Irish Grand National 9th April

Endastory7 · 2yo Joined: 17 Mar 2012 Posts: 6

What are your thoughts for the Irish Grand National? Dont see any topics about it in the forum...

Micko70 · Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2012 11:40 am Post subject:

Be back soon with trends
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Micko70 · Posted: Fri Apr 06, 2012 11:59 am Post subject:

Irish National Trends

The weights will rise so won't do a full trend, at the moment the top weight has 11-07 but i am not sure whether the weights rise to 11-10, 11-12 or 12-00

Horses aged 7, 8 or 9yo have won 8 of the last 10 runnings.

The last 8 winners have all carried 10-08 or less

9 of the last 10 winners were rated between 125 & 136

9 of last 10 winners had run in last 50 days

8 of last 10 winners were Irish Bred
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Casino55 · Posted: Sun Apr 08, 2012 4:26 pm Post subject: Irish grand national

I fancy glam Gerry for the Irish national anyone agree[/b]

SamSaidSo · Triple Crown Winner Joined: 09 Mar 2011 Posts: 1012

Why will the weights rise?
If your trends are our guide then Paddy Pub@28/1 would be my pick.
Other wise the Dessie Hughes pair Western Charmer@25/1 (2nd last year) and Magnamimity@33/1 are of interest. Good luck what ever your choices are!

Micko70 · Posted: Sun Apr 08, 2012 5:30 pm Post subject:

Ireland must be different from the UK

We would never have 11-07 as a top weight in a handicap

And yes Paddy Pub is the trend selections with 3 more trends added

Must have won over 3m or further

In the last 4 on their last chase start

At least 2 chase runs this season

Paddy Pub is the selection, backed it yesterday
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rmolinari · Group 3 Class Joined: 20 Sep 2011 Posts: 87

I Don't agree. Smile

I fancy Some Target and ninetieth minute. I think one of these will win so will back both though I will decide my main tip tmr so will keep u updated

SamSaidSo · Triple Crown Winner Joined: 09 Mar 2011 Posts: 1012

Yes got what you mean! Weights were raised last week after Apt Approach and Seebass were taken out.
Think they just bring those that are 'out' of the handicap 'into' the handicap proper and to do that the weights only needed to go up to 11-7.
Well that's my understanding of it.

ExoticDancer · Stallion Joined: 01 Apr 2009 Posts: 5355

Big shots not without a chance:
Shakervilz-very well handicapped. I like the claimer on board and came 7th last year. He looks to be inform and is a lot better at the weights now. 50/1 shot.
The Last Derby-will like the conditions and Liam Treadwell stormed a 33/1 surprise at Ascot in 2009 with this one. The horse was PU last time after a big break but if you look at the history of winnings he had won fresh many times before and is probably prepared if still capable at 66/1

From the market leaders I like Groody Hill but is a bit too short for a race of this type to get involved

If I have to select a horse based on jockey I would go for Ninetieth Minute and A. Lynch, not without a chance at all.

The class horse in the race is Catch Me and I can't resist a small bet at big odds.
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Endastory7 · 2yo Joined: 17 Mar 2012 Posts: 6

Thanks for the imput micko70, have a few € e/w on cross appeal @ 15's and paddy pub around 45's on Betfair. Good luck

Endastory7 · 2yo Joined: 17 Mar 2012 Posts: 6

**input**!

deswalker · Posted: Mon Apr 09, 2012 8:59 am Post subject:

Is it me or is this Irish National rather better quality than it usually is? Wouldn't be too surprised if the stats about weight were overturned this year. Confused

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