Tuesday Selections And Chat - 27/03

Mogwai · Group 3 Class Joined: 10 Aug 2009 Posts: 56

Couldn't find one so thought I'd start one.

Personally, I think the odds on a Forest win are a bit long. You can get 4.4 with Betvic. Forest's current form has been much better.

We're currently prone to the odd dreadful performance (Derby away 1:0 loss) but also the fantastic: Birmingham away 1:2 win, Leeds away 3:7 win, and even 1:1 draw with Brighton, who we absolutely ripped apart for 90 minutes, hitting the post 3 times and having numerous shots on target. I think Brighton only managed 1 which they scored from. Anyway, my point is, Forest are currently on a high and playing more like a team on a promotion push than a relegation battle.

Possible injury concern over Gaz Macleary after he was subbed early against Brighton, but I think that might have been more precaution than anything else.

As for Leicester, I think they've got a decent manager who knows how to grind out results. However, the crazy cash splashing this season I believe has hampered their progress. I wonder if perhaps too many egos spoil the broth?

Certainly not saying Forest are going to win, but their chances are better than 4.4.

TheRunningMan · Group 3 Class Joined: 02 Jun 2010 Posts: 57

Am a Forest fan myself, Had a couple of quid on Wes Morgan anytime goalscorer at 16/1 with Hills! Will be good to see how he gets on and deals with Blackstock in the air.
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kazyNBG · 2yo Joined: 21 Mar 2012 Posts: 2

MK Dons wins over 2.5

Milton Keynes Dons v Carlisle 3:1

empire · Group 1 Class Joined: 30 Oct 2010 Posts: 251

agree mogwai,i went to the game and you battered us,like you did down the amex,fancy you for a win

hobnobbob · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 4:17 pm Post subject: .

I know it was a while ago and Forest were woeful back then, but didn't Leicester beat Forest 4-0 in the FA Cup a couple of months ago?
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superports · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 4:26 pm Post subject:

Just found "race to 7 corners" on PaddyPower in the Real Madrid game. 10/11 for Real, surely they're going to dominate, win and score at least 2 goals in this game.
Any reason why I shouldn't take this bet?

KanKeano · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 4:51 pm Post subject:

Leicster beat Forest 4-0 in the Cup not so long ago. Forest have improved since then but not by much. Understand why the bookies have them at over 3/1.

Tonight I'll be looking for two home wins in the FA Cup. Sunderland have been impressive in the league this season and played well in the first tie. Think I'd heard that Sunderland have 66% of their games since O'Neill took over and that includes 19pts from 24 at home. I like Everton and the way Moyes generally has them set up but I think Sunderland may just have too much for them tonight.

Sunderland @ 2.62 looks nice.

The one stat I have just seen is Everton are unbeaten in 16 matches against Sunderland so that's worth taking into consideration.

In the other game it will be an emotional night for both sides and sets of fans. Depending on which Spurs side turns up tonight will determine the result. The Tottenham side that played the 2nd halfs against City and Chelsea recently or the 1st half side in those games. We are like Chalk & Cheese at the moment but one thing you can generally rely on is goals with us, apart for the weekend. These two sides also generally serve up a goalfest in Cup encounters with a few one sided games in the past.

2002 FA Cup > Tottenham 4-0 Bolton
2002 League Cup > Tottenham 6-0 Bolton
2005 League Cup > Bolton 3-4 Tottenham
2010 FA Cup > Bolton 1-1 Tottenham
2010 FA Cup > Tottenham 4-0 Bolton

Both teams to score @ 1.94
5 or more goals @ 4.80

Over in Portugal we have our last English (or British if you like) representative in European football playing. Chelsea take on Benfica having struggled in the Premier League and not having won any of their last 5 away matches in the Champions League. They were taken to the cleaners against Napoli in the last round and Benfica could do the same here. Benfica are unbeaten in their last 10 European home ties including 4 wins and 2 draws this season. They have already accounted for Man United this season and the likes of Cardoza, Gaitan, Witsel and Rodrigo will be a handful tonight.

Benfica to win 2-1 @ 10.00
Cardoza FGS @ 7.50

Finally looking at the other Champions League game the Bookies have priced Real Madrid up at 1/3. This is one of the two best sides in Europe, probably the world, against a Cypriot side that 'only' have a playing budget of $8m. I know they have had some decent results in this competition but there is always one side that you wouldn't have though gets to the quarters (look at Spurs last season) and generally when they come up against true quality they take a bit of a hiding (think Spurs at the Bernabeu). I'll be on the 1/3 as I'm expecting Madrid to win by at least 2 goals.

Real Madrid @ 1/3

Their my bets tonight - good luck with whatever you go with. Win

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hobnobbob · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 4:59 pm Post subject:

Peterborough V West Ham ( Both teams to score 4/7 )

Peterborough are always good for a goal at home however they do let a good few in their back door aswell, Not sure whether they can keep out the likes of Cole and Nolan tonight.

Burton V Gillingham ( Gillingham win 6/5 )

Burton have not won since Boxing day and have lost all their last 8 matches, Although Gillingham haven't been great on the road this season, it should be 3 points.

