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Loukaini Profile
"I'm on my holidays!!"

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Loukaini's Tips History Show Tip Comments:
10 May 2015
Spanish Grand Prix Nico Rosberg - No (Podium Finish) 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"Rosberg needs to improve from his showing in the first 4 races, and so I think the pressure is on him today, this season so far he has shown weakness under pressure. @5.5 I will take the relative risk, but I think it's not a bad bet in a circuit which is tough to overtake, and if Rosberg doesn't qualify in the first row or if he has a bad start I think he could find himself out of the podium, and land us a big profit. "

Spanish Grand Prix Daniil Kvyat (Points Finish) 50 Win @ 1.72 Win 36 

"I'm placing this bet just as P3 starts and in P2 Kvyat did very well, I think he will qualify well and he should finish the race in the points.

Its tough to overtake in Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya but if he needs, Kvyat has proven a good racer and he can pass.

Also the Red Bull has upgrades for this race and they look to have made a big improvement, he should be very tough car to overtake. "

Spanish Grand Prix Sebastian Vettel (Fastest Lap) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"I'm placing this as practice 3 starts and in P2 Vettel was 2nd behind Hamilton but quite a bit away from the top, +0.408 seconds to be precise. I think if the race strategy and tire sequence in particular is a little bit favourable he can get the fastest lap, and @6.5 I'll back him to do it.

Hamilton had a big advantage in P2, he was 0.764 seconds faster than Rosberg in 3rd place, so I think he might have the luxury to take it easy in the race, especially in the last stint, where the fastest lap normally is made. "

Spanish Grand Prix Sebastian Vettel (Win Race) 50 Win @ 8.5 Lose (50)

"I think Vettel will get another win again this season and I think its worth backing him @8.5 for big profit.

The Mercedes boys look strong again, but for a small investment I think its worth taking a risk for big rewards. "

SubTotal (114)
09 May 2015
Aston Villa v West Ham Aston Villa 50 Win @ 1.92 Win 46 

"Villa are in a good moment at a crucial time. Benteke is flying, and he can prove the difference today. They need to win here and take a big step towards safety.

West Ham hasn't won away from home in their last 10 attempts. OK they do draw plenty, but given Villa's form I think the right bet here is to back the home team. "

Everton v Sunderland Everton 50 Win @ 1.8 Lose (50)

"Everton is undefeated in their last 8 home games and have won their last 4 at home by clean sheets! including a 3-0 against Man Utd.

Sunderland hasn't won any of their last 8 away games, and they also don't score enough goals to pose a relative threat.

Sunderland will not be a pushover today, as they are desperate for a win, with a very tough close to the season, away to Chelsea and Man Utd, but I think this desperation will play into Everton's hands that are very capable on the counter attack. "

Hull v Burnley Burnley 50 Win @ 4.59 Win 180 

"Its a must win for both team, if Burnley don't win they are relegated, while Hull need to win to breath a bit easier, as they have Spurs and Man Utd to finish the season. Burnley will feel the three remaining games (Hull, Stoke, Villa) are games that are winnable and can save their season, starting from today.

Hull are rightly the favorites here but given the incentive for both teams I think form can go out of the window and anything is possible in desperation mode.

Burnley beat Hull 1-0 in the first round. "

Leicester v Southampton Leicester 50 Win @ 2.7 Win 85 

"Leicester are a good price @2.7 to continue their remarkable turnaround in form and bag another 3 points and move much closer in completing the job to stay up.

Southampton have enough players absent or doubtful to give Leicester an even bigger confidence boost and I think Leicester will win again today. "

Newcastle v West Brom West Brom 50 Win @ 3.12 Lose (50)

"I think the bookies are pricing the names here, because in terms of form there is a chasm of difference.

Newcastle has 8 consecutive defeats while West Brom undefeated in 3 winning 2 of them, they haven't concede a goal in either of those 3 games, 0-0 with Liverpool and are coming here on the back of a 0-1 win against Man Utd! also winning 0-2 away to Crystal Palace is not a small thing. "

Stoke v Tottenham Draw 50 Win @ 3.4 Lose (50)

"Both will be motivated for this game, Stoke want to finish at least 9th and match their last season's placing, and there is also the small matter of recording the first ever league double over Tottenham.

Spurs need to keep collecting points if they want to clinch the final definite Europa place. "

SubTotal 161 
05 May 2015
Juventus v Real Madrid Real Madrid 50 Win @ 3 Lose (50)

"An intriguing semifinal between two giants of the European football, but Juve hasn't been this far in the tournament for so long that I think there will be more pressure on them to prove a point rather than in Real Madrid who are used to playing these games.

