YAIR HILL, Ted Durcan rides this horse I hope in preference to what he could have ridden. It maybe that he is retained to this stable, not quite sure at the moment, currently represents e/w value at 12/1 and I take him to give the predominent two in the market prim and bonnie brae a run for their money. Has won at the distance and class won't mind the going is reasonably drawn.
Joined: 03 Dec 2010
Posts: 824
Location: Beautiful South West Wales ( 4 miles from Ffoslas)
Posted: Thu May 24, 2012 2:08 pm Post subject:
Goodwood 3.10
YAIR HILL
Down to a short list of 4, Primaeval, Bonnie Brae, Bronze Prince and Yair Hill. too many opting for Primaeval and in my experience when that happens they tend to lose, Bonnie Brae was a strong contender but prefers soft ground so out on that point so down to a serious 2 which I had difficulty separating but Yair Hill gets the vote as he is still improving and was napped by the experts (which is really nothing to go on ) Ridden by Ted Durcan who has ridden him before and won on him 3 times, my only worry is that he may be a bit high in the weights. Distance no problem and neither is the going as he prefers the good/firm.
SHIFTING STAR.
JJ Bridger S Levey combination for me in this race, trainer uses this claimer alot, jockey has won on a few of this trainers horses albeit shorter priced winners. He rides this top weight over a distance he has won at and course he has also won at. Expecting a big run here from this horse and previous experience it is hoped will come to hand in this wide open race, where a case can be made for most of the runners.
Has a good turf record, having finished in the top 3 in all but 1 of his 7 starts, including 3 win all of which have came over todays 7 furlong race distance. Didn't go to plan lto but may have needed the run and will be better off for it. Got Hayley Turner on board who has won with the selection before, and comes to the race in good form, including winning for my last 1 a day selection. She also strikes up a good partnership with trainer Marcus Tregoning who has also been in good form recently.
Had played this before selecting race so unlucky those who have chose it
or maybe thats my problem, I've gone into a negative mode, who knows,
Anyway horse looked improving last year and the 6lb higher mark shouldn't
be stopping him, not as good on AW so hopefully that was main excuse last
time and trainer and jockey been going well, 7F seems his trip and fast ground
no problem, already gone 7/1 to 5/1 but thats not good imo,
Backed it last time and gets another chance today in not to strong a race,
goodwood 3.10 george baker
he has won four times from 7 furlongs to 1 mile on good to firm ground.he did well last season winning four times.held up in the rear in his last race at doncaster but never too much ridden by todays jockey f dettori.did not come to form till may last year for trainer g baker who is also the owner.if he acts on this tricky course must have a decent chance at rewarding odds
TURF RECORD READS 1433211 ALL 3 WINS CAME OVER TODAYS TRIP OF 7F,1 WIN ON GOOD 2 ON GD/FM SO IS OK ON THAT SCORE,HAS NOT RAN AT GOODWOOD BEFORE BUT HAS WON AT EPSOM AND BRIGHTON SO SHOULD HANDLE THE COURSE,STABLE IS IN HOT FORM (45% LAST 14 DAYS)HAYLEY TURNER WAS ONBOARD FOR ALL 3 WINS AND IS RIDING PLENTY OF WINNERS,BOTH TRAINER AND JOCKEY DO WELL AT GOODWOOD,KONSTANTIN IMPROVED WITH RACING LAST SEASON AND LOOKS THE TYPE TO CONTINUE THAT THIS SEASON.
The lead is still with the filly garlicsauce, with two winners and a placed selection during these three days of competitive racing, trapmouses looks to have every chance of closing the gap, who scored points on all three days, Sticky99 is in third place, another one that managed to get vital points when required, to keep the pressure on. brandysnap is in fourth place, like the three above, are all over the 300pts mark, with points from all three races. Plenty of movement lower down the table, this does not mean, you can not win this competition, a couple of excellent results could bring you right into the equation.
GOOD LUCK ALL
LEAGUE TABLE AFTER THE 24TH RESULT
garlicsauce 399
trapmouses 374.5
Sticky99 332.25
brandysnap 329
davidg3907 282.91
meoldmate 280.5
mooster100 269.25
jmstocka 258.75
Kaut0Star 255.75
gourley1 253.25
Imaginarium 248.5
SmoggyFever 244.5
steercleer 244.5
madman1 240.25
Scratville 226
attitude adjuster 222.75
jammat001 220.16
ejanbow 215
snowking 198
alex54 189.41
Vivian 186.5
blueboy68 173.5
nelix847 166
phillrobbo 151.75
boodah 136.75
bluemal 130.5
harbinger10 128
ran9ger 120
ramman 120
andywroe 118.25
fraggle 117.5
opie75 93.5
mike mercury 86
mayaviaero50 78
horsestolay 18
beepee1984 16.5
Hemmels 2
bobhorse 2
* Please check your scores to confirm they are correct, if not, contact me at once thankyou.
Joined: 21 Jan 2008
Posts: 7288
Location: BURTONWOOD
Posted: Thu May 24, 2012 9:34 pm Post subject:
15:10 GOODWOOD
The Charles Hills trained Rougette proved disappointing on her return effort at Kempton last time; if managing to put that behind her, then she comes across as an interesting runner. The best form lines under these conditions are that of Konstantin and George Baker. Konstantin appears to be improving with each run and looks interesting off a mark of 79 for his return to turf. His form on this going is two from three, boasting a 66% strike rate. His last win was his highest win to date suggesting there could be even more improvement to come. Despite what ive said above, the selection is going to be George Baker from the George Baker stable, ridden by Frankie Dettori. Over the past twelve months, George Baker (the horse) as record three victories at this distance from six attempts, boasting a 50% strike rate. That is backed up with four wins from six on this forecasted going, a strike rate of 66%, suggesting he much prefers the turf than the all weather. His last win (at Leicester) was his highest winning mark in the last twelve months (74) and the return to turf could well eke out more improvement; he's just four pounds higher here today. Trainer George Baker loves coming to Goodwood, and boast a 17% strike rate here in the last five seasons, that's % is almost doubled to 30% with his older horses. Frankie Dettori as a 38% strike rate for the George Baker stable in the past five seasons (5 from 13) and that is a staggering 75% when ridding the stables older horses (3 from 4).
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) Ridden by Ted Durcan who has ridden him before and won on him 3 times, my only worry is that he may be a bit high in the weights. Distance no problem and neither is the going as he prefers the good/firm.
