The opening two-year-old fillies' maiden on the card looks almost certain to throw up a useful performer or two, with those to have seen the racecourse already showing a fair level of promise while there are also a host of well-bred newcomers from top stables - previous winners of this race include Echoes In Eternity, Light Shift, Midday, Khawlah and Beatrice Aurore, whilst subsequent dual Group 1 winner Red Evie finished ninth in this on debut in 2005.
The selection is a daughter of Dynaformer who is a half sister to Group 2-placed 6-10f winner (including at Group 3/Listed level) Queen's Best, Group 3-placed dual 12f winner (including at Listed level) Reverie Solitaire, dual German 12f 4yo winner Blue Citadel and 7f 3yo debut winner Kaabari, out of a 7f Group 3 Nell Gwyn winner/1000 Guineas fourth who was a half sister to dual Coronation Cup winner Warrsan, very smart multiple 8-12f winner (including three times at Group 1 level in Germany and Italy) and Group 1-placed triple 10f winner (including at Group 2/3 level) Needle Gun. This well-bred filly is trained by James Tate and cannot fail to take the eye on pedigree as a half sister to a handful of winners, most notably the high-class duo of Queen's Best and Reverie Solataire, whilst the dam was a Nell Gwyn winner who made the frame in the 1000 Guineas and was herself a half sister to multiple Group 1 winners Luso and Warrsan. The fact she wears a hood on debut could be seen as a negative, and although she does come from a family that has its quirks from time to time (half brother Tlaad's career stalled due to his temperament, refusing to enter the stalls) a hood is used to pacify a horse rather than help it visually, so it is more than likely she is a nervous sort rather than lazy/uncooperative. Her homework has always been very impressive, seeing her rise to the top of her burgeoning stable's juvenile pecking order, even holding an entry in the Fillies' Mile until recently; yard not renowned for its success with newcomers so far, but they have had one or two go quite close first time out in recent weeks and given that this daughter of Dynaformer is considered the pick of the juvenile bunch in the yard, she could well prove capable of scoring at the first time of asking despite the competitive nature of the race.
The John Gosden-trained Vanity Rules is a daughter of New Approach who is a half sister to 8-10f winner Smart Step, prolific 8-12f winner (mainly fibresand) General Tufto and 7f fibresand winner Hard Ball, out of a smart 6f-1m winner (including at Listed level) who was a half sister to Group 3-placed 7-10f winner Grand Central, 10-12f winner Rawdon and 11-12f fibresand winner Sir Pitt and 10f Flat/2m-2m 2f hurdle/2m 6f chase winner Farringdon out of Coronation Stakes winner Rebecca Sharp. This nicely bred filly made her debut outing in a 7f fillies' maiden at Newmarket (July) a couple of months ago, sent off a popular 7/2 chance beforehand; raced close to the action from the outset, shaken up over two furlongs out and making some progress but ultimately proving unable to land in a blow, fading inside the final furlong to come home in sixth behind Mystical Moment (beaten 4¾ lengths). She shaped on that occasion as though there would be more to come further down the line, prominent from the outset and seeming to lack for fitness more than anything in the rain-softened ground, far from knocked about once held inside the final furlong. Her stable took this 12 months ago with a similar sort and the pre-race market support this filly came in for prior to her debut run suggests she is well thought of at home; extra furlong ought to prove within her stamina range this season, and it wouldn't at all surprise to see this daughter of New Approach in the thick of things at the business end of matters here.
The Mahmood Al Zarooni-trained Great Timing is a US-bred daughter of Raven's Pass who is a half sister to US Grade 2/3-placed multiple 1m winner Badge Of Truth, useful US 7-9f winner No Use Denying, fairly useful US 1m 3yo winner Happy Choice and other US winners out of a half sister to US 7f Grade 1 winner Missed The Storm who was the daughter of a half sister to top-class US filly Chris Evert. This $375,000 yearling made her debut outing in a 1m fillies' maiden at Goodwood earlier this month, sent off a 5/1 chance; went left coming out of the widest stall but soon tacked over to lead, shaken up and challenged two furlongs from home and soon after, remaining challenging into the final furlong until fading throughout the closing stages to come home in fourth behind exciting prospect Liber Nauticus (beaten 4 lengths). It was a creditable debut display from this daughter of Raven's Pass, leading from her wide draw from an early stage and showing a good attitude to last for as long as she did out in front, fading only late in the day as the winner asserted close to the finish. She certainly knew her job on that occasion and appeared to lack for fitness more than anything, but a repeat performance here with the benefit of a run is likely to enable her to see things out to the end; first string on jockey bookings and ought to be involved in some capacity.
