This looks a potentially useful fillies' maiden in which a few of these have already shown a good deal of promise, while there are also a couple of newcomers from good yards to add further interest to a race won in recent times by the likes of Clarietta and Clinical.
The selection is a daughter of Oasis Dream who is the second foal of a very smart 7f-1m winner (including the 1000 Guineas) who was a half sister to US 12f Grade 3 winner Major Rhythm, useful 8-10f winner Liberally (later useful in the US over middle distances) and dual 10f winner Thundermill out of out of a 1m 1f US 2yo winner who was a half sister to top-class 10-12f winner Pride. She is trained by Pam Sly and made her debut outing in a 6f maiden at Ripon early last month, for which she was sent off an unfancied 14/1 chance; dwelt out of the stalls and raced towards the rear of the field, showing signs of greenness throughout but making from the two furlong marker and keeping on in eyecatching fashion inside the final furlong to finish fourth behind subsequent Chesham winner Tha'Ir (beaten 8½ lengths). Her next outing saw her contest a course and distance maiden at the end of last month, going off a not unfancied 9/2 chance; put her previous experience to good use and attempted to make all, ridden passing the two furlong marker and finding herself narrowly headed entering the final furlong, but she stuck to her task well and kept on all the way to the line to finish third behind the impressive Azrur (beaten half a length). It was a definite improvement on what she had shown on debut, travelling nicely for a long way on the sharp end and finding more once challenged and then headed inside the final furlong, and it was to her credit that she did so against a trio of colts (also raced against the boys on debut). She is bred to be at least useful (dam, Speciosa, won the 1000 Guineas for connections) and the fact she was able to mix it with the colts last time is to her credit; not hard to see her doing better still now taking on her own sex here, and it wouldn't at all surprise to see this well-related filly make it third time lucky.
The Ralph Beckett-trained Pompeia is a German-bred daughter of Singspiel who is a half sister to the very useful 10-12f winner Corriolanus, German 12-15f winner Carion, fairly useful 11-14f Flat/2m hurdle winner Ashbrittle, 2m hurdle winner Ramvaswani and bumper winner Caesar's Song, out of an unraced sister to top-class middle distance performer Catella and a half sister to high-class 8-10f winner (including at Listed level) Lizzey Letti. She made her debut outing in a 7f fillies' maiden at Newbury three weeks ago, for which she was sent off a relatively unfancied 16/1 chance; raced close to the action from the outset, shaken up well over a furlong out and staying on well throughout the final furlong to briefly challenge before the lead before finding the well backed Just The Judge too strong, going down by ¾ length. It was a very promising debut effort from this stoutly bred filly, unsurprisingly staying on well inside the final furlong having raced in behind the leaders from the outset, taking her time to hit top gear but doing so in good style inside the final furlong. The winner on that occasion had met with sustained support in the market throughout the day and holds a Group 1 entry, so it was to her credit that this filly got as close as she did; ground unlikely to be as testing as it was on debut, but there is no doubt that this filly possesses a fair amount of ability and she really ought to be heavily involved if improving as expected for her debut outing.
The Marco Botti-trained Testamatta is a daughter of Motivator who is the first foal of a maiden half sister to 1m 2yo debut winner Namaskar out of a maiden half sister to Irish Oaks winner Wemyss Bight (later dam of Beat Hollow), 7f 2yo Listed debut winner Vacamonte, smart middle distance performer New Abbey and the dams of Oasis Dream and Reefscape. She debuted in a 6f fillies' maiden at Newmarket in mid-May, for which she was sent off a not entirely unfancied 9/1 chance; broke slowly and looked reluctant early (swished her tail), but she grew as the race wore on and travelled nicely at the back of the field passing the two furlong marker, green but keeping on from over a furlong out to eventually take third behind Sandreamer (beaten 2 lengths). She didn't improve quite as expected when contesting a 6f fillies' maiden at Newmarket (July) towards the end of last month, going off an 8/1 chance; raced towards the rear of the field over on the far side, ridden two furlongs out and keeping on inside the final furlong to finish a never nearer sixth behind Reyaadah (beaten 3¾ lengths). She has shaped on both outings now as though in desperate need of further, as per her pedigree, so the extra furlong on offer this evening will suit very well, and there is little doubt that this daughter of Motivator has a fair amount of ability judged on her two efforts to date; ought to be on the premises if improving as expected for the seventh furlong here.
