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gecko6 OLBG v The Bookies year 11-12 (fun only)
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gecko6
Legend


Joined: 19 Oct 2006
Posts: 12167
Location: Adelaide

Post Posted: Sun May 06, 2012 11:13 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

qpr managed to sneak a 1-0 win but bolton threw a 2 goal lead to only draw 2-2 (smaller stake as had a slight doubt)
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gecko6
Legend


Joined: 19 Oct 2006
Posts: 12167
Location: Adelaide

Post Posted: Sun May 13, 2012 10:40 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

last week of the season...

betting today is a bit of a joke so I'll stop there for this year.. not a great effort but managed to stay in profit so that's another year when I've managed to beat the bookies

Very Happy

missed a lot of weeks but got over 20 weeks (21) so at least I did a reasonable amount of bets; also kept the average odds above evens which is the aim - don't like taking short odds shots!

should be more confident of long shots as backed wigan a few wks ago at 8/1 and was tempted to add it here but didn't! - had a few poor picks too (managed to find city's only home game that they didn't win!) and bit unlucky with the odd bet bet generally not bad with qpr strangely and wba swansea blackburn etc all helping me

stats to follow...
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gecko6
Legend


Joined: 19 Oct 2006
Posts: 12167
Location: Adelaide

Post Posted: Sun May 13, 2012 10:50 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

11-12 season stats >

weeks > 21
top-ups > 21 x $100 = $2100
staked > $1475
returned > $1605.43
profit > $130.43
wins> 10 (47%)
win/push > 1
push > 1
loss > 9

average stake > $70.24

average odds taken > 2.04 (just above evens)

overall profit > 6.21%
overall ROI > 8.84%
LSP > +1.67


just managed to make a profit and reasonable ROI return, level stakes profit too

will do better next year Wink
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gecko6
Legend


Joined: 19 Oct 2006
Posts: 12167
Location: Adelaide

Post Posted: Sun May 13, 2012 10:53 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

my record in last 4 seasons of doing this >

season 08/09 > profit 37.5%, ROI 17.3%

season 09/10 > profit 30.5%, ROI 31.3%

season 10/11 > profit 8.75%, ROI 16.6%

season 11/12 > profit 6.21%, ROI 8.84%

* did 40 bets first yr, then 30 bets, then just 14 and 21 this year... just picking EPL games and taking best fixed odds.. singles only - shows you can beat the bookies consistently

Win
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tipstonga
At Stud



Read My Blog!

Joined: 04 Jun 2006
Posts: 3434
Location: Rio de la Plata

Post Posted: Sun May 13, 2012 6:49 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Excellent work as always gecko , congratulations!
Hope you do it again next season

I am not sure I would have time to do so.

good luck Win

PS: I have suggested OLBG to use an orange gecko (the animal) for the charity Mascot Kempton Race (see thread http://www.olbg.com/forum/topic5_40792.html )
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tipstonga
April: back US Pro ; coming back blogger
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puntermax
2yo


Joined: 20 May 2012
Posts: 4


Post Posted: Wed May 23, 2012 1:10 pm     Post subject: nice work Reply with quote

[REMOVED]
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gecko6
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Joined: 19 Oct 2006
Posts: 12167
Location: Adelaide

Post Posted: Sun May 27, 2012 3:37 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

cheers TT Very Happy
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