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LP1985, Micko, KK & Lazarus's Euro 2012 Preview
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adamross
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Post Posted: Sun Jun 03, 2012 1:10 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Really good detailed analysis here guys - I am following and enjoying it.

Just one point about Group B though.

If the results go as you predict, then both Holland and Denmark will be on equal points. My understanding is that Holland would progress at the expense of Denmark if they have beaten them in the opening game (as you predict).
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lazarus76
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Post Posted: Sun Jun 03, 2012 3:40 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

European Championship Group D Preview

On paper Group D looks a straight match between England and France, but i very much doubt it will be as straight forward as that, Co-hosts Ukraine and Sweden make up the quartet in this rather tricky looking group.

England (12/1 outright)

Official FIFA Ranking 7

Manager Roy Hodgson

Tournament History

3rd place ’68
Semi-Final ’96 (3rd and 4th place game has not taken place since 1984)
Quarter-Finals ’04
Group Stage ’80, ’88, ’92, ’00
Did Not Qualify ’64, ’72, ’76, ’84, ’08

England failed to qualify for the last European Championships in 2008, and their best placing in the competition came in 1968 as World Cup Winners England won their 3rd place playoff against Soviet Union 2-0 and as hosts in 1996 losing to arch-rivals Germany in the Semi-finals, but if Gazza had been a few inches taller or Southgate had of just smashed it could have been a different story.

Qualifying campaign

England qualified with relative ease from Group G, Winning 5 and drawing 3; the Three Lions were very impressive away from home beating Switzerland, Wales and Bulgaria 3-1, 2-0 and 3-0 respectively their final game away from was a very respectable 2-2 with group runners-up Montenegro, that was the game England secured top place in the group and perhaps more famously Wayne Rooney got himself sent off and of course miss the 1st two games for England in the group stages, at Home England were less impressive, a 4-0 hammering of Bulgaria was followed by two disappointing draws with Montenegro (0-0) and Switzerland (2-2), their last home game was a 1-0 win over Wales but to be honest England were outplayed for large periods of that game and were pretty lucky to come away with the win, England’s qualifying campaign was masterminded by former manager Fabio Capello, but England are now under the tutelage of Roy Hodgson and it is hardly fair to compare the relative sides as at the time of writing this England have only played two friendlies, beating both Norway and Belgium 1-0.

Euro 2012 Squad

Goalkeepers: Joe Hart (Manchester City FC), Robert Green (West Ham United FC), Jack Butland (Birmingham City FC).

Defenders: Leighton Baines (Everton FC), Gary Cahill (Chelsea FC), Ashley Cole (Chelsea FC), Glen Johnson (Liverpool FC), Phil Jones (Manchester United FC), Joleon Lescott (Manchester City FC), John Terry (Chelsea FC), Phil Jagielka (Everton FC).

Midfielders: Stewart Downing (Liverpool FC), Steven Gerrard (Liverpool FC), Jordan Henderson (Liverpool FC), James Milner (Manchester City FC), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (Arsenal FC), Scott Parker (Tottenham Hotspur FC), Theo Walcott (Arsenal FC).

Forwards: Ashley Young (Manchester United FC).Andy Carroll (Liverpool FC), Jermain Defoe (Tottenham Hotspur FC), Wayne Rooney (Manchester United FC), Daniel Welbeck (Manchester United FC).

To be honest i don’t think there are any major surprises in Hodgson’s Squad, i think Kyle Walker is pretty unlucky to have missed out and i suppose the inclusion of Oxlade-Chamberlain is somewhat of a risk given how much football he has played at the top level.

Goalkeepers
Joe Hart is a very good keeper and has the potential to be world-class but i don’t think he’s there yet, looking past Hart if he were to get an injury England are in serious mess, Rob Green is average at best i can’t get that howler against Croatia (Euro 2008 Qualifier) out of my mind and Jack Butland is untried at Championship level let alone International level,

Defenders
The likely back four will be, Johnson, Cole, Terry and Cahill, Glen Johnson is very good going forward but he is still prone to defensive lapses, Ashley Cole was a lot like Johnson in his younger days but has improved defensively, as for the Centre-backs, i think Gary Cahill is a very good defender, he reads the game well and is a threat at corners and set pieces, you can’t fault John Terry’s commitment but for me he has lost that yard of pace you need at the highest level and a few forwards have made in look 2nd rate this season (even Andy Carroll nutmegged him twice in one game!!), as for the Backups, Phil Jones has a lot of potential and can play at Right-Back, Centre-Back and in Defensive Midfield, Leighton Baines is excellent cover for Cole and has a very good delivery, as for Joleon Lescott and Phil Jagielka they both come into the solid yet unspectacular category and could do a decent job if called upon.