The Noel Quinlan-trained Dixie Sky is a daughter of Dixie Union who is the first foal of a US 1m 3yo winner who was a half sister to Albany Stakes/Cherry Hinton winner Sander Camillo and other US winners Selt and Square Pants out of a high-class/multiple Canadian 6-9f winner. This filly made her debut outing in a 6f fillies' maiden here towards the end of last month, for which she was sent off an unconsidered 28/1 chance; raced in behind the pacesetters until ridden approaching the final furlong, unable to quicken and fading to eventually come home in fifth behind the potentially smart Badr Al Badoor (beaten 7¼ lengths). It was a fair enough debut effort from this US-bred daughter of Dixie Union, seemingly knowing her job well enough but perhaps coming up short in terms of fitness levels, as forewarned by the market beforehand. She is entitled to strip a fair bit better on this occasion and interesting to see the level of strength behind her in the market this time around, but it is debatable as to whether another furlong is quite what she needs and stable, for all they are in tremendous form at present, are 0-9 with 2yos in 2012.
The Richard Fahey-trained Dusky Queen is a daughter of Shamardal who is the first foal of an unraced half sister to smart 6-7f 2yo winner (including at Listed level) Albabilia and 1m 2yo AW winner Brainy Benny, out of a 14f 3yo winner who was a half sister to the very smart 8-10f Irish/US winner (including at Listed level) Inchacooley, smart US family. This filly made her debut outing in the 6f fillies' maiden here last month as contested by the re-opposing Dixie Sky, sent off an equally unfancied 25/1 chance; raced in midfield for the most part, pushed along over two furlongs out and making headway over a furlong out but was unable to sustain her forward move, fading inside the final furlong to eventually finish seventh behind Badr Al Badoor (beaten 7¾ lengths). It was a debut effort that hinted at better to come somewhere down the line, moving into a challenging position behind the leaders over a furlong out but proving unable to sustain her forward move into the final furlong. The market on that occasion suggested not an awful lot was expected from her, so it is reasonable to assume that there will be a fair bit of improvement forthcoming from this daughter of Shamardal here; doesn't have much at all to find with Dixie Sky and although she will need to step up on what she achieved first time up to be competitive here, represents powerful connections and will appreciate the extra furlong on offer.
There are a couple of fairly interesting newcomers in the field, the first of them being the Luca Cumani-trained Deserted, a daughter of Oasis Dream who is a half sister to useful UK/UAE 8-12f winner Too Much Trouble, 11f 3yo AW winner Loden, French 1m 1f 2yo winner Playhouse and 8-14f Flat (mainly fibresand)/bumper/2m hurdle winner Bivouac, out of a 14f 3yo winner who was a half sister to very useful 8-11f AW winner Philatelist, family of Lammtarra. This filly makes plenty of appeal on pedigree, being a half sister to a handful of winners including the useful middle distance performer Too Much Trouble (debut winner at two over 1m) and a middle distance scorer for connections, out of a staying half sister to very useful AW performer Philatelist. However, for all she takes the eye on pedigree, she hails from a stable that hardly rushes its youngsters these days and although by a speed influence in Oasis Dream, likely she will need a bit further than this to show her true worth; best watched unless meeting with significant pre-race market support.
