfielder Simon Heslop (11 appearances 1 goal). While attacker Ollie Palmer (13 appearances 1 goal)and midfielder Chris Clements (9 appearances 1 goal) are both doubts. "

Shrewsbury v Mansfield Shrewsbury - Shrewsbury (Half Time / Full Time) 50 Win @ 2.45 Lose (50)

"Mansfield will be missing a few very important players today. Shrewsbury have been very strong at home and have to be fancied to get another win in this one and extend their wining steak to 6. Shrewsbury has been leading at half time in 50% of their home games while Mansfield has been losing at half time also in 50% of their away games. Given that Mansfield will be missing players today, I think it's a good bet that Shrewsbury will win the game including leading by the end of first half. "

SubTotal (73)
14 November 2014
Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych Novak Djokovic to win 2 - 0 (Set Betting) 50 Win @ 1.29 Win 14 

"Djokovic normaly in a different planet from Tomas Berdych and although I wouldn't put it past Berdych producing an upset or two like he has beat Djocovic on 2 occasions. I can really see this happening here. Straight sets win for Djokovic and another easy round "

Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych Novak Djokovic 50 Win @ 1.08 Win

"I can't really see a major upset happening here in this one, a big upset will be if Berdych wins a set against the Champ. Djokovic beat Berdych the last time they've met in Beijing on Hard court. 6-0 6-2. "

Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych Novak Djokovic (1st Set Winner) 50 Win @ 1.14 Win

"Djocovic has played some unbelievable shots from the off in this tournament and I can't really expect him to slow down by any-means. Djocovic should start strong and will not stop for a second. Could be 6-0 first set like last time they've met. "

Novak Djokovic v Tomas Berdych Under 2.5 (Total Sets) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.2 Win 10 

"Can't see Tomas Berdych nicking a set from the Champ on this one. Last time they've met in Beijing Djokovic won 6-0 6-2, it will be a huge upset if Berdych wins a set, and so I play it safe and go for Djokovic straight sets win. "

Romania v Northern Ireland Romania 50 Win @ 1.62 Win 31 

"I think Northern Irland will miss their injured players in this one hence the sort odds for the home win. I think Northern Ireland will be without two of their most experienced players Steven Davis and Aaron Hughes, they'll also be without the man that scored one of the two goals in Greece last time out Jamie Ward. Romania have been very strong and can go top of the group with a win in this one. "

Scotland v Rep of Ireland Draw 50 Win @ 3.2 Lose (50)

"Both are coming into this one on the back of a couple of very good away draws. Scotland 2-2 away to Poland and Ireland a remarkable 1-1 away to Germany. Both will be aiming at the three points in this one, but I think in the end they'll draw. I don't think they can protect the lead tonight. "

SubTotal 16 
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 45 days tips
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Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


23/11/14 14:22:41 © 2002-2014 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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