Edit; Martin Kelly has been called into the squad as a replacement for the injured Gary Cahill, probably meaning Joleon Lescott will partner John Terry at the back.

Midfielders
The Midfield will probably line up with Milner, Gerrard, Parker and Walcott, James Milner is a very versatile player but he hasn’t played much football at club level this season and i don’t really see him as an out and out winger, and i think the same can be said for Theo Walcott i personally like to see him play through the middle but in his defence he has lightning pace and will be a real nightmare for opposition defenders, Scott Parker is a player i really rate, he does the basics very well, he’s a good tackler and his distribution is excellent, Captain Steven Gerrard is world-class for Liverpool but can he perform for his country like he does for his club? In his defence he has often had to play in a few unfavoured roles to accommodate others, Stewart Downing hasn’t really pulled up any trees for Liverpool this season but is an out and out winger and is equally effective on either flank, Jordan Henderson is a late replacement for the injured Frank Lampard, and i hope Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain will get some game time and his inclusion is not just a publicity stunt like Erikkson did with Walcott (2006 World Cup).

Forwards
There’s no point beating around the bush the loss of Wayne Rooney from the 1st two games is a huge loss and my gut feeling is that we could virtually out of the competition before he returns, Jermain Defoe is a good finisher but is another player that hasn’t really played much for his club side this season, is Ashley Young the man to fill in for Rooney? I’m not convinced but he did take his goal very well against Norway, another player i’m not convinced is Danny Welbeck, for me he tends to go missing in the big games and his goalscoring record isn’t great (9 from 30 in the Premier League last season), that just leaves Andy Carroll, his form for Liverpool in the final few weeks of the season probably saved him from becoming the most expensive flop in Premier League history and that form will probably see start against the French in the opening group game.

Overview

The biggest problem for me regarding England has been the whole handling by the FA of the entire national team management situation, as soon as Fabio Capello resigned over the stripping of John Terry’s captaincy, they should have been breaking down Harry Redknapp’s door but instead they have appointed a “yes man” in Roy Hodgson, Hodgson is well respected in the game but what has he actually won? Seven Swedish league titles in the 70’s and 80’s and one Danish league title in 2001 woop-de-do, his teams are well organised and are hard to breakdown that for me is boring football and he is already using phrases like “park the bus” that is not what you want to hear going into a European Championships, As i have alluded to i really fear for England, the opening group game against a resurgent French team is their hardest possible start, and then come bogey side Sweden and finally the co-hosts Ukraine, my major concern for England is that look a very narrow side and lack of width certainly doesn’t suit playing with a big man up top (Carroll), i can see him being pretty isolated at times, the loss of Rooney is massive and i’m not convinced England have the player(s) to cover for him.

France (12/1 Outright)

Official FIFA Ranking 16

Manager Laurent Blanc

Tournament History

Winners ’00, ’84
4th place ’60
Semi-final ’96
Group Stage ’08, ’92
Did Not Qualify ’64, ’68, ’72, ’76, ’80, and ’88.

France have won the Henry Delauney trophy on two occasions the last time was in 2000 beating Italy 2-1 (aet) and as hosts in 1984 beating Spain 2-0 when Michel Platini was at his peak, Euro 2008 wasn’t the best for the French, they finished bottom of their group with 1 point and perhaps that was a pre-cursor to what was to come for Les Blues.

Qualifying Campaign

France qualified as winners of Group D, they amassed 21 points form their 10 games, rather surprisingly they lost 1-0 at home against Belarus but they then found their feet beating Romania, Luxembourg and Albania at home 2-0, 2-0, and 3-0 respectively, a 1-1 draw with eventual group runners-up Bosnia was enough to see them top the group, away from home France were unbeaten, 2-0 victories over Bosnia and Luxembourg and a 2-1 win against Albania and draws with Belarus and Romania 1-1 and 0-0 respectively saw the French win Group D.