The other debutante in the field is the Michael Dods-trained Aeronwyn Bryn, a daughter of Dylan Thomas who is a half sister to smart 6-10f winner (including at Listed level) Choose Me, useful dual 10f 3yo winner Spirit Of Cuba and French 1m 2yo winner Avril Rose, out of a 10f 3yo winner who was a half sister to high-class middle distance performer Bad Bertich Again, smart 8-10f winner (including at Group 3/Listed level) Prolix, Chester Cup/Northumberland Plate winner Bangalore and Cheshire Oaks winner Alumni. This filly sold for just €22,000 as a yearling but actually makes plenty of appeal on pedigree, being a half sister to a trio of winners including a Listed scorer in Ireland, and her dam was a winning half sister to a quartet of at least smart performers over middle/staying distances. Her pedigree is another that does suggest she will do better once presented with a stiffer test of stamina further down the line, but she hails from a stable that does get the occasional winning newcomer, usually in these silks; interesting to see how she goes in the market beforehand, for all it is likely she will need to be above average to make a winning debut here. _________________ Dark Horses 2013 - Flat
Big field here for this Premier Conservatory Roofs Fillies' Handicap CLASS 5.The co favourite Ginzan is a decent sort here but the last time it raced the selection was not far behind.Although it finished 8th compared to GINZANS 3rd it was only 1 lenghts behind and gets a little weight pull here to get it closer from that race at BATH in june over days trip.
Down to its last winning mark of 73,reared up in stalls last time out at kempton and a more positive ride here under the 3 pounds claimer could see a different results.Runs well at this time of year usually and a decent price,worth a small bet. _________________ *SPEED RATINGS WITH MARKET SUPPORT BLOG* SPEED BLOG 2011+447.25pts
**From small stakes,average bet 5pts per day**
The Stillorgan handicap is always a really competitive affair and this years renewal looks right up to scratch IMO with several of these looking to hold good claims.. The mare Happy Anniversary has been in fine form this summer notching up 3 handicaps in quick succession but as we seen with Beech Of Faleesa last night at Killarney these handicaps, no matter how easily there won, do take it out of you and this looks a massive step up in grade and Id expect her to struggle to be honest this afternoon especially given shes 2lbs wrong in the weights.. The race looks between last years winner Castle Bar Sling and Barack with preference for the latter given his love for Leopardstown and his excellent run off a big weight a couple of starts ago here when chasing home Strandfield Lady..
The selection comes here on the back of a really disappointing effort at the Curragh the last day which I cant really explain as I backed him that day.. If you look back at that run behind Strandfield Lady two starts ago its not hard to see why I fancy him strongly this afternoon.. The selection was second that evening over a trip he had never ran over in the past carrying 9st11 on what was horrible ground on the night.. It was a competitive race and there were plenty of good horses in behind the front two.. The selection has 10lbs or so in hand with Strandfield Lady this afternoon on that running so should be capable of reversing those placings.. The selection has been keeping very strng company in recent seasons competing well at Listed and Group 3 level aswell as featuring in alot of those big premier handicaps off big weights.. Last season the selection won a listed race at this venue when he beat Duff a short head in the Glencairn Stakes.. He went on to finish a respectable 7th of 18 behind Below Zero in the September handicap at Leopardstown off a mark of 105 conceding weight to most of the field including 10lbs to the winner over a trip possibly on the short side for him nowadays..
There is an awful lot in Baracks favour this evening as he has proven himself over a trip further than a mile two starts ago (which would have been a concern had he not) he goes very well with cut in the ground, all his best form is at Leopardstown, he has won a valuable handicap at Leopardstown 2 seasons ago of his current mark of 97 and has the services of Ben Curtis who knows him very well at this stage.. The disadvantages of course are the weight and the draw, however he has conceded weight successfully in the past and seems to be a horse who doesnt mind carrying big weights, two starts ago when he was second to Strandfield Lady here, he was drawn 15 and hes drawn 14 this evening which gives a little encouragment as generally thats a horror draw..
I think that Pharoh Jake and Scommetitrice are the ones to beat for this decent enough Class 6 Handicap.However they are certainly not value at 5-1 and 9-2 repsectively.One that is value imo and i see this at a simlar level and price so may be overpriced here at 10-1 currently at Bet 365.
PERFECT HONOUR aint no world beater that is for sure but it is on decent enough form and on its day will go very close here.Has placed in its last two races,and although keeping on last time out,i think they drop back to the bare 5f will see it improve to win here if everything falls into place.
As i said SCOMMETITRICE looks to have a great chance ,winning its last two race,but horses at this level rarely pull up a hatrick.And the selection beat SCOMMETITRICE by 8 lenghts as recently as June at FOLKESTONE on this sort of ground over this trip.Beat it that day by 9 lengths and is better off in teh weights by 6 pounds today due to SCOMMETITRICEs latest wins.
