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Tuesday 8th May Horse Racing Discussion.
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kev2oo9
Group 1 Class


Joined: 16 Feb 2011
Posts: 308


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:43 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Looking to back Celestrial Dawn in the 4.45 , her run on 3rd of april over CD was run in a pretty good time (although other 6f race quicker) and course running fast that day

weymes ok record here but far better in sprints and silva worthy of claim

e/w
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merlin
Legend


Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 20070


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:44 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Will probably walk it now, but Art Dzeko at this price, are you sure Confused

Yeah they were sure I guess....had a fight though Laughing
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yeah baby
Group 2 Class


Joined: 23 Nov 2007
Posts: 204


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:48 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Kicked on well last furlong
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turfline
Stallion


Joined: 20 Jul 2007
Posts: 8206
Location: West Sussex, Lingfield/Goodwood Local race Tracks.

Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:48 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

merlin....Art Dzeko was Betfair 2.66...Bookmakers 7/4.....at 12.00 noon today................ Win
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yeah baby
Group 2 Class


Joined: 23 Nov 2007
Posts: 204


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:49 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

whats everyone thinking for the 5:15 at Southwell? Lindoro?
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MadScot
At Stud


Joined: 22 Aug 2008
Posts: 3502
Location: Scotland

Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:49 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

That would have been nice turf 7/4,although pretty pleased i got 5/4 considering the sp..badly needed after the poor show from my NAP earlier.. Win
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revformon
Group 1 Class


Joined: 12 Mar 2011
Posts: 278


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:54 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

what are peoples thoughts on bertie blue boy in the last at southwell, only had one run at the track 2 runs back finished 5th of 14, 3 1/2 lenths behind bonnie prince blue who was 3rd, today he is 15lb better off with that horse, also he is 16lb better off with this ones for eddy who he faced at wolves in dec, the only other horse in todays race that he has raced against is queens choice who he beat carrying 6lb more and hes even got less weight than that one today taking in to account his jockys 5lb claim, if he cant sneak a place today he should give the game up
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merlin
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Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 20070


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:57 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

PETIT FLEUR last ran in May 11 in the corresponding race as this 4.00; came second off 101 and despite 104 here, think this has a shout. Race looks easier and must have targeted this.
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blueboy68
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Joined: 22 Aug 2010
Posts: 10591


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:59 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Lindoro price is Laughing very well might follow up but price is ridiculous for one
of its ability...I would Lay not back but each to their own, I have no bet
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turfline
Stallion


Joined: 20 Jul 2007
Posts: 8206
Location: West Sussex, Lingfield/Goodwood Local race Tracks.

Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 3:59 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

What i do with the Top-Rated selections that are of intrest Madscot is that i take note of the price they are on Betfair and Bookmakers odds at 9.30pm/12.00 & 40mins before each race for each runner....this gives me a guide to were the money is going..................................

I do that with every selection on my sheet every day (Top-Rated), and keep it as a record, and this gives me data on how a runner was punted on over a season.........................................

I can go back as far as since i started punting with Betfair and check records................. Win



Just to add...Art Dzeko...was Top-Rated...by 2Lbs on the Ratings System.......
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Last edited by turfline on Tue May 08, 2012 4:04 pm; edited 1 time in total
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gmanrom
Triple Crown Winner


Joined: 17 Jul 2008
Posts: 2131


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 4:03 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Been looking into the 5.55 Exeter and i think King Edmond has a great chance today under these conditions, the favourite looks opposable in the soft ground having put in whats looks to me a below par performance even tho it came 2nd and now going up in distance in the ground.

Curtain razer looks to be the danger but they have dropped this down in distance to hope for some joy, but im not so sure its the distance getting this one beat and i dont expect the trip to bring out much improvement.

As for the selection King Edmond this one has been running in much higher class races without being disgraced over the bigger obstacles, the only reason i can see why Chris Gordon has dropped this into a novice hurdle is to get a win into it, trip and ground should be perfect and at the prices represents some decent value imo.
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merlin
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Joined: 18 Apr 2006
Posts: 20070


Post Posted: Tue May 08, 2012 4:06 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Petit Fleur, stopped riding the thing and horse in front stopped, could have won that. Not Sam T.Davies finest ride that one.
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