Juve might get a bit overzealous to get a favorable score in the fist leg as is at home and they might get sniffed out by the Madrid attack.

Madrid will not be in a hurry to get the win and if the game is tight I think it will suite Madrid, as they are vulnerable in defence a tight game will keep the defence unexposed, but very capable in attack to grab a goal from anywhere. "

Juventus v Real Madrid Real Madrid & Yes (Result and BTTS) (Result + BTTS) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"Most media are suggesting that this will probably be a tight match, and yes most first legs are tight, especially in Italy, but I think given that both defenses are vulnerable, and both possess great attacking threats, I think both teams will score. But I just think the odds @6.5 worth having a small punt on the super experienced Madrid team to get an advantage and get the away win.

Juve might feel they have to win this first leg and I can see Madrid finding ways to punish any lapses by Juve. "

SubTotal (100)
02 May 2015
Aston Villa v Everton Everton 50 Win @ 2.81 Lose (50)

"Villa have some fight in them and will be a tough game today for both sides, but Villa's problem in defence is big enough for me to back Everton to win.

Everton have 5W 1D 0L in their last 6 games they've scored 11 and conceded 2! and beat Man Utd 3-0 last time out, they might concede a goal today but I think they can outscore Villa and hence I'm backing Everton win. "

Leicester v Newcastle Leicester 50 Win @ 2 Win 50 

"Leicester might lost last time out against the champions elect Chelsea but I don't think that will halt their massive progress they've made in the previous four games, where they won all of them. They didn't rest players against Chelsea and I think they did the right thing, they will need the consistency that playing the same XI brings and as they are winning, why change them?

Newcastle has lost 7 on the bounce and I don't think they are going to get anything from here as well. Last four away games they haven't even scored a single goal! "

Liverpool v QPR QPR 50 Win @ 9 Lose (50)

"I've seen bigger shocks in football than if this selection is the outcome in this match.

Liverpool are in a bad moment having only won 1 from their last 5 games, and that one was at home to Newcastle! They didn't score a single goal in their last two games, away to West Brom and Hull.

QPR in desperate mood for a win here! OK they also needed to win last time out against West Ham and didn't, 0-0 final score, but Charlie Austin missed a penalty! (he will be in a mood to repay the team today).

At Anfield is very tough for QPR to win, hence the odds, but Villa did, and Hull, Leicester and Sunderland all drew. This is the EPL and anyone can beat anyone, on a good day! "

Man Utd v West Brom Man Utd 50 Win @ 1.4 Lose (50)

"I'm truly scared taking Man Utd to win at such short odds, but realistically can't see them losing. And the reward relative to risk is not that great to go for the "minor" shock of a draw.

I'll take the home win and keep my fingers crossed.

Man Utd need to show a reaction today in front of their home fans, following that poor result last time out losing 3-0 away to Everton (which I predicted correctly I may add), that defeat followed another away to Chelsea, so I have to expect a happier return today at home against West Brom, but I have to say I'm not too confident at the price. "

Sunderland v Southampton Southampton 50 Win @ 2.15 Lose (50)

"Yes Sunderland are desperate for the win here, but so is Southampton! And obviously the better team by far is Southampton, so I'm backing the better team to win. Sunderland will probably need to win this if they are to stay in EPL for next season and so I expect they'll open the game up and that will suit Southampton.

Southampton will be desperate to get to Europe for the upcoming campaign and not waste such a great effort the whole of this season. This is a game they can win and I think they will. After this they have Leicester, Aston Villa and Man City.

Southampton has the best defence in the league, while Sunderland has the joint-worst attack. The reverse fixture Southampton won 8-0. "

Swansea v Stoke Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Lose (50)

"8th play's 9th. Almost identical records anyway you look at it. Swansea still have a slim chance of European qualification and Stoke can climb over Swansea with a win here. So motivation is there for both teams, form is very similar, ability is not far away, I see this ending a draw. "

West Ham v Burnley Draw 50 Win @ 3.5 Lose (50)

"I truly think anything is about equally possible in this game.

West Ham can't be trusted on current form and Burnley need to find their scoring boots again sooner rather than later.

If West Ham score more than 1 they could easily win, but at the same time if Burnley in their desperation let loose and do score the flood gates might open and they could easily win this.