Euro 2012 Squad

Goalkeepers: Cédric Carrasso (FC Girondins de Bordeaux), Hugo Lloris (Olympique Lyonnais), Steve Mandanda (Olympique de Marseille).

Defenders: Gaël Clichy (Manchester City FC), Mathieu Debuchy (LOSC Lille Métropole), Patrice Evra (Manchester United FC), Laurent Koscielny (Arsenal FC), Philippe Mexès (AC Milan), Adil Rami (Valencia CF), Anthony Réveillère (Olympique Lyonnais).

Midfielders: Yohan Cabaye (Newcastle United FC), Alou Diarra (Olympique de Marseille), Florent Malouda (Chelsea FC), Marvin Martin (FC Sochaux-Montbéliard), Blaise Matuidi (Paris Saint-Germain FC), Yann M'Vila (Stade Rennais FC), Samir Nasri (Manchester City FC).

Forwards: Hatem Ben Arfa (Newcastle United FC), Karim Benzema (Real Madrid CF), Olivier Giroud (Montpellier Hérault SC), Jérémy Menez (Paris Saint-Germain FC), Franck Ribéry (FC Bayern München), Mathieu Valbuena (Olympique de Marseille).

France manager Laurent Blanc has very much made this team his own and will probably operate a 4-2-3-1 formation and they play very similar to the golden generation of French football that Blanc himself was part of, perhaps one slight surprise was the exclusion of Lyon’s playmaker Yoan Gorcuff who was very much part of the Qualifying campaign but has paid the price for a lack of game time this season.

Goalkeepers
Lyon’s Hugo Lloris is very much No1 and barring injury will definitely start in goal against the English; Marseille’s Steve Mandana is able back-up as is Bordeaux’s Cedric Carrasso.

Defenders
The French operate with a flat back four, Adil Rami and Phillipe Mexes are likely to form the centre back partnership, Rami has had good season for Valencia and he will have to be at the top of his game if he is playing the very slow Mexes, Gael Clichy and Mathieu Debuchy will play at Left and Right back respectively, they’re solid defenders and will offer plenty of support going forward, the 1-time capped Laurent Koscielny has improved at Arsenal this season and may well get his chance if Mexes gets exposed by his real lack of pace, Patrice Evra adds experience (most capped defender with 40 caps) and Antoine Reveillere is very quick and can operate on both flanks.

Midfielders
France play with two holding midfielders and they are likely to be the much sought-after Yann M’Villa and Newcastle’s success story this season Yohan Cabaye, both offer solid protection to the back four and Cabaye in particular is very dangerous from set-pieces, the attacking trio will more than likely be made up from Franck Ribery, Samir Nasri and Mathieu Valbuena, all three are very good footballers and given licence to play a very fluid way, but for me Ribery is a potential star of the tournament, he is a real handful for opposition defenders and go past you on both sides has decent pace a has a keen eye for goal, Alou Diarra and Blaise Matudi offer cover as defensive midfielders can do a job if called upon, Newcastle are doubly represented in this squad with Hatem Ben Arfa also being included, he has recovered well form a broken leg and i can see him being used as an impact player, Florent Malouda brings plenty of experience (most capped player in the squad with 75 caps), Marvin Martin is similar in stature to Valbuena (tiny) but he is technically sound and has had a very good season for his club Sochaux.

Forwards
Blanc has only selected three Centre Forwards in his squad and that very much suggests they will just play with one up top and that one will more than likely be Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema, he has had a very good season domestically and fits in very well with this style of play, he is quick, decent in the air and scores plenty, the two other Forwards in the squad are relatively inexperienced, Jeremy Menez only has 11 caps and is yet to break his duck for the national team and Oliver Giroud has only represented France four times but he has scored a goal and will come in to the side with bags of confidence as he fired his club team Montpellier to their 1st Ligue 1 title.

Overview

The French Federation made right decision after the debacle that was the 2010 World Cup and to a lesser extent Euro 2008, by sacking previous coach Raymond Domenech after the players virtually went on strike in South Africa and their were rumours of actual fights in the dressing room, New Coach Laurent Blanc dropped every player from that World Cup shambles in his 1st squad and has turned this team around and very much moulded them in his own image, i can see the French dominating this group and wouldn’t be surprised if they were to win all 3 of their games, the French could well have 6 points in the bag before the come to their final game in the group against Sweden and if the results have gone in their favour they may well rest of few of their key players before the Quarter-finals.

