DISSCUSION FOR MONDAY

InsideMan · Stallion Joined: 12 Dec 2009 Posts: 8678

That 3.20 Warwick market makes me laugh really

the favs trainer is 0-22 at the track , rated 100 but is it really up to that mark Confused

didn't win last year and it didn't even look close to winning at any stage of the season, it probably isn't even a 95 horse let alone a 100 horse

the 2nd fav should probably be the favourite Laughing

but for me Another Try looks hugely overpriced and you can get around 20/1 on Betfair for the win, huge value bet. It can still improve off 83 and it's a better horse than that as well I reckon

all five of them have some sort of chance but the fav is too short at 6/5 on Betfair and it's an easy Lay imo so I'd Lay the fav and back the outsider if I was betting here

blueboy68 · Legend Joined: 22 Aug 2010 Posts: 10591

I'm happy Amistress is out, better than chancing on ground it might not
like, although did fancy it originally Win

ryan110588 · Group 2 Class Joined: 05 Jun 2011 Posts: 143

u think its worth puttin in my Yankee if u think its got a chance? Cheeky

deswalker · Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 11:14 am Post subject:

@IM, it may well not be worth 6/5 but it was 3rd at Royal Ascot AND in The Stewards Cup so certainly is no mug. If Another Try can beat a fit Macs Power off level weights I will pack up my lap top now and never look at another race... Cheeky

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InsideMan · Stallion Joined: 12 Dec 2009 Posts: 8678

that 3rd at Royal Ascot was an average run though when you look into it, the first seven home were all drawn high in stalls 11-19 and there was obviously a big advantage for those runners drawn high that day

the Stewards Cup run looks decent though but he looks hit and miss to me and now the money seems to be coming for the 2nd fav

hard to know whether New Planet goes well fresh as we only have that run last year to go on when he was 8 lengths behind Sole Power in a G2, whether you class that as a run up to his current mark or not well I'm not sure but maybe he wasn't suited by the trip either

blueboy68 · Legend Joined: 22 Aug 2010 Posts: 10591

I hope Another Try wins Des Laughing

Can't see it though, Macs Power has some good form but New Planet is
the one I would go for if I was betting in it

millo9 · Group 3 Class Joined: 24 Mar 2010 Posts: 58

Massive gamble on gary moores beau fighter in the 4.50 plumpton! was 7/1 not so long ago now around the 2/1 mark

jmstocka · Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 11:56 am Post subject:

IM

Those Racing Post stats can be a bit misleading, Fanshawe is 0-22 over the past 5 years, which includes 2012.
A lot of those runners weren't what you would call really fancied, with Pat Cosgrove riding most of the runners/losers Laughing

Fanshawe's 10 year record with Favs at Warwick is 9 from 18 and Cosgrave got beat on two of those, with Fallon on board looks a worthy Fav

kev2oo9 · Group 1 Class Joined: 16 Feb 2011 Posts: 308

gone for Pivotal Prospect in the 3.10 , Overall Waggot has a fair place s/r in sellers on turf but here she does ok

2 wins from 16 and a further 3 places , last 5 have resulted in 2 wins , two 2nds and a 4th

e/w at 25/1 in most places

deswalker · Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 12:03 pm Post subject:

Having said that I am definitely hoping I don't have to swallow my words...

...just can't see it though, 7 years old and stepping up to horses that are touching listed class on their day? Woolfall Sovereign could have more to come (but has been on the go all winter), Bathwick Bear has always been highly thought of but surely if he's back near his best Evans will want to take advantage of the mark in a handicap where the level of opposition is known and limited? New Planet was useful as a 2yo and is lightly raced since, but you only have to look at Bathwick to see how precocious horses sometimes just don't progress...

If Mac's Power's fit he surely won't be caught. Confused

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rmolinari · Group 3 Class Joined: 20 Sep 2011 Posts: 87

I know the reason of the gamble on beau fighter. All I can say is get on it. U can get 11-8 still and dropping. I had a personal text on this stated this would go quickly and it has Smile

good luck

deswalker · Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 12:09 pm Post subject:

Away from that one anyway, can horses come from a poor draw in sprints at Warwick? Pick a Little is well handicapped in the 14:45 and the stable have started the season well, but he comes from stall 15...

Confused

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"The problem with the future is that there are more things that could happen than will happen" - Plato (liberally paraphrased)

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