The David Elsworth-trained Cocktail Queen is a daughter of Motivator who is a half sister to connections' 7f-1m 3yo winner Hidden Fire out of a smart 7-10f winner (including at Listed level) who was a half sister to smart 12-15f Flat (including at Group 2/Listed level)/2m-3m hurdle/2m 4f chase winner Gold Medallist, smart 7-10f winner (including at Listed level) Premier Prize (Group 3 placed), connections' useful 8-12f 3yo winner Western Prize, 14f 3yo winner Prize Dancer, 12f 3yo Flat/dual 2m hurdle winner Stage Right and 7f 2yo AW winner Royal Prize out of a 5f 2yo winner/Musidora runner-up/Oaks fourth. This smartly bred filly made her debut outing in a well-contested 7f fillies' maiden at Salisbury earlier this month, sent off a wholly unconsidered 40/1 chance; raced in midfield and went nicely for a long way, pushed along and having a wall of horses in front of her passing the two furlong marker, still not completely in the clear at the furlong pole and staying on nicely for considerate handling when finally out in the open to take fifth behind Lanansaak (beaten 3¼ lengths). It is almost certain that this filly would have made the places but for the trouble in running she found from over two furlongs out, only really getting a clear run entering the final furlong and finishing off her race to good effect under hands and heels to come home only three lengths or so down on the impressive winner. Her pedigree strongly suggests that the additional furlong on offer here will suit extremely well, and she is entitled to know a bit more on this occasion with the benefit of experience to call on; stable has been very quiet so far this month and are still awaiting their first 2yo winner of 2012, but no denying this filly's potential and no surprise to see her on the premises come the finish.
There are several other interesting newcomers away from the selection, the first of them being the Sir Henry Cecil-trained Just One Kiss, a daughter of Cape Cross who is the second foal of a 1m 1f 3yo AW winner who was a half sister to St Leger winner/smart middle distance performer Sixties Icon and 10f 3yo winner/Yorkshire Cup runner-up Native Ruler (by Cape Cross) out of an Oaks winner who was a half sister to Group 3-placed 11-12f 3yo winner (including at Listed level) Floreeda and 12f 3yo winner/Queen's Vase runner-up Solar Sky. This well-bred filly clearly catches the eye on pedigree as the second foal of a winning half sister to St Leger hero Sixties Icon and Yorkshire Cup runner-up Native Ruler, out of 2000 Oaks winner Love Divine who was herself a half sister to some useful sorts, including 12f 3yo Listed winner Floreeda. She comes from a top stable that sent out its second winning 2yo newcomer of the campaign when Hot Snap struck at Kempton on Wednesday, and this daughter of Cape Cross certainly looks the part on pedigree as did that filly the other day; very interesting that she debuts in a race her stable has won in recent times with subsequent Oaks winner Light Shift and their top-class middle distance mare Midday (both had run twice), and market support beforehand would only further enhance her already attractive paper claims.
The Mahmood Al Zarooni-trained Golden Leaves is a US-bred daughter of Tiznow who is a half sister to very smart 6f-1m 2yo winner (including the Group 1 Fillies' Mile) White Moonstone and US winner Conchita, out of a Grade 3-placed sprinter in the US who was a half sister to the very smart US sprinter Desert Storm. This filly is an obvious eyecatcher on pedigree as a half sister to Godolphin's very smart 2010 7f/1m 2yo White Moonstone, unbeaten on all four career outings at two which culminated in success in the Fillies' Mile, whilst her dam was placed at Grade 3 level over 6f and was herself a half sister to classy speedster in the States. She is bred to make her mark at two, and the mile distance on debut should prove suitable given her sire brings about a fair amount of stamina in relation to a speedy distaff side of the pedigree; looks to be the stable second string behind the once-raced Great Timing, but lacks for nothing on paper and not to be underestimated, particularly if meeting with pre-race market support.
The John Dunlop-trained Jalasaat is a daughter of Jazil who is a half sister to very useful UK/UAE 6-10f winner Alazeyab and 1m 2yo winner Istishaara, out of a smart 9-12f winner (including at Listed level) who was a half sister to Oaks winner Eswarah, 7f-1m winner/Irish 1000 Guineas third Umniyatee and very useful sprinter Haafiz out of 1000 Guineas/Oaks winner Midway Lady. This smartly bred filly is yet another whose pedigree reads very well, counting valuable 10f handicap winner Alazeyab amongst her siblings, whilst her dam was a smart middle distance performer who was a half sister to Oaks heroine Eswarah and Irish 1000 Guineas third Unmiyatee. However, for all she makes plenty of appeal on pedigree, she hails from a stable that sent out their first winning newcomer for three years yesterday; back in form at least after an average first half of the season, but this daughter of Jazil is surely best watched on this occasion unless meeting with significant and sustained pre-race market support.