Sweden (80/1 Outright)

Official FIFA Ranking 17

Manager Erik Hamren

Tournament History

Semi-finals ’92.
Quarter-finals ’04.
Group Stage ’00, ’08.
Did not qualify ’64, ’68, ’72, ’76, ’80, ’84, ’88, ’96.
Did not enter ’60.

Sweden went out of Euro 2008 at the group stage and their best performance in the competition came as hosts in 1992, they famously knocked England out of competition before eventually losing to Germany (3-2) in the Semi-finals.

Qualifying Campaign

Although Sweden finished 2nd in Group E they qualified automatically for the competition by having the best record of all of the 2nd placed sides, 8 victories and 2 defeats saw the Swedes amass 24 points from their 10 games, Sweden were simply outstanding at home winning all 5 of their games, perhaps their best performance was the 5-0 hammering of local rivals Finland, Hungary, San Marino, Moldova and Holland all suffered the same fate losing 2-0, 6-0, 2-1 and 3-2 respectively, away from home was a slightly different story, a 4-1 defeat by eventual group winners Holland and a 2-1 reverse in Hungary were disappointing, however the Blagult (The Blue-Yellow) got things back on track with wins in Moldova (4-1), San Marino (5-0) and Finland (2-1).

Euro 2012 Squad

Goalkeepers: Andreas Isaksson (PSV Eindhoven), Johan Wiland (FC København), Pär Hansson (Helsingborgs IF).

Defenders: Mikael Antonsson (Bologna FC), Andreas Granqvist (Genoa CFC), Olof Mellberg (Olympiacos FC), Jonas Olsson (West Bromwich Albion FC), Martin Olsson (Blackburn Rovers FC), Behrang Safari (RSC Anderlecht), Mikael Lustig (Celtic FC).

Midfielders: Emir Bajrami (FC Twente), Rasmus Elm (AZ Alkmaar), Samuel Holmén (İstanbul BB SK), Kim Källström (Olympique Lyonnais), Sebastian Larsson (Sunderland AFC), Anders Svensson (IF Elfsborg), Pontus Wernbloom (PFC CSKA Moskva), Christian Wilhelmsson (Al-Hilal FC).

Forwards: Johan Elmander (Galatasaray AŞ), Tobias Hysén (IFK Göteborg), Zlatan Ibrahimović (AC Milan), Markus Rosenberg (SV Werder Bremen), Ola Toivonen (PSV Eindhoven).

Erik Hamren has gone a mixture of youth and experience in his squad, they play with a very fluid 4-2-3-1 attacking formation, I don’t think there are any real surprises in Hamren’s squad, hot prospect John Guidetti has missed out through injury as has defender Daniel Majstorovic, former Bolton forward Johan Elmander is expected to recover from a fractured metatarsal.

Goalkeepers
Andreas Isaksson is Sweden’s No1 and will definitely start in goal, back-ups Johan Wiland and Par Hansson are relatively inexperienced at international level but are more than capable if needed

Defenders
The Swedes operate a flat back four with centre-back partnership is likely to be West Brom’s Jonas Olsson and former Aston Villa centre back Olaf Mellberg, Both are big, and strong, good in the air but Mellberg has lost that yard of pace, Blackburn’s Martin Olsson and Genoa’s Andreas Granqvist will operate at left and right back respectively and will offer decent support going forward, Celtic’s Mikael Lustig is a right back but can also operate at centre back, Mikael Antonsson offers more cover at centre back and Anderlecht’s Iranian-born Behrang Safari is an attacking left-back and can also play on the wing.

Midfielders
The two holding midfielders have bags of experience, Lyon’s Kim Kallstrom and Elfsborg’s veteran Andreas Svensson have 214 caps between them (90 and 124), the both are very good on the ball and although not the quickest offer decent protection to the back four, attacking-wise AZ Alkmar’s Rasmus Elm and Sunderland’s Sebastian Larsson play in the wide roles and both have great delivery and Elm in particular has a keen eye for goal, the masterstroke by Hamren has been dropping AC Milan’s forward Zlatan Imbrahimovic into the arch-typical number 10 role giving him the licence to drop deep and cause defenders all sorts of problems by not having to be that target man, Emir Bajrami is a tricky winger and currently plays his club football for FC Twente, Tobias Hysen is another winger and is son of former Liverpool and Sweden defender Glenn Hysen, Christian Wilhelmson formerly of Bolton Wanderers plays as a right winger and brings in plenty of experience at this level (capped 72 times), Pontus Wernbloom and Samuel Holmen offer cover in the defensive midfield, both are typical box to box midfielders and Wernbloom in particular is known as tough tackler.