But i think PERFECT HONOUR will beat that today over the 5f trip with that weight advantage.The favourite WHITEOAK LADY beat the selection at this course 16 days ago by only a neck.However they meet off similar terms here and about 150 yards less to race with a 3 pound claimer on should be competetive here.
imo Pharoh Jake will be the toughest nut to crack,solid on the clock well weighted,i think it will go very close so ive gone ew on imo the value bet.One of the outsiders that i am watching at 33-1 is TOMS RIVER TESS who isnt far away from the pricipals at the weights.Waiting for movement on that one. _________________ *SPEED RATINGS WITH MARKET SUPPORT BLOG* SPEED BLOG 2011+447.25pts
**From small stakes,average bet 5pts per day**
Caught my eye the booking of Buick, checked out my thoughts to find he is 1-1
for yard, The horse made he return against todays favourite Feisty Champion
who has been disappointing since, he's only 2lb better off here for about 5L but
he might be open to more improvement, Stable have the odd gamble and I would
think this will be lower than 8's, Stable had a winner and a couple of 2nds of late
and with the booking looking a pointer I expect a better show tonight,
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Location: Ipswich, UK
Posted: Thu Jul 19, 2012 9:22 am Post subject:
5:00 Hamilton - Sweetnessandlight @ 9/2 (2pt Win NAP)
"Jason Ward's Sweetnessandlight can bounce back here today following a couple of poor efforts of late. This three year old has won twice on the all-weather, both coming over 7f but is yet to open her account on the turf but comes here today 6lbs lower than when last seen on the turf and she has a 5lb claimer in the saddle so in theory she is 11lbs lower and that should be enough for her to win this race. She has only been out on soft ground once which came at Nottingham and she was well beaten and that also came over a mile but I would not read too much into that run, she is 5lbs lower today taking the claimer into consideration and I do believe she is capable of winning on soft ground. She is off top weight today but already twice a winner and off this mark with a claimer in the saddle I believe that she should be more than capable of landing this race with Lord Franklin the next best."
9.00 doncaser CALCULATED RISK from a punting stable WILLIAM BUICK booked to ride he has an impressive 23% strike rate at the course and a +£41 profit to level stakes to boot this horse ran a close up sixth last time out under a 7lb claimer and all things point to a big run tonight p.s incidentally the horse has halved more than its morning tissue price already. Also a possible Each Way bet in the same race is ROBERT WINSTONS only ride of the day IN THE CROWD a handicap debutant for alan swinbank who is available at 12/1+ at present
2.00 Ginger Goose, look's a good thing here it ran well behind a decent looking type kimberella, last time and I think should be a winner here for Hanagan, who I think could have a very good day.
2.30 Muamarra, I think can give Hanagan, a very good chance of a double here, Itook 7/2 for the horse earlier wich I am very happy with that price, it won very well at Goodwood, and if can get back too that form has every chance of winning here today.
3.00 Cottesmore, the Mark Johnson, runners are starting too run alot better and this horse seems too have attracted plenty of money today and I think can run a big race for a trainer who has a good record here with his 2yr olds.
3.30 Double Cee, can bounce back from a bad run here and get Hanagan another winner here for his old trainer, it's not the most consistent horses but hopefully Hanagan, ca get a good tune out of it today and win.
4.00 Sparkling Portrait, is another good oportunity for Hanagan, I fancied this horse at Ascot, when everything went wrong but did well all the same and is betetr off with the winner of that race today and has atracted plenty of money today and I think can make amends for Ascot, and win Fahey, some nice cash here.
5.00 Hikma and Sweet Liberta, have chances here I think Hikmas, yard are going better now and I expect a big run today and also Balding has been chucking some decent price winners in lately and Sweet Liberta, could improve alot on it's handicap debut and would not suprise me if wins.
Posted: Thu Jul 19, 2012 2:40 pm Post subject: 715E - Whippers Boy
715E - WhippersBoy... Definitely didnt show its true ability first time out. Fallon booked tonight and at 9-2 can be backed ew to just about cover your bet.
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