Saturday 18th August - Discussion

budgie27 · Last edited by budgie27 on Fri Aug 17, 2012 9:11 pm; edited 1 time in total

Tough races but I think if the rain comes Soul is the one for the 3.05 Newbuty. If the ground comes up soft then will inconvenience SS and 7-2 looks like value.

A little bit of a bet against the weather but 7-2 looks a value play for a horse who I am sure is up to G1 class over here. maybe a bet to Lay as SdS rode him sensibly last time and Frankie just pointed in BCs Ascot race.

miniman · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 9:11 pm Post subject:

If the ground remains good, then I'm all over Strong Suit. He's 5/6 outside of Gp1 company, 3/4 over 7f. He's the classiest horse in the field and unlike Soul has proven his stamina over this trip on more than one occasion.

ben2k8 · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 9:12 pm Post subject:

I think on good ground Strong Suit would win at a canter, he won two group 2 last season very easily and people say he hasnt been the same since, however he has ran at a mile twice which clearly dosnt suit him and ran on very heavy ground last time. The ground is meant to be good at newbury so the 2/1 looks absolutely massive for a horse of this class.

Was wondering if anyone can help in regards to this, I backed Strong Suit yesterday at 7/2 in the NRNB market, so will I face a deduction with the cecil horse being pulled? if so how much?.

budgie27 · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 9:14 pm Post subject:

miniman · Posted: Fri Aug 17, 2012 10:35 pm Post subject:

Don't see why the ground won't remain good. Weather forecast looks pretty clear to me. I also don't think either is overpriced or offers significant value.

tonylfc · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 12:11 am Post subject:

SOUL for me too, frankie on and its the better horse me thinks.

@tonylfc05

itsfreeusee · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 8:04 am Post subject:

supposed too be a fine day at Newbury, so I can see the ground getting abit faster and not worse and if that is the case then Masked Marvel in the 2.30 look's a real good bet it has beat Brown Panther quite easily in the past and holds that horse on form I think and Mount Athos, I am still not sure it's form is as great as some people are making out and will be found out in the top company today and for me the biggest danger too Masked Marvel, could be Harris Tweed, who proved hard too catch here in the past when winning quite comfy in the end but has a penalty today for that and that is enough too swing me back towards Masked Marvel, who I still think is top class and it's worst races have been on softish ground wich the horse seems to dislike, but with todays fine forecast and the ground should be quickening up all the time and should be fine and the price of Masked Marvel look's a real good on at the moment 4/1 some places.

ben2k8 · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 8:59 am Post subject:

Good to Firm at Newbury, perfect ground and trip for Strong Suit and a drop in class, it would be a big suprise if he were beat and 2/1 still available.

turfline · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 9:13 am Post subject:

Weather fore-cast Saturday 18th August.

Cloudy Start in most area's, a few showers, but Dry and Sunny.

Midlands and South-West could see Temp's reach low 30's....humid night again.
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The Executioner · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 9:40 am Post subject:

Any of you traders out there should beat the SP if you can get the 8/1 for Colour Shades at Stan James in the 2.05 Doncaster - she should appreciate this extra furlong and is entitled to come on for her debut run and stable in fine form at the moment. Fingers Crossed

myagi007 · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 9:53 am Post subject:

just to put a different spin on the 305 has anyone got any thoughts on Pastoral Player around 6-1 available performs well on faster ground is 1/3 on course and 2/7 in distance. Darryl Holland on board today won on it at Haydock over this distance.
And an outsider ew Majestic Myles 25-1 form reads well over this distance bar the last race.....

leathehat · Posted: Sat Aug 18, 2012 10:04 am Post subject: sat betting

looks quite a difficult day today.

have my eye on two

MOUNT ATHOS

STRONG SUIT

but will decide late as i want to see how they go to post, both look to have outstanding chances, in terms of mount athos they want to go to the Melbourne cup, so are looking for a win. trainer and jockey have a 60% strike rate at this track???

In terms of SS everything seems to be pointing in his favor, ground, track etc.. i just have a little niggling doubt maybe as i like the look of ALANZA

any thoughts