Forwards
Former Bolton forward Johan Elmander is likely to operate as the lone front man, he now plays for Turkish Super Lig champions Galatasary and has a slight injury doubt as he has a fractured metatarsel but is expected to recover in time for their 1st game against Co-hosts Ukraine, Werder Bremen’s Markus Rosenborg spent last season on loan at Spanish side Racing Santander where he finished the season as their leading goal scorer with 9 goals, but to be honest i can only see him featuring if their are injuries or suspensions, Ola Toivonen on the other hand will definitely get some game time, he has a great season with his club PSV Eindhoven scoring 25 goals and will play a part in Sweden’s campaign, as previously mentioned Zlatan Ibrahimovic plays in a much deeper role but is still the star man of the Swedish side.

Overview

Sweden have traditionally been a very defensive somewhat negative side but under Erik Hamren they have transformed themselves into a very attack-minded team, i would even go as far to say they are quite cavalier in their approach these days, so much so they have become a lot easier to score against, they only managed to keep 2 clean sheets in their qualifying campaign and that was against perennial whipping boys San Marino, and as a betting proposition 9 of their last 11 competitive games have gone over 2.5 goals certainly worth bearing in mind when looking at their matches, i think Sweden could be a real handful in this tournament which spells bad news for England, they have never lost in 7 competitive games against England and i think that will continue, 2nd place in the Group is definitely on the cards for the Swedes.

Ukraine (50/1 Outright)

Official FIFA Ranking 50

Manager Oleg Blokhin

Tournament History
Making their debut

Qualifying Campaign

Ukraine have qualified as one of the co-hosts and therefore have been limited to friendlies over the last couple of years, i’m not a fan of friendly matches, most of the time there just a money-making opportunity for the respective federations, i don’t think the players, managers/coaches take them seriously, nevertheless lets take a look at how they have done.
They are actually unbeaten in their last 6 matches, but when you look at the calibre of the opposition they have faced Germany are the only decent side they have come up against, a 3-3 draw in Kiev was a good result, they have beaten Estonia twice (4-0 at home and 2-0 away), home wins over Austria and Bulgaria (2-1 and 3-0 respectively) and 3-2 win over Israel in Tel Aviv are ok results but lets not go overboard, Prior to that they were in disarray, former coach Myron Markevych quit due to off-field matters and caretaker coach Yuri Kalitvintsev had only managed one victory in eight matches, during that abysmal run they were hammered 4-0 by the Czech Republic and 4-1 at home against France, Oleg Blokhin (was manager when they reached the Quarter-finals of the 2006 World Cup) was re-appointed and he has steadied the ship that was threatening to spiral out of control.

Euro 2012 Squad

Goalkeepers: Oleksandr Goryainov (FC Metalist Kharkiv), Maxym Koval (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Andriy Pyatov (FC Shakhtar Donetsk).

Defenders: Bohdan Butko (FC Illychivets Mariupil), Olexandr Kucher (FC Shakhtar Donetsk), Taras Mikhalik (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Yaroslav Rakitskiy (FC Shakhtar Donetsk), Yevhen Selin (FC Vorskla Poltava), Yevhen Khacheridi (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Vyacheslav Shevchuk (FC Shakhtar Donetsk).

Midfielders: Olexandr Aliyev (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Denys Garmash (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Oleh Gusev (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Yevhen Konoplyanka (FC Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk), Serhiy Nazarenko (SC Tavriya Simferopol), Ruslan Rotan (FC Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk), Anatoliy Tymoshchuk (FC Bayern München), Andriy Yarmolenko (FC Dynamo Kyiv).

Forwards: Andriy Voronin (FC Dinamo Moskva), Marko Dević (FC Shakhtar Donetsk), Artem Milevskiy (FC Dynamo Kyiv), Yevhen Seleznyov (FC Shakhtar Donetsk), Andriy Shevchenko (FC Dynamo Kyiv).

