Posted: Tue Apr 17, 2012 11:55 pm Post subject: Japan Tour - Tsuruya Open - 18th-22nd April 2012
Hi all
The Japan Tour continues this week with the Tsuruya Open from the GC. Defending champ is Tomohiro Kondo, with Hiroyuki Fujita winning in 2010.
Looking at the last 10 years here and 5 golfers have 24 top 10's from 38 attempts and just 3 missed cuts.
First of these then is the winner from last week Brendan Jones. A cracking record here with 3 wins in 04, 06 & 07 (effectively in a row as didn't play in 05), 6 top tens in 9 attempts and no worse than his 21st last year. Has shot no worse than a 76 around here in the last 10 years, and that was back in the first round in 2002. Also shot 27 from 34 rounds under par, or 79%, only KT Kim is higher in the field but he's only played 8 rounds. Current form is also good with that dominant win last week and was also 6th at the NZ PGA Champs a couple of weeks ago on the Aussie Tour.
Beating Jones for number of top 10's is Toru Taniguchi who has 7 in 9, but also has a missed cut in 05. Although only ever a runner up, twice in 02 & 10, was also 5th last year. Not much form to go on though with 19th last week his only event this season.
Better form last week was Shingo Katayama who was 4th. Although record here isn't quite as good with 5 top 10's in 10 visits and no better than 4th, only 47th last year & 18th before that so recent form is not so good.
At longer odds Kaname Yokoo is interesting with 4 top 10's here in 8 visits, 3 of which have been in the last 3 years with 2 5th places & 10th last year. Although has missed a couple of cuts as well. 44th last week in the season opener.
Final thought is another fave with Korean Kyung-Tae Kim. Played here twice & has 2 top 10's, 7th last year and 2nd in 2008. He's also started the season slowly with 26th last week, and has 3 missed cuts in the US including at the Masters.
Think then really the only player with form I like is Brendan Jones, never overly keen on repeat winners but he's in good form on a course he loves so think maybe this time. 16-1 does seem generous when the like of KT Kim are the same despite their poor form.
Thanks Wallsend, cheques in the post...... Although some would use the word sad rather than amazing
Just the good old Tinterweb really. Probably have to thank GolfObserver going subscription though for the more indepth knowledge this year. Always used to look at their average finish table for the PGA Tour when looking for my picks, but as they went subscription & I'm a tightarse I had to look for another way. So now just download the prior year leaderboards into excel, a bit of excel whizz bang wallop and out pop some stats. Plus thought why not do it for more that just the PGA Tour.
Joined: 08 Jun 2007
Posts: 8981
Location: Essex/Javea
Posted: Wed Apr 18, 2012 8:01 pm Post subject:
Ryo Ishikawa 16/1 E/W
"Ryo Ishikawa is more overdue a win and came so close last year to winning a few and got many seconds and thirds but expect him to make up for it this season and get a few on the board and hopefully early Started the season well and got a tenth in the opening event and does well here Backed him last year in this and got tied 15th and done well the previous year For me is the best player on tour but needs a win to build up confidence and showed already this season that he will be a threat all year long"
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
Thanks Wallsend, cheques in the post...... Although some would use the word sad rather than amazing 
