tennis tournaments commencing 24-october

jbsouz · Classic Winner Joined: 10 Nov 2004 Posts: 516

Hi guys, 1 pick for ATP St. Petersburg tournament.
BUBKA-CILIC OVER 19.5 GAMES @ 1.83 on Bet365

Bubka with big serve playing basically at home should be able to win a few games and it should not be an easy win for Cilic.

jimny2 · Posted: Wed Oct 26, 2011 1:34 pm Post subject:

The WTA Championships started yesterday in Istanbul with 3 pretty decent matches, have to say the atmosphere there is much better than it's been in recent years in both Doha and before that in Madrid, and it makes such a difference...Well done Istanbul.

First match today sees Azarenka take on Stosur who started with a straight sets win over Sharapova, her first win against the Russian at the 10th attempt Shocked

Azarenka holds a 4-0 h2h lead over Stosur although it's been a while since they played and this court seems to suit the Aussie, would be quite something to overturn a combined 13-0 h2h with wins in her first 2 matches but given the current odds I think she's well worth a bet today to do just that.

Azarenka won her last tournament and is moving rapidly up the rankings but her form this year against the other top 8 players has been pretty poor and to me she will always be suspect in the big events when the pressure is at it's highest.

Sharapova/Na Li is a difficult one to call with both players returning from injury, Sharapova looked pretty awful at times last night and her serve is still a big liability when it's "off" add to this she has lost the last 3 meetings against Na Li.

Now Na Li has had an indifferent season since her win in Paris which was to be expected I guess and now with injury/illness problems it remains to be seen what she can do this week but I like her attitude in the big events and she may not get many more chances to play at these Championships so providing her knee is good I think she can provide us with another upset today.
_________________
If a problem is fixable, if a situation is such that you can do something about it, then there is no need to worry. If it's not fixable, then there is no help in worrying. There is no benefit in worrying whatsoever.

cantino · Posted: Wed Oct 26, 2011 1:41 pm Post subject:

Li Na is piss poor at the moment will be surprised if she wins

cantino · Posted: Wed Oct 26, 2011 5:57 pm Post subject:

What an error-fest.

jimny2 · Posted: Thu Oct 27, 2011 9:28 am Post subject:

Maria Sharapova has withdrawn from the Championships after that loss to Li Na, not happy with her ankle so Marion Bartoli gets to play a match against Azarenka tomorrow all of which means Caroline Wozniacki will end the year as No.1 and still without a Slam title.

On to today and despite the fact that Azarenka was impressive against Stosur while Li Na and Sharapova produced a pretty poor match I just can't be having Azarenka at such short odds given that she trails the h2h and has lost all 3 big matches against Li Na, the 2 Slam matches this year and the final in their first meeting.

Li Na will need to improve and of course hopefully her knee will be alright after yesterday's match but every time she was behind and looking like she was out of it against Sharapova she dug deep and clawed her way back, even the wobble at the end didn't derail her and after her run of poor results was perhaps to be expected.

Looking at the h2h would suggest Wozniacki has every chance of beating Kvitova but her performances this week have been pretty average by her standards and she's just been much too passive in her play, her forehand is weak and she seems to have forgotten that her backhand is one of if not the best in the game, and her form of late just doesn't inspire confidence especially against someone like Kvitova.

Kvitova looked in excellent shape against Zvonareva although it has to be said that the Russian was nowhere near as aggressive as she showed against Wozniacki yesterday and her serving was very poor, but Kvitova looked every inch a champion in her performance and although she has only beaten Wozniacki once that win came in their only meeting in a Slam reinforcing my opinion that there's only one of these players who has a champions mentality, the doubt with Kvitova still though is that she can go from hero to zero in one match.

So I'm going for a small bet on Li Na and a slightly bigger bet on Petra Kvitova.

The other match looks to be a toss of a coin job as the odds suggest, Radwanska has won the last 3 meetings with Zvonareva including 2 finals recently but her level did drop against Wozniacki in the latter stages and it remains to be seen just how much that shoulder is affecting her.

