This is traditionally a very good maiden - notable previous winners include No Excuse Needed, Bragadino, Mister Monet, Melrose Avenue, Scintillo, Zacinto, Dreamspeed and Talwar - and this year's renewal looks a decent one, with one or two of those to have raced showing promise and some of the newcomers, most of whom represent powerful stables, making varying degrees of appeal on paper.
The selection is a son of Danehill Dancer who is a half brother to smart UK/US/UAE 5-7f winner (including at Group 2/3 level) Hatta Fort, 8-13f AW winner Ostentation and 1m 1f 3yo winner Teide Lady, out of a 1m 1f 3yo winner who was a half sister to Canadian 10f Group 1 winner Miss Keller, very useful dual 7f winner Sir George Turner (Group 3/Listed placed), 7f 2yo debut winner/May Hill runner-up Kotsi and multiple 6-10f Flat/dual 2m hurdle winner Tissifer, smart family of Inchinor. This nicely bred colt sold for 170,000gns at the Craven Breeze-Ups in April (had gone for 52,000gns as a yearling) and is trained by Richard Hannon, so clearly has quite a bit going for him, and his pedigree also reads well, being a half brother to 2007 Superlative Stakes winner Hatta Fort and out of a winning half sister to a Grade 1 winner in Canada and a couple of other at least very useful sorts. He hails from an excellent source of two-year-olds and the yard have won this very race twice on a couple of occasions in recent times, also sending out a few that have gone close, and they appear to be back in their usual strong form after a bit of a lull towards the end of last month. This colt is introduced into what looks a winnable enough contest, easily the pick of the newcomers and taking on a handful with previous experience that set a fair but far from exacting standard; no surprise to see this well-connected son of Danehill Dancer make a winning start to his career here.
The Brian Meehan-trained Harry Bosch is a son of Kyllachy who is a half brother to 7f 2yo AW winner Vinnie Jones out of modest 6f 3yo AW winner who was a half sister to the fair 6-10f winner Crackle (dam of the very useful 7-10f winner Auld Burns), 5f 2yo debut winner Let's Try It, 7-11f winner Ronaldsay (later dam of Norfolk Stakes runner-up Gale Force Ten), 8-12f winner Sleepy Hollow and 14f Flat/2m hurdle winner Crackleando out of a useful middle distance winner who was a half sister to the top-class 6-7f 2yo winner Bianca Nera and the very useful 7f 2yo winner Hotelgenie Dot Com (later dam of the very smart miler Simply Perfect). This colt made his debut in a 7f maiden at Newmarket (July) 13 days ago, for which he was sent off an unconsidered 20/1 chance; raced up with the pacesetters for a half mile but was pushed along approaching the two furlong marker, headed and soon unable to quicken, battling on at the one pace for pressure to come home in fourth behind Chesterfield (beaten 3½ lengths). He comes from a yard that doesn't tend to have its juveniles fully prepared for action on debut, for all this colt knew enough to race front rank for two-thirds of the way; however, likely that he was still in need of the run in all aspects, and normal improvement ought to see this son of Kyllachy involved in some capacity.
The John Gosden-trained Tropical Song is a son of Beat Hollow who is a full brother to connections' fairly useful 8-10f winner Tropical Beat and a half brother to 10f 3yo winner Dr Brass, out of an unraced half sister to smart middle distance performer The Scout who was the daughter of Prix Marcel Boussac winner Tropicaro. This colt made his debut in the same 7f maiden at Newmarket (July) a couple of weeks ago as the re-opposing Harry Bosch, sent off a not unfancied 13/2 chance; one of several to dispute the lead, ridden over two furlongs out and soon hanging right, losing touch with the main pack approaching the final furlong and continuing to run green as he came home in sixth behind Chesterfield (beaten 11 lengths). It was clear that this son of Beat Hollow was very much in need of the outing in all aspects, green off the bridle having disputed the lead for over half a mile, fading approaching the final furlong and losing touch with the principals thereafter under considerate handling. He can do a lot better with that behind him, and although he does have some seven lengths to find with the fourth on that occasion, likely that he will have benefited greatly for the experience; no surprise to see this colt get a lot more involved with a run under his belt.