The William Haggas-trained Estiqaama is a daughter of Nayef who is the first foal of a very useful 6-7f winner (including at Listed level) who was a half sister to 7f 2yo Listed winners Mudaaraah and Sudoor out of an unraced sister to high-class triple 7f 2yo winner (including the Group 2 Champagne Stakes) Bahhare and a half sister to top-class miler Bahri. This filly is clearly of significant interest on pedigree, being the first foal of a 7f Listed winner for connections who was a half sister to a pair of Listed winners over the same distance and out of a sister to very smart juvenile Bahhare and a half sister to top-class miler Bahri. It is interesting to note that this filly held an entry in a conditions race at Newbury on Friday, so has clearly shown something at home; enough about her on paper to be taken very seriously should the money arrive beforehand.
The David Simcock-trained Fatima's Gift is a daughter of Dalakhani who is a half sister to dual 1m 2yo AW/Russian 10f Group 1 winner Premier Banker, useful triple 1m winner River Tiber, fairly useful triple 1m winner Twilight Star and dual 1m 3yo AW winner Sweet Clementine, out of a Group 2/3-placed dual 1m winner (including at Listed level) who was a half sister to smart multiple 5f winner (including at Listed level) Gipsy Moth, 1m 3yo winner Round The Cape and 8-13f Flat/dual 2m hurdle winner Rocket Ship. This filly went unsold for 38,000gns as a foal but fetched 60,000gns as a yearling, making some appeal on pedigree as a half sister to a quartet of winning milers, including a subsequent Group 1 winner in Russia and a useful handicap performer, out of a Listed winner over 1m who was a half sister to a smart sprinter. She comes from a stable that sent out a pair of winning newcomers last month, including one at this very track; sire's strong stamina influence does suggest that she may find this mile distance on debut a sharp enough test, but interesting nevertheless to see how she figures in the market beforehand. _________________ Horses To Follow 2013 - Flat
By One Cool Cat she's always likely to want in softer than she's raced on in her last couple of shows at Haydock. She ran a decent race from a poor draw trying to go down the centre at Newmarket before joining the pack who seemed to a better run of it. She's been on the downgrade so far this season, but judged on when she made all last August on similar ground over 7 furlongs she could be very nicely in if recapturing her form.
After today's sprint at Ayr down the middle could be the better ground and she's hasn't tried to make all since her last two wins, but she should last the trip well if she goes for it.
2:20pm Ayr - FAST SHOT
Another one who thrives on the softer ground having got his first run out of the way this season, won well on soft ground at Ripon off 81. Encountered good ground putting in a couple of decent runs including a 3rd in a big field Class 2 handicap at York in May. Faced soft ground in June he was very slowly away and never in the race, perhaps also over a trip a little too far. Back down to 6f at Newcastle the next time out on Heavy ground and won well off 86. Probably too high in the weights at Hamilton in his next race despite the trip and conditions in favour, but still ran a good 6th only 3 lengths down. A couple of close up finishes down the field in races on better ground have kept his form going. Never got into position last time out, racing at the back of the stands side group but stayed on despite the ground not being in favour.
Low drawn which is generally in favour in these Ayr sprints, and should have the opportunity to be close to the pace which will enable him to be staying on well in testing conditions.
3:30pm Ayr - BOASTFUL
Actually faced first and second favourites Our Jonathan and Maarek in a Group 3 on Heavy ground at Newcastle in June. Is now 11lbs better off for a 2 length defeat by Maarek and is 3lbs better off against Our Jonathan who flopped at finished down the field. Is 4lbs better off for beating Our Parade by 3 lengths too, but that shouldn't be enough to reverse the form. Has contested Class 1 stakes all season, winning her reappearance in a Listed mile at Goodwood on soft ground. Five Group 3 races have followed firstly stepped up to 9f at Epsom on good ground where she pulled and looked unsuited by better ground and trip. She was dropped down to 6f next time out in the race mentioned above. Stayed on over the same trip on good-to-soft ground but found a few rivals picking up off the better ground. Potentially too long and too short on her last two outings and 6 furlongs looks her ideal trip.