Zvonareva is still struggling with her serve, 9 DF's against Wozniacki and Kvitova punished her 2nd serve, but that may not be such a factor against Radwanska and she definitely stepped it up a gear in her ground strokes yesterday showing much more power so perhaps with qualification for the Semi's in her sights she will come through.
_________________
If a problem is fixable, if a situation is such that you can do something about it, then there is no need to worry. If it's not fixable, then there is no help in worrying. There is no benefit in worrying whatsoever.

jbsouz · Classic Winner Joined: 10 Nov 2004 Posts: 516

Hi guys,
2 picks for today:
WTA ISTANBUL RADWANSKA TO DEFEAT ZVONAREVA @ 2.05 on Betfair
ATP VIENNA NIEMINEN-TSONGA OVER 21.5 GAMES @ 1.83 on Bet365

Zvonareva had shoulder problems in Moscow and Radwanska with 3 straight wins over Zvonareva in the past 2 months should have an advantage.

Nieminen played great in Stockholm last week getting to the final and hitting a lot of winners and was unlucky to lose there to Monfils. It should not be an easy win for Tsonga, especially considering the head-to-head record.

jbsouz · Classic Winner Joined: 10 Nov 2004 Posts: 516

Hi guys,
1 pick for today:
ATP VIENNA MALISSE-TSONGA OVER 22 GAMES @ 2.02 on Pinnacle

Similar reasoning to Nieminen-Tsonga yesterday. Malisse is a great indoors player with good serve and he is equal to Tsonga from the baseline, Tsonga is not overly motivated in those smaller tournaments. It should not be an easy win for Tsonga, especially considering the head-to-head record.

jimny2 · Posted: Fri Oct 28, 2011 11:55 am Post subject:

Going to try another small bet on Li Na again today in this winner takes all match against Sam Stosur, now if Stosur is on song then this will be over PDQ but with so much at stake there's every chance this turns in to a nervous 3 setter which would hopefully make the odds on Li Na alright for a trade at least.

Petra Kvitova should be able to beat Agnieszka Radwanska but again there is plenty at stake for the Polish woman who needs a set at least in order for her to qualify for the Semi's, if she loses in straight sets then I think she's out and Zvonareva is through...Of course should she win she's through.

Don't think Radwanska will go out without a fight it's just whether Kvitova is focused 100% on the match or will she be generous....

And it's difficult to see Marion Bartoli causing Viktoria Azarenka too many problems.
_________________
If a problem is fixable, if a situation is such that you can do something about it, then there is no need to worry. If it's not fixable, then there is no help in worrying. There is no benefit in worrying whatsoever.

snoopydoo · Group 1 Class Joined: 02 Aug 2009 Posts: 260

Azarenka s loss to Bartoli was a sitting duck match where Vika actually turned her sirens off and started playing a practice match.
Despite Zvonareva s day of rest, was Vika s mind already on this matchup yesterday.
Most notably is the service of Vera off, with few first ones in, making her a pigeon to Azarenka s baseline return. One day of rest isn t going to improve that. Mentally (as was evident in the match vs Agna) she has not matured, so look out for her impatient attitude once she starts picking up the pace defensively.

Vika to win for sure.

jimny2 · Posted: Sat Oct 29, 2011 2:35 pm Post subject:

Big match for Azarenka, possibly the biggest of her career and I would not want to be backing her at short odds in this type of situation as she can be a total mental flake.

Sure Zvonareva is just as bad but with one key difference, she has managed to handle the pressure of getting to a Slam final as well as a Tour Championship final it's only in the actual finals that she has gone to pieces.

Hoping Zvonareva wins if only to keep my outright alive Very Happy

_________________
If a problem is fixable, if a situation is such that you can do something about it, then there is no need to worry. If it's not fixable, then there is no help in worrying. There is no benefit in worrying whatsoever.

snoopydoo · Group 1 Class Joined: 02 Aug 2009 Posts: 260

Odds were too short indeed and I personally failed to benefit as that I was hoping Vika to fall behind and recover. (But luckily Kvitova pulled through)

Vika s borderline behavior really seems to have subsided with her confident attitude it seems. There are just times she shows she doesn t care (case in point the Bartoli match). I really like the new Azarenka and am pretty sure she s up for a slam next season if not a main contender for the Australian open.

No idea what will happen next and it will be difficult to keep them apart provided Kvitova and Azarenka have both been dressed like twins and look like sisters. If I have to pick one, oddly enough, I have to pick Azarenka for being the more experienced and mature player (despite Kvitova s wimbledon win.)

Kvitova also plays a Wickmayer type of game, full of risk, many winners and equally many unforced errors. Putting aside the Bartoli match (where Marion gave 110% and Vika took it easy), Azarenka has been pretty consistent and Kvitova a bit shaky at times.