Benfica V Chelsea ( Benfica win 11/8 )

Benfica are very strong at home, they have 11 wins and 1 loss in their league this season on their own turf. Chelsea's away form in the CL hasn't been that great drawing with Genk, losing in Leverkusen and getting outplayed by Napoli in Naples.

Benfica -1 pays 7/2 also

Fingers Crossed

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mercer · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 5:06 pm Post subject:

They say never back your own side but really fancy my side Westham at Evens despite poor results but blame Fat Sam silly tactics and selections but is forced to make changes knowing what he is doing is not working so needs changing

We have been playing ok but not scoring enough and with the strikers we have i do not know how,hold on i do because Fat Sam loves playing one up top at home which is a strange one,he plays Maynard out wide who has no tricks and looks lost out there but scored for fun up top in a struggling side so Sam play him up top with baldock who has great movement and pace,these two need to starts has Cole and Carew are awful and Vaz Te is injured,Nolan scores goals but is lazy and slow but Fat Sam loves him along with Taylor

Ravel Morrison is a wonderkid but as problems but too good for this level and Fat Sam has to play him soon and got two goals the other night in a game

Peterborough are inconsistent and either win big or lose big but won two on the spin at home and beat good sides but we will hammer someone soon and feel it will happen tonight

Evens and back on song and need to win to close the gap plsu need a confidence booster ahead of home game against Reading the weekend

365pvfc · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 5:27 pm Post subject:

Positive for Shrewsbury (if you need one) - Vale have 5 players out for tonights game and send a very under-strength and in places inexperienced squad to Shropshire.

Mar84tin · Posted: Tue Mar 27, 2012 5:59 pm Post subject:

Peterborough - WHU

The Hammers go into the game off the back of five successive draws in a ten match-unbeaten run.
West Ham sit third in the npower Championship table, four points behind second-place Reading.
Victory at London Road followed by a win in Saturday's game with the Royals will see Big Sam's side return to second place in the table.

Peterborough United head into Tuesday evening's game in 18th place having been beaten 1-0 at Barnsley on Saturday.
Despite beating Reading 3-1 at home last Tuesday, Peterborough have lost four of their last six games.

West Ham United are looking to equal their record of most away wins in a season.
The record is eleven games and West Ham currently sit on ten away wins for the season.

The Hammers and Peterborough United have met just three times in competitive fixtures.

They faced each other in Division One during the 1992/93 season with West Ham winning both fixtures, 3-1 away at London Road in September 1992 and 2-1 at the Boleyn Groundin February 1993.

The remaining competitive game came earlier this season in September when Mark Noble secured a 1-0 victory for West Ham.

Ricardo Vaz Te and Julien Faubert have both recovered from their hamstring injuries and could be in contention for Tuesday evening.

Abdoulaye Faye is in training after missing Saturday's game with a knee injury but it remains to be seen whether he will be ready for Tuesday night.

Grant McCann is a doubt for the hosts after coming off with a calf injury during Saturday's draw with Barnsley.

If he does not make the game, it will be the first time managaer Darren Ferguson has not named the same starting XI in five matches.

Tip:
WHU Win@2(Betfred)

Shrewsbury - Port Vale

Following a vital away win against Morecambe, Town face Port Vale at home in a rearranged game that was postponed because of the weather.

The Valiants come to the Greenhous Meadow after a pretty good season on the field, but a very difficult one off it.
The difficulties have been financial ones which have had an impact on their league position because of a 10 point deduction.

As things stand though, Port Vale sit in a mid-table position having won 16 of their 38 games.
Recent form has been very good, up until a couple of weeks ago when an 8 game unbeaten run was halted at home to Barnet, but since then the Valiants have lost 2 of their last 3 games.

Port Vales away form is what interests us tonight, and that has been pretty respectable with 7 wins 5 draws and 7 defeats.

Shrewsbury played with Port Vale 39 times in the league, winning 15 but losing 11 times.
In recent years, Vale have had the best of the league results away from Vale Park with the last time they were defeated in Shrewsbury coming in the 1977/8 season.

In fairness to us though, that record does include a 31 year period that kept us separated in the league.

In the last few seasons, Shrewsbury have had to get used to a few poor results at home to Port Vale; they always make themselves difficult to beat with a physical approach and spirited performances.

Shrewsbury should win this game without much difficulty, but Vale always make things awkward for at home and will be wanting revenge for our win at Vale Park earlier in the season.

Tip:
Shrewsbury Win@1,73(William Hill)

GL Wink

MadScot · At Stud Joined: 22 Aug 2008 Posts: 3497 Location: Scotland

Just had a look at the palace v doncaster game,and i think the 7/2 for the away win is worth a single,doncaster are badly needing points to avoid relegation..

Palace have only lost twice this season at home in the lg,but have drawn 9,scoring only 19goals,granted they have only conceded 10 which is good..

But i feel doncaster will go for it right from the kickoff tonight,and have a sneaky feeling they will get the points..

Doncaster 7/2 NAP