This is her first handicap in this country and she faces a very strong field. However she'll be one of a few who will definite suit the boggy ground and has ran to a good level in her Group races despite being up against it at the weights with her better rivals. Drawn high so she should have the chance to get prominent early and I expect her to at least run with credit today.
3:55pm Newmarket - FIRST AVENUE
Campaigned over hurdles pre-christmas running up to a decent level including winning a class 4 novice hurdle. Then sent to the all weather finding 12 furlongs a little too short before winning well stepped up to 16 furlongs and re-opposes that rival today. Took a step up in class but down to 12 furlongs and was always behind once more on a trip I think is too short. Sent back over 16 furlongs and stepped up to Class 2 company in a decent race. Switched to turf in April at Newbury and just failed to pick up the leader losing by half a length. Filled the runner up spot next time out in a n Epsom Class 3 over 12 furlongs just losing out to the progressive Aiken who cantered home in a Listed race on his next race and most recently finished a close up 2nd in the Irish St. Leger. Kept down in trip to 12f always held up, never in contention and then put away for a summer break. Brought back last month over 10 furlongs which is far too short and typically never in with a chance.
I think that could have been a pipe opener for him, and he's stepped up to his furthest trip yet at 18 furlongs. He's got the stamina to last home having won at 17 furlongs over hurdles, and after a good show against Aiken in April he might have been saved for races of this profile. _________________ D.Rogerson's Ratings D.Rogerson's Trend System
Matches almost every trend of this race from previous years.
Has won at ayr twice and placed once from 3 race.
Drawn to at least race well if not win.
Has 1 win,2 second,1 third from 4 starts at soft track.
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Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2012 9:04 am Post subject:
1:45 Ayr - Bronze Cup
6f sprint, 27 declared runners (3 non-runners at time of writing)
Heavy ground
The draw here is traditionally thought to be mid to high favoured, and when the draw was completed for the Gold Cup this is the location that the trainers wanted their horses placed. Still, pace will be very important.
Amenable (21), Coolminx (8), Tip Top Gorgeous (18) and Ucanchoose (20) are likely pace horses in the race whereas Baldemar (5), Cheveton (4), Best Trip (11), Pick a Little (9) and Llewelyn (19) are also likely to want to be prominent. In all it does look as if the mid to highs may indeed have it and I can see them coming down the near side generally.
The favourites here are Cheveton and Jack Dexter (10). Cheveton is a great old stager in these races, with a great record at this meeting, but I am concerned that he hasn't shown very much for the last year until getting a good tow into his race lto. More surely needed here and at the price I can't touch it. Jack Dexter is one of these progressive 3yo's that are always popular in these handicaps and whilst it looks very much as if there could be more to come he might be lacking a bit in experience for this, particularly at such a short price again.
A possible beneficiary of the conditions, draw and pace could be Tajneed (23). He has won on soft and placed in a better handicap than this on soft ground at Pontefract earlier in the year off a much higher mark. Its fair to say that he was favoured by the draw there but the form has worked out so well that I am not fazed by that, or the fact that he has been beaten the last twice in handicaps as he was on the wrong side lto. Despite Dandy Nicholls saddling half the field here this one is the choice of his son Adrian and I want him on my side.
Coolminx doesn't get a draw to tow her in but it won't bother the horse that she is on her own for pace, given her style of running. She made all last year (on what is traditionally thought to be the wrong side) to win this off a higher mark on similar ground. Laura Barry takes the ride, who's useful claim is being carefully used by Richard Fahey this year. She has a 21% strikerate for him this year and she will not be claiming 7lbs too much longer. Again I can't leave this horse today.
I am tempted by the chances of Arctic Feeling, who ran on so well yesterday over 5f but he has always looked to want 6f without ever proving this to be true and on its difficult for anyone to tell how the short turnaround is going to treat him. I also have to look at Ellison's horses and I think that Best Trip may be the pick of these, but for a final selection I am going back to the top of the handicap and back to the higher end of the draw.
Roker Park (15) is looking so well handicapped now and needs a bit of cut according to his trainer. I backed him lto but the ground dried out a bit towards the race and I think it went against him again, even though he wasn't all that far away in honesty. It certainly will have cut today and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him back in form for shrewd connections.
