Football Tuesday 21st August Selections

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Please add your detailed and reasoned selections on todays matches.

craftypunter · Posted: Mon Aug 20, 2012 9:55 pm Post subject: Tuesday

Falkirk v Rangers

Rangers came from behind to win 5-1 on Saturday
Falkirk were beaten at home 0-3

my cash is on Rangers half time/full time
at 11/10 with BetVictor

all the best.

malabgd · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 7:46 am Post subject:

Injuries & suspensions:
FC Basel v CFR Cluj
FC Basel: Yapi
CFR Cluj: Minca, Diogo, Deac, Hora, Ganea, Maftei
pick 1

Wolverhampton v Barnsley FC
Wolverhampton: Fletcher
Barnsley FC: Stones, Done, Digby, McNulty, Mido, Silva, O'Brien, Steele, Alnwick
pick 1

Ipatinga v América Mineiro
Ipatinga: -
América Mineiro: Alessandro, Patrick, Dudu, Leandro Ferreira, Rodriguinho, Gilberto
pick 1
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Passagir · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 7:56 am Post subject:

Spartak Moscow - Fenerbahçe SK
Spartak suffered only one defeat in the season. Games with anybody without any problems. Top forwards Emenike and Welliton.
Fenerbahce not confident playing away

LIAMBO · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 8:59 am Post subject:

helsingborg home win.
home team well into their season and facing a celtic team who were lucky to get injury time equaliser away to ross county in the second league game of the season.no additions to celtic squad since last season and i feel helsingborg can win against a poor celtic team who also have a tactically naive manager.

TheBettingGuru · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 9:29 am Post subject:

Wolves vs Barnsley

Wolves got off to a poor start losing 1-0 away @ Leeds on the opening day. I think the scoreline Could of been alot worse for Wolves as Leeds missed numerous good chances. Wolves only managed to work Paddy Kenny just once in 90 mins in what was a pretty poor display. Wolves only picked up a lowly 15 on my match performance ratings (MPR) whilst Leeds got 50

Barnsley got off to a winning start with a 1-0 home win over M'brough. Fully deserved all 3pts and were the better team over the 90 minutes. Barnsley picked up a MPR of 64 against M'brough whilst M'brough picked up a rating of 39. If both sides play like they did @ the weekend I can see Barnsley getting something and I think the near 5/1 is a great bit of value but laying wolves to cover the draw looks good. Craig Davies was the standout player for Barnsley on Saturday and if he starts tonight will be looking at him for anytime scorer around 3.75

Lay Wolves @ 1.67
C Davies AGS @ 3.75

Brentford vs Yeovil

Brentford started off the season with a 0-0 draw away @ Bury. Pretty dull affair with neither GK having much to do. Brentford only picked up a MPR of 23 whilst Bury got a rating of just 19.

Yeovil started off the season with a 1-1 home draw against Coventry and will feel unlucky not to have taken all 3pts with chances created. Coventrys J Murphy was called upon numerous times to keep out Yeovil.

Yeovil picked up a very decent MPR of 53 with Coventry just 28. Yeovil have a good record against Brentford and have only lost 1 of the last 9 games between the 2 sides and if Yeovil play like they did on Saturday could easily get something here. Over 4/1 is very tempting but laying Brentford covering the draw looks good.

Lay Brentford @ 1.83

L Orient vs Stevenage

Orient got off to a poor start with a 3-1 defeat away @ Tranmere on saturday and put in a pretty poor performance with MPR of just 19 with Tranmere picking up a rating of 39.

Stevenage opened the season with a 1-1 home draw with Carlisle but will be thinking this is 2pts dropped with the chances they created picking up a MPR of 56 to Carlisles 23. They will be looking to build on the opening weekends performance and get all 3pts tonight. Luke Freeman played well on saturday and had a few good chances. Will be looking at him for AGS tonight if he starts

Stevenage @ 2.62
Freeman AGS @ 3.40

Chesterfield vs Rochdale

Chesterfield opened the season with a 1-0 away defeat @ AFC Wimbledon on saturday and will be scratching there heads how they did'nt at least take a draw from the game with the chances they created. Much the better team for large parts of the game and were wasteful. They picked up a very decent MPR of 65 to Wimbledons 29.

Rochdale started with off with a 0-0 home draw against Northampton ina pretty dull affair where Rochdale picked up a MPR of just 28 to Northamptons 19.

Chesterfield despite the poor result did put in a good performance and will be looking to turn things round in front of their home fans and get 3pts on the board. Jordan Bowery had numerous chances to score on saturday and if he gets himself in the same posistions could find the back of the net tonight.

Chesterfield @ 2.15
J Bowery AGS @ 3.40

Northampton vs Rotherham

Northampton opened up wit a 0-0 draw away @ Rochdale. Never played very well at all and put in a MPR of just 19 to Rochdales 29.