Goalkeepers
Crisis is often a very much over-used word in football but that is exactly what the Goalkeeping situation is for the Ukraine, Dynamo Kiev veteran Oleksandr Shovkovskiy is out because of shoulder surgery and Shakhtar Donetsk keeper Oleksandr Rybka has been banned for doping, leaving Andriy Pyatov as the only keeper in the squad with any sort of experience at this level (26 caps) but he is not he most reliable of ‘keepers, 36-year old Oleksandr Goryainov has got 1 cap and Maxym Koval is uncapped.

Defenders
The back four will more than likely be made up from, Selin, Rakitskiy, Kucher and Butko, Oleksandr Kucher and Yaroslav Rakitskiy play together for Shakhtar Donetsk and pretty solid, Yevhen Selin and Bohdan Butko play at Left back and Right back respectively and decent defenders in their own right, Dynamo Kiev’s Taras Mykhalyk is a very versatile player and can play anywhere across the back four and even in midfield if required, team-mate Yehven Khacheridi offers cover at right back and centre back and Shakthar Donetsk’s Viachelslav Shevchuk is a left back.

Midfielders
Bayern Munich’s Anatolii Tymoschuk is an excellent defensive midfielder and will anchor the middle of the park with Dynamo Kiev’s Denys Garmash, Kiev also supply the widemen in this formation, Andriy Yarmelenko (left) and Oleg Gusev (right) offer plenty of pace and will look to supply the ammunition for the forwards, Dnipro’s Ruslan Rotan and Yevhen Konoplianka play on either flank and Serihy Nazarenko offers cover in the middle of the park, Dyanmo Kiev coach Yuri Skomin has described Oleksandr Aliyev as “the best free-kick taker in Europe” personally i think i could name about 40 other players currently playing Europe before i got anywhere near him!!

Forwards
Andrei Shevchenko still dominates for the national side, he is that popular that he is almost undroppable but at 35 years old his legs have gone and now operates in a deeper role, club team-mate Artem Milevskiy leads the line and a couple of seasons ago he looked top notch (2010 season scored scored 17 goals in 27 games) but has gone of the boil since, former Liverpool and current Dynamo Moscow forward Andrei Voronin is still knocking about but is very much a squad player, Yehven Seleznyov plays his club football for Shakhtar Donetsk and has a decent goal scoring record at that level (69 goals in 134 apperances), Metalist’s Marko Devic operates in the hole and could well get some game time as Sheva is unlikely to last 90 mins.

Overview

Home advantage is normally worth a Quarter-final place at least but in Ukraine’s case i just can’t see it, the Goalkeeping situation is a nightmare for Coach Oleg Blohkin, so much emphasis is put on having a solid spine in the game today and that starts with the ‘keeper, i mean the last side to win anything with a dodgy ‘keeper was probably Brazil in the 70’s and this Ukraine side are certainly no Brazil, and to be honest if they weren’t one of the hosts i don’t think they would have qualified even from a relatively weak group, i’m sure they have plenty of support but i think they are destined to finish bottom of Group D.


Overall View

I think France will win Group D quite convincingly; they are one of the form teams in Europe and are well overpriced to win the Group, that leaves Sweden and England to battle it out for 2nd place and qualification for the knockout stages, Sweden play some very good football these days and England don’t, i can already hear the chants “Boring, Boring England!”, Sweden to make the quarter-finals for me, England will beat Ukraine in the final group game with Wayne Rooney back in the team but i think the damage will already be done, Ukraine are a poor side in my opinion and will finish bottom of the Group probably with 0 points.

Group D Predictions
1 France
2 Sweden
3 England
4 Ukraine

Recommended Bets

France to win Group D @17/10 (Boylesports)
Sweden to Qualify from Group D @2/1 (General)
England Not to Qualify from Group D @13/8 (Stan James)
Ukraine to Finish Bottom of Group D @11/5 (General)
Karim Benzema Top French Goalscorer @11/4 (Bodog)

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Liverpool1985
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Post Posted: Sun Jun 03, 2012 4:27 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Excellent stuff Lazarus. Especially with the short time you had mate. I like those bets as well.

My personal preferences are Germany and also France at slightly bigger odds. I see these two meeting in the Semi Finals. The excellent previews provided have personally swayed me towards these two picks. But let me know what you think lads.