Tajneed 0.25pts EW @ 22/1
Coolminx 0.5pts EW @ 14/1
Roker Park 0.25pts EW @ 25/1 _________________ "The problem with the future is that there are more things that could happen than will happen" - Plato (liberally paraphrased)
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Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2012 11:07 am Post subject:
2:20 Ayr - Silver Cup
6f sprint, 27 declared runners (3 non-runners at time of writing)
Heavy ground
The draw here is traditionally thought to be mid to high favoured.
An Saighdiur (24), Hamza (6), Spinatrix (22), Advanced (8) and Thunderball (16) are likely to be vying for an early lead here, which does in fact give an even feel to the pace in this race. Highland Colori (13), Klynch (14) and Jedward (1) are also likely candidates for being prominent early. It looks fair enough for me to disregard the draw here.
The favourites here are the Pricewise selection of An Saighduir and Highland Colori, and anyone who has read my recent write-ups will have no trouble guessing which of these I prefer! The irish raider will certainly handle the ground but I have serious doubts about whether this one has the class to make an impact on a race like this off so high a mark. He beat Gordon Lord Byron and Arctic in a Curragh handicap this season, both of which are listed class horses, but he was getting 27lbs from that pair that day and he will need more here from around the top of the weights.
Highland Colori, on the other hand, is one who I think could easily be a listed performer in the making. He has excuses for recent near misses (ran into loose horse lto, drawn on wrong side at Ascot, etc) and bar these has been winning good races sneakily, not rising too much in the handicap. He races off the same mark as lto which was in, if anything, a better race than this and he handles any ground. In fact his sire stats indicate that he might have more for this type of test and he will certainly stay well enough. Even as one of the market leaders I want him on my side here. Apart from anything else, he has such a likeable attitude that you are almost certain to get a run for your money!
I think Amadeus Wolf Tone certainly has ability but he had a bit of a charmed run through when winning lto and I can't get over the fact that he might be found out a bit here, whereas Kaldoun Kingdom's soft ground form is too iffy for me to be interested in him.
I can find holes to poke in the form of a lot of the rest but one that I do think could be under rated is Lightning Cloud. His run on reappearance this year in the Victoria Cup of all races, needs chalking up due to the fact that all those in front of him were on the far side. That form from a much better race than this, on a higher mark, on soft going, ties him in with some of the best 6f/7f horses around and it needs to be considered since he has not been seen on ground with cut since (both times appearing in top, top Ascot races). He is one in this field who still has the potential to be rather better than the race.
Lastly I do want to cover Grissom who simply won the Scottish Stewards Cup on heavy this year and has to be overpriced at 25/1 back on that ground. It should be noted with this one that Allan has picked Fast Shot for the stable but I do think that it was probably quite a tough choice and Gibbons is a more than capable deputy.
Highland Colori 0.5pts EW @ 10/1
Lightning Cloud 0.3pts EW @ 16/1
Grissom 0.2pts EW @ 25/1 _________________ "The problem with the future is that there are more things that could happen than will happen" - Plato (liberally paraphrased)
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Posted: Sat Sep 22, 2012 12:06 pm Post subject:
3:30 Ayr - Gold Cup
6f sprint, 27 declared runners (1 non-runner at time of writing)
Heavy ground
The draw here is traditionally thought to be mid to high favoured.
The pace supplied by The Cheka (11), Pintura (9), Cheviot (17), Boastful (25), Brae Hill (14), Rodrigo De Torres (27) and Sholaan (2) look certain to mean that this is as punishing a test of stamina as any 6f sprint. It is also possible that any of Borderlescott (1), Captain Ramius (8), Miss Work of Art (18) and Colonel Mak (22) could be up there as well, which is getting on for half the field. In addition I don't think it would be a surprise to see a change of tactics from Beacon Lodge (7), who may try and utilise his confirmed stamina. Again, we appear to be looking at mid to high draws as a general preference.
As such I am quite keen on Colonel Mak from stall 22, who ran a very good race in this last year albeit from a lower mark. He has proven that he is capable off this kind of mark since and he loves the ground. I think he should run well one way or another.
I think that its worth keeping those who are well handicapped on side in these races and theres no doubt that Regal Parade fits this bill as a former Group 1 winner. He loves the ground and is a previous winner of this race. He's obviously looking a bit long in the tooth nowadays but recent results have suggested a return to form might be around the corner if his wily trainer is bringing him on slowly, particularly a close up second over a woefully insufficient 5f last time out.
I am in two minds about Our Jonathan here as his claims are there for all to see, he's a pound higher than last year but he would have won carrying 10lbs more judging by the way he came away from them 12 months ago. On balance I think that anyone with decent antepost bets at bigger prices should be pretty happy but I'm looking away from him as favourite.