The Mark Johnston-trained Royal Skies is a son of Dubawi who is a half brother to 11f 3yo winner Kalan, 12f winners Kandalasa and Shahira and 14f 3yo winner Kalasi, out of a maiden daughter of a 10f Group 3 winner from a good middle distance family that includes dual Derby winner Kahyasi. This colt debuted in a soft-ground 7f maiden at Redcar 13 days ago, for which he was sent off a fancied 9/2 chance; raced prominently until taking over going best three furlongs from home, ridden well over a furlong out and tending to drift right under pressure, headed entering the final furlong and unable to quicken as he came home 1¼ lengths adrift of Shrewd at the line. The manner in which he travelled into the lead passing the three furlong marker suggested he is a colt of some ability, but he essentially held every chance and was unable to see things out, admittedly losing out to a once-raced rival who had experience to call on. His stable has won this twice in the past decade, including with the smart Mister Monet (second time out), though their recent record (including with fancied runners) hasn't been quite as good; remains to be seen whether there is a huge amount of improvement to come on what he showed first time out, but the way in which he travelled for two-thirds of that race entitles him to a good deal of respect here.
The Ralph Beckett-trained Royal Prize is a son of High Chaparral who is a half brother to smart 12-15f Flat (including at Group 2/Listed level)/2m-3m hurdle/2m 4f chase winner Gold Medallist, smart 7-10f winner (including at Listed level) Premier Prize (Group 3 placed), connections' useful 8-14f 3yo winner Western Prize, 14f 3yo winner Prize Dancer and 12f 3yo Flat/dual 2m hurdle winner Stage Right, out of a 5f 2yo winner/Musidora runner-up/Oaks fourth who was a half sister to a trio of winners in the US including Listed placed sprinter I'm Lucky. He made his debut outing in a four-runner maiden over this course and distance maiden three weeks ago, going off a well fancied 9/4 chance; didn't break well and raced last of the quartet as a result, ridden over two furlongs out and unable to make any impact whatsoever, running green and eventually coming home last of four behind Operation Chariot (beaten 11½ lengths). He is sure to have learnt plenty for that experience, green off the bridle, but his pedigree is that of one that will stay very well in time and shaped as though further was needed on debut; could well find a few of these too sharp once again for all some sort of improvement can be expected.
The Peter Chapple-Hyam-trained Hot Diggity is a son of Librettist who is closely related to 6f 3yo AW winner Arzaag (by Bertolini) and a half brother to smart 5-6f winner (including at Listed level) Pencil Hill, out of a fairly useful dual 6f winner who was a half sister to the dam of Nunthorpe winner Sole Power, family of high-class US miler Tychonic. This colt made his debut outing in a 6f maiden at Goodwood towards the end of May, sent off a 14/1 chance; raced towards the rear of the field throughout and was ridden over two furlongs from home, unable to make any sort of impression and eventually beating just one home behind Mister Marc (beaten 11 lengths). It was actually a disappointing debut effort from this colt considering he comes from a yard that tends to have its youngsters fully revved up on debut, and his pedigree is that of a colt who should prove capable of making his mark this year over 6/7f. The race in which he debuted is working out nicely and though never competitive and beaten a fair old way, he wasn't exactly knocked about; needs to improve significantly for the extra furlong and the experience gained first time to take a hand here, but still interesting to see the level of market confidence behind him beforehand.
There are a couple of other fairly interesting newcomers aside from the selection, the first of them being the James Tate-trained Persian Wave, a son of Royal Applause who is the first foal of a useful 6-7f winner who was a half sister to smart dual 7f 2yo winner (including at Listed level) Queen Of Poland, useful dual 7f 2yo winner White Hawk, 5-6f 2yo AW winner Grizel, 12-14f winner Hill Billy Rock and 10f 3yo winner Abydos out of a 6f 2yo debut winner who was closely related to the very smart multiple 5f winner Millstream, family of Oaks winner Monade. This colt's sales price dropped from 47,000gns as a foal to 31,000gns as a yearling last year, but he does take the eye on pedigree as the first foal of a useful 6-7f winning half sister to 7f 2yo Listed winner Queen Of Poland and a handful of other winners, from a good family. However, for all he does look the part on pedigree and ought to make up into a two-year-old at this distance, he comes from a stable that has already shown it isn't one for readying their youngsters to strike on debut; probably best watched unless meeting with significant and sustained pre-race market support.