Rotherham opened up with a very good 3-0 home win over Burton. Favs to win the league and will be looking to keep uo their 100% record with an away win over avery avge Northampton side. Rotherham put in a MPR of 48 to Burtons 22 on saturday.

Rotherham @ 2.50

jamesmark · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 10:16 am Post subject: Tips for today

[list of tips is of no use without reasoning]

inatimate · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 11:43 am Post subject:

CHAMPIONSHIP
Wolves v Barnsley
It seems wrong to be going against the form book in a way here, but I can't help myself.
Barnsley were many bookies favourites for relegation from the Championship, in fact with most bookies they still are, despite an impressive and spirited performance when beating Middlesbrough 1-0 on Saturday to follow up their extra time win at Rochdale in the Capital One Cup.
Wolves come into this match off the back of a very poor display against Leeds on Saturday, where they were lucky not to lose by a much bigger margin, and never really looked in the match. They even failed to best League Two Aldershot over 120 minutes, and needed to rely on luck to win 7-6 on penalties.
Everything would point to Barnsley being the value bet here, but I think that tonight is the best chance for Wolves to put a stop to their poor run of 1 win in 24 matches. The difference in class between the two sides should be enough to lift Wolves to a home victory

Wolves to win @ 4/6

Bolton v Derby
Another math where I'm going for a team who didn't show much in their opening match is Bolton v Derby.
Owen Coyle must have been gutted with their openin day defeat to Burnley, not least because it's his old club, but also because his side never really turned up to the races and kind of rolled over at stuff Moor.
Derby on the other hand will be disappointed in themselves for other reasons. They were two-nil up within half an hour of their opening league game at Pride Park against Sheff Wed, they looked like adding more to their tally, only to conceed at the end of the first half and then crumble in the second half and be thoroughly outplayed, and lucky to even escape with a draw.
It marked the second time in two matches where they looked to be cruising and fell apart. They led 4-1 on the hour against Scunthorpe, and even 5-3 going into injury time in their Capital One Cup encounter, only to lose 7-6 on penalties.
Tonight is their first match away from Pride Park this season, and if they are that willing to fall apart at home, then I would expect Bolton to be able to cash in on their defensive frailties at the Reebok

Bolton to win @ 8/11

miinehoma · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 1:15 pm Post subject:

04/05 October 23 - Watford 2-2 Ipswich
04/05 February 22 - Ipswich 1-2 Watford
05/06 October 22 - Ipswich 0-1 Watford

05/06 April 17 - Watford 2-1 Ipswich
06/07(cup) February 17 - Watford 1-0 Ipswich
07/08 September 1 - Watford 2-0 Ipswich
07/08 February 9 - Ipswich 1-2 Watford
08/09 August 30 - Watford 2-1 Ipswich
08/09 March 21 - Ipswich 0-0 Watford
09/10 October 20 - Ipswich 1-1 Watford
09/10 March 16 - Watford 2-1 Ipswich
10/11 October 19 - Watford 2-1 Ipswich
10/11 March 15 - Ipswich 0-3 Watford
11/12 December 3 - Ipswich 1-2 Watford
11/12 March 24 - Watford 2-1 Ipswich

If ever a list of past results showed that some teams can be 'bogey' teams then this is up there with them. As you can see, Watford have won 5 straight against Ipswich, and have won 12 of the last 15 meetings, with the other 3 games ending in a draw.

Im all over the 5/4 on Watford

TheBettingGuru · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 1:33 pm Post subject:

Agree with Watford. Great performance against Palace on saturday and fully deserved the win. As much as Ipswich were the better team against Blackburn on Saturday they could struggle tonight against Watford

wedgec · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 4:17 pm Post subject:

Swindon v Crawley Swindon win 2.20

Swindon have not lost at home in over a year, and it was their home form that got them promoted last season. As well as this they kept an enormous amount of clean sheets at home last season. They also beat Crawley 3-0 at home last season. This season they have beaten Brighton 3-0 at home in the cup.

Crawley did win 3-0 in their last game at home to Scunthorpe, but anyone who saw the game would know that Scunthorpe, who had a man sent off, were the better team.

I think 2.20 is excellent value here.
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manafana · Posted: Tue Aug 21, 2012 4:31 pm Post subject:

Wolverhampton v Barnsley Asian Handicap Barnsley 1 (AH) 1.8 bet365

"Wolves will get the reminder after a few weeks back in the championship that no points are easy even when you go down a level. Opening day they travelled to leeds they struggled for a good chunk of that live tv game, they went down to a first half goal and looked like they need a kick in arse to get them going. Barnsley started pretty damn well, getting ahead verus boro and holding on to that lead verus a fancied boro side. The head to head here may favour the home side but as they say records are made to be broken and this is a chance for barnsley to show they can be competitive at this level. I'll also play the better priced +.5 asian as well"