However, there is one in here that I think is slightly a "forgotten horse" who has top handicap form as well as Group form to boot and that is Morache Music. Given that he was a length behind Maarek in July on Heavy ground and has a 5lbs turnaround for that, and finished in front of that one in The Wokingham on worse terms, he is massively overpriced at 25/1. He goes on any ground and is relatively lightly raced so I can see him outrunning those odds easily if his stamina holds out for this test.
Colonel Mak 0.4pts EW @ 16/1
Regal Parade 0.3pts EW @ 22/1
Morache Music 0.3pts EW @ 25/1 _________________ "The problem with the future is that there are more things that could happen than will happen" - Plato (liberally paraphrased)
"He won the Ayr Gold Cup on similar conditions in 2007 and of course that means he is a C+D winner. He is trained by Kevin Ryan and he is going to be ridden by Kelly Harrison today. He finished fourth in this race in 2010 and he went one better last year when finishing third at odds of 25/1. He has a perfectly reasonable chance of going well again and at odds of 25/1 I think he is well worth a bet, he clearly runs his best races over this C+D and I wouldn't be surprised if they have trained him for this one race again"
14:50 Ayr Marys Daughter 8
"Richard Fahey has great stats at this course and this horse was a last time out winner. Improvement is needed to land this G3 but the horse does have course form so that is a bonus. 7/1 looks big."
"I had this horse at 20/1 last week when the owner gave it a good word live on Channel 4 last Saturday. He has since been backed into half those odds and I'm happy that I went with it. He is a C+D winner as he won this same race last year and he is another one who is trained by Kevin Ryan, this one will be ridden by Jim Crowley. His form has been boosted nurmeous times lately for instance Libranno , he finished a quarter of a length behind this one at Salisbury off level weights and Libranno has since won a G2 at Donny . The only problem for Our Jonathan today is the weight but the draw in stall 12 is perfect as the winner of today's Bronze Cup was drawn in stall 10 so it looks as if the middle draws are the ones to go with today at Ayr."
2.20 Laylas Hero e/w, the horse goes well on soft ground and stays further than 6f but has won at 6f on soft ground, stamina is not a concern for this horse and with everything to suit 33/1 is a great price, I cant see this one out of the places and could win at big price.
2.50 Lasilia, look's the type who will relish today's conditions going of it's breeding and the extra furlong today can bring more improvement and Kevin Ryans horses are in fine fettle and this one can go well at 11/1
3.30 Regal Parade and Beacon Lodge, the 1st mentioned has won the race in the past and has no problems with the going and was not far behind our Jonathan, earlier in the season and is better of at the weights today and has to have a very strong chance and is drawn in stall 14 so can choose wich side it wants and my second horse Beacon Lodge has not hit top form this season but has usefull claimer Shirley Teasdale to take some weight of today and if refinding it's best form on todays ground wich is fine for the horse, then it will go very close.
4.05 Dusky Queen, NAP 4/1 this Richard Fahey horse has ran well in defeat the last twice but has previously won on gdsft ground and the softer ground should not be a worry and the horse is open too plenty improvement NAP
4.50 Jim Tango e/w, 40/1 it is a very big price but did far too much last time too early and if ridden with abit more restraint over this shorter trip on ground that's fine from bottom of the weights, then can go very well in this class 6, it ran well enough for McCain in a class 4 in a 2mile chase so isent a donkey and I think could be better than a class 6 Handicap and can outrun it's price here and grab a place or better, J Fanning is a good booking.
5.15 Dunno and No Poppy, the 1st mentioned the Nicholls horse is very well treated if bouncing back to form and the conditions should be ok and I am going to take a chance that it will run a good race for last years winning trainer and No Poppy goes well on soft and on it's earlier form has every chance.
yankeestorm is overpriced tonight at wolves and another one of my fav horses. Ran a good class 5 race last time coming 9th of 17th at this distance and time befor has ran good 4 class 6 races 2 at 6 furlong and 2 at 7 furlong coming 3rd last time out and 2 2nds time be for last and not a bad 4th 2 runs back. Now back to class 6 and not as many runners and at last time out distance and luke morris has jockey. Also back up in weights where last time out was 8-8 and usualy likes 9-0 pluss and is 9-3.EW
GL all. 14/1 at the momemt 2nd outsider of the lot so small EW if you back. _________________ I stake low on bets.
If i had a double headed coin I would still loose and if i had a lucky rabbits foot it would bring as much luck as it did the rabbit.
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