The David Lanigan-trained Labienus is a son of Compton Place who is a half brother to very useful French 5-10f winner Max Adentro (Listed placed), 12f 3yo winner Encanto and 5f 2yo winner Kinlochrannoch, out of an 8-9f winner who was a half sister to smart 7f-1m winner (including at Group 3 level) Yasoodd and smart 8-9f winner (including at Listed level) Gript. This colt's sales price rose from 58,000gns as a foal to 105,000gns as a yearling, and appeals on paper as the type to make his mark this term at around this sort of distance; however, his burgeoning stable don't tend to rush their youngsters, albeit they do get the occasional one that does strike at the first time of asking, and the market beforehand is sure to reveal just what is expected of this son of Compton Place on debut. _________________ Horses To Follow 2013 - Flat
8 30 BEV BALTIC BOMBER i came to this sel by accident was looking at
5 15 don MOORHOUSE GIRLS last run as she is well thought of she ran well for a long way in the mud at nc but the winner shot clear being baltic bomber so looked at entries and it runs tonight at bev were it will be testing i live near donny and its never stopped raining heavy it will be a slogg there today
Joined: 16 May 2012
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Posted: Fri Jul 06, 2012 11:46 am Post subject:
Short write-ups, prefer today's evening card, but here are my afternoon bets:
2.30 Kay Gee Be Win NAP, Has won in better fields than this, most being on soft ground. Big drop in class after a 4th behind Eclipse hopeful, Farhh 2 runs ago.
3.00 Raheeba E/W, Strong 2nd lto over soft ground and looks still to be open to improvement.
4.35 Tropical Beat E/W, Won well at Kempton last month, has form on the ground and has placed well in better races.
220 Sandown Lujeanie is another of small interest today around the 10/1 mark. Recently returned from a Lay of of over 100+ days so would of needed the run. Looking through the horses form this is the time to catch this one as the 3 other times on the time out after a Lay off the form reads 1st 1st 2nd . we are on a fair enough mark. Jockey dont win on many for the yard but overall place rate in 1/3.5 ish so not so bad. We are yet to win over the distance but its fair run in and hopefully we can go well at a nice price. Trainers record is not to good here but i see no reason as to why we should not run our race
0.5pt place terrible _________________ Watching those snakes !!!!!!!!
Last edited by bully1981 on Fri Jul 06, 2012 1:27 pm; edited 1 time in total
2.20 Ganas NAP 12/1
I took 12/1 this morning and is about half that price now 6/1 some places and the money is coming for it but that does not shock me as Clive Cox, the trainer got a across the card double last night and it seems his horses could be coming good after a quiet spell and William Buick the jockey of the moment takes the ride on this one and the horse will be fine on the ground it is by Oasis Dream and is abit of a quirky sort but certainly talented if getting it rite and with yard hitting form last night and the brillian Buick, on board looks a real good mix and is destined to go very close. 5pt win 12/1
3.15 Al Huntazah E/W
Dwelt and towards rear last time before staying on and this one has abit of stamina and when some tire I can see this one running on past beaten horses and grabbing a place at least it should improve alot since it's last run and will know alot more.
The Godolphin, yard are in fine form now and I was finding it hard to pick between this horse and Farhaan, who should improve alot on it's last run but the Godolphin, horses look in red hot form at the moment so I have swayed that way, the selection has been running well in Meydan in some good races and has had a nice break since then and will be fresh for this and the awesome Frankie can give it a superb ride and go close.
4.35 Lyssio E/W and Camberey Two E/W
Encke could be hard to beat and im pretty sure it will be but there is no value with it's short price so I will take a couple who look too have good e/w chances the first is Lyssio, who has been running on heavy and soft ground lately and I think will be alot better on faster ground and Fallon, is a interesting booking and Lyssio, has a second in Dubai, to it's name and is no donkey this ex German horse has a good e/w chance today I think.
Camberley Two by Exceed and Excell who like fast ground has been running on softish ground of late and that will not be it's favoured ground and I think will show alot of improvement today and I believe it will get the trip fine and at 20/1 look's a good E/W bet
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