Realistically without counting the ifs and buts, I see this as a 1-1 or 0-0. "

SubTotal (250)
01 May 2015
Metz v Marseille Over (Total Goals) 2.5 50 Win @ 1.75 Lose (50)

"Both teams are in need of points and both will be trying their hardest to win the game as a draw is not really what they need or want.

Marseille lost 3-5 at home last time out against 16th Lorente!

Metz have kept their hopes of survival just about alive but they still have an Everest to climb and they have to be looking for only wins. They have won their last two home games 3-2 and 3-1.

Anyway you look at this this game you see an open game with goals. "

Metz v Marseille Metz 50 Win @ 4.3 Lose (50)

"Marseille are in a slum, they lost all 4 games they played in April and dropped out of the European spots. They need to show a reaction and get a win against Metz tonight. But they needed to do the same last time out against Lorient at home and they lost 3-5! and Lorient had 3L 1D before that game.

Metz are in much greater need for point than Lorient were, and they bring good form in tonight's game. Metz only lost 1 game from their last 5 and that was against PSG away. They won both of their last two home games and scored 3 goals in both.

I think Metz will have confidence against an out of sorts Marseille and I think they can produce an upset. And @4.3 I think worth the risk. "

Real Sociedad v Levante Draw 50 Win @ 3.7 Lose (50)

"Real hasn't seen a win all April, they played 6 games and had 4D 2L, two played at home and they drew both. They are coming into this one on the back of two draws 0-0 at home and 1-1 away.

Levante in the same period also played 6 games and they had 3W 1D 2L. Three played away and had 2W 1L. They are coming into this one with back to back 1-0 wins away and home.

Taking into account the strength of the opposition in those games, I think this match here tonight looks to be close to call a winner and I'm backing the draw. Sociedad will not be disappointed with the draw, and Levante will be very happy. "

SubTotal (150)
26 April 2015
Arsenal v Chelsea Draw 50 Win @ 3.3 Win 115 

"I think they'll cancel each others out. Arsenal in such red hot form that I think they can get at least get a draw simply because they'll score goals.

Arsene Wenger has never beat Mourinho and it will take a brave bet to back a win in his 13th attempt.

I think they are both very capable of equalizing the score in this match and I take the draw. "

Everton v Man Utd Everton 50 Win @ 3.9 Win 145 

"I believe Everton can cause troubles to the Man Utd defence today at home and I'll take them to produce a big performance.

Everton are very strong in defence, especially recently, and I think they can contain Man Utd to not too many clear cut chances.

Everton is now undefeated in 5 games and won 4 of them, they are looking for a strong finish and end the season in the top half of the table. "

SubTotal 260 
25 April 2015
QPR v West Ham QPR #2-1 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 10 Lose (50)

"This has to be seen as a must-win game for QPR, this is the penultimate home fixture they've got and with away games to Liverpool and Man City to follow this has to be must-win game.

I think QPR will go all out for goals because West Ham doesn't score much and QPR must feel 2 or 3 should be enough to win this game, and QPR are not a clean sheet team. "

QPR v West Ham QPR 50 Win @ 2.4 Lose (50)

"QPR are in need of a win in this London derby and they can do it today. QPR they can climb out of the relegation places with a win and I can't think a better incentive for them to produce a top performance.

West Ham have scored just 3 goals in their last 6 games, and if QPR can keep a tight defence and not allow West Ham to score more than 1 goal they should have more than enough in attack to score at least a couple themselves.

West Ham are without James Tomkins, Andy Carroll and Diafra Sakho today. "

Southampton v Tottenham Tottenham 50 Win @ 3.9 Lose (50)

"Its all about the odds here, for my selection. I don't think Spurs should be prices so high @3.9 in this derby.

Pochettino knows Southampton very well and he should have good ideas on what his team needs to do today. Southampton are very strong in defence but if they need to score more than once today they might get unstuck.

Spurs are very strong in attack and in a derby like this I prefer to have my money on the better attacking team, who if they score 2 might mean game over, and with Kane, Eriksen and Chadli all scoring last time out I think Spurs will score 2 possibly 3 goals today. "

Stoke v Sunderland Mame Diouf (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 6.5 Lose (50)

"He has scored in all his last 3 home games and last time out if Southampton hadn't open the scoring Diouf out have, as he scored the 2nd and helped his team produce the turnaround and won that match from losing at halftime. "

Stoke v Sunderland Stoke 50 Win @ 1.95 Lose (50)

"Its very hard to see past a Stoke win in this one and the odds @1.95 are pretty fair and acceptable to back.