Last edited by Liverpool1985 on Tue Jun 05, 2012 11:36 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post Posted: Sun Jun 03, 2012 4:38 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Agree with you about Germany, i initially thought Italy could go well at a decent price but i think the match-fixing scandal has thrown them in to disarray (they were truly awful against Russia) the more i looked at France the more their price became appealing (definite trading proposition).
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Post Posted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 6:57 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeah I have to agree on France. They haven't gone on strike for Blanc yet so he must be doing something right. It pains me to say it as the game against Ireland is still raw but they'll be there or thereabouts. What does Each Way pay to for outright winners? semis or no?
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Post Posted: Tue Jun 05, 2012 11:23 am     Post subject: Reply with quote

eireyidddo

Each Way is just to reach the final, but some bookies are doing betting for the semi finals - http://www.oddschecker.com/football/internationals/euro-2012/to-reach-semi-final
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Post Posted: Tue Jun 05, 2012 8:08 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Had some fun doing these lads and glad they were all finished. I have now placed all of my bets for the Euro's and will now be sitting back and relaxing while the tournament unfolds. I have used points for stakes.

250 Point Stakes:
- Germany To Win Euro 2012 @ 3/1 (bet365)
- Russia To Win Group A @ 6/4 (StanJames) - NB
- France To Win Group D @ 13/8 (Betfred) - NAP
- Russia To Win Against The Czech Republic @ 11/10 (bet365)

100 Point Stakes:
- France To Win Euro 2012 @ 11/1 (Coral) - Looking to Trade anything below 5-6/1 during the Tournament.
- Czech Republic To Finish Bottom Of Group A @ 11/5 (BWin)
- Croatia To Finish Bottom Of Group C @ 9/4 (Boylesports)
- England Not To Qualify From Group D @ 7/5 (BetVictor)

50 Point Stakes:
- Robert Lewandowski To Be Polands Top Goalscorer @ 15/8 (Ladbrokes)
- Republic Of Ireland To Qualify From Group C @ 4/1 (BlueSq)
- France To Win Against England @ 6/4 (bet365)

So that's my betting portfolio laid out. Fingers crossed this doesn't turn in to another World Cup 2010 disaster. Although I have paid a lot more attention this time around. Good luck to all others and thanks again for providing Groups B,C and Ds previews. They have helped me immensely to select some of these bets and hope you have a profitable tournament.

Cheers again. LP.
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manafana
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Joined: 08 Apr 2005
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Post Posted: Wed Jun 06, 2012 10:07 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

good work lads browsed thru bits.
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Liverpool1985
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Joined: 14 Sep 2008
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Post Posted: Sat Jun 09, 2012 9:08 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Good Lad Micko. Great start for you and Denmark. Group C up tomorrow. Been an excellent start for this Thread so far so fingers crossed we can keep it going having been quick out of the blocks.
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Micko70
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Post Posted: Sat Jun 09, 2012 9:11 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Damon

I actually thought Holland would win the match but still go home, i wonder price the bookies offered for Holland being the first team to go home, it will happen if Germany beat Holland and either the other game is a draw or Denmark win
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Liverpool1985
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Post Posted: Tue Jun 12, 2012 5:53 pm     Post subject: Reply with quote

Update as Realisation Starts setting in.


250 Point Stakes:
- Germany To Win Euro 2012 @ 3/1 (bet365)
- Russia To Win Group A @ 6/4 (StanJames) - NB
- France To Win Group D @ 13/8 (Betfred) - NAP
- Russia To Win Against The Czech Republic @ 11/10 (bet365)

100 Point Stakes:
- France To Win Euro 2012 @ 11/1 (Coral) - Looking to Trade anything below 5-6/1 during the Tournament.
- Czech Republic To Finish Bottom Of Group A @ 11/5 (BWin)
- Croatia To Finish Bottom Of Group C @ 9/4 (Boylesports)

- England Not To Qualify From Group D @ 7/5 (BetVictor)

50 Point Stakes:
- Robert Lewandowski To Be Polands Top Goalscorer @ 15/8 (Ladbrokes)
- Republic Of Ireland To Qualify From Group C @ 4/1 (BlueSq)
- France To Win Against England @ 6/4 (bet365)



Is some green in there somewhere.
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