Sunderland's last 4 games read 1W 3L, GF 1 GA 9, and that win was against an extremely pool Newcastle team. The little niggling doubt I have about the selection is the fact that Sunderland hasn't played for two weeks and can't be extremely confident about their state. Having said that Sunderland are without Steven Fletcher today and he's a big loss.

Stoke's win against Southampton at home last time out must be a big confidence booster and I'm backing them to produce back to back home wins here. "

SubTotal (250)
23 April 2015
Fiorentina v Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 50 Win @ 5.6 Lose (50)

"It will be an upset but I think the price @5.6 is too tasty to ignore and I also think that the @1.73 for Fiorentina is a bit too short to back.

The correct call might be the draw, but I think because Dynamo has to play with the mentality that they need to score goals might be the incentive they need to play a confident and dominant game. While Fiorentina will feel they have to protect what they've got and the cautious approach might not work tonight.

I'm taking the risk for high rewards. "

Napoli v Wolfsburg Napoli 50 Win @ 2.15 Lose (50)

"Napoli is overpriced here. Napoli will not need to be risking much in attack but they've got plenty of firepower to hit the back of the net even if they don't create a whole lot of clear chances. They've got Higuian who has 7 goals in the competition and for sure he'll be trying to get the top scorer title.

Wolfsburg is out of form and is playing tonight without one of their best if not the best player Kevin de Bruyne, so that is a big blow to their chances and I think they'll lose again tonight. "

Zenit St Petersburg v Sevilla Sevilla 50 Win @ 3.1 Lose (50)

"Zenit have a lot to do if they are to qualify and against in-form Sevilla is a hard task. Sure Zenit are the favourites at home and with an away goal from the first leg, but they start this second leg with a 1-2 deficit and they are the once who have to win tonight, Sevilla can control the pace and the right moments to strike back.

Sevilla have won 8 and drawn 2 of their last 10 games in all competitions and they have a couple of players looking to impress for a big paycheck transfer in the summer.

Zenit will have to find the net more than once and if they don't score an early goal they might start getting desperate and free scoring Sevilla have the firepower to punish an exposed Zenit defence. "

SubTotal (150)
21 April 2015
Barcelona v PSG Barcelona 50 Win @ 1.48 Win 24 

"PSG have all to do in this second leg. Barcelona with 2 goal cushion they can control the pace of the game and look to hurt PSG when they'll have to have a real good go towards the end of the game.

Ibrahimovic and Verratti are back for PSG but tonight they'll be missing Thiago Silva and so David Luiz will have to fill in the center of the defence, and we saw what happened when he played there after the 21st minute of the first leg, he will be targeted by the Barca attack tonight. "

Barcelona v PSG Barcelona #2-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 10 Win 450 

"PSG has to be very cautious at the back because another goal for Barcelona and will most probably be all over in terms of qualification. So I think Barcelona can control the game and will not want to expose themselves also if they don't have to. I think it will be very tough for PSG to keep a clean sheet and Barcelona can score a couple. "

Barcelona v PSG Luis Suarez (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 6 Lose (50)

"Suarez is in red hot scoring form and and I think he will score again tonight, lets hope he scores the opener. Messi will be double and tripled teamed by PSG, Neymar is a bit hit and miss, and so I prefer to have my money on in-form Suarez. "

Bayern Munich v FC Porto Bayern Munich 50 Win @ 1.4 Win 20 

"The first leg was a bit of a shock result and I expect Bayern to be looking to put things straight here tonight. I think they are more than capable of qualifying even with a 2 goals deficit.

I personally think that Ribery is a bigger loss than Robben is, but still I expect Bayern to have enough to get a win here at home. Bayern are very capable in keeping a clean sheet and they'll need one tonight. "

Bayern Munich v FC Porto Thomas Muller (First Goalscorer) 50 Win @ 5.5 Lose (50)

"Muller is a ball magnet in front of the goal and surprises me that he has only scored 1 goal in his last 6 games, I think that about right. Previous to that run of 6 games he had scored 5 and assisted 2 in 3 games! "

Bayern Munich v FC Porto Bayern Munich #3-0 (Correct Score) 50 Win @ 9.5 Lose (50)

"Bayern need to overturn a 2 goal deficit and they'll most probably need a clean sheet tonight, which they are very capable of producing at home tonight. If they can get a relatively early goal I can see them growing in confidence and then the result is very possible. "

SubTotal 344 
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place
Tip History contains the last 35 days tips
 

Warning: Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading information.


25/05/15 18:27:01 © 2002-2015 OLBG, part of Invendium Ltd Gamcare